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EYE-BALL’s Rookie Bookie on – Weekend Preview – 14th – 16th Sep –

The-EYE-BALL-Opinion-Header-2

Latest ‘Rookie Bookie Updates:


GI Index Performance:

Value of INDEX:

30th Mar = (+) 0
04th Apr = (+) 216.67
11th Apr = (+) 393.67
18th Apr = (+) 293.67
25th Apr = (+) 293.67 – no activity last week …
2nd May = (+) 290.00
9th May = (+) 340
16th May = (+) 433.3
23rd May = (+) 517.2
30th May = (+) 492.2
6th Jun = (+) 467.3
13th Jun = (+) 497.3
20th Jun = (+) 463.7
27th Jun = (+) 363.7
4th Jly = (+) 363.7
11th Jly = (+) 352.47
18th Jly = (+) 335.80
25th Jly = (+) 328.30
1st Aug = (+) 370.80
8th Aug = (+) 274.97
15th Aug = (+) 264.13
22nd Aug = (+) 286.63
27th Aug = (+) 236.63
3rd Sep = (+) 176.63
10th Sep = (+) 93.3


Links to previous Posts:

2012:


To see more EYE-BALL ‘Rookie Bookie’ posts:

click here …


Title:
– Weekend Preview – 14th – 16th Sep –
| Author: Rookie Bookie |14th Sep 2012 |
To assist with navigating this page, please use the INDEX links below to go to Admin and Code Summaries:


Last Weekend Bet Results:

  • AFL Swans @ $2.35 collect
  • South Sydney Rabbitohs at $2.25 lost,
  • The Noah’s Arks at $2.40 lost,
  • North Melbourne at $4.35 lost. And
  • Broncos to win the Grand Final
  • Negative 88.33 GI points

Return to Top …


The Rugby Championship:

0 interest is now a dead series, not much more than academic or trials.

Return to Top …


AFL – Finals Week 2: (Underlined = Forecasted Winner)

  • Collingwood v West Coast (+4.5) estimate market $2.50/$1.67 Actual $1.78/$2.05
  • Adelaidev Fremantle (+8.5) estimate market $1.80/$2.25 Actual $1.60/$2.35

The Weekends Forecast:

  • Best Bet: Weagles
  • Value: Weagles
  • At the Margin: Totally Irrelevant.

Return to Top …


Critical stats

West Coast Eagles v Collingwood Magpies –

  • previous matches Collingwood R13 12.13.85 – 12.10.82, West Coast R22 15.17.107 – 8.10. 8.
  • WCE 1st Quarter won 12, 2nd 16, 3rd 12, 4th 17. Pies 1st Quarter won 16, 2nd 12, 3rd 11, 4th 10.
  • Collingwood did not win any of the quarters against red hot Hawks, while Weagles allowed North a sniff in 3rd quarter. Prediction WWCW

Adelaide Crows v Fremantle Dockers

  • previous match Crows 17.9.111 – 12.10.82, Crows R20 14.7.91 – 17.17.119
  • Crows Quarter won 1st 15, 2nd 12, 3rd 17, 4th 13 Dockers 1st Quarter won 11, 2nd 12, 3rd 17, 4th 15.
  • Prediction FFAA. Will be a great 3rd quarter. Tending to favour Freo, Will be in the balance in dying moments.

Return to Index …


NRL Finals Week 1: (Underlined = Forecasted Winner)

  • Manly v North Qld (+1.5) – estimate market $1.80/$2.25 Actual $1.95/$1.88
  • Rabbitohs v Raiders (+6.5) – estimate market $1.80/$2.25 Actual $1.43/$2.90

The Weekends Forecast:

  • Best Bet: Manly
  • Value: Manly
  • At the Margin: Totally Irrelevant.

Return to Top …


Critical Stats – Previous Match ups.

  • Sea Eagles v Cowboys – Manly R22 8 – 6.
  • Rabbitohs v Raiders – Souths R12 36 – 18.

Return to Top …


Betting Summary:

  • 1 unit Canterbury Bulldogs to win 2012 NRL premiership @ $5.00. Matures 30/9/12
  • ½ unit on Cowboys to win NRL Premiership @ $13.00. Matures 30/9/12

This Weekend:

  • 1 unit on Fremantle in AFL @ $2.35
  • 1 unit on West Coast in AFL@ $2.05
  • 1 unit on Manly in NRL @ $1.95

Return to Top …


EYE-BALL’s Rookie-Bookie …

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EYE-BALL’s Rookie Bookie on – Weekend Preview – 7th – 9th Sep –

The-EYE-BALL-Opinion-Header-2

Latest ‘Rookie Bookie Updates:


GI Index Performance:

Value of INDEX:

30th Mar = (+) 0
04th Apr = (+) 216.67
11th Apr = (+) 393.67
18th Apr = (+) 293.67
25th Apr = (+) 293.67 – no activity last week …
2nd May = (+) 290.00
9th May = (+) 340
16th May = (+) 433.3
23rd May = (+) 517.2
30th May = (+) 492.2
6th Jun = (+) 467.3
13th Jun = (+) 497.3
20th Jun = (+) 463.7
27th Jun = (+) 363.7
4th Jly = (+) 363.7
11th Jly = (+) 352.47
18th Jly = (+) 335.80
25th Jly = (+) 328.30
1st Aug = (+) 370.80
8th Aug = (+) 274.97
15th Aug = (+) 264.13
22nd Aug = (+) 286.63
27th Aug = (+) 236.63
3rd Sep = (+) 176.63


Links to previous Posts:

2012:


To see more EYE-BALL ‘Rookie Bookie’ posts:

click here …


Title:
– Weekend Preview – 7th – 9th Sep –
| Author: Rookie Bookie |3rd Sep 2012 |
To assist with navigating this page, please use the INDEX links below to go to Admin and Code Summaries:


Last Weekend Bet Results:

  • 1 unit on Cowboys in NRL v Cronulla @ $2.20 win
  • 1 unit Adelaide Crows to win the AFL Minor Premiership @ $4.50. lost
  • I unit on Blues in AFL v St Kilda @ $2 lost
  • 1 unit on West Coast in AFL v Hawthorn @ $4.15 lost

A Decision Tree (for both NRL and AFL)

Each team now must win a minimum of 3 matches to win the comp. If a team finishing in top 4 loses in week one, they go through to grand final only by winning in weeks 2 and 3. If there was an easy match, (most predictable), odds would skew.  That is how markets are framed.

Manly and Storm in NRL, while Hawthorn and Sydney?? are now predicted to fight out the Grand Final. I can’t see it. I would need at least $7 on any of those to get interested.   For positions 5 to 8 I would require about $15 to get interested. The bookies percentages influence all of this, including outstanding bets. I am now interested in match play, more than eventual winner.

Return to Top …


The Rugby Championship:

0 interest is now a dead series, not much more than academic or trials.

Return to Top …


AFL – Finals Week 1: (Underlined = Forecasted Winner)

  • Hawthorn v Collingwood estimate market $1.70/$2.42 Actual $1.38/$3.10
  • Adelaide v Swans estimate market $2.25/$1.80 Actual $1.65/$2.25
  • West Coast v North Melb estimate market $2.00/$2.00 Actual $1.25/$4.00
  • Geelong v Fremantle estimate market $1.70/$2.42 Actual $1.30/$3.55

The Weekends Forecast:

  • Best Bet: Sydney Swans
  • Value: North or Swans?
  • At the Margin: Totally Irrelevant.

Return to Top …


Critical stats

Hawthorn v Collingwood

  • previous matches Hawthorn R1 20.17.137 – 16.19.115, Hawks R17  21.12.138 – 13.13.91.
  • Hawthorn 1st Quarter won 13, 2nd 21, 3rd 12, 4th 14.
  • Collingwood1st Quarter won 16, 2nd 12, 3rd 11, 4th 10.
  • Prediction CHCH

Adelaide v Sydney

  • Previous matches Crows R6 15.9.99 – 14.10.94.
  • Adelaide 1st Quarter won 15, 2nd 12, 3rd 16, 4th 13.
  • Swans 1st Quarter won 16, 2nd 14, 3rd 16, 4th 10.
  • Prediction SSAS

West Coast Eagles v North Melbourne Kangaroos

  • Previous matches West Coast R6 17.18.120 – 15.5.95, West Coast R15 12.14.86 – 13.6.84,
  • WCE 1st Quarter won 11, 2nd 15, 3rd 12, 4th 16.
  • North 1st Quarter won 14, 2nd 15, 3rd 13, 4th 11.
  • Prediction NNWN

 Geelong v Fremantle

  • Previous match Magpies Fremantle R1 15.11.101 – 16.9.105
  • Cats Quarter won 12, 2nd 13, 3rd 10, 4th 16
  • Dockers 1st Quarter won 10, 2nd 11, 3rd 16, 4th 15.
  • Prediction FGGF

Return to Index …


NRL Finals Week 1: (Underlined = Forecasted Winner)

  • Canterbury v Manly – estimate market $2.12/$1.90 Actual $2.20/$1.67
  • Storm v Rabbitohs – estimate market $1.80 /$2.25 Actual $1.65/$2.25
  • North Qld v Brisbane – estimate market $1.67/$2.50 Actual $1.45/$2.75
  • Raiders v Sharks – estimate market $1.80/$2.25 Actual $1.60/$2.35

The Weekends Forecast:

  • Best Bet: North Queensland (Tab too short)
  • Value: Bulldogs
  • At the Margin: Totally Irrelevant.

Return to Top …


Critical Stats – Previous Match ups.

  • Dogs v Sea Eagles – Manly R8 12 – 10, R20 Bulldogs 20 – 12.
  • Storm v Rabbits  – Storm R2 24 – 10
  • Cowboys v Broncos – Cowboys R2 28 – 26, Cowboys R15 12 – 0.
  • Raiders V Sharks – Sharks R8 44 – 22 (away), Raiders R20 36 – 4 (away).

Return to Top …


Betting Summary:

  • 1 unit Canterbury Bulldogs to win 2012 NRL premiership @ $5.00. Matures 30/9/12
  • 1 unit Brisbane Broncos to win 2012 NRL premiership @ $8.00. Matures 30/9/12
  • ½ unit on Cowboys to win NRL Premiership @ $13.00

This Weekend:

Post after Wednesday with knowledge of injuries, judiciary and live prices

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EYE-BALL’s Rookie-Bookie …

 

EYE-BALL’s Rookie Bookie on – Weekend Preview – 31st Aug – 2nd Sep –

August 31, 2012 Comments off
The-EYE-BALL-Opinion-Header-2

Latest ‘Rookie Bookie Updates:


GI Index Performance:

Value of INDEX:

30th Mar = (+) 0
04th Apr = (+) 216.67
11th Apr = (+) 393.67
18th Apr = (+) 293.67
25th Apr = (+) 293.67 – no activity last week …
2nd May = (+) 290.00
9th May = (+) 340
16th May = (+) 433.3
23rd May = (+) 517.2
30th May = (+) 492.2
6th Jun = (+) 467.3
13th Jun = (+) 497.3
20th Jun = (+) 463.7
27th Jun = (+) 363.7
4th Jly = (+) 363.7
11th Jly = (+) 352.47
18th Jly = (+) 335.80
25th Jly = (+) 328.30
1st Aug = (+) 370.80
8th Aug = (+) 274.97
15th Aug = (+) 264.13
22nd Aug = (+) 286.63
27th Aug = (+) 236.63


Links to previous Posts:

2012:


To see more EYE-BALL ‘Rookie Bookie’ posts:

click here …


Title:
– Weekend Preview – 31st-2nd Sep –
| Author: Rookie Bookie |31st Aug 2012 |
To assist with navigating this page, please use the INDEX links below to go to Admin and Code Summaries:


Last Weekend Bet Results:

  • ½ unit on Fremantle v North Melb in AFL @ $3.00 win 1.5
  • 1 unit on Wallabies v All Blacks in Rugby @$7.00 lost
  • 1 unit on Titans v Panthers in NRL @ $1.57 lost
  • ½ unit on Broncos v Manly in NRL @ $2.85 lost

AFL Round 20

  • Geelong v St Kilda Cats 8 Saints 4.5
  • Essendon v Carlton Essendon 3.5 Blues 7
  • Fremantle v Richmond Freo 7 Tiges 5
  • Collingwood v North Pies 5.5 Roos 8.5
  • Brisbane v Adelaide Lions 7.5 Crows 3

NRL Round 23

  • Broncos v Storm Broncos 7 Storm 7.25
  • Bulldogs v Tigers Bulldogs 7.25 Wests 7
  • Raiders v Chooks Raiders 5.5
  • Sharks v Rabbitohs Sharks 6.5 Souths 4
  • Titans v Eels Titans 6
  • Sea Eagles v Knights Manly 8 Newcastle 4
  • Saints v Cowboys NQ 6

Return to Top …


The Rugby Championship:

0 interest is now a dead series, not much more than academic or trials.

Return to Top …


AFL – Round 23: (Underlined = Forecasted Winner)

  • Hawthorn v West Coast estimate market $1.80/$2.25 Actual $1.25/$4.15
  • Geelong v Swans estimate market $1.98/$2.02 Actual $1.65/$2.25
  • Crows v Suns estimate market $1.05/$20.00 Actual $1.01/$17.00
  • GWS v North estimate market $20.00/$1.05 Actual $17.00/$1.01
  • Bombers v Pies estimate market $2.50/$1.67 Actual $4.60/$1.20
  • Freo v Melbourne Dees estimate market $1.25/$5.00 Actual $1.03/$12.00
  • Blues v Saints estimate market $1.90/$2.11 Actual $2.00/$1.80
  • Tigers v Port estimate market $1.50/$3.00 Actual $1.10/$7.00
  • Brisbane v Footscray estimate market $2.00/$2.00 Actual $1.20/$4.60

The Weekends Forecast:

  • Best Bet: Blues
  • Value: West Coast, Sydney
  • At the Margin: NA

GrandFinal Betting:

In essence Hawthorn far too short.

Top Four Betting

  • Collingwood $1.45
  • West Coast $2.65
  • Geelong $101.

Betting on the Minor Premiership

  • Adelaide $6.50
  • Sydney $7.50
  • Hawthorn $1.24
  • Collingwood $51.00

Return to Top …


AFL -The Race for the Flag:

Sydney Swans

  • Won 16 from 20, losses to Crows R6 14.10.94 – 15.9.99, Richmond R7 8.14.62 – 13.13.91, St Kilda R9 12.11.83 – 16.15.111, Collingwood 9.16.70 – 12.6.78,
  • Last 5 WWWLW 1st Quarter won 14, 2nd 14, 3rd 16, 4th 10.
  • Prediction 17 from 22 Equal 1st, 1st on %. Last Game – Geelong (a).

Hawthorn

  • Won 15 from 20, losses to Geelong R2 13.12.90 – 14.9.92, West Coast R4 5.16.46 – 5.21.51, Sydney R5 10.9.69 – 16.10.106, Richmond R9 10.15.75 – 21.11.137, Geelong R19 17.14.116 – 18.10.118.
  • Last 5 WWWLW 1st Quarter won 12, 2nd 19, 3rd 10, 4th 13.
  • Prediction 17 from 22 Equal 1st, 2nd on % Last Game – West Coast (h).

Adelaide

  • Won 15 from 20, losses to Hawthorn R3 12.12 84 – 21.14.140, Collingwood R9 6.13.49 – 10.15.75, North R13 13.11.89 – 17.19.121, Geelong R18 11.9.75 – 15.12.102, Brisbane Lions R21 12.13.85 – 13.17. 95,
  • Last 5 WLWWL 1st Quarter won 13, 2nd 10, 3rd 14, 4th 12.
  • Prediction 17 from 22Equal 1st, 3rd on %. Last Game – Gold Coast (h).

Collingwood

  • Won 15 from 20, losses to Hawthorn R1 16.19.115 – 20.17.137, Carlton R3 9.8.62 – 18.14.122, Carlton R15 8.14.62 – 12.13.85, Hawks R17 13.13.91 – 21.12.138, North R21
  • Last 5 LWWWL 1st Quarter won 14, 2nd 12, 3rd 10, 4th 9.
  • Prediction 17 from 22 Equal 1st, 4th on %. Last Game – Essendon (a).

West Coast Eagles

  • Won 14 from 20, losses to Essendon R7 7.10.52 – 16.17.113, Brisbane Lions R10 15.10.100 – 16.6.102, Collingwood R13 12.10.82 – 12.13.85, Sydney R15 10.9.69 – 18.13.121, Crows R18 11.9.75 – 19.19.124, Fremantle R19 6.14.48 – 17.11.113.
  • Last 5 LWLWW 1st Quarter won 11, 2nd 14, 3rd 11, 4th 14.
  • Prediction 15 from 22 Equal 5th, 5th on % Last Game – Hawks (a).

North

  • Won 13 from 20, losses to Essendon R1 15.12.102 – 14.20.104, Sydney R4 10.17.77 – 17.11.113, West Coast R6 15.5.95 – 17.18.120, Western Bulldogs R7 12.11.83 – 15.11.101, Port R8 14.9.93 – 14.11.95, Hawthorn R10 9.5.59 – 27.12.174, West Coast R15 13.6.84 – 12.14.86,
  • Last 5 WWWWW 1st Quarter won 14, 2nd 13, 3rd 12, 4th 10.
  • Prediction 15 from 22 Equal 5th, 6th on % Last Game – Giants (h).

Geelong

  • Won 13 from 20, losses to Fremantle 15.11.101 – 16.9.105, North R3 16.18.114 – 20.11.131, Crows R7 10.12.72 – 19.18.122, Collingwood R8 11.18.84 – 14.12.96, Sydney R13 11.8.74 – 12.8.80, Collingwood R15 10.19.79 – 17.8.110, West Coast
  • Last 5 WWWLW 1st Quarter won 11, 2nd 11, 3rd 9, 4th 14.
  • Prediction 15 from 22 Equal 5th, 7th on % Last Game – Sydney (h).

Fremantle –

  • Won 12 from 20, losses to Sydney R2 12.9.81 – 14.10.94, Carlton R5 7.15.57 – 10.5.65, Hawthorn R8 9.9.63 – 17.17. 119, West Coast R9 5.6.36 – 11.18.84, Crows 12.10.82 – 17.9.111, Bombers R13 14.5.89 – 17.11.113, Magpies R14 12.6.78 – 15.17.107 Crows R20 14.7.91 – 17.17.119,
  • Last 5 WWWLW 1st Quarter won 8, 2nd 10, 3rd 14, 4th 13.
  • Prediction 13 from 22 Equal 8th, 8th on % Last Game – Melbourne (h).

Return to Index …


NRL Round 25: (Underlined = Forecasted Winner)

  • Newcastle (+4.5) v Souths – estimate market $2.42/$1.70 Actual $2.45/$1.57
  • Broncos v Panthers  (+12.5) – estimate market $1.60 /$2.67 Actual $1.18/$5.00
  • Titans (+11.5) v Manly – estimate market $4.00/$1.33 Actual $5.00/$1.18
  • Tigers (+2.5) v Storm – estimate market $3.00/$1.50 Actual $2.25/$1.65
  • Bulldogs v Roosters (+16.5) estimate market $1.33/$4.00 Actual $1.18/$2.40
  • Sharks v Cowboys  (+1.5) estimate market $2.50/$1.67 Actual $1.60/$1.57
  • Warriors (+6.5) v Raiders estimate market $3.00/$1.50 Actual $2.50/$1.55
  • Eels (+2.5) v Saints estimate market $2.20/$1.83 Actual $2.00/$1.85

The Weekends Forecast:

  • Best Bet: Cowboys
  • Value: Nothing special
  • At the Margin: Nothing special

Grand Final Winner:

  • Manly Sea Eagles Tab Price $3.25
  • Melbourne Storm Tab Price $4.00
  • Canterbury Bulldogs Tab Price $4.50
  • South Sydney Rabbitohs Tab Price $6.00
  • North Qld Tab Price $9.00
  • Cronulla Sharks Tab Price $26
  • Brisbane Broncos Tab Price $34
  • Canberra Raiders Tab Price $34
  • Wests Tigers Tab Price $67

Top Four Market;

  • Manly Sea Eagles $1.06
  • Souths Sydney Rabbitohs $1.12
  • North Qld Cowboys $3.50

Return to Top …


The Money End of the Season

Bulldogs

  • Won 17 from 22, losses to Knights R4 6 – 20, Souths R6 10 – 20, Storm R7 6 –12, Manly R8 10 – 12, Titans R10 14 – 25,
  • Their Sequence WWWLWLLLWLWWWbWWbWWWWWW
  • Prediction 19 wins
  • Last Game Roosters (h).

Storm

  • Won 15 from 22, losses to Cronulla R10 10 –12, Wests R14 6 – 10, Bulldogs R16 4 – 20, Raiders R18 12 – 40, Cowboys R19 16 – 20, Eels R20 10 – 16, Saints R21 18 – 26,
  • Sequence WWWWWWWWWLbWWLWLbLLLLWWW
  • Prediction 16 wins
  • Last Game Tigers (a).

 Souths

  • Won 14 from 22, losses to Roosters R1 20 – 24, Storm R2 10 – 24, Broncos R4 12 – 20, Warriors R7 22 – 44, Bulldogs R13 18 – 23, Broncos R16 12 – 26, Manly R23 6 – 23, Sharks R4 7 – 20,
  • Sequence LLWLWWLWWbWWLbWLWWWWWWLL
  • Prediction 16 wins
  • Last Game Knights (a).

Manly

  • Won 14 from 22, losses to Cronulla R3 14 – 17 Saints R4 6 – 17, Eels R5 20 – 29, Titans R7 14 – 26, Penrith R12 4 – 22, Storm R15 22 – 26, Knights R19 6 – 34, R20 Bulldogs 12 – 20,
  • Sequence WWLLLWLWWWWLWbLWbWLLWWWW
  • Prediction 15 wins
  • Last Game Titans (a).

Cowboys

  • Won 13 from 22, losses to Titans Round 1 0 – 18, Sharks R4 14 – 20, Storm R6 18 –42, Souths R8 16 – 20, Wests R12 18 – 26, Titans R13 12 – 28, Warriors R17 18 – 35, Bulldogs R21 18 – 32, Manly R22 6 -8,
  • Sequence LWWLWLWLWWWLLbWWLbWWLLW
  • Prediction 14 wins
  • Last Game Sharks (a).

Sharks

  • Won 12 from 22 & a Draw, losses to Wests R1 16 – 17, Knights R2 6 – 18, Souths R9 28 – 34, Bulldogs R11, 6 – 26, Eels R13 20 – 29, Draw Easts R18, Saints R19 10 – 18, Raiders R20 4 – 36, Panthers R21 20 -21, Knights R23 4 – 26,
  • Sequence LLWWWWWWLWLbLWbWWDLLLWL
  • Prediction 13.5 wins
  • Last Game Cowboys (h).

Broncos

  • Won 11 from 22, losses to Cowboys R2 26 – 28 Warriors R9 20 – 30, Manly R10 22 – 24, Storm R12 10 – 34, Cowboys R15 0 – 12, Sharks R17 12 – 26, Titans R20 10 – 14, R22  Bulldogs R23 14 – 26, Storm R24 18 – 19,
  • Sequence WLWWWWWWLLbLWWLWLbWLWLL
  • Prediction 12 wins
  • Last Game Panthers (h).

Tigers

  • Won 11 from 22, losses to Manly R2 18 –22, Saints R3 12 – 36, Raiders R4 16 – 30, Souths R5 16 – 17, Broncos R6 14 – 18, Roosters R15 28 – 42, Knights R16 20 – 38, Bulldogs R18 20 – 32, Cowboys R20 16 – 29, Souths R21 6 32, Bulldogs R24 22 – 23,
  • Sequence WLLLLLWWWWbWWWLLbLWLLWW
  • Prediction 12 wins
  • Last Game Storm (h).

Raiders

  • Won 11 from 22, losses to Storm R1 19 – 24, Roosters R3 8 – 14, Cowboys R5 6 – 22, Broncos R7 6 – 30, Sharks R8 22 – 44, Manly R9 12 – 18, Souths R12 18 – 36, Tigers R13 0 – 40, Cowboys R16 18 – 40, Titans R19 26 – 38, R21 Knights 6 – 36,
  • Sequence LWLWLWLLLWbLLWbLWWLWLWW
  • Prediction 12 wins
  • Last Game Warriors (a).

Titans

  • Won 10 from 22, losses to Raiders R2 12 –24, Storm R3 6 – 30, Warriors R4 6 – 26, Bulldogs R5 20 – 30, Roosters R6 12 – 18, Broncos R8 8 – 26, Tigers R9 14 – 15, Sharks R14 12 – 22, Saints R16 6 – 8, Warriors R18 14 – 32, R22, Souths 18 – 22, R23 Storm 18 – 26,
  • Sequence WLLLLLWLLWbWWLWLbLWWWLL
  • Prediction 11 wins
  • Last Game Manly (h).

Knights

  • Won 10 from 22, losses to Saints R1 14 –15, Broncos R3 10 – 24, Storm R5 22 – 34, Saints R7 4 – 12, Roosters R9 6 – 24, Cowboys R10 12 – 32, Titans R12 14 – 24, Broncos R13 24 – 50, Raiders R14 16 – 32, Souths R18 18 – 34, R22 Bulldogs 10 – 26,
  • Sequence LWLWLWLWLLbLLLbWWLWWWLW
  • Prediction 10 wins
  • Last Game South (h).

After Round 24 Finals Prediction:

Therefore in week 1

  • Dogs play Manly at ANZ,
  • Storm v Rabbitohs at Melbourne,
  • Cowboys v Tigers at Dairy Farmers,
  • Sharks v Broncos at Shark Park.

After Round 23 Finals Prediction:

Therefore in week 1

  • Dogs play Manly at ANZ,
  • Souths v Storm at ANZ,
  • Cowboys v Knights at Dairy Farmers,
  • Broncos v Tigers at Suncorp.

Return to Top …


Betting Summary:

  • 1 unit Canterbury Bulldogs to win 2012 NRL premiership @ $5.00. Matures 30/9/12
  • 1 unit Brisbane Broncos to win 2012 NRL premiership @ $8.00. Matures 30/9/12
  • ½ unit on Cowboys to win NRL Premiership @ $13.00
  • 1 unit Adelaide Crows to win the AFL Minor Premiership @ $4.50. Matures 2/9/12
  • 1 unit on Titans to finish in NRL top 8 @ $3.50 (already written off 13/8/12)

This Weekend:

  • 1 unit on Cowboys in NRL v Cronulla @$2.20
  • I unit on Blues in AFL v St Kilda @ $2
  • 1 unit on West Coast in AFL v Hawthorn @ $4.15

Return to Top …


EYE-BALL’s Rookie-Bookie …

 

EYE-BALL’s Rookie Bookie on – Weekend Preview – 24th – 27th Aug –

The-EYE-BALL-Opinion-Header-2

Latest ‘Rookie Bookie Updates:


GI Index Performance:

Value of INDEX:

30th Mar = (+) 0
04th Apr = (+) 216.67
11th Apr = (+) 393.67
18th Apr = (+) 293.67
25th Apr = (+) 293.67 – no activity last week …
2nd May = (+) 290.00
9th May = (+) 340
16th May = (+) 433.3
23rd May = (+) 517.2
30th May = (+) 492.2
6th Jun = (+) 467.3
13th Jun = (+) 497.3
20th Jun = (+) 463.7
27th Jun = (+) 363.7
4th Jly = (+) 363.7
11th Jly = (+) 352.47
18th Jly = (+) 335.80
25th Jly = (+) 328.30
1st Aug = (+) 370.80
8th Aug = (+) 274.97
15th Aug = (+) 264.13
22nd Aug = (+) 286.63


Links to previous Posts:

2012:


To see more EYE-BALL ‘Rookie Bookie’ posts:

click here …


Title:
– Weekend Preview – 24th – 27th Aug –
| Author: Rookie Bookie |23rd Aug 2012 |
To assist with navigating this page, please use the INDEX links below to go to Admin and Code Summaries:


Last Weekend Bet Results:

  • 1 unit on Cowboys (NRL )over Saints @ $1.55 collect 1.55, plus
  • ½ unit on North Melbourne (AFL) @ $3.25 collect 1.625 total 3.175,
  • ½ unit on Newcastle to defeat Manly (again) @ $3.00, lost and
  • ½ unit on Essendon (AFL) @ $2.15, lost;

Therefore 3.175 less stake 2.5 represents 22.5 positive index points. My wager on Adelaide Crows to win minor premiership is highly likely worthless given their shock loss to Brisbane Lions.

AFL Round 20

  • Geelong v St Kilda Cats 8 Saints 4.5
  • Essendon v Carlton Essendon 3.5 Blues 7
  • Fremantle v Richmond Freo 7 Tiges 5
  • Collingwood v North Pies 5.5 Roos 8.5
  • Brisbane v Adelaide Lions 7.5 Crows 3

NRL Round 23

  • Broncos v Storm Broncos 7 Storm 7.25
  • Bulldogs v Tigers Bulldogs 7.25 Wests 7
  • Raiders v Chooks Raiders 5.5
  • Sharks v Rabbitohs Sharks 6.5 Souths 4
  • Titans v Eels Titans 6
  • Sea Eagles v Knights Manly 8 Newcastle 4
  • Saints v Cowboys NQ 6

Return to Top …


The Rugby Championship:

  • My assessment is NZ $1.12, Australia $10.00, SA $6.00, Argentina $101.
  • Tab Sportsbet is NZ $1.16 Australia $13.00, SA $5.50, Argentina $201.

Round 2

  • New Zealand v Australia (+15.5) My estimate $3.50/$1.40 Actual $1.09/$7.00
  • Argentina (+8.5) v South Africa My estimate $11.00/$1.10 Actual $4.00/$1.22

Return to Top …


AFL – Round 22: (Underlined = Forecasted Winner)

  • Richmond v Essendon estimate market $1.80/$2.25 Actual $1.65/$2.25
  • St Kilda v GWS estimate market $1.10/$11.00 Actual $1.01/$17.00
  • Port v Lions estimate market $2.50/$1.67 Actual $2.15/$1.70
  • Hawks v Swans estimate market $1.80/$2.25 Actual $1.80/$2.05
  • Weagles v Pies estimate market $2.12/$1.90 Actual $1.80/$2.05
  • Suns  v Blues estimate market $8.00/$1.14 Actual $14.00/$1.02
  • Geelong v Footscray estimate market $21/$1.05 Actual $17.00/$1.01
  • North v Freo estimate market $1.67/$2.50 Actual $1.40/$3.00
  • Demons  v Crows estimate market $100.00/$1.01 Actual $6.75/$1.11

The Weekends Forecast:

  • Best Bet: Hawthorn
  • Value: Fremantle, Collingwood
  • At the Margin: TBA

Auto Regressive Odds Appraisal: (likely grand final appearance – grand final win, a dynamic momentum approach)

  • Hawthorn Hawks 88% ($5.46) Tab Price $2.50
  • Sydney Swans 85% (odds required $5.71) Tab Price $5.00
  • Collingwood Magpies 85% ($5.65) Tab Price $5.00
  • Adelaide Crows 78% (odds required $6.15) Tab Price $8.00
  • Geelong Cats 63% ($7.67) Tab Price $8.00
  • West Coast Eagles 67% ($7.16) Tab Price $15.00
  • North Melbourne Kangaroos 45% ($10.69) Tab Price $21.00
  • Fremantle Dockers 40% ($11.89) Tab Price $101.00

Top Four Betting

  • Hawthorn $1.05,
  • Collingwood $1.20,
  • West Coast $4.25,
  • North $34,
  • Geelong $51.

Final 8 Betting

  • Fremantle $1.55
  • Carlton $2.35

Betting on the Minor Premiership

  • Adelaide $9.00
  • Sydney $1.80
  • Hawthorn $2.20
  • Collingwood $51.00

Wooden Spoon

  • Western Sydney Giants $1.02
  • Gold Coast Suns $11.00.

Return to Top …


AFL -The Race for the Flag:

Sydney Swans

  • Won 16 from 20, losses to Crows R6 14.10.94 – 15.9.99, Richmond R7 8.14.62 – 13.13.91, St Kilda R9 12.11.83 – 16.15.111, Collingwood 9.16.70 – 12.6.78,
  • Last 5 WWWLW 1st Quarter won 14, 2nd 14, 3rd 16, 4th 10.
  • Prediction 17 from 22 Equal 1st, 1st on %. Last Game – Geelong (a).

Hawthorn

  • Won 15 from 20, losses to Geelong R2 13.12.90 – 14.9.92, West Coast R4 5.16.46 – 5.21.51, Sydney R5 10.9.69 – 16.10.106, Richmond R9 10.15.75 – 21.11.137, Geelong R19 17.14.116 – 18.10.118.
  • Last 5 WWWLW 1st Quarter won 12, 2nd 19, 3rd 10, 4th 13.
  • Prediction 17 from 22 Equal 1st, 2nd on % Last Game – West Coast (h).

Adelaide

  • Won 15 from 20, losses to Hawthorn R3 12.12 84 – 21.14.140, Collingwood R9 6.13.49 – 10.15.75, North R13 13.11.89 – 17.19.121, Geelong R18 11.9.75 – 15.12.102, Brisbane Lions R21 12.13.85 – 13.17. 95,
  • Last 5 WLWWL 1st Quarter won 13, 2nd 10, 3rd 14, 4th 12.
  • Prediction 17 from 22Equal 1st, 3rd on %. Last Game – Gold Coast (h).

Collingwood

  • Won 15 from 20, losses to Hawthorn R1 16.19.115 – 20.17.137, Carlton R3 9.8.62 – 18.14.122, Carlton R15 8.14.62 – 12.13.85, Hawks R17 13.13.91 – 21.12.138, North R21
  • Last 5 LWWWL 1st Quarter won 14, 2nd 12, 3rd 10, 4th 9.
  • Prediction 17 from 22 Equal 1st, 4th on %. Last Game – Essendon (a).

West Coast Eagles

  • Won 14 from 20, losses to Essendon R7 7.10.52 – 16.17.113, Brisbane Lions R10 15.10.100 – 16.6.102, Collingwood R13 12.10.82 – 12.13.85, Sydney R15 10.9.69 – 18.13.121, Crows R18 11.9.75 – 19.19.124, Fremantle R19 6.14.48 – 17.11.113.
  • Last 5 LWLWW 1st Quarter won 11, 2nd 14, 3rd 11, 4th 14.
  • Prediction 15 from 22 Equal 5th, 5th on % Last Game – Hawks (a).

North

  • Won 13 from 20, losses to Essendon R1 15.12.102 – 14.20.104, Sydney R4 10.17.77 – 17.11.113, West Coast R6 15.5.95 – 17.18.120, Western Bulldogs R7 12.11.83 – 15.11.101, Port R8 14.9.93 – 14.11.95, Hawthorn R10 9.5.59 – 27.12.174, West Coast R15 13.6.84 – 12.14.86,
  • Last 5 WWWWW 1st Quarter won 14, 2nd 13, 3rd 12, 4th 10.
  • Prediction 15 from 22 Equal 5th, 6th on % Last Game – Giants (h).

Geelong

  • Won 13 from 20, losses to Fremantle 15.11.101 – 16.9.105, North R3 16.18.114 – 20.11.131, Crows R7 10.12.72 – 19.18.122, Collingwood R8 11.18.84 – 14.12.96, Sydney R13 11.8.74 – 12.8.80, Collingwood R15 10.19.79 – 17.8.110, West Coast
  • Last 5 WWWLW 1st Quarter won 11, 2nd 11, 3rd 9, 4th 14.
  • Prediction 15 from 22 Equal 5th, 7th on % Last Game – Sydney (h).

Fremantle –

  • Won 12 from 20, losses to Sydney R2 12.9.81 – 14.10.94, Carlton R5 7.15.57 – 10.5.65, Hawthorn R8 9.9.63 – 17.17. 119, West Coast R9 5.6.36 – 11.18.84, Crows 12.10.82 – 17.9.111, Bombers R13 14.5.89 – 17.11.113, Magpies R14 12.6.78 – 15.17.107 Crows R20 14.7.91 – 17.17.119,
  • Last 5 WWWLW 1st Quarter won 8, 2nd 10, 3rd 14, 4th 13.
  • Prediction 13 from 22 Equal 8th, 8th on % Last Game – Melbourne (h).

Return to Index …


NRL Round 25: (Underlined = Forecasted Winner)

  • Manly v Broncos (+6.5) – estimate market $1.75/$2.33 Actual $1.45/$2.85
  • Raiders (+6.5) v Dogs  – estimate market $4.00 /$1.33 Actual $2.85/$1.45
  • Panthers (+3.5) v Titans – estimate market $4.00/$1.33 Actual $2.45/$1.57
  • Dragons v Warriors (+4.5) – estimate market $1.50/$3.00 Actual $1.55/$2.50
  • Cowboys v Knights (+7.5) estimate market $1.50/$3.00 Actual $1.33/$3.40
  • Chooks (+4.5) v Tigers estimate market $2.50/$1.67 Actual $2.45/$1.57
  • Rabbitohs v Eels (+15.5) estimate market $1.67/$2.50 Actual $1.17/$5.25
  • Storm v Sharks (+7.5) estimate market $1.50/$3.00 Actual $1.38/$3.10

The Weekends Forecast:

  • Best Bet: Titans
  • Value: Broncos, Eels, Sharks
  • At the Margin: Sharks

Auto Regressive Odds Appraisal: (likely grand final appearance – grand final win, a dynamic appraisal)

  • Manly Sea Eagles 79% ($6.09) Tab Price $3.25
  • Canterbury Bulldogs 87% (odds required $5.42) Tab Price $3.75
  • Melbourne Storm 77% (odds required $6.26) Tab Price $4.25
  • South Sydney Rabbitohs 59% ($8.21) Tab Price $8.00
  • North Qld 58% ($8.24) Tab Price $13.00
  • Wests Tigers 31% ($15.68) Tab Price $26
  • Brisbane Broncos 49% ($9.89) Tab Price $26
  • Cronulla Sharks 37% ($20.2) Tab Price $21
  • Newcastle Knights 1% ($500) Tab Price $151
  • Canberra Raiders 1% ($500) Tab Price $67
  • Gold Coast Titans 1% ($500) Tab Price $101

Top Four Market;

  • Canterbury Bulldogs Not Quoted
  • Melbourne Storm Not Quoted
  • Souths Sydney Rabbitohs $1.12
  • Manly Sea Eagles $1.16
  • North Qld Cowboys $2.75
  • Cronulla Sharks $41.00

Top Eight Market;

  • Brisbane Broncos $1.20
  • Wests Tigers $1.33
  • Canberra Raiders $2.75
  • Gold Coast Titans $4.50
  • Newcastle Knights $11.00

Wooden Spoon (most regular season losses);

  • Parramatta Eels $1.28
  • Penrith Panthers $3.75

Return to Top …


The Money End of the Season

Bulldogs

  • Won 17 from 22, losses to Knights R4 6 – 20, Souths R6 10 – 20, Storm R7 6 –12, Manly R8 10 – 12, Titans R10 14 – 25,
  • Their Sequence WWWLWLLLWLWWWbWWbWWWWWW
  • Prediction 19 wins
  • Last Game Roosters (h).

Storm

  • Won 15 from 22, losses to Cronulla R10 10 –12, Wests R14 6 – 10, Bulldogs R16 4 – 20, Raiders R18 12 – 40, Cowboys R19 16 – 20, Eels R20 10 – 16, Saints R21 18 – 26,
  • Sequence WWWWWWWWWLbWWLWLbLLLLWWW
  • Prediction 16 wins
  • Last Game Tigers (a).

 Souths

  • Won 14 from 22, losses to Roosters R1 20 – 24, Storm R2 10 – 24, Broncos R4 12 – 20, Warriors R7 22 – 44, Bulldogs R13 18 – 23, Broncos R16 12 – 26, Manly R23 6 – 23, Sharks R4 7 – 20,
  • Sequence LLWLWWLWWbWWLbWLWWWWWWLL
  • Prediction 16 wins
  • Last Game Knights (a).

Manly

  • Won 14 from 22, losses to Cronulla R3 14 – 17 Saints R4 6 – 17, Eels R5 20 – 29, Titans R7 14 – 26, Penrith R12 4 – 22, Storm R15 22 – 26, Knights R19 6 – 34, R20 Bulldogs 12 – 20,
  • Sequence WWLLLWLWWWWLWbLWbWLLWWWW
  • Prediction 15 wins
  • Last Game Titans (a).

Cowboys

  • Won 13 from 22, losses to Titans Round 1 0 – 18, Sharks R4 14 – 20, Storm R6 18 –42, Souths R8 16 – 20, Wests R12 18 – 26, Titans R13 12 – 28, Warriors R17 18 – 35, Bulldogs R21 18 – 32, Manly R22 6 -8,
  • Sequence LWWLWLWLWWWLLbWWLbWWLLW
  • Prediction 14 wins
  • Last Game Sharks (a).

Sharks

  • Won 12 from 22 & a Draw, losses to Wests R1 16 – 17, Knights R2 6 – 18, Souths R9 28 – 34, Bulldogs R11, 6 – 26, Eels R13 20 – 29, Draw Easts R18, Saints R19 10 – 18, Raiders R20 4 – 36, Panthers R21 20 -21, Knights R23 4 – 26,
  • Sequence LLWWWWWWLWLbLWbWWDLLLWL
  • Prediction 13.5 wins
  • Last Game Cowboys (h).

Broncos

  • Won 11 from 22, losses to Cowboys R2 26 – 28 Warriors R9 20 – 30, Manly R10 22 – 24, Storm R12 10 – 34, Cowboys R15 0 – 12, Sharks R17 12 – 26, Titans R20 10 – 14, R22  Bulldogs R23 14 – 26, Storm R24 18 – 19,
  • Sequence WLWWWWWWLLbLWWLWLbWLWLL
  • Prediction 12 wins
  • Last Game Panthers (h).

Tigers

  • Won 11 from 22, losses to Manly R2 18 –22, Saints R3 12 – 36, Raiders R4 16 – 30, Souths R5 16 – 17, Broncos R6 14 – 18, Roosters R15 28 – 42, Knights R16 20 – 38, Bulldogs R18 20 – 32, Cowboys R20 16 – 29, Souths R21 6 32, Bulldogs R24 22 – 23,
  • Sequence WLLLLLWWWWbWWWLLbLWLLWW
  • Prediction 12 wins
  • Last Game Storm (h).

Raiders

  • Won 11 from 22, losses to Storm R1 19 – 24, Roosters R3 8 – 14, Cowboys R5 6 – 22, Broncos R7 6 – 30, Sharks R8 22 – 44, Manly R9 12 – 18, Souths R12 18 – 36, Tigers R13 0 – 40, Cowboys R16 18 – 40, Titans R19 26 – 38, R21 Knights 6 – 36,
  • Sequence LWLWLWLLLWbLLWbLWWLWLWW
  • Prediction 12 wins
  • Last Game Warriors (a).

Titans

  • Won 10 from 22, losses to Raiders R2 12 –24, Storm R3 6 – 30, Warriors R4 6 – 26, Bulldogs R5 20 – 30, Roosters R6 12 – 18, Broncos R8 8 – 26, Tigers R9 14 – 15, Sharks R14 12 – 22, Saints R16 6 – 8, Warriors R18 14 – 32, R22, Souths 18 – 22, R23 Storm 18 – 26,
  • Sequence WLLLLLWLLWbWWLWLbLWWWLL
  • Prediction 11 wins
  • Last Game Manly (h).

Knights

  • Won 10 from 22, losses to Saints R1 14 –15, Broncos R3 10 – 24, Storm R5 22 – 34, Saints R7 4 – 12, Roosters R9 6 – 24, Cowboys R10 12 – 32, Titans R12 14 – 24, Broncos R13 24 – 50, Raiders R14 16 – 32, Souths R18 18 – 34, R22 Bulldogs 10 – 26,
  • Sequence LWLWLWLWLLbLLLbWWLWWWLW
  • Prediction 10 wins
  • Last Game South (h).

After Round 24 Finals Prediction:

Therefore in week 1

  • Dogs play Manly at ANZ,
  • Storm v Rabbitohs at Melbourne,
  • Cowboys v Tigers at Dairy Farmers,
  • Sharks v Broncos at Shark Park.

After Round 23 Finals Prediction:

Therefore in week 1

  • Dogs play Manly at ANZ,
  • Souths v Storm at ANZ,
  • Cowboys v Knights at Dairy Farmers,
  • Broncos v Tigers at Suncorp.

Return to Top …


Betting Summary:

  • 1 unit Canterbury Bulldogs to win 2012 NRL premiership @ $5.00. Matures 30/9/12
  • 1 unit Brisbane Broncos to win 2012 NRL premiership @ $8.00. Matures 30/9/12
  • ½ unit on Cowboys to win NRL Premiership @ $13.00
  • 1 unit Adelaide Crows to win the AFL Minor Premiership @ $4.50. Matures 2/9/12
  • 1 unit on Titans to finish in NRL top 8 @ $3.50 (already written off 13/8/12)

This Weekend:

  • 1 unit on Wallabies v All Blacks in Rugby @$7.00
  • ½ unit on Fremantle v North Melb in AFL @ $3.00
  • 1 unit on Titans v Panthers in NRL @ $1.57
  • ½ unit on Broncos v Manly in NRL @ $2.85

Return to Top …


EYE-BALL’s Rookie-Bookie …

EYE-BALL’s Rookie Bookie on – Weekend Preview – 17th – 20th Aug –

August 17, 2012 Comments off

 

The-EYE-BALL-Opinion-Header-2

Latest ‘Rookie Bookie Updates:


GI Index Performance:

Value of INDEX:

30th Mar = (+) 0
04th Apr = (+) 216.67
11th Apr = (+) 393.67
18th Apr = (+) 293.67
25th Apr = (+) 293.67 – no activity last week …
2nd May = (+) 290.00
9th May = (+) 340
16th May = (+) 433.3
23rd May = (+) 517.2
30th May = (+) 492.2
6th Jun = (+) 467.3
13th Jun = (+) 497.3
20th Jun = (+) 463.7
27th Jun = (+) 363.7
4th Jly = (+) 363.7
11th Jly = (+) 352.47
18th Jly = (+) 335.80
25th Jly = (+) 328.30
1st Aug = (+) 370.80
8th Aug = (+) 274.97
15th Aug = (+)264.133


Links to previous Posts:

2012:


To see more EYE-BALL ‘Rookie Bookie’ posts:

click here …


Title:
– Weekend Preview – 17th – 20th Aug –
| Author: Rookie Bookie |17th Aug 2012 |
To assist with navigating this page, please use the INDEX links below to go to Admin and Code Summaries:


Last Weekend Bet Results:

  • 1 unit on Gold Coast Titans to finish in NRL top 8 written off,
  • 1 unit on Gold Coast Titans plus start of 8.5 v Storm @ $1.90 collect,
  • ½ unit on Raiders to defeat Panthers (NRL) @ $1.75 collect,
  • ½ unit on Geelong to defeat West Coast (AFL) @ $2.00, lost
  • ½ unit on GWS Giants to defeat Gold Coast Suns (AFL) @ $2.90, lost
  • ½ unit on GWS Giants with start of 17.5 @ $1.90, lost 1 unit on Collingwood with start 12.5 over Sydney Swans @ $1.90 collect.
  • For 5 units outlaid, collect 4.675, therefore index minus 10.83333

Post Match Review:

Each team is rated according to serious contention for final prospects. Example Broncos led 14 nil and were defeated 22 – 14 by Canterbury. In those circumstances, the Broncos were not shamed, given expectation. Their first 2 tries showed great entreprise. Doggies supporters would actually like to see their team lose one before semi finals. Canterbury despite their player issues showed good grit. Broncos defence was improved. Overall rating Dogs 8.5 out of 10, Broncos 6.5.

AFL Round 20

  • West Coast v GeelongWest Coast won 16.6.102 – 15.7.97, Geelong won 1st Quarter, West Coast won 2nd quarter, 3rd quarter and final quarter. West Coast 8 Geelong 4.5
  • Adelaide v Fremantle Adelaide 7 Fremantle 3.5
  • Swans v Collingwood Swans 8.5 Collingwood 9.5
  • Bombers v North North 7 Essendon 4.5

NRL Round 23

  • Souths v Manly Souths 4.5 Manly 8.5
  • Storm v Titans Storm 7 Titans 4.5
  • Tigers v Saints Tigers 5.5 Saints 2
  • Cowboys v Warriors Cowboys 7.5 Warriors 0
  • Panthers v Raiders Panthers 1.5 Raiders 2.5
  • Dogs v Broncos Canterbury 8.5 Brisbane 6.5
  • Knights v Sharks Newcastle 9 Cronulla 2.5

Explanation

This is further used in Dynamic Appraisal.

  • There were so many moments in individual matches over the recent weekend and overall run to semi finals. Glenn Stewart targeted John Sutton in the first 10 minutes, Sutton was not thereafter in the match, Manly won easily, made Souths look second rate. Souths momentum falters and Manly’s prowess overall improved relatively. Reflected in betting Manly now co favourites to win premiership.
  • Titans fought hard in 1st half to go to sleep early in the second half. Storm put on two classy tries, and Titans could not cope. Loss of Bailey and Harrison, is normal stuff. Deal with what comes! Tigers could spring a massive upset, but recent form is still pretty poor. Should have won by a mile if they are really serious. Cowboys just keep flying under the radar. Sure Warriors are washed up, but they can still cause an upset, who Panthers in R24, Saints in R25 or Raiders in R26, 11 wins now looks ridiculous.
  • Raiders may just continue to threaten but total waste of time.
  • Dogs very impressive, Broncos showed some grit, with a terror run still in front.

Return to Top …


The Rugby Championship:

  • My assessment is NZ $1.50, Australia $6.00, SA $6.00, Argentina $101.
  • Tab Sportsbet is NZ $1.45 Australia $4.75, SA $4.75, Argentina $101.

Round 1

  • Australia (+5.5) v New Zealand My estimate $2.50/$1.67 Actual $2.70/$1.45
  • South Africa v Argentina (14.5) My estimate $1.10/$11.00 Actual $1.10/$6.25

Return to Top …


AFL – Round 21: (Underlined = Forecasted Winner)

  • Geelong v St Kilda(+15.5) estimate market $1.60/$2.67 Actual $1.38/$3.05
  • Essendon (+5.5) v Carlton estimate market $1.50/$3.00 Actual $2.15/$1.70
  • Giants (+34.5) v Demons estimate market $2.50/$1.67 Actual $4.90/$1.18
  • Fremantle v Richmond (+15.5) estimate market $1.80/$2.25 Actual $1.43/$2.85
  • Collingwood v North (+12.5) estimate market $1.90/$2.12 Actual $1.33/$3.25
  • Brisbane (+30.5) v Adelaide estimate market $4.00/$1.33 Actual $4.00/$1.23
  • Port (+80.5) v West Coast estimate market $21/$1.05 Actual $5.00/$1.16
  • Western Bulldogs (+34.5) v Swans estimate market $7.67/$1.15 Actual $8.00/$1.08
  • Hawks v Suns (+34.5) estimate market $1.01/$100.00 Actual $1.01/$15.00

The Weekends Forecast:

  • Best Bet: Nothing possibly Adelaide, poor value, Hawthorn, Sydney and West Coast silly odds.
  • Value: Essendon, North Melbourne
  • At the Margin: Best probability of an upset North followed by Richmond.

Auto Regressive Odds Appraisal: (likely grand final appearance – grand final win, a dynamic momentum approach)

  • Sydney Swans 85% (odds required $6.10) Tab Price $5.00
  • Adelaide Crows 81% (odds required $6.92) Tab Price $7.00
  • Collingwood Magpies 87% ($5.96) Tab Price $4.00
  • Hawthorn Hawks 89% ($5.83) Tab Price $2.50
  • West Coast Eagles 67% ($7.74) Tab Price $15.00
  • Geelong Cats 62% ($8.37) Tab Price $13.00
  • North Melbourne Kangaroos 43% ($22.56) Tab Price $34.00
  • Fremantle Dockers 39% ($27.31) Tab Price $151.00
  • Essendon Bombers 24% ($43.25) Tab Price $251.00

Nota Bene:

Collingwood appeared in the Grand Final in 2006 from 5th position. No other team has made the Grand Final from 5th to 8th position. The make up of the top 4 is difficult to predict. This makes an analysis difficult. Hawthorn, Sydney and Adelaide do appear most likely. In NRL things are different slightly.

Top Four Betting

  • Sydney Not Quoted,
  • Adelaide Not Quoted,
  • Hawthorn $1.02,
  • Collingwood $1.05,
  • West Coast $8.00,
  • North $34,
  • Geelong $101.

Final 8 Betting

  • Sydney Not quoted
  • Hawthorn Not quoted
  • Adelaide Not quoted
  • Collingwood not quoted
  • West Coast $1.01
  • Geelong $1.05
  • North $1.04
  • Fremantle $1.85
  • Essendon $3.50

Betting on the Minor Premiership

  • Adelaide $1.85
  • Sydney $3.00
  • Hawthorn $6.50
  • Collingwood $9.00

Wooden Spoon

  • Western Sydney Giants $1.12
  • Gold Coast Suns $6.00.

Return to Top …


AFL -The Race for the Flag:

Sydney Swans

  • Won 15 from 19, losses to Crows R6 14.10.94 – 15.9.99, Richmond R7 8.14.62 – 13.13.91, St Kilda R9 12.11.83 – 16.15.111, Collingwood 9.16.70 – 12.6.78,
  • Sequence WWWWWLLWLWWbWWWWWWWL 1st Quarter won 14, 2nd 13, 3rd 15, 4th 9. Prediction 17 from 22 Equal 2nd, 2nd on %.
  • Their run home, – Hawks (h), Geelong (a).

Adelaide

  • Won 15 from 19, losses to Hawthorn R3 12.12 84 – 21.14.140, Collingwood R9 6.13.49 – 10.15.75, North R13 13.11.89 – 17.19.121, Geelong R18 11.9.75 – 15.12.102
  • Sequence WWLWWWWWLWbLWWWWWLWW 1st Quarter won 12, 2nd 10, 3rd 14, 4th 12. Prediction Minor Premiers.
  • Their run home, – Melbourne (a), Gold Coast (h).

Collingwood

  • Won 15 from 19, losses to Hawthorn R1 16.19.115 – 20.17.137, Carlton R3 9.8.62 – 18.14.122, Carlton R15 8.14.62 – 12.13.85, Hawks R17 13.13.91 – 21.12.138,
  • Sequence LWLWWWWWWWWbWWLWLWWW 1st Quarter won 14, 2nd 12, 3rd 10, 4th 9. Prediction 17 from 22 Equal 2nd, 4th on %.
  • Their run home, – West Coast (a), Essendon (a).

Hawthorn

  • Won 14 from 19, losses to Geelong R2 13.12.90 – 14.9.92, West Coast R4 5.16.46 – 5.21.51, Sydney R5 10.9.69 – 16.10.106, Richmond R9 10.15.75 – 21.11.137, Geelong R19 17.14.116 – 18.10.118.
  • Sequence WLWLLWWWLWWWbWWWWWL 1st Quarter won 11, 2nd 18, 3rd 10, 4th 12. Prediction 17 from 22 Equal 2nd, 3rd on %
  • Their run home, – Sydney (a), West Coast (h).

West Coast Eagles

  • Won 13 from 19, losses to Essendon R7 7.10.52 – 16.17.113, Brisbane Lions R10 15.10.100 – 16.6.102, Collingwood R13 12.10.82 – 12.13.85, Sydney R15 10.9.69 – 18.13.121, Crows R18 11.9.75 – 19.19.124, Fremantle R19 6.14.48 – 17.11.113.
  • Sequence WWWWWWLWWLbWLWWLLWLW 1st Quarter won 10, 2nd 13, 3rd 11, 4th 13. Prediction 14 from 22 Equal 5th, 5th on %
  • Their run home, – Port (a), Collingwood (h), Hawks (a).

Geelong

  • Won 12 from 19, losses to Fremantle 15.11.101 – 16.9.105, North R3 16.18.114 – 20.11.131, Crows R7 10.12.72 – 19.18.122, Collingwood R8 11.18.84 – 14.12.96, Sydney R13 11.8.74 – 12.8.80, Collingwood R15 10.19.79 – 17.8.110, West Coast
  • Sequence LWLWWWLLWWWbLWWLWWWWL 1st Quarter won 10, 2nd 10, 3rd 9, 4th 13. Prediction 14 from 22 Equal 5th, 7th on %
  • Their run home, – Bulldogs (h), Sydney (h).

North

  • Won 12 from 19, losses to Essendon R1 15.12.102 – 14.20.104, Sydney R4 10.17.77 – 17.11.113, West Coast R6 15.5.95 – 17.18.120, Western Bulldogs R7 12.11.83 – 15.11.101, Port R8 14.9.93 – 14.11.95, Hawthorn R10 9.5.59 – 27.12.174, West Coast R15 13.6.84 – 12.14.86,
  • Sequence LWWLWLLLWLbWWWLWWWW 1st Quarter won 13, 2nd 12, 3rd 11, 4th 9. Prediction 14 from 22 Equal 5th, 6th on %
  • Their run home, – Fremantle (h), Giants (h).

Essendon Bombers

  • Won 11 from 19, losses to Collingwood R5 11.13.79 – 11.14.80, Melbourne R10 6.16.52 – 8.10.58, Sydney R11 11.16.82 – 13.8.86, St Kilda R15 8.14.62 – 21.7.133, Geelong R18, 10.7.67 – 20.14.134, North R20 11.10.76 – 15.10.100
  • Sequence WWWWLWWWWLLbWWLWWLWL 1st Quarter won 8, 2nd 11, 3rd 8, 4th 10. Prediction 13 from 22, Equal 8th 9th on %.
  • Their run home, – Richmond (a), Collingwood (h).

Fremantle –

  • Won 11 from 19, losses to Sydney R2 12.9.81 – 14.10.94, Carlton R5 7.15.57 – 10.5.65, Hawthorn R8 9.9.63 – 17.17. 119, West Coast R9 5.6.36 – 11.18.84, Crows 12.10.82 – 17.9.111, Bombers R13 14.5.89 – 17.11.113, Magpies R14 12.6.78 – 15.17.107 Crows R20 14.7.91 – 17.17.119,
  • Sequence WLWWLWWLLLWbLLWWWWWL 1st Quarter won 7, 2nd 9, 3rd 13, 4th 12. Prediction 13 from 22 Equal 8th, 8th on %
  • Their run home; – North (a), Melbourne (h).

Return to Index …


NRL Round 24: (Underlined = Forecasted Winner)

  • Broncos (+4.5) v Storm – estimate market $2.42/$1.70 Actual $2.45/$1.57
  • Bulldogs v Tigers (+7.5) – estimate market $1.50 /$3.00 Actual $1.45/$2.85
  • Raiders v Chooks (+8.5) – estimate market $1.60/$2.67 Actual $1.45/$2.85
  • Sharks (+6.5) v Rabbitohs – estimate market $3.00/$1.50 Actual $2.75/$1.47
  • Titans v Eels (+6.5) estimate market $1.50/$3.00 Actual $1.47/$2.75
  • Warriors v Panthers (+8.5) estimate market $1.67/$2.50 Actual $1.25/$3.25
  • Sea Eagles v Knights (+8.5) estimate market $1.67/$2.50 Actual $1.40/$3.00
  • Saints (+4.5) v Cowboys estimate market $3.00/$1.50 Actual $2.50/$1.55

The Weekends Forecast:

  • Best Bet: Cowboys
  • Value: Knights
  • At the Margin: Knights

Auto Regressive Odds Appraisal: (likely grand final appearance – grand final win, a dynamic appraisal)

  • Canterbury Bulldogs 92% (odds required $5.10) Tab Price $3.75
  • Manly Sea Eagles 79% ($5.95) Tab Price $3.75
  • Melbourne Storm 76% (odds required $6.18) Tab Price $4.25
  • South Sydney Rabbitohs 65% ($7.23) Tab Price $6.00
  • North Qld 58% ($8.10) Tab Price $13.00
  • Wests Tigers 16% ($29) Tab Price $17
  • Brisbane Broncos 40% ($11.75) Tab Price $26
  • Cronulla Sharks 28% ($20.2) Tab Price $26
  • Newcastle Knights 31% ($19.35) Tab Price $51
  • Canberra Raiders 1% ($125) Tab Price $81
  • Gold Coast Titans <1% ($1000) Tab Price $151
  • St George Illawarra Dragons <0.1% ($1000) $251

Top Four Market;

  • Canterbury Bulldogs Not Quoted
  • Souths Sydney Rabbitohs Not Quoted
  • Melbourne Storm Not Quoted
  • Manly Sea Eagles $1.33
  • North Qld Cowboys $3.25
  • Cronulla Sharks $34.00
  • Brisbane Broncos $51.00
  • Wests Tigers $67.00

Top Eight Market;

  • Souths Sydney Rabbitohs Not Quoted
  • Melbourne Storm Not Quoted
  • Manly Sea Eagles Not Quoted
  • North Qld Cowboys Not Quoted
  • Cronulla Sharks $1.22 (to miss 8 $4.00)
  • Brisbane Broncos $1.18 (to miss 8 $4.50)
  • Wests Tigers $1.25 (to miss 8 $3.50)
  • Canberra Raiders $3.25 (to miss 8 $1.33)
  • Newcastle Knights $3.50 (to miss 8 $1.25)
  • Gold Coast Titans $8.00 (to miss 8 $1.05)
  • St George Illawarra Dragons $26.00 (to miss 8 Not Quoted)
  • New Zealand Warriors $34.00 (to miss 8 Not Quoted)

Wooden Spoon (most regular season losses);

  • Parramatta Eels Suspended
  • Penrith Panthers Suspended

Return to Top …


The Money End of the Season

Bulldogs

  • Won 16 from 21, losses to Knights R4 6 – 20, Souths R6 10 – 20, Storm R7 6 –12, Manly R8 10 – 12, Titans R10 14 – 25,
  • Their Sequence WWWLWLLLWLWWWbWWbWWWWW Prediction 18 wins
  • Their run home, – Raiders (a), Roosters (h).

Storm

  • Won 14 from 21, losses to Cronulla R10 10 –12, Wests R14 6 – 10, Bulldogs R16 4 – 20, Raiders R18 12 – 40, Cowboys R19 16 – 20, Eels R20 10 – 16, Saints R21 18 – 26,
  • Their Sequence WWWWWWWWWLbWWLWLbLLLLWW Prediction 15 wins
  • Their run home, – Sharks (h), Tigers (a).

Souths

  • Won 14 from 21, losses to Roosters R1 20 – 24, Storm R2 10 – 24, Broncos R4 12 – 20, Warriors R7 22 – 44, Bulldogs R13 18 – 23, Broncos R16 12 – 26, Manly R23 6 – 23,
  • Sequence LLWLWWLWWbWWLbWLWWWWWWL Prediction 16 wins
  • Their run home, – Eels (h), Knights (a).

Manly

  • Won 13 from 21, losses to Cronulla R3 14 – 17 Saints R4 6 – 17, Eels R5 20 – 29, Titans R7 14 – 26, Penrith R12 4 – 22, Storm R15 22 – 26, Knights R19 6 – 34, R20 Bulldogs 12 – 20,
  • Their Sequence WWLLLWLWWWWLWbLWbWLLWWW Prediction 15 wins
  • Their run home, – Broncos (h), Titans (a).

Cowboys

  • Won 12 from 21, losses to Titans Round 1 0 – 18, Sharks R4 14 – 20, Storm R6 18 –42, Souths R8 16 – 20, Wests R12 18 – 26, Titans R13 12 – 28, Warriors R17 18 – 35, Bulldogs R21 18 – 32, Manly R22 6 -8,
  • Their Sequence LWWLWLWLWWWLLbWWLbWWLLW Prediction 14 wins
  • Their run home, – Knights (h), Sharks (a).

Broncos

  • Won 11 from 21, losses to Cowboys R2 26 – 28 Warriors R9 20 – 30, Manly R10 22 – 24, Storm R12 10 – 34, Cowboys R15 0 – 12, Sharks R17 12 – 26, Titans R20 10 – 14, R22  Bulldogs R23 14 – 26,
  • Their Sequence WLWWWWWWLLbLWWLWLbWLWLL Prediction 12 wins
  • Their run home, – Manly (a), Panthers (h).

Sharks

  • Won 11 from 21 & a Draw, losses to Wests R1 16 – 17, Knights R2 6 – 18, Souths R9 28 – 34, Bulldogs R11, 6 – 26, Eels R13 20 – 29, Draw Easts R18, Saints R19 10 – 18, Raiders R20 4 – 36, Panthers R21 20 -21, Knights R23 4 – 26,
  • Their Sequence LLWWWWWWLWLbLWbWWDLLLWL Prediction 11.5 wins
  • Their run home, – Storm (a), Cowboys (h).

Tigers

  • Won 11 from 21, losses to Manly R2 18 –22, Saints R3 12 – 36, Raiders R4 16 – 30, Souths R5 16 – 17, Broncos R6 14 – 18, Roosters R15 28 – 42, Knights R16 20 – 38, Bulldogs R18 20 – 32, Cowboys R20 16 – 29, Souths R21 6 32,
  • Their Sequence WLLLLLWWWWbWWWLLbLWLLWW Prediction 12 wins
  • Their run home, – Roosters (a), Storm (h).

Knights

  • Won 10 from 21, losses to Saints R1 14 –15, Broncos R3 10 – 24, Storm R5 22 – 34, Saints R7 4 – 12, Roosters R9 6 – 24, Cowboys R10 12 – 32, Titans R12 14 – 24, Broncos R13 24 – 50, Raiders R14 16 – 32, Souths R18 18 – 34, R22 Bulldogs 10 – 26,
  • Their Sequence LWLWLWLWLLbLLLbWWLWWWLW Prediction 12 wins
  • Their run home, – Cowboys (a), South (h).

Raiders

  • Won 10 from 21, losses to Storm R1 19 – 24, Roosters R3 8 – 14, Cowboys R5 6 – 22, Broncos R7 6 – 30, Sharks R8 22 – 44, Manly R9 12 – 18, Souths R12 18 – 36, Tigers R13 0 – 40, Cowboys R16 18 – 40, Titans R19 26 – 38, R21 Knights 6 – 36,
  • Their Sequence LWLWLWLLLWbLLWbLWWLWLWW Prediction 12 wins
  • Their run home, – Bulldogs (a), Warriors (a).

Titans

  • Won 9 from 21, losses to Raiders R2 12 –24, Storm R3 6 – 30, Warriors R4 6 – 26, Bulldogs R5 20 – 30, Roosters R6 12 – 18, Broncos R8 8 – 26, Tigers R9 14 – 15, Sharks R14 12 – 22, Saints R16 6 – 8, Warriors R18 14 – 32, R22, Souths 18 – 22, R23 Storm 18 – 26,
  • Their Sequence WLLLLLWLLWbWWLWLbLWWWLL Prediction 11 wins
  • Their run home, – Panthers (a), Manly (h).

Therefore in week 1 Dogs play Manly at ANZ, Souths v Storm at ANZ, Cowboys v Knights at Dairy Farmers, Broncos v Tigers at Suncorp.

Return to Top …


Betting Summary:

  • 1 unit Canterbury Bulldogs to win 2012 NRL premiership @ $5.00. Matures 30/9/12
  • 1 unit Brisbane Broncos to win 2012 NRL premiership @ $8.00. Matures 30/9/12
  • 1 unit Adelaide Crows to win the AFL Minor Premiership @ $4.50. Matures 2/9/121 1 unit on Titans to finish in NRL top 8 @ $3.50 (already written off 13/8/12)

This Weekend:

  • 1 unit on Cowboys (NRL)over Saints @ $1.55
  • ½ unit on Cowboys to win NRL Premiership @ $13.00
  • ½ unit on Newcastle to defeat Manly (again) @ $3.00
  • ½ unit on Essendon (AFL) @ $2.15
  • ½ unit on North Melbourne (AFL) @ $3.25

Return to Top …


EYE-BALL’s Rookie-Bookie …

EYE-BALL’s Rookie Bookie on – Weekend Preview – 10th – 13th Aug –

The-EYE-BALL-Opinion-Header-2

Latest ‘Rookie Bookie Updates:


GI Index Performance:

Value of INDEX:

30th Mar = (+) 0
04th Apr = (+) 216.67
11th Apr = (+) 393.67
18th Apr = (+) 293.67
25th Apr = (+) 293.67 – no activity last week …
2nd May = (+) 290.00
9th May = (+) 340
16th May = (+) 433.3
23rd May = (+) 517.2
30th May = (+) 492.2
6th Jun = (+) 467.3
13th Jun = (+) 497.3
20th Jun = (+) 463.7
27th Jun = (+) 363.7
4th Jly = (+) 363.7
11th Jly = (+) 352.47
18th Jly = (+) 335.80
25th Jly = (+) 328.30
1st Aug = (+) 370.80
8th Aug = (+) 274.97


Links to previous Posts:

2012:


To see more EYE-BALL ‘Rookie Bookie’ posts:

click here …


Title:
– Weekend Preview – 10th – 13th Aug –
| Author: Rookie Bookie |8th Aug 2012 |
To assist with navigating this page, please use the INDEX links below to go to Admin and Code Summaries:


Last Weekend Updates:

  • Collect on Geelong 2.625, lose on Panthers (NRL), Lose on parlay (West Coast AFL), Lose on Sharks (Super Rugby), 1 unit last week, ½ unit from May, lose on Olympic gold medal bet (2 units). Net loss 2.875 units.
  • In NRL Manly show they are not finished, Sharks and Storm recover some prowess, I am not yet convinced from Storm perspective or Tigers. Broncos really need a friend. Battle for 8th spot is definitely not over. Wooden Spoon is now between Panthers and Eels.
  • Super Rugby NZ’s Waikato Chiefs were awesome. I got knocked around. The overall strength of NZ in that light has really killed the Southern 4 Nations from my perspective. Even should Wallabies win on Saturday week at Sydney’s Olympic Park, I won’t get interested. Australia would need to give them an absolute pasting to re kindle interest.
  • AFL is really getting big but only for a few teams. Their draw is simply not a level playing field, and will have to addressed for future years. So much fun available this weekend, lop sided starts and prices. Only 2 matches I can’t see any interest in.
  • My Olympic Australia’s gold medal tally has come home on the back of a wet sail, a little to few, a little to late. At best we might finish with maybe 7, and placed about 9th on International standings.

Return to Top …


The Rugby Championship:

  • My assessment is NZ $1.50, Australia $6.00, SA $6.00, Argentina $101.
  • Tab Sportsbet is NZ $1.45 Australia $4.75, SA $4.75, Argentina $101.

Round 1

  • Australia v New Zealand My estimate $2.50/$1.67 Actual not available
  • South Africa v Argentina. My estimate $1.10/$11.00 Actual not available

Super Rugby Final

  • Chiefs v Sharks At Hamilton 5.35pm AEST 4/8/12
  • My estimate $1.95/$2.05 Actual $1.30/$3.30.
  • Further Unit invested at $3.30 on Sharks.

Return to Top …


AFL – Round 20: (Underlined = Forecasted Winner)

  • West Coast v Geelong (+2.5) estimate market $2.25/$1.80 Actual $1.80/$2.00
  • Saint Kilda v Melbourne (+48.5) estimate market $1.50/$3.00 Actual $1.06/$8.50
  • Adelaide v Fremantle (+18.5) estimate market $1.67/$2.50 Actual $1.40/$2.90
  • Gold Coast v Giants (+17.5) estimate market $2.25/$1.80 Actual $1.40/$2.90
  • Swans v Collingwood (+12.5) estimate market $2.00/$2.00 Actual $1.65/$2.20
  • Carlton v Lions (+30.5) estimate market $1.50/$3.00 Actual $1.20/$4.40
  • Hawks v Port (+80.5) estimate market $1.05/$21.00 Actual $1.01/$15.00
  • Richmond v West. Bulldogs (+34.5) estimate market $1.40/$3.50 Actual $1.16/$5.00
  • Bombers (+7.5) v North estimate market $2.00/$2.00 Actual $2.20/$1.65
  • Best Bet: Geelong,
  • Value: Collingwood, Giants, Essendon Bombers
  • At the Margin: Melbourne Demons, Giants

Top Four Betting:

  • Sydney Not Quoted,
  • Hawthorn $1.02,
  • Adelaide $1.01,
  • Collingwood $1.35,
  • West Coast $4.50,
  • Geelong $8.

Final 8 Betting:

  • Sydney Not quoted,
  • Hawthorn Not quoted,
  • Adelaide Not quoted,
  • Collingwood not quoted,
  • West Coast $1.05,
  • Geelong $1.10,
  • North $1.25,
  • Fremantle $1.65,
  • Essendon $2.00.

Grand Final Betting

  • Hawthorn $2.50,
  • Swans $4.00,
  • Collingwood, $5.50,
  • Adelaide $8,
  • Geelong $9,
  • West Coast $17,
  • North $34,
  • St Kilda,$51
  • Fremantle $67,
  • Essendon $101

Betting on the Minor Premiership:

  • Sydney $1.75,
  • Adelaide $4,
  • Hawthorn $5.00,
  • Collingwood $9.00.

Wooden Spoon:

  • Giants $1.40,
  • Suns $2.80.

Return to Top …


AFL -The Race for the Flag:

Sydney Swans:

  • Won 15 from 18, losses to Crows R6 14.10.94 – 15.9.99, Richmond R7 8.14.62 – 13.13.91, St Kilda R9 12.11.83 – 16.15.111,
  • Sequence WWWWWLLWLWWbWWWWWWW 1st Quarter won 14, 2nd 12, 3rd 14, 4th 9.
  • Their run home, – Bulldogs (a), Hawks (h), Geelong (a).

Adelaide

  • Won 14 from 18, losses to Hawthorn R3 12.12 84 – 21.14.140, Collingwood R9 6.13.49 – 10.15.75, North R13 13.11.89 – 17.19.121, Geelong R18 11.9.75 – 15.12.102
  • Sequence WWLWWWWWLWbLWWWWWLW 1st Quarter won 11, 2nd 10, 3rd 13, 4th 11.
  • Their run home, – Brisbane (a), Melbourne (a), Gold Coast (h).

Collingwood

  • Won 14 from 18, losses to Hawthorn R1 16.19.115 – 20.17.137, Carlton R3 9.8.62 – 18.14.122, Carlton R15 8.14.62 – 12.13.85, Hawks R17 13.13.91 – 21.12.138,
  • Sequence LWLWWWWWWWWbWWLWLWW 1st Quarter won 13, 2nd 12, 3rd 10, 4th 8.
  • Their run home, – North (h), West Coast (a), Essendon (a).

Hawthorn

  • Won 13 from 18, losses to Geelong R2 13.12.90 – 14.9.92, West Coast R4 5.16.46 – 5.21.51, Sydney R5 10.9.69 – 16.10.106, Richmond R9 10.15.75 – 21.11.137, Geelong R19 17.14.116 – 18.10.118.
  • Sequence WLWLLWWWLWWWbWWWWWL 1st Quarter won 11, 2nd 17, 3rd 10, 4th 11.
  • Their run home, – Gold Coast, (h), Sydney (a), West Coast (h).

West Coast Eagles

  • Won 12 from 18, losses to Essendon R7 7.10.52 – 16.17.113, Brisbane Lions R10 15.10.100 – 16.6.102, Collingwood R13 12.10.82 – 12.13.85, Sydney R15 10.9.69 – 18.13.121, Crows R18 11.9.75 – 19.19.124, Fremantle R19 6.14.48 – 17.11.113.
  • Sequence WWWWWWLWWLbWLWWLLWL 1st Quarter won 10, 2nd 12, 3rd 10, 4th 12.
  • Their run home, – Port (a), Collingwood (h), Hawks (a).

Geelong

  •   Won 12 from 18, losses to Fremantle 15.11.101 – 16.9.105, North R3 16.18.114 – 20.11.131, Crows R7 10.12.72 – 19.18.122, Collingwood R8 11.18.84 – 14.12.96, Sydney R13 11.8.74 – 12.8.80, Collingwood R15 10.19.79 – 17.8.110,
  • Sequence LWLWWWLLWWWbLWWLWWWW 1st Quarter won 9, 2nd 10, 3rd 9, 4th 13.
  • Their run home, – St Kilda (h), Bulldogs (h), Sydney (h).

North

  • Won 11 from 18, losses to Essendon R1 15.12.102 – 14.20.104, Sydney R4 10.17.77 – 17.11.113, West Coast R6 15.5.95 – 17.18.120, Western Bulldogs R7 12.11.83 – 15.11.101, Port R8 14.9.93 – 14.11.95, Hawthorn R10 9.5.59 – 27.12.174, West Coast R15 13.6.84 – 12.14.86,
  • Sequence LWWLWLLLWLbWWWLWWWW 1st Quarter won 12, 2nd 12, 3rd 10, 4th 8.
  • Their run home, – Collingwood (a), Fremantle (h), Giants (h).

Essendon Bombers

  • Won 11 from 18, losses to Collingwood R5 11.13.79 – 11.14.80, Melbourne R10 6.16.52 – 8.10.58, Sydney R11 11.16.82 – 13.8.86, St Kilda R15 8.14.62 – 21.7.133, Geelong R18, 10.7.67 – 20.14.134,
  • Sequence WWWWLWWWWLLbWWLWWL 1st Quarter won 8, 2nd 10, 3rd 8, 4th 10.
  • Their run home, – Carlton (h), Richmond (a), Collingwood (h).

Fremantle

  • Won 11 from 18, losses to Sydney R2 12.9.81 – 14.10.94, Carlton R5 7.15.57 – 10.5.65, Hawthorn R8 9.9.63 – 17.17. 119, West Coast R9 5.6.36 – 11.18.84, Crows 12.10.82 – 17.9.111, Bombers R13 14.5.89 – 17.11.113, Magpies R14 12.6.78 – 15.17.107.
  • Sequence WLWWLWWLLLWbLLWWW 1st Quarter won 7, 2nd 8, 3rd 13, 4th 12.

Return to Index …


NRL Round 23: (Underlined = Forecasted Winner)

  • Souths v Manly (+1.5) – estimate market $1.80/$2.25 Actual $1.80/$2.05
  • Storm v Titans (+8.5) – estimate market $1.80 /$2.25 Actual $1.38/$3.10
  • Eels (+1.5) v Chooks – estimate market $1.80/$2.25 Actual $2.05/$1.80
  • Tigers v Saints (+4.5) – estimate market $1.60/$2.67 Actual $1.55/$2.50
  • Cowboys v Warriors (+9.5) estimate market $1.50/$3.00 Actual $1.35/$3.25
  • Panthers (+2.5) v Raiders estimate market $2.50/$1.67 Actual $2.10/$1.75
  • Dogs v Broncos (+10.5) estimate market $1.40/$3.50 Actual $1.30/$3.60
  • Knights v Sharks (+1.5) estimate market $2.25/$1.80 Actual $1.80/$2.05

The Weekends Forecast:

  • Best Bet: Titans
  • Value: Raiders, Sharks
  • At the Margin: Titans

Top Four Market:

  • Canterbury Not Quoted,
  • Souths Not Quoted,
  • Melbourne Not Quoted,
  • Manly $1.55,
  • Cowboys $3.50,
  • Brisbane $15,
  • Cronulla $7.50.

Top Eight Market:

  • Canterbury Not Quoted,
  • Souths Not Quoted,
  • Melbourne Not Quoted,
  • Manly Not Quoted,
  • Cowboys $1.04,
  • Brisbane $1.07,
  • Cronulla $1.12,
  • Titans $3.50,
  • Wests $1.60,
  • Newcastle $5.50.

Wooden Spoon (most regular season losses):

  • Parramatta $1.33,
  • Penrith $3.25.

Grand Final Market:

  • Canterbury $3.75,
  • South Sydney $4.50,
  • Melbourne $4.50,
  • Manly $5.50,
  • Cowboys $15.00,
  • Brisbane $17,
  • Cronulla $21,
  • Titans $34,
  • Warriors $34.

Return to Top …


The Money End of the Season

Bulldogs

  • Won 14 from 19, losses to Knights R4 6 – 20, Souths R6 10 – 20, Storm R7 6 –12, Manly R8 10 – 12, Titans R10 14 – 25,
  • Their Sequence WWWLWLLLWLWWWbWWbWWW Prediction 18 wins
  • Their run home, – Broncos (h), Tigers (h), Raiders (a), Roosters (h).

Souths

  • Won 13 from 19, losses to Roosters R1 20 – 24, Storm R2 10 – 24, Broncos R4 12 – 20, Warriors R7 22 – 44, Bulldogs R13 18 – 23, Broncos R16 12 – 26,
  • Sequence LLWLWWLWWbWWLbWLWWWW Prediction 16 wins
  • Their run home, – Manly (h), Sharks (a), Eels (h), Knights (a).

Storm

  • Won 12 from 19, losses to Cronulla R10 10 –12, Wests R14 6 – 10, Bulldogs R16 4 – 20, Raiders R18 12 – 40, Cowboys R19 16 – 20, Eels R20 10 – 16, Saints R21 18 – 26,
  • Their Sequence WWWWWWWWWLbWWLWLbLLLL Prediction 14 wins
  • Their run home, – Titans (h), Broncos (a), Sharks (h), Tigers (a).

 Broncos

  • Won 12 from 18, losses to Cowboys R2 26 – 28 Warriors R9 20 – 30, Manly R10 22 – 24, Storm R12 10 – 34, Cowboys R15 0 – 12, Sharks R17 12 – 26, Titans R20 10 – 14,
  • Their Sequence WLWWWWWWLLbLWWLWLbWL Prediction 15 wins
  • Their run home, – Bulldogs (a), Storm (h), Manly (a), Panthers (h).

 Cowboys

  • Won 11 from 19, losses to Titans Round 1 0 – 18, Sharks R4 14 – 20, Storm R6 18 –42, Souths R8 16 – 20, Wests R12 18 – 26, Titans R13 12 – 28, Warriors R17 18 – 35, Bulldogs R21 18 – 32,
  • Their Sequence LWWLWLWLWWWLLbWWLbWWL Prediction 15 wins
  • Their run home, – Warriors (h), Saints (a), Knights (h), Sharks (a).

Manly

  • Won 10 from 17, losses to Cronulla R3 14 – 17 Saints R4 6 – 17, Eels R5 20 – 29, Titans R7 14 – 26, Penrith R12 4 – 22, Storm R15 22 – 26,Knights R19 6 – 34,
  • Their Sequence WWLLLWLWWWWLWbLWbWL Prediction 11 wins
  • Their run home, – Souths (a), Knights (h), Broncos (h), Titans (a).

Sharks

  • Won 10 from 17 & a Draw, losses to Wests R1 16 – 17 Knights R2 6 – 18, Souths R9 28 – 34, Bulldogs R11, 6 – 26, Eels R13 20 – 29, Draw Easts R18, Saints R19 10 – 18,
  • Their Sequence LLWWWWWWLWLbLWbWWDL Prediction 12 wins
  • Their run home, – Knights (a), Souths (h), Storm (a), Cowboys (h).

Titans

  • Won 9 from 19, losses to Raiders R2 12 –24, Storm R3 6 – 30, Warriors R4 6 – 26, Bulldogs R5 20 – 30, Roosters R6 12 – 18, Broncos R8 8 – 26, Tigers R9 14 – 15, Sharks R14 12 – 22, Saints R16 6 – 8, Warriors R18 14 – 32,
  • Sequence WLLLLLWLLWbWWLWLbLWWW Prediction 13 wins
  • Their run home, – Storm (a), Eels (h), Panthers (a), Manly (h).

Knights

  • Won 9 from 19, losses to Saints R1 14 –15, Broncos R3 10 – 24, Storm R5 22 – 34, Saints R7 4 – 12, Roosters R9 6 – 24, Cowboys R10 12 – 32, Titans R12 14 – 24, Broncos R13 24 – 50, Raiders R14 16 – 32, R16 24 – 50, Souths R18 18 – 34
  • Sequence LWLWLWLWLLbLLLbWWLWWW Prediction fighting out 8th with Manly on a count back.
  • Their run home, – Sharks (h), Manly (a), Cowboys (a), South (h).

Tigers

  • Won 9 from 19, losses to Manly R2 18 –22 Saints R3 12 – 36 Raiders R4 16 – 30, Souths R5 16 – 17, Broncos R6 14 – 18, Roosters R15 28 – 42, Knights R16 20 – 38, Bulldogs R18 20 – 32, Cowboys R20 16 – 29, Souths R21 6 32,
  • Sequence WLLLLLWWWWbWWWLLbLWLL
  • Their run home, – Saints (h), Bulldogs (a), Roosters (a), Storm (h).

Saints

  • Won 9 from 19, losses to Bulldogs R2 4 – 30, Broncos R5 20 – 28, Sharks R6 0 – 12, Cowboys R9 6 – 30, Panthers R10 12 – 13, Souths R11 18 – 19, Manly R13 8 –.20, Bulldogs R15 20 – 28, Raiders R17 18 – 22, Souths R19 16 – 36,
  • Their Sequence WLWWLLWWLLLWLbLWLbWLW
  • Their run home, – Tigers (a), Cowboys (h), Warriors (h), Eels (a).

Therefore in week 1 Dogs play Cowboys at ANZ, Souths v Broncos at ANZ, Storm v Knights In Melbourne, Titans v Sharks at Gold Coast. Week 2 Broncos v Titans at Lang Park, and Cowboys v Knights in Townsville.

Return to Top …


Betting Summary

  • 1 unit Canterbury Bulldogs to win 2012 NRL premiership @ $5.00. Matures 30/9/12
  • 1 unit Brisbane Broncos to win 2012 NRL premiership @ $8.00. Matures 30/9/12
  • 1 unit Adelaide Crows to win the AFL Minor Premiership @ $4.50. Matures 2/9/12

This Weekend:

  • 1 unit on Gold Coast Titans to finish in NRL top 8 @ $3.50 (matures 2/9/12)
  • 1 unit on Gold Coast Titans plus start of 8.5 v Storm @ $1.90
  • ½ unit on Raiders to defeat Panthers (NRL) @ $1.75
  • ½ unit on Geelong to defeat West Coast (AFL) @ $2.00
  • ½ unit on GWS Giants to defeat Gold Coast Suns (AFL) @ $2.90
  • ½ unit on GWS Giants with start of 17.5 @ $1.90
  • 1 unit on Collingwood with start 12.5 over Sydney Swans @ $1.90

Return to Top …


EYE-BALL’s Rookie-Bookie …

EYE-BALL’s Rookie Bookie on – Weekend Preview – 3rd – 6th Aug –

The-EYE-BALL-Opinion-Header-2
Latest ‘Rookie Bookie Updates:


GI Index Performance:

Value of INDEX:

04th Apr = (+) 216.67
11th Apr = (+) 393.67
18th Apr = (+) 293.67
25th Apr = (+) 293.67 – no activity last week …
2nd May = (+) 290.00
9th May = (+) 340
16th May = (+) 433.3
23rd May = (+) 517.2
30th May = (+) 492.2
6th Jun = (+) 467.3
13th Jun = (+) 497.3
20th Jun = (+) 463.7
27th Jun = (+) 363.7
4th Jly = (+) 363.7
11th Jly = (+) 352.47
18th Jly = (+) 335.80
25th Jly = (+) 328.30
1st Aug = (+) 370.80


Links to previous Posts:

2012:


To see more EYE-BALL ‘Rookie Bookie’ posts:

click here …


Title:
– Weekend Preview – 3rd – 6th Aug –
| Author: Rookie Bookie |1st Aug 2012 |
Last Weekend Updates:

  • My wager on Capetown Stormers to win Super Rugby is now worthless. Negative 2 units index goes backward 66.67 points.
  • From last weekend on Knights ½ unit collects 1.25,
  • Panthers ½ unit collects 1.50, Titans ½ unit collects 0.825,
  • Freo (AFL) ½ unit collects 0.825 and Eels ½ unit collects 1.875,
  • lost on Western Bulldogs. $6.275 return for 3 outlay.
  • 3.275 win represents positive 109.17 index points.

Overall index is now at 370.8 points net up 42.5 (109.17 – 66.67).

The price on Hawthorn and Sydney in AFL winning the minor premiership is just nonsense. It assumes far too much without reflecting on run home. I simply overlook it, Geelong have grown another leg. Hawks are going well, Pies very shaky. If Hawks do survive this brimstone, they will go into finals near odds on. For Swans it is different, the mindset has it they only win at SCG on smaller ground.

The bet on Australia’s Olympic Gold medal haul looks sick to say the least. Somewhat disappointed in Equestrian. Hoy while having previously won 3 gold (Sydney, Atlanta, Barcelona) and a silver (Beijing), will remain a champion, he is a has been. Time to move over Jim!


The Rugby Championship:

  • My assessment is NZ $2, Australia $4.00, SA $5.00, Argentina $20.
  • Tab Sportsbet is NZ $1.45 Australia $4.75, SA $4.75, Argentina $101.

Round 1

  • Australia v New Zealand My estimate $2.50/$1.67 Actual not available
  • South Africa v Argentina. My estimate $1.10/$11.00 Actual not available

Super Rugby Final

  • Chiefs v Sharks At Hamilton 5.35pm AEST 4/8/12
  • My estimate $1.95/$2.05 Actual $1.30/$3.30.
  • Further Unit invested at $3.30 on Sharks.

AFL – Round 19: (Underlined = Forecasted Winner)

  • Hawthorn v Geelong (+26.5) estimate market $1.85/$2.18 Actual $1.33/$3.35
  • Bulldogs (+48.5) v North estimate market $4.00/$1.33 Actual $7.00/$1.10
  • Giants(50.5) v Port Adelaide estimate market $4.00/$1.33 Actual $7.50/$1.08
  • Fremantle (+18.5) v West Coast estimate market $3.00/$1.50 Actual $2.75/$1.45
  • Collingwood v St Kilda (+18.5) estimate market $1.25/$4.00 Actual $1.40/$3.00
  • Demons v Gold Coast (+20.5) estimate market $1.50/$3.00 Actual $1.33/$3.35
  • Lions (+7.5) v Tigers estimate market $4.00/$1.33 Actual $2.25/$1.65
  • Carlton(+18.5) v Swans estimate market $4.00/$1.33 Actual $3.00/$1.40
  • Adelaide v Bombers (+37.5) estimate market $1.20/$6.00 Actual $1.16/$5.25
  • Best Bet: Richmond, Pies, Swannies, Weagles
  • Value: Geelong,
  • At the Margin: Tigers, Giants, GEELONG.

Top Four Betting

  • Sydney $1.01,
  • Hawthorn $1.01,
  • Adelaide $1.01,
  • Collingwood $1.80,
  • West Coast $2.05,
  • Geelong $17.

Final 8 Betting

  • Sydney Not quoted,
  • Hawthorn Not quoted,
  • Adelaide Not quoted,
  • Collingwood $1.01,
  • West Coast $1.01,
  • Essendon $1.75,
  • Geelong $1.35,
  • North $1.25,
  • Fremantle $3.

Grand Final Betting

  • Hawthorn $2.25,
  • Swans $4.50,
  • Collingwood, $6,
  • Adelaide $8,
  • West Coast $11,
  • Geelong $15,
  • North $34,
  • St Kilda $34
  • Essendon $81 &
  • Carlton $151.

Betting on the Minor Premiership

  • Sydney $2.10,
  • Hawthorn $2.10,
  • Adelaide $7.

Wooden Spoon

  • Giants $1.10,
  • Suns $6.25,
  • Demons $51.00.

NRL Round 22: (Underlined = Forecasted Winner)

  • Roosters (+5.5) v Dragons – estimate market $2.50/$1.67 Actual $2.65/$1.50
  • Storm v Panthers (+10.5) – estimate market $1.50 /$3.00 Actual $1.26/$4.00
  • Knights (+4.5) v Bulldogs – estimate market $3.00/$1.50 Actual $2.45/$1.57
  • Cowboys v Sea Eagles (+3.5) – estimate market $1.80/$2.25 Actual $1.70/$2.20
  • Warriors v Sharks (+6.5) estimate market $1.90/$2.12 Actual $1.47/$2.55
  • Raiders (+2.5) v Broncos estimate market $2.50/$1.67 Actual $2.20/$1.70
  • Titans (+3.5) v Rabbitohs estimate market $2.25/$1.80 Actual $2.30/$1.65
  • Tigers v Eels (+3.5) estimate market $2.25/$1.80 Actual $2.25/$1.67
  • Best Bet: No good thing, Knights will go close, Titans will go close, Manly and Tigers desperate, so too for Broncos, Chooks will go Ok, Sharks, Storm and Warriors not going well. Most teams simply want the win. Avoiding Wooden Spoon is so real.
  • Value: Panthers, Sharks NB how longest price is Panthers at $4 all others under $2.67
  • At the Margin: No great thoughts, who will cop an absolute flogging?

The Money End of the Season

Bulldogs

  • Won 14 from 19, losses to Knights R4 6 – 20, Souths R6 10 – 20, Storm R7 6 –12, Manly R8 10 – 12, Titans R10 14 – 25,
  • Their Sequence WWWLWLLLWLWWWbWWbWWW Prediction 18 wins
  • Their run home, – Broncos (h), Tigers (h), Raiders (a), Roosters (h).

Souths

  • Won 13 from 19, losses to Roosters R1 20 – 24, Storm R2 10 – 24, Broncos R4 12 – 20, Warriors R7 22 – 44, Bulldogs R13 18 – 23, Broncos R16 12 – 26,
  • Sequence LLWLWWLWWbWWLbWLWWWW Prediction 16 wins
  • Their run home, – Manly (h), Sharks (a), Eels (h), Knights (a).

Storm

  • Won 12 from 19, losses to Cronulla R10 10 –12, Wests R14 6 – 10, Bulldogs R16 4 – 20, Raiders R18 12 – 40, Cowboys R19 16 – 20, Eels R20 10 – 16, Saints R21 18 – 26,
  • Their Sequence WWWWWWWWWLbWWLWLbLLLL Prediction 14 wins
  • Their run home, – Titans (h), Broncos (a), Sharks (h), Tigers (a).

 Broncos

  • Won 12 from 18, losses to Cowboys R2 26 – 28 Warriors R9 20 – 30, Manly R10 22 – 24, Storm R12 10 – 34, Cowboys R15 0 – 12, Sharks R17 12 – 26, Titans R20 10 – 14,
  • Their Sequence WLWWWWWWLLbLWWLWLbWL Prediction 15 wins
  • Their run home, – Bulldogs (a), Storm (h), Manly (a), Panthers (h).

 Cowboys

  • Won 11 from 19, losses to Titans Round 1 0 – 18, Sharks R4 14 – 20, Storm R6 18 –42, Souths R8 16 – 20, Wests R12 18 – 26, Titans R13 12 – 28, Warriors R17 18 – 35, Bulldogs R21 18 – 32,
  • Their Sequence LWWLWLWLWWWLLbWWLbWWL Prediction 15 wins
  • Their run home, – Warriors (h), Saints (a), Knights (h), Sharks (a).

Manly

  • Won 10 from 17, losses to Cronulla R3 14 – 17 Saints R4 6 – 17, Eels R5 20 – 29, Titans R7 14 – 26, Penrith R12 4 – 22, Storm R15 22 – 26,Knights R19 6 – 34,
  • Their Sequence WWLLLWLWWWWLWbLWbWL Prediction 11 wins
  • Their run home, – Souths (a), Knights (h), Broncos (h), Titans (a).

Sharks

  • Won 10 from 17 & a Draw, losses to Wests R1 16 – 17 Knights R2 6 – 18, Souths R9 28 – 34, Bulldogs R11, 6 – 26, Eels R13 20 – 29, Draw Easts R18, Saints R19 10 – 18,
  • Their Sequence LLWWWWWWLWLbLWbWWDL Prediction 12 wins
  • Their run home, – Knights (a), Souths (h), Storm (a), Cowboys (h).

Titans

  • Won 9 from 19, losses to Raiders R2 12 –24, Storm R3 6 – 30, Warriors R4 6 – 26, Bulldogs R5 20 – 30, Roosters R6 12 – 18, Broncos R8 8 – 26, Tigers R9 14 – 15, Sharks R14 12 – 22, Saints R16 6 – 8, Warriors R18 14 – 32,
  • Sequence WLLLLLWLLWbWWLWLbLWWW Prediction 13 wins
  • Their run home, – Storm (a), Eels (h), Panthers (a), Manly (h).

Knights

  • Won 9 from 19, losses to Saints R1 14 –15, Broncos R3 10 – 24, Storm R5 22 – 34, Saints R7 4 – 12, Roosters R9 6 – 24, Cowboys R10 12 – 32, Titans R12 14 – 24, Broncos R13 24 – 50, Raiders R14 16 – 32, R16 24 – 50, Souths R18 18 – 34
  • Sequence LWLWLWLWLLbLLLbWWLWWW Prediction fighting out 8th with Manly on a count back.
  • Their run home, – Sharks (h), Manly (a), Cowboys (a), South (h).

Tigers

  • Won 9 from 19, losses to Manly R2 18 –22 Saints R3 12 – 36 Raiders R4 16 – 30, Souths R5 16 – 17, Broncos R6 14 – 18, Roosters R15 28 – 42, Knights R16 20 – 38, Bulldogs R18 20 – 32, Cowboys R20 16 – 29, Souths R21 6 32,
  • Sequence WLLLLLWWWWbWWWLLbLWLL
  • Their run home, – Saints (h), Bulldogs (a), Roosters (a), Storm (h).

Saints

  • Won 9 from 19, losses to Bulldogs R2 4 – 30, Broncos R5 20 – 28, Sharks R6 0 – 12, Cowboys R9 6 – 30, Panthers R10 12 – 13, Souths R11 18 – 19, Manly R13 8 –.20, Bulldogs R15 20 – 28, Raiders R17 18 – 22, Souths R19 16 – 36,
  • Their Sequence WLWWLLWWLLLWLbLWLbWLW
  • Their run home, – Tigers (a), Cowboys (h), Warriors (h), Eels (a).

Therefore in week 1 Dogs play Cowboys at ANZ, Souths v Broncos at ANZ, Storm v Knights In Melbourne, Titans v Sharks at Gold Coast. Week 2 Broncos v Titans at Lang Park, and Cowboys v Knights in Townsville.

Top Four Market:

  • Canterbury Not Quoted,
  • Souths $1.03,
  • Melbourne $1.04,
  • Manly $3,
  • Cowboys $1.80,
  • Brisbane $4,
  • Cronulla $21.

Top Eight Market:

  • Canterbury Not Quoted,
  • Souths Not Quoted,
  • Melbourne Not Quoted,
  • Manly $1.04,
  • Cowboys $1.03,
  • Brisbane $1.06,
  • Cronulla $2.20,
  • Titans $2.25,
  • Warriors $2.60,
  • Wests $2.80,
  • Newcastle $2.60.

Wooden Spoon (most regular season losses):

  • Parramatta $1.75,
  • Penrith $3.00,
  • Easts $5.00.
  • Quite likely of a very tight finish. Parra were substantially better than other 2 last weekend.

Grand Final Market:

  • Canterbury $4.00,
  • Souths $4.50,
  • Melbourne $5.50,
  • Manly $7,
  • Cowboys $9.00,
  • Brisbane $11,
  • Cronulla $26,
  • Titans $26,
  • Warriors $34.

Betting Summary

  • Australia to win more than 11.5 gold medals at London Olympics (2 Units) bet placed 19/5/12 @ $1.87
  • Natal Sharks ($11) to win Super Rugby 1/8/12 (½ unit) bet placed 19/5/12
  • 1 unit Canterbury Bulldogs to win 2012 NRL premiership @ $5.00. Matures 30/9/12
  • 1 unit Brisbane Broncos to win 2012 NRL premiership @ $8.00. Matures 30/9/12
  • 1 unit Adelaide Crows to win the AFL Minor Premiership @ $4.50. Matures 2/9/12

This Weekend:

  • ½ unit (AFL) Geelong over Hawthorn @ $3.35
  • ½ unit (AFL) Geelong over Hawthorn  with 5.5 goals (26.5) start @ $1.90
  • ½ Unit (AFL) Tigers, into Swans, into Collingwood, into West Coast. (1.65 x 1.40 x 1.40 x 1.45) $4.6893
  • 1 Unit Natal Sharks to win Super Rugby @ $3.30.
  • ½ unit on NRL Panthers over Storm @ $4 (Melbourne Home)

Go the Sharks in the Rugby. Probably the first time I have ever supported the Yarpies in anything.


EYE-BALL’s Rookie-Bookie …

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