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EYE-BALL’s Herman on – Political Double Speak
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Links to Previous ‘Herman’ Posts:
– 27th June – Gone-Ski: Prime Minister Julia Gillard – – 24th June – The Ashes – – 21st June – The Senate – – 5th June – Zombies – – 1st June – Canberra – and black holes – -30th May – What is an adequate Contrition? – – 24th May – Simplex – – 19th May – The Tears of a Prime Minister – – 24th Mar – An Example of bureaucracy gone mad – – 10th Mar – The Carbon Tax – Post Election … – 7th Mar – Wayne Swan – Please Stop 28th Feb – The Australian Labor Party View – 6th Feb – Corruption – 25th Jan – Anti Discrimination – – 17th Jan 2013 – Atheism – – 12th Nov – Hegemony – 2nd Nov – A March early Federal election – To see more EYE-BALL ‘Herman’ posts: |
Title: – Political Double Speak – | Author: EYE-BALL’s Herman O’Hermitage | 28th June 2013 | |
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hile the dogs may have been called off on Wednesday and tethered or kennelled on Wednesday night, newly installed PM Rudd would do very well to remember what he has been forced to endure during his hiatus. On Yom Kippur; Those of the Jewish faith, rarely vote in person on polling day at a polling station. Saturday is their Sabbath. They can and do vote postal, or pre poll. Postal and pre poll numbers grow at every election. In this modern era of communication most people do not understand why voting takes place only on the Saturday, and do not understand why fines are issued when you fail to vote. Many believe getting your name marked off and going to a cardboard screen and using a blunt pencil to mark a valid voting paper is not just archaic it is beyond pre historic. There are so many diverse opinions, it is hard to condense, but those of the Jewish faith routinely vote pre poll or postal. So do many others. The AEC makes extraordinary accommodations to attempt to uphold compulsory voting. You might find the occasional officer who takes himself just a little too seriously. For every one of those you will also find one equally lackadaisical. The real reason you intend to re address September 14 as polling day is because you intend to get as much mileage from G20 in Moscow on September 7th as is possible, and ideally you would return from Moscow to conduct the official launch of the ALP election launch thereafter. Nothing has changed. On September 21 football finals are at fever pitch. September 28 is worse. On October 5th you not only encounter football finals (NRL) but long weekend in NSW (Labour Day) and Sydney spring carnival horse racing. Any date after that means the scheduled sitting of Parliament in late August will proceed due to the fact that the electoral writs have not been issued. This comes back to going to the polls in August. The electoral writs need 32 (or 33) days. You want to be in Moscow on September 7th and not let Tony Abbott have that honour. If you go in August can you guarantee that? August 3rd means you need to dissolve parliament by July 1st. By Monday you will not be ready. How many weeks do you need to get ready? Hmmm? We are watching you clearly. We know you and the way you work. On Electricity, Gas, GST and Carbon Tax. David Murray said the Carbon Tax was an extremely inefficient tax. I cite him as a respected business leader. I absolutely agree. Too many have forgotten, that GST was applied to electricity and gas in 2001 while not on water and other domestic services such as rates to address the concept of externalities (pollution). No steps were taken at that time with those revenues to force cleaner energy. GST applies to domestic and commercial vehicles. In petrol there is double edged sword in the petrol excise. A small part of domestic budget stress comes from electricity and gas prices. There are other factors. It also manifests in industrial competitiveness. There should be a proper rationalisation. Tony Abbott has promised to not only remove the carbon tax, but have a white paper on tax reform, and move Deregulation out of Finance and put it into Department of Prime Minister and Cabinet. To say that the coalition does not have clearly elucidated policies is a furphy. It is more than that, it borders on contempt. We are sick and tired of being told what to think. On the Australian Dollar; The very core of this issue is the inflation target of the RBA. It is always in the too hard basket. In the SPC Ardmona v tinned tomatoes dispute, we are now starting to address tariffs and restrictions again. In the J R Simplot talk of closing canneries in Tasmania the issues are similar. It keeps going, education sector decimated (foreign students), tourism at a competitive disadvantage. Shell closing first Clyde then any thoughts over Geelong. Caltex at Kurnell then at Lytton. Ford and more. Bonds closing manufacturing in Australia. Target and Rivers buying in Bangladesh without any conscience. We the consumer not caring nor knowing what we are buying. Labelling. SPC is owned by Coca-cola. Simplot is American, must I go on. Why is it mandatory for Australian commercial TV to have local content? That extends to BHP Billiton, or Rio. Why are we subsidising production of petrol cars when we export so much gas. Synopsis Cut the double speak. As a child I always laughed in westerns when apache accused white man of speaking with a forked tongue. We are sick of being the play thing of foreign interests, and government being complicit. Ignorance or apathy or base stupidity. Why are 2,000,000 Australian not participating in employment sufficiently? They are unemployed, not participating or want more hours. Basic truth is a very rare commodity. We all must play our part, and our leaders must play their part. Believing in sanity is indeed insanity. |
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EYE-BALL’s Harry’s Growl on – Election 2013 – Growl No: 49 – Shorten has to be made accountable –
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Latest ‘Harry’s Growl’ Posts:
Larry Pickering Cartoons – Updated 27th June 2013 – click to view in a new window:
To see more of Pickering’s Political cartoons – use this link … – 19th June – Election 2013 – Growl No: 47 – Chris McArdle – Craig Thompsons Lawyer opens up with his views on drive time radio – – 18th June – Election 2013 – Growl No: 46 – Gillard revisits her Slater and Gordon Exit – 12th June – Election 2013 – Growl No: 45 – Gillard and Swine swill – – 10th June – Election 2013 – Growl No: 44 – Foreign Minister Bob Carr – The “Gallah” that feasts and is never concerned with the damage left behind … – 8th June – Election 2013 – Growl No: 43 – The Independents and The Greens – why do they accept an alleged Criminal as PM? – – 6th June – True Leadership – we are yet to experience the way it was meant to be – – To see more EYE-BALL Harry’s Growl posts: click here … |
Title: – Election 2013 – Growl No: 49 – – Shorten has to be made accountable – | Author: EYE-BALL’s Harry’s Growl | 27th June 2013| |
People like ‘Insiders’ Barry Cassidy saw that as a personal conflict because of a divided loyalty … the fact is Shorten moved to get rid of Rudd three years ago, and was again forced to move to get rid of Gillard in favour of Rudd last night. Who is Bill Shorten – ex AWU boss and Ludwig puppet – what Shorten does is what Bill Ludwig Snr wants … so it can only be assumed that Shorten’s move last night was at the bequest of Bill Ludwig, Gillards staunchest supporter and the real ALP ‘kingmaker’. Why did Ludwig switch support – had Gillard gone rogue on her AWU support base – not so according to AWU boss Paul Howes only a matter of days and hours before the spill last night. It was fear of the election defeat and decimation of the ALP. Will the ALP learn that when Unions rule the roost the ALP is at its weakest? In the wash up and after the Gillard ‘wake’ – the questions will become quick-fire on the Shorten/Howes/Ludwig roles in what has happened over the last three years. Labor finds itself where it was in 2010 – Rudd as Leader and facing an election – the difference is where the poll numbers are stacked … Rudd and Shorten – can that relationship ever be trusted from either side – Shorten knows that Rudd knows that Ludwig knows, that Rudds revival is to try and save the ALP over what Rudd knows, and Shorten knows, as Ludwig knows was all of their own making. [Hope there is not to many ‘knows’ in that alignment.] The other idiot that needs to find a hole is Conroy – he fell on his sword over Ministerial positions but he also needs to resign from the Senate … he is just such an embarrassment … Wong gets her chance to shine and should have gone there before Gillard promoted Conroy … Tony Burke apparently offered his resignation yet Rudd refused. Perhaps there is reconciliation in the air! Emerson is leaving to console Julia and their shared parliamentary pension will allow them to live a lifestyle for a period – Gillards goal cell awaits and the cost of a defence to keep her out will keep them both poor for a while But it all swings back to Shorten and what role he now plays … Any tears for Shorten and his tough decision are wasted, the man knows only one way to lie in bed – the Union way and his ambitions are still there. If Rudd loses the election – a 60% chance – and Shorten becomes Leader the ALP are a party done with the electorate … Shorten’s tenure in any capacity now and after the election is what Roman tragedies are all about … his role can only every be as a messenger acting on instructions from persons outside the parliament – that can never be allowed to happen. If Shorten’s position last night was him acting to distance himself from Ludwig and Howes then that has to be made public. What is very noticeable is that the roll out of commentary across all the TV media and news is all focused on the ALP – the Coalition will be surprised at how hard it is for them to get any air time to speak … The ABC ALP bias is very alive and for the next few days Abbott will be hung drawn and quartered and any attempt to get air time will have to be purchased with election war chest funds … Another point if note is why Wayne Swan still going to contest his marginal seat of Lilly … is it because an MP ejected gets a better crack at the Parliamentary pension scheme … or is he after his own form of payback given his anti Rudd stance that will run front and center in the Coalition’s election campaign? The question on whether the Union factions still have control over the caucus remains a real issue for many disenfranchised ALP supporters. The Howes/Ludwig AWU franchise, along with the HSU/Thompson/Williamson dramas have convinced Australians that all Unions are steeped in corruption – they want nothing to do with Unions and that will be an afterbirth issue Rudd will have to deal with if the ALP are to retain long term support. One thing is certain – the current Leadership team have targeted Abbott’s lack of clarity as their election ramp … challenge Abbott’s ability to lead and you gain clear air if it sticks … With the House rising for the last time before the schedules Sept 14th election, and that is still to be confirmed by Rudd – perhaps this afternoon – but with the Parliament closed much of the introspection will be done away from the media and public view. And yes – QLD won the State of Origin and it was a thrashing … |
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EYE-BALL’s Herman on – Gone-Ski – Prime Minister Julia Gillard
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| Links to Previous ‘Herman’ Posts:
– 24th June – The Ashes – – 21st June – The Senate – – 5th June – Zombies – – 1st June – Canberra – and black holes – -30th May – What is an adequate Contrition? – – 24th May – Simplex – – 19th May – The Tears of a Prime Minister – – 24th Mar – An Example of bureaucracy gone mad – – 10th Mar – The Carbon Tax – Post Election … – 7th Mar – Wayne Swan – Please Stop 28th Feb – The Australian Labor Party View – 6th Feb – Corruption – 25th Jan – Anti Discrimination – – 17th Jan 2013 – Atheism – – 12th Nov – Hegemony – 2nd Nov – A March early Federal election – To see more EYE-BALL ‘Herman’ posts: |
Title: Gone-Ski: Prime Minister Julia Gillard | Author: EYE-BALL’s Herman O’Hermitage | 27th June 2013 | |
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M ate against Mate, State against State – Vale Gillard, Swan, Conroy, Emerson, Garrett, Ludwig, Combet, Windsor & Oakeshott – (who have I missed)? At this point in time Swan, Conroy, Ludwig and Combet remain in Parliament. There is time to fix that. It was fascinating to watch the ten pins line up – it was great to see them fall. It will be interesting to hear TV viewer ratings – Channel 2 v Channel 9 (State of Origin) & State of Origin v Channel Nine Go. For me Laurie Oakes was no match against Leigh Sales & Tony Jones but I did watch the football when Barry Cassidy came on. I was constantly thinking about my previous article “the tears of a prime minister” or “a March early election” and some more. Why didn’t Rudd do this last March and save Australia so much embarrassment? Was it really about Albanese being caught with his pants down at a Marrickville brothel? Hence Crean saying he would run as deputy? By next Monday the opinion polls will be showing on 1st party preference ALP trailing Coalition but only just – however the final result on election night is now too hard to prognosticate. We are now uncertain when the election will be called. Australia is still sick of this ALP machine, insipid – self interested and other soliloquy but Kevin Rudd is a statesman of the first order and makes Tony Abbott look corny. Seeing so many of the fools gone in one fell swoop is pleasing. More than pleasing it is an absolute delight. By next Monday, not only will Krudd have had a chance to build a piecemeal staff, but they will have a chance to put together an advertisement to lampoon the resurrection of Tony Abbott, the crown jester of the Howard frontbench, to Tony Abbott the man of steel (and no policy just negativity) – just steel cutting blades – cutting this and cutting that. Where Julia was fighting back the tears, her petulance continued – her staff should continue. Yeah onya! Windsor broke down. Today who is more pompous and grandiloquent? Grandiloquent is Rudd, and pompous is shared between Gillard, Windsor and ? Will Rudd ultimately be judged as grandiloquent? He still has time to develop his humility. He has earned a dimension to his character from the back benches that will be shadow in history. Yesterday morning I wrote we needed a catharsis. Now we have one. Catharsis by their very nature means creating chaos to effect change. Radical change, an absolute re evaluation. Last night on Lateline Bob Carr started to address policy. “On the boats, times are changed. Those arriving by boat are not humanitarian refugees but economic refugees!” Thank you for finally listening to the constituency. There is Rudd’s trip to China and Gillard’s trip to Indonesia to be addressed. Carr and Bowen could most ably deputise in Indonesia, Rudd will have to somehow save face. Bowen as new treasurer is very well versed in immigration. His offerings mean much. I personally find him a statesman above the average. Bob Carr remains enigmatic. I can’t say much about him beyond he remains a NSW fringe right operator and is very confused and confusing. At times he is deluded and delusional. For example he is only in the Federal senate courtesy of Julia Gillard, yet now he is running with the foxes. Why would you trust him? Penny Wong and Jacinta Collins in the Upper House are some form of balance. The AWU connection is illuminating. Ludwig will not serve in a Rudd ministry. Shorten came out offering support and thereby ended his own credibility and that of Paul Howes. The high moral ground remains the trump of all trumps. A full public investigation of WRA and HSU would guarantee election victory to either side. I first said that at least 12 months ago. I expect WRA will now barely see daylight again. It is the hatchet of all hatchets and will be buried along with others only used if the AWU attempts to resurrect. Gillard is gone. While writing this I needed to go driving. I got to thinking what a waste of space talk back radio is. Rhonda from Katoomba said Gillard is not finished. Gillard has only promised not to contest the seat of Lalor at the forthcoming election. One more, Onya! The people of Australia are seething that they didn’t get to thrash the ALP for this period of evil self indulgence. It was an episode of unbelievable shame upon democracy. Far too many would love to express their opinion through the ballot box. But one shambles would have lead to greater catastrophe. It is thankfully over. The seat of Kingsford Smith is now a bellwether. Heartland ALP formed in 1949 that through time has become marginal. It produced Lionel Bowen of Mooramie St, Kensington, but Kensington is now a border with Wentworth. It also produced Lionel Murphy of Todman Ave, Kensington, The Hills of MacDougal St, and the Brereton’s of Balfour Rd. Daniel Curtin preceded Lionel Bowen. Laurie Brereton succeeded him. In the 64 years only 6 have sat there, all ALP. Traditional areas like Coogee and South Coogee have been taken over by nouveau rich. They are now traditional right wing polling stations. Pagewood is no longer industrial. There are only 2 real contestants for the ALP pre selection to replace Peter Garrett. Bob Carr or Kristina Keneally? I expect to see Kristina get the nod, but am not absolutely sure. The ALP had a margin in 2010 of over 5%. On election night it is worth watching. The Liberal Party has nominated a Michael Feneley. He is Cardiology Director at St Vincent’s Hospital and ran in 2010. The other seat I will be watching is Rankin (and Lilley). I heard Dr Jim Chalmers former Chief of Staff of Wayne Swan is seeking ALP pre selection. Lilley represents one of the few seats where the electorate can punish the Federal ALP. Jim Chalmers represents something similar. Having released a book only a month ago on the destructive internal power struggles, what skin does he have in the game? Labor needs to retain every seat, and cover for New England and Lyne. Rankin is no different to Lindsay. Rankin was first formed in 1984. There have only been 2 sitting members. It is outer metropolitan Brisbane. In 2007 QLD carried the result for Kevin Rudd. First Qld Prime Minister and treasurer to boot. Chris Bowen is no guaranteed ALP retain as the treasurer. At this early stage, I predict the result will be known on election night by about 11pm. Every seat will matter. There will be Coalition 85, Ind 2, ALP 59 with 4 too close to call, due to counting postal and absentee. I can’t think when the election date will be, but if it is not on August 10 or 17 then there is no reason to not wait for September 14. Very importantly the Coalition will need to watch themselves. The funniest quip last night was “if 1993 was the sweetest victory, then 2013 might just be a diabetic attack. I am delighted. Farewell Julia, fare thee well. Farewell Emerson and Swan and Garrett and hopefully later today Tony Burke. And a couple more. Believing in sanity is insanity. |
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EYE-BALL Opinion – After the Fact: Will Gillard escape? Gillards Epitaph: Criminal or Feminist hero –
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 Latest ‘EYE-BALL Opinion’ Posts: – 26th June – A Nation held to Ransom – – 26th Jun – Independent Rob Oakeshott Quits – – 24th June – The ALP Cocoon – – 17th Jun – Our Leadership Betrayal – Entitlement should be earned, not assumed nor expected – – 11th June – Julian Assange – An Interview worth Watching – – 6th Jun – True Leadership – Australia is still to experience it the way it was meant – – 30th May – Revisiting the Past – A post some two years ago has relevance today .. – 13th May – Just Stunningly Beautiful – – 11th May – Budget 2013-14 – Wayne Swan about to deliver an ALP death notice – To see more EYE-BALL ‘Opinion’ posts: |
Title: – After the Fact: Will Gillard escape? – – Gillards epitaph: criminal or Feminist hero? – | Author: EYE-BALL Opinion | 27th June 2013 | |
 The ballot result – 57-45 was convincing enough – but came far too late to resurrect true Labor supporters.
The end to end media coverage yesterday got it wrong most of the day in who would be victor, and it was not until Shorten made his statement of support for Rudd 30 minutes or so before the ballot that it became clear Rudd had the numbers. ABC’s Chris Ulman reported Shorten was trying to get his supporters to vote for Rudd, whilst he would remain faithful and vote for Gillard as a show of support. The truth if this is so is that Shorten has cooked himself as the instigator that pulled the trigger on two Prime Ministers just months away from an election – surely his star has faded … It was reported the Shorten faction gave Shorten a ultimatum – ‘if you want us to vote for Rudd it will only be after you declare publicly that you support Rudd’. That quite possible was an ultimatum that will crush Shorten’s own ambitions to be Leader. Shorten and Paul Howes are now due a stoush that could see the AWU splinter asunder … Today will be a day of the long knives and all done away from the prying eyes of the media and public. What happens now – Abbott’s game plan will be to attack Rudd basis the commentary offered up by ALP Ministers who dumped on him 18 months ago. This strategy will be a moving target on both sides – negative campaigns have a way of turning feral on those who engage in it. If poll momentum builds for Rudd pressure will go on Abbott and he may find himself in a Leadership question given how the Coalition held the table whilst Gillard remained PM. Indications are that the GG will support Rudd as PM and that will be tested on the floor this afternoon if Abbott wants. Rudd’s immediate task is to fill his Cabinet under his statement – ‘all is forgiven’ … Senior Ministers have already quit and already around 4 or 5 have stated they won’t be re-contesting the next election. There will be more revealed in coming days. Those already announced – Gillard, Emerson, Garrett, and Roxon. The morning shows are chock full of accolades for Gillard – and this is the truth about the shallowness of our media – nobody tells it like it is – it’s a soap opera and the key word is ‘entertainment’. This site has been committed to getting rid of ‘Gillard the criminal’ – and now that she is gone the focus will allow a more reasonable approach to the political agenda. Gillards fate with her criminal past will still be a focus but me thinks a deal has been done … and that is a greater injustice than Gillard having be promoted to serve as our PM. All the ‘wake’ commentary this morning is about Gillard’s status as the ‘first female PM’ and how will Australia respond to her being disposed of in the same fashion as she disposed of Rudd, her predecessor, and her successor … such irony … What will be interesting to see will be if the ‘blogland’ hatred of Gillard will transfer to Rudd … an era has finished and the next few months will decide so much about who we are and where we are headed as a Nation … The circus continues …. |
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EYE-BALL Opinion – A Nation held to Ransom – Gillard calls another spill and so the circus continues –
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Latest ‘EYE-BALL Opinion’ Posts: – 26th Jun – Independent Rob Oakeshott Quits – – 24th June – The ALP Cocoon – – 17th Jun – Our Leadership Betrayal – Entitlement should be earned, not assumed nor expected – – 11th June – Julian Assange – An Interview worth Watching – – 6th Jun – True Leadership – Australia is still to experience it the way it was meant – – 30th May – Revisiting the Past – A post some two years ago has relevance today .. – 13th May – Just Stunningly Beautiful – – 11th May – Budget 2013-14 – Wayne Swan about to deliver an ALP death notice – To see more EYE-BALL ‘Opinion’ posts: |
Title: – A Nation held to Ransom – – Gillard calls another spill and so the circus continues – | Author: EYE-BALL Opinion | 26th June 2013 | |
 All day the News cycle has been on repeat over an impending Rudd challenge.This coverage is only ever repeated 2-3 times a year – Melbourne Cup and Footy grand finals. Even tonight’s State of Origin is pushed to the bleachers as the media become consumed by the possible, as opposed to the ponderable.
What will it mean if Rudd is successful – what can he hope to achieve or is there a third ‘dark-horse’ in the contest. Gillard has placed a condition on the spill – that the loser should immediately resign from politics. That has upped the anti … and Gillard has placed herself into the hands of the very people who promoted her – and a prison sentence s a possible reward if she is forced to comply with her ‘leave politics immediately’ condition. To take that stance and lay her career on the line for the second time would suggest Gillard still has a trick or two still up her sleeve …we’ll know in a few hours what her fate will be … As for Rudd – who cares … he will be PM of nothing and will become the slaughtered pig at a post election wake for the once powerful ALP. ALP MP’s and Senators are beholding to their Unions – Union polling among union members in recent weeks show a significant shift in ALP support if Gillard stays as PM. Under Rudd the poll results show an 18% increase in support. This is the only media game in town and it is all about nothing – desperate parliamentarian’s wanting the media cycle for what??? What is being served up as Governance of a Nation is an embarrassment and has been for all of Gillard’s term as PM. It now draws to a close in the face of what is possibly the worst political crisis this Nation has faced since the Whitlam dismissal. What is obvious is that the Leadership ego’s within the ALP, and the Union ‘kingmakers’ don’t blink in situations like this – the caucus members are the ‘blinkers’ … blokes to the right, sheila’s to the left type of stuff … Whatever the outcome tonight the ALP as a political force will have b een damaged forever. New party’s like based around Katter, Palmer, and Wikileaks founder Assange will carry a lot of support in the upcoming election. Not so much because they’ve earned it but because people are fed up with the way our democracy works … The 7:00pm ballot tonight will run into the State of Origin prelude and make tonight’s all important game lesser then it could be. Why do politicians think they are above the Nation’s interest – tonight of all nights – no NSW or QLD footy fan give a stuff about politics on a night like this … particularly when Gillard is already in a ‘slow-cooker’ and Rudd if he wins, will join her. |
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EYE-BALL Opinion – Independent Rob Oakeshott Quits – His media release confirms what we all suspected –
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Latest ‘EYE-BALL Opinion’ Posts: – 24th June – The ALP Cocoon – – 17th Jun – Our Leadership Betrayal – Entitlement should be earned, not assumed nor expected – – 11th June – Julian Assange – An Interview worth Watching – – 6th Jun – True Leadership – Australia is still to experience it the way it was meant – – 30th May – Revisiting the Past – A post some two years ago has relevance today .. – 13th May – Just Stunningly Beautiful – – 11th May – Budget 2013-14 – Wayne Swan about to deliver an ALP death notice – To see more EYE-BALL ‘Opinion’ posts: |
Title: – Independent Rob Oakeshott Quits – – His media release confirms what we all suspected – | Author: EYE-BALL Opinion | 26th June 2013 | |
What came with that media statement was a link to all the funding Oakeshott’s electorate received in the three years of the Gillard Government. Oakeshott brags about the amount of funding for his electorate – some $1.2 billion in a total Regional spend of $10 billion – read his comment in part below:
What is Oakeshott saying here – that for all of the 150 Regional electorates – his 12% share of the total Regional spend was a fair trade for his support for the Gillard Government? If regional funding to each electorate was equal – then the percentage spend would be 0.67% – Oakeshott’s electorate of Lyne received 18 times the National average Regional spend if the funds had of been spend equally. How does a single electorate get such a large portion of the Regional spend – Oakeshott provides a complete listing of the Regional spend in his electorate via his website and can been be seen and read here – it is positively sickening to read this list and wonder why Oakeshott’s electorate was so blessed. A copy of this data has been preserved for when Oakeshott’s term expires and this site goes down. The question now arises – what was the deal done with Gillard to get the support of both Windsor and Oakeshott to form Government? The fact that Oakeshott is so brazenly boastful of his achievements in procuring this amount of funding fosters debate to support two arguments –
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EYE-BALL Opinion – EYE-BALL MediaZone Growl No: 3 – The Australian’s – Janet Albrechtsen – Journalist
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| Title: – EYE-BALL MediaZone Growl No: 3 – – The Australian’s – Janet Albrechtsen – Journalist – on a story titled – “Man up, Labor and expel Rudd” | Author: EYE-BALL MediaZone | 26th June 2013 | |
| Ihave a view that Janet Albrechtsen is a whole lot of woman and too much woman for most men – I normally enjoy reading her column from a male perspective but there are times when she gets it horribly wrong.
Albrechtsen published a story overnight that tells us more about Albrechtsen’s own brand of gender politics, and why Gillard’s misandry continues to go unchallenged by other women. Read the story below:
If Albrechtsen possessed the necessary objectivity to be a journalist, her story about a post-election ALP should be about why a person of interest in a ‘police investigation’ into a serious fraud was promoted by Union factions to become our Prime Minister in the first place. Albrechtsen should be writing about Gillard’s criminal charges post the September Election … and about how the Union influence in Gillard’s promotion is linked to those involved in the AWU scandal and its cover-up. The absence of questions by Albrechtsen and other mainstream journalists into Gillard’s claims that she – ‘did nothing wrong’ – just does not satisfy the masses. Gillard’s gender politics is her own character flow – she surrounds herself with men in power yet runs to her feminista support base when she needs a good cry about why men don’t like her. Albrechtsen’s lack of objectivity in favour of story about Rudd’s role in trying to unseat Gillard is reason why Albrechtsen can never be rated above a ‘C’ grade journalist. Looks and sassy style can only get you so far in the game and Albrechtsen is someone who has it in spades. But when it comes to serious journalism – she is nothing but a misandrist at heart. Surely any moral person with an ounce of integrity, and an open mind has to be aware of Gillard’s flawed past connected with her association and involvement in the AWU scandal, that her status as a Lawyer is compromised with good reason, and that her past sexual relations with other married ALP MP’s would be a choice that would not fly with Australia’s voting public. Albrechtsen would rather look to Rudd for reasons why the AP is floundering. Why would that be? Albrechtsen writes about a post-election Gillard and how she deserves the privileges of an ex PM – she does not entertain any other thought or reasons other that why the ALP is in the mess it is in and not have to face the allegations that have dogged her every day she has been in public office. Does Albrechtsen believe that the campaign against Gillard over her criminal past is a misogyny plot – a campaign based on the fact that Gillard is a female. How does Albrechtsen get to hold such a role as a journalist with such a closed view? There is no doubt Albrechtsen has misandrist tendencies when it suits her – her moral judgement against Rudd in favour of Gillard’s untenable position is the evidence … Albrechtsen chose not to write about Gillard’s rise to become PM when she more than most with access to fellow ‘The Australian’ journalist Hedley Thomas’s research would know about Gillard’s past – why would she chose to ignore that evidence – unless it was an Editor’s pick to give the paper an angle that could only be written by a female journalist … Failing the above scenario – Albrechtsen’s willingness to pen a story about Rudd as the destroyer is based on a ‘man-hate’ position she cannot defend … |
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EYE-BALL’s Harry’s Growl on – Election 2013 – Growl No: 48 – Gillard’s “Mrs Doubtfire” moment –
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| Latest ‘Harry’s Growl’ Posts:
Larry Pickering Cartoons – Updated 19th June 2013 – click to view in a new window:
To see more of Pickering’s Political cartoons – use this link … – 19th June – Election 2013 – Growl No: 47 – Chris McArdle – Craig Thompsons Lawyer opens up with his views on drive time radio – – 18th June – Election 2013 – Growl No: 46 – Gillard revisits her Slater and Gordon Exit – 12th June – Election 2013 – Growl No: 45 – Gillard and Swine swill – – 10th June – Election 2013 – Growl No: 44 – Foreign Minister Bob Carr – The “Gallah” that feasts and is never concerned with the damage left behind … – 8th June – Election 2013 – Growl No: 43 – The Independents and The Greens – why do they accept an alleged Criminal as PM? – – 6th June – True Leadership – we are yet to experience the way it was meant to be – – To see more EYE-BALL Harry’s Growl posts: click here … |
Title: – Election 2013 – Growl No: 48 – – Gillard’s “Mrs Doubtfire” moment – | Author: EYE-BALL’s Harry’s Growl | 25th June 2013| |
The image at right is Gillard being a ‘whore’ – dressed up and presenting herself to attract votes – ALP voters who deserted her in droves. For every vote she wins she gets $2.51 from the AEC for her party … the ‘whore’ tag is appropriate and truthful – as is the criminal background, as is the tripe she has fed this Nation for all her time as PM. Who gives a toss about who she knits for … this is McTernan and his ‘pimp’ efforts to prostitute Gillard for the media and to reason with her caucus colleagues that she has the goods. Her desperation in avoiding the police investigation awaiting her has made her deranged … and this Nation is the worse for having to endure it. Australia is done with women in politics in Leadership roles for a long time – it is appropriate to consider Gillard’s as a misandryist failure and someone who plays the sexist card whenever under pressure. It is appropiate to pose the same scenario of all past female Leaders this Nation has had – i.e. State Premiers, Keneally, Bligh, Kirner, and Lawrence – all ALP Premiers and all booted from office in landslide defeats. What did these women ever do or create or legislate that made a difference with the power they had when they lead their States? A story 12 months ago about Joan Kirner had her looking to get special considerations to enable her to receive a parliamentary pension – read story here … Herald Sun – June 16, 2012 …
Can you believe the affront to ask or have someone else ask for a pension when under the rules no pension is due … if any other non-parliamentarian asked for the same deal how would the trustees respond … Anna Bligh has had her own health issues – she quit her elected seat less than a month after being elected at the last QLD election and forced a bi-election. The cost of that bi-election was for QLD taxpayers and was only called when Bligh realised she only had 7 other ALP MP’s to join her in a desicmated ALP representation. What does that say about Bligh – she should have been made to pay for her bi-election … she elected to run and was prepared to serve another term if she won – she should not be able to penalise the voters as taxpayers for voting her out of office … Gillard’s ‘Mrs Doubtfire’ picture above is how she likes to play her politics – we all know that her true colours have nothing to do with wholesome motherhood – how dare she trash the image of “Mrs Doubtfire” for millions of fans … |
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EYE-BALL’s Herman on – The Ashes –
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| Links to Previous ‘Herman’ Posts:
– 21st June – The Senate – – 5th June – Zombies – – 1st June – Canberra – and black holes – -30th May – What is an adequate Contrition? – – 24th May – Simplex – – 19th May – The Tears of a Prime Minister – – 24th Mar – An Example of bureaucracy gone mad – – 10th Mar – The Carbon Tax – Post Election … – 7th Mar – Wayne Swan – Please Stop 28th Feb – The Australian Labor Party View – 6th Feb – Corruption – 25th Jan – Anti Discrimination – – 17th Jan 2013 – Atheism – – 12th Nov – Hegemony – 2nd Nov – A March early Federal election – To see more EYE-BALL ‘Herman’ posts: |
Title: – The Ashes – | Author: EYE-BALL’s Herman O’Hermitage | 24th June 2013 | |
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ver the next 8 months Australia will play England in ten tests, 5 in the UK and then 5 on Australian soil with each set of 5 determining the holder of the Ashes. This is unprecedented. In 1962/3 and 1965/6 England toured Australia 3 years apart but the intervening tour by Australia was in the winter of 1964. The next series in Australia was 1970/71 5 years later. That was about South Africa being boycotted over apartheid. After boycotting South Africa Basil D’Olivera and Tony Greig went onto play for England, Kepler Wessels for Australia. Basically Australia wins the Ashes on Australian soil and holds them for 18 months until they tour England and lose them again and then wait 30 months to regain them on Australian soil. There are many famous exceptions like 1930, 1934, 1989, 1993, 1997 & 2001. During Bodyline in 1932/33 England won in Australia, and the last series in Australia 2010/11 England also won. There are others. For the record Australia has won 123 of the 310 matches (39.67%) England (the MCC) has won 100 (32.25%) and there have been 87 draws (28%). Until the tour of 1989 the honours were essentially even. Slater and Taylor ushered in a wonderful era. What an era it was. Waugh, Waugh, McGrath, Warne, Healy, Langer, Hayden, Gilchrist and Martin. Not to forget Gillespie. The series over its 136 years has led to many a yarn of truth or scuttlebutt and most importantly tradition. Did Lillee and Marsh sell their soul for 30 pieces of silver at Headingly in 1981, and if they did, why were they ever selected again? Or did Geoff Boycott not tour in the summer of 1974/75 because he was a coward scared to face Thommo and Lillee. Then there was Ald. Clem Jones personally preparing that wicket at the Gabba, or the day at the Gabba when wags from Enoggera army barracks all dressed as Arfur Dunger released a live piglet onto the pitch with Botham written on one side Lamb on the other(referring to Ian Botham and Allan Lamb). Indeed why did Jardine, Voce and Larwood never represent the MCC again after bodyline? The greatest honour for a player is to tour on an Ashes tour. More than that travellers and tourists and aficionados base their travel plans around these events like the Balmy Army. My only visit to Lords was a test between NZ and MCC, sadly. I went home at tea time bored. The 1st Test this series is at Trent Bridge, Manchester on July 10 – 14. Strangely the 4th test is held at Durham. Is England now scared to play us at Headingley? In the last series there was the 1st test at Cardiff in Wales and Edgbaston also doesn’t feature in this series. The series (5th Test) concludes at the Kennington Oval on August 25th with the 1st test at the Gabba less than 3 months later scheduled for November 21st. For these upcoming tours there is only apathy. Some think it is over exposure. Who remembers when we go watch the Shield cricket live? We will go and watch Stackie get his century after tea! Over exposure is a contributing factor. So is the silly amounts that players are paid. While writing this article Mickey Arthur South African born Australian coach has been sacked. Cricket Australia has nothing more to say after today’s news conference. For Australia to have a realistic chance in this series, they need bowlers to tie down the English batsmen with line and length. This is what has changed in the last decade. With Glenn McGrath you could count on him containing batsmen. And Warne would spin them out. McGrath had 250 odd test wickets and insisted he was not in the same league as Dennis Lillee. What a top bloke. The very concept of the ashes rings very true today. What can Australia do to re ignite the fire? I personally am hoping. Aussie, Aussie, Aussie. Oi! Oi! Oi! I can’t even name our pace attack. It sure beats federal politics |
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EYE-BALL Opinion – The ALP Cocoon: all Grubs infected with self-interest agendas and trying to spin their own survival agendas –
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Latest ‘EYE-BALL Opinion’ Posts: – 17th Jun – Our Leadership Betrayal – Entitlement should be earned, not assumed nor expected – – 11th June – Julian Assange – An Interview worth Watching – – 6th Jun – True Leadership – Australia is still to experience it the way it was meant – – 30th May – Revisiting the Past – A post some two years ago has relevance today .. – 13th May – Just Stunningly Beautiful – – 11th May – Budget 2013-14 – Wayne Swan about to deliver an ALP death notice – – 8th May – Truthful and Honest Government – the expectation of a Nation as opposed to – Corrupted integrity and Dishonest Government – – 6th May – Gillard’s Real Problem – a truthful expose on her past deeds – – 5th May – The Drugs in Sport Scandal – it’s not about the DRUGS – it never was … – 5th May – Free-to-Air TV and NRL Broadcasts – it’s definitely not about pleasing the fans – – 4th May – Truth and Clarity of facts count – the real cost of Gillards asylum seeker policy – – 27th Apr – Gillard’s long walk of shame is almost nigh – her past is about to catch up with her … To see more EYE-BALL ‘Opinion’ posts: |
Title: – The ALP Cocoon – – all Grubs infected with self-interest agendas – – and trying to spin their own survival agendas – | Author: EYE-BALL Opinion | 24th June 2013 | |
 Newspolls most recent results – [click image at right to enlarge in a new window] – spells another week of pain for the ALP.
What confounds us all yet very few political commentators, is how the ALP caucus remains loyal to a Leader hellbent in leading them to the worst federal election defeat in living memory. The latest Newspoll data has the ALP support back under 30, Gillard as the ‘Better PM’ is at 33 to Abbott’s 45, and Gillard’s satisfaction rating is at 28 compared with a ‘dissatisfaction’ rate of 68. These numbers were similar to the poll results during the Obeid revelations earlier this year. What they represent is a true understanding of the electorates angst at the ‘stunned’ and ‘frozen’ response by the ALP caucus to deal with the Gillard problem. Millions of words have been written by both sides of the media support mediums in the why’s, how’s, and what if’s – but only one mainstream publication and single journalist has pursued Gillard over her AWU scandal involvement and the police investigation currently under way. The Australian’s Hedley Thomas is a lone voice and that is the measure of where Australian journalism sits – we are some 80 days out from a Federal Election – the poll numbers above are a disaster and if Leadership change does not happen this week – the ALP as a political party of any note will shrink to a level not seen previously. All last week and over the weekend the continuing message from Gillard loyalists and RUDD haters was that Gillard will not stand down, and that RUDD would have to challenge. None in the ALP understand what this is doing to business confidence – it is a self-fulfilling prophecy as all Australians suffer under a Leadership quandary that can only be fixed from within. The ALP’s failure to deal with the Leadership issue highlight’s how our democracy structure fails us all.
The panel consisting of George Megalogenis, Jacqueline Maley and Dennis Atkins – representing ‘The Australian’ (News), ‘Courier Mail’ (News), and ‘SMH’ (Fairfax) offered little in real truth about Gillard and why the electorate have deserted the ALP. Dennis Atkins is a devout Gillard supporter – one of the few News journos to hold that view and a regular on Cassidy’s program for that reason. As journalists – the ‘Insiders’ panel continually do a disservice to their profession. Watching this program every week is like attending a weekly ALP wake and mulling over the ‘what went wrong’ and ‘what is going wrong’ scenarios. Wake up you idiots – your job is not to wallow in the self-pity of your political bias and the demise of the ALP, but to report the how and why the ALP came unstuck and why they don’t deserve to be there, or in the alternative, show how the Opposition would do a worse job. Objectively – where was the debate on Gillard’s involvement and ‘her ‘person of interest’ status in the Victorian police investigation into the AWU scandal? Why is that story a ‘no-go’ for all mainstream journalists? Cassidy is just one of the ‘grubs’ trying to spin a survival cocoon around the ALP’s Leadership issues. They talk about the ‘train-wreck’ scenario fast approaching, but not in any urgency befitting the disaster the Nation faces as a result? Stephen Conroy is another of these ‘grub’s who think they have spun themselves so as to be immuned and insulated from what is about to happen. He joined a chorus of Gillard wankers claiming Gillard is the only person to lead the ALP – he made a statement yesterday – linked here … claiming:
The EYE-BALL opinion of Conroy not good – he is the worst performer of any of the Gillard Ministers and does not understand that he is so far out of his depth in handling the NBN deal. Any claim the NBN deal is on track and within budget is just false – the media should be having a field day with Conroy over his handling of this ‘white elephant’ yet they hold fire … why???? This ‘grub’ has his own cocoon – he is responsible for the NBN failure – he has wasted $10’s billions on an NBN pipe dream that continues to fail on every forecast delivery estimates, on budget, and in the services promised to hooked up subscribers. The latest NBN asbestos scare has contractors walking away because they know the incoming Government will in all likelihood scrap the scheme – nobody respects Conroy’s position and even he has to know the party is almost over, yet he holds firm in his support for Gillard. His threat to not work in a Rudd Ministry is his cowardice and reflects his want to walk away from his creation … what a pissant – [meaning: a person or thing of no value or consequence; a despicable person or thing.] Peter Garret has said much the same in that he would not serve in a Rudd Ministry – again who would care!!! One has to ask why the Opposition have not asked during Question time whether the PM can confirm she is a person of interest in the AWU police investigation. Why do politicians treat the electorate with such contempt? Why do the media not ask the questions we all want answers to? In the last week – ALP MP’s have fronted the media selling their own version and scripted response to the ALP leadership speculation. Every one of them has been in support of Gillard. All the RUDD supporters have not offered a media comment … it is a message that is apparently told in secret … Ex ALP Media pundits like Latham and Richardson have offered up their opinions – Latham calling Rudd ‘evil’ and Richardson calling Gillard ‘toxic’ – they have no idea and are both feeding the media frenzy for a pay cheque earned through craven opinions. This ALP meltdown is all of their own making – “those who live by the sword, shall all die by the sword”. That sword is poised and none want to be the first to put their neck on the block – sources close to the MP’s who packed up their office weeks ago leaked the story to damage Gillard’s Leadership … this only confirms there are MP’s and senators within the ALP who want change but are not prepared to openly go against the Party power brokers. All the ALP caucus are penned like sheep in a Party Loyalty pledge to ensure they retain pre-selection and party funding … all a non-issue given the forecast poll results … what makes Leaders so weak … it can only be their allegiance to a Union under threat to not break ranks. This is Australian Labor politics – Union factions in control and dictating the terms of how their MP’s vote … no conscience vote involved, no constituency priority, no policy vote … just a blind loyalty that the Party will take care of them. The Nation has awoken to this panacea – it has realised that a vote for the ALP is a vote for continued Union corruption and for the likes of Howes and other ‘faceless men’ to dictate all ALP policy … they have had enough. Gillard is but a puppet to these men … her bravado in the face of the poll numbers is a recognition of how women in politics still dance to the tune of men pulling their strings. The question again has to be asked – how can these elected ALP MP’s and Senators continue to support Gillard who is the ‘person of interest’ in a Victorian and WA police investigation? Rest assure – all of caucus know of Gillard’s AWU involvement and there are those from within who despise her for what she is doing to the ALP brand. They are the ones undermining Gillard and trying to convince Gillard supporters to jump ship. To expose all that is happening behind closed doors in this leadership struggle is not important. Yes it feeds the media cycle and that is all that matters to all the ALP MP’s hoping they’ll get the Union tap to replace Gillard when the Union bosses decide to make their move. Why don’t the Gillard detractors expose themselves and cross the floor? How can the ALP hope to have any appeal within the electorate if they can’t sort out this Leadership wrangle? They would rather see the Party killed off rather than cut the cancer from within. This ALP ‘self-destruct’ scenario leaves our political landscape open to the Opposition and at least a decade long wilderness spell for the ALP … and no more than they deserve. You would have thought that after the NSW and QLD State election wipe outs – they would have responded ahead of the upcoming Federal election. The poll results reflect the Obeid , HSU and the AWU scandal and how Gillard has offered protection to the likes of Thompson and Slipper. Back to the ABC again – on ‘News 24’ this morning, coverage of Gillards speech to the economic forum was debated and only highlighted Gillards comments of the positive economic numbers this Government has delivered. The full text od her speech can be read here … it read in part –
The ‘News 24’ coverage of the speech was biased and irrelevant … there was no questions about the fall in the A$ since the budget, no question about the loss of jobs at Ford and other Industry shut owns … Gillard lives in her own cocoon and is an economic flamingo – all neck and no brain … Te speech represents ‘noise’ on a page – words written by someone given the message to write something befitting the audience Gillard was talking to … and on cue the audience clapped the speech … pathetic and symbolic of the caged tameness our society lives in. It has become the norm for most media commentary to focus of the ‘fluff’ rather than the substance and it sickens … any journalist worth reading or watching has to ask Gillard the question on the police investigation … the WA media jock who got himself sacked asked the wrong question – Ben Fordham was brave when he asked the question …and the lack of follow-up given the weakness exposed by Gillard demonstrates how the main stream media have alternative agendas. The open lack of respect shown toward Gillard from all sectors, business, electorate, the Opposition and from within her own party has Australia on its knees and pole-axed. Nothing can move forward until Gillard and the ALP Leadership issue is dealt with and that is still something the Cabinet and Ministry don’t want to deal with. For the whole of the term of Gillard’s minority Government, the business of Government has been about survival and number stacking to make sure it stays in office. Nothing can prevent the ALP demise – what Gillard has done to the ALP is the most sinister of betrayals … she is and has always been the puppet of the ‘king makers’ within the Unions – and in these desperate last days before ‘Rome’ burns … Gillard continues to be a rogue Leader and continues to damage Australia… To see how this damage continues, read Shane Dowling’s latest – ‘Kangaroo Court of Australia’ post on Judicial appointments, and how the appointment of the wife of Australian Council of Trade Unions (ACTU) Secretary Dave Oliver to the Federal bench happened … linked here … well worth the read. |
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EYE-BALL’s Herman on – The Senate –
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| Links to Previous ‘Herman’ Posts:
– 5th June – Zombies – – 1st June – Canberra – and black holes – -30th May – What is an adequate Contrition? – – 24th May – Simplex – – 19th May – The Tears of a Prime Minister – – 24th Mar – An Example of bureaucracy gone mad – – 10th Mar – The Carbon Tax – Post Election … – 7th Mar – Wayne Swan – Please Stop 28th Feb – The Australian Labor Party View – 6th Feb – Corruption – 25th Jan – Anti Discrimination – – 17th Jan 2013 – Atheism – – 12th Nov – Hegemony – 2nd Nov – A March early Federal election – To see more EYE-BALL ‘Herman’ posts: |
Title: – The Senate – | Author: EYE-BALL’s Herman O’Hermitage | 21st June 2013 | |
| As this parliament goes through it final death throes on the one hand you want to find something else to do, but then you know it will only be hours before there is another storm in a tea cup and some issues actually matter. For me the composition of the new government’s Upper House is everything. Those elected in September take office from July of next year.
The bigger picture is: if the Greens attempt to block the repeal of the Carbon Tax or MRRT, Tony Abbott has promised a double dissolution. Far too easily said, but lacking in any type of real thought therefore strategy. In late September there will be a government in the lower house that will be so swollen they will be allocated seating on the cross benches. The ALP will be so reduced they will have a telephone box caucus rather than a kitchen cabinet. Most portfolios in opposition will go to senior senators therefore the few surviving opposition lower house members will have multiple spokesperson roles. The media will try as they might to dent the new government but most electors will still not be listening. The people have spoken so get on with it. Under two successive half senate elections the Greens will be reduced to a failed party. That will be obvious from the half senate election conducted on September 14. If we try to predict the Upper House result from first preferences then 30% ish is 2 quotas. 42% is 2½ quotas, which will translate into 3 quotas after distributing preferences. To explain; a quota is 1/6th of the electorate or 16.67%. Roughly in each state Coalition will get 2 to 3 quotas. ALP will get 2. Greens with maybe 6% have none. There will be contests in each state for the 5th and 6th spot. The territories are different. Predicting the outcome is just too hard. Julian Assange says that private polling dictates that he might get 28% support across the nation. I do not believe that. Nor do I believe Clive Palmer. Most importantly the Coalition needs to get 60 plus % in each State to have any chance of controlling the Upper House. Ignoring all argument 58% across the country is unheard of. If you then attempt to rationalise the double dissolution effect, each quota is halved therefore 1/12th of the electorate or 8.33% is the hurdle. So that 30% becomes roughly 4 quotas, and 42% becomes roughly 5 quotas, 6% becomes roughly 1 quota with each state throwing up 2 independents on local issues. By way of example, both Katter and Palmer would be first in line in Qld if they have secured approx 5% of the electorate this September. Pauline Hanson with 2% in NSW will still fail, no matter what. Under a double dissolution the Greens will get a second wind. There are many other considerations. If this new parliament does not give policy implementation a very good go, the electorate will be only further disenfranchised. When an election costs approx $100mio every three years, that is an accrued budget cost of $33mio pa and we expect to see some progress for that taxpayer expense. Consider the outcry about electoral funding and think what would the electorate response be towards a double dip by early next year? This new Government will need to work hard, and rebuild the electorate’s faith in representative policy making. I hope and pray they might even listen to the electorate, and start delivering on some real vision. This can include Mr Abbott’s policies like;
There are miles of issues to be addressed. These policies will culminate in a mini budget in about November, and the new government’s first full budget next May, 2014. It is time to get Australia proud of itself once more, and working together as a nation. So let us drop the thought of any double dissolution before 2015. For all we know BHP Billiton might re ignite Olympic Dam expansion project under the incoming coalition government. I said through all the twaddle this week of news, there are some real issues. Yesterday Sarah Hanson Young was electioneering on ABC News 24 morning TV about re listing of the debate in the upper house regarding Australia recognising same sex marriage performed overseas. The motion was defeated soundly. (Some 40 odd to some 20 odd). She was asked will it affect real change. Surreptitiously she smiled, and said she was not confident but we will have to see. She then went on to talk of the danger of the Coalition winning her senate seat in the up-coming elections. As set out above, the Coalition will get 2 to 3 in SA, the ALP 2, and should we get real politicians like Nick Xenophon in the other 1 to 2 positions, then we might expect a much less emotional and less stupid debate that to which we have become accustomed over the last 3 years. At roughly the same time yesterday morning Saul Eslake (economist from ANZ bank) was at pains to describe why he has now changed his prognosis to include a 25% chance of recession from mid 2015. Why all this political correctness? He is at pains to say that we need to start priming the pump now, given 2 successive quarters of negative Gross National Expenditure to March 2013, and by 2015 when 7 major gas infra structure projects go from construction phase to export phase the loss of jobs may be the straw that breaks the camel’s back. That includes a projected fiscal black hole of $20bn in 2013/14, outstanding government debt of $300bn, natural stabilisers will hurt the fiscal position, and with unemployment hovering at 6% what hope is there for Consumer and Business confidence? Already the mining services sector is in backwardation. Call it down-sizing, or down scaling whatever. Mining Services Companies are tendering at cost, simply to survive, and attempt to maintain technology, capacity and relevance. Before getting back to the election I must mention Clive Palmer. Good old Clive is saying that all material published by Hedley Thomas in the Australian against him, is factually wrong, stolen and designed to vilify him and promote the Coalition’s prospects in the election particularly in his upper house ambitions of controlling the balance of power in the Senate. Like many others I don’t know what to think of him. He and Katter will get all disaffected right wing support from the combined Liberal National Party. That was the great fallacy of combining Liberal and Nationals. There will always be those who don’t like what the combined ideologies represent. But preferencing matters. Using AEC acronyms, there are essentially 3 types of upper house votes. They are SATL – Single vote above the line, RATL – Random above the line and BaTL – Below the Line. SATL are the biggest group. Over 90% of electors vote SATL. Liberal, National, ALP, Green and so on. There is no preference given, and therefore they can’t be counted or assumed. The next one RATL, they actually determine where preferences go. Most electors think that they like one group, but don’t like who they are giving their preferences to so I won’t vote for them. The elector decides. Not the party. Let us imagine that you were intending to vote for Bob Katter Australia Party. But you heard somewhere he and Palmer had a preferencing deal. The only way your preference flows to Palmer is if you put Palmer second. The only deal made is the suggestion on the how to vote paper, mark KAP 1, UAP 2 and so on. If you were to do say KAP 1 then IND 2 then LNP 3, there is no way UAP gets that preference. If there is no 4, a valid vote, then should your vote not work for KAP, then next considered is IND, then LNP in that order, you remain a 1st preference for KAP despite preferencing continuing amongst other candidates. Thereafter when the six who have received the highest number of preferences are declared successful and duly deemed elected. BaTL are a thing of the past. Assume you don’t like the 2 first candidates for LNP yet you want to vote for LNP candidate 3. You can start your numbering 1 from there and 2 goes to candidate 4 and so on until you have given the required number to be valid. That number is not yet known – probably 10. This is where many votes are declared informal. You have not followed the instructions. If I was to see 1 in candidate 3, and 1 repeated in candidate 4 and nothing else it is unclear. You have not met the minimum number required, but I also have no idea if you are attempting to vote for LNP candidate 3 or 4? If you choose the BaTL method be very careful you don’t put the same number twice. BaTL doesn’t really make the work of the AEC any harder. On election night the polling staff are tired and just want to go home to sleep having started about 7am. They still get it rather correct. All lower house votes are counted first. Only 1st preference is counted. Then again using lower house votes, the most accurate staff preference between ALP and Coalition. It is assumed no independent will feature, unless there is an incumbent, like Tony Windsor in 2010. Hence Wilkie was quite overlooked until the following day, when more analysis occurred at divisional returning office. After 2 party preference comes Upper House voting. They are split into Above The Line and Below The Line and then put into piles of 1st pref. When that is completed and results phoned through, divisional returning office instructs the Polling Place Manager to send the staff home. All ballot papers are then returned to a secure storage for further determination by the Returning Officer. In the case of the upper house that is known some 4 weeks later, 3 at best. In the case of lower house, if it is close then postal votes and absentee (or declaration votes) need to be considered. Counting of Postal votes often takes a week to start, and Absentee (Declaration) votes are even slower. When a candidate has a handsome margin over the next (possibly as low as 2 – 4%), news analysis will concede the result, while the Returning Officer only does that when he is 99.99% certain. In the case of Upper House preferences computer scanning occurs at the Returning Office. They still get it right. The vote on the night is a fair indication of the mood of the electorate, however no one can guess with certainty the last spot in all the states. This September Australia’s fate is in the hands of this senate process. What will occur in the Lower House will be determined by the make up of the Upper House. No one can possibly know how hostile the senate will be towards the Abbott led Coalition at this stage. It is most unlikely the Coalition will control both houses. It is also fairly unlikely Australia will go back to the Polls in the first 18 months. After that it is just too hard to tell. Believing in senaty is indeed insenaty. |
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EYE-BALL Opinion – Rudd or Gillard – evidence the ALP are Leaderless –
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Latest ‘EYE-BALL Opinion’ Posts: – 17th Jun – Our Leadership Betrayal – Entitlement should be earned, not assumed nor expected – – 11th June – Julian Assange – An Interview worth Watching – – 6th Jun – True Leadership – Australia is still to experience it the way it was meant – – 30th May – Revisiting the Past – A post some two years ago has relevance today .. – 13th May – Just Stunningly Beautiful – – 11th May – Budget 2013-14 – Wayne Swan about to deliver an ALP death notice – – 8th May – Truthful and Honest Government – the expectation of a Nation as opposed to – Corrupted integrity and Dishonest Government – – 6th May – Gillard’s Real Problem – a truthful expose on her past deeds – – 5th May – The Drugs in Sport Scandal – it’s not about the DRUGS – it never was … – 5th May – Free-to-Air TV and NRL Broadcasts – it’s definitely not about pleasing the fans – – 4th May – Truth and Clarity of facts count – the real cost of Gillards asylum seeker policy – – 27th Apr – Gillard’s long walk of shame is almost nigh – her past is about to catch up with her … To see more EYE-BALL ‘Opinion’ posts: |
Title: – Rudd or Gillard – – evidence the ALP are Leaderless – | Author: EYE-BALL Opinion | 21st June 2013 | |
| The media prove yet again they never let a good story get in the way of logic or the truth.
The recent media ‘blood lust’ for a Leadership coup has everybody offering opinions based on stupidity rather then educated and logical opinion. The media have hours of time to fill in a daily cycle and they can’t do it – they have to re-run the same story with a different take to keep the public glued – if people thought about it for more than a minute they would realise its a ‘soap opera’ with the lowest quality rating. I offer a question – is the Leadership speculation news offered based on a factual and/or informed debate – or is it offered up as entertainment bordering on slander and intrigue with a hint of maybe … The recent speculation about Rudd assuming the Leadership role of the ALP suggests it will happen next Friday after the current session of Parliament. Rudd must know that the current Cabinet will walk away or not be loyal if he becomes Leader – there is not enough time before the Sept election for a new Ministry to adapt – he has to know that to lay a hand on the Leadership now is a poison chalice from which there will be no comeback. Two former senior Ministers are not re-contesting i.e. Ferguson and McClelland – his credibility in any new cabinet will ensure his poll numbers match that of Gillards within weeks if he took the reins …. By example – look at Mark Dreyfus efforts as Attorney General – he took over in February and he still can’t come to terms with what his role is – he is just a Gillard mouthpiece and about the dumbest AG we’ve had in a very long time. What would PM Rudd be the Prime Minister of – a ‘rabble’ who can’t stand one another and a Union faction war waiting to happen. If Gillard walked – it would open the gates on her and the AWU police investigation interest in her … she would be asked to front for an interview and that guarantees she won’t walk unless she cuts a deal. Who will offer her a deal – the Opposition – the police can’t – no she’s there until the voters throw her out … So – if the above is true – Rudd has declared he won’t challenge … that simple … and if he does go back on his statements – then his popularity will sink to Gillard levels. If caucus are worried about re-election polls then tough titties … they should have realised a long time ago the polls were accurate but they chose to support Gillard along with the Union’s Ludwig and Howes edict. Shorten is embroiled in the same AWU cover-up and his form is also suspect. If he became PM he knows his involvement in the AWU scandal will also be his Achilles heel … So if not RUDD, then who … it astounds me that none of the media commentary suggests the Deputy PM Wayne Swan is in the running – his own party writes him off as a neanderthal and that then requires a question as to why he is still Treasurer and not removed as Deputy PM. You look across the ALP Front Bench – not one is likely … there are plenty who think they are capable but who would vote for any of them? None have the ability to interface with the public – they all use the media in controlled environments to pass their message, and the media champion to that cause like lapdogs dry humping the MP’s leg … This ALP have to be laid bare – left bleeding and with all Union affiliations on the rack and spent if they are ever to find their roots again. Rudd can’t do that and neither can any Union man with aspirations. If RUDD becomes PM before the election then he never had the right to be PM in the first place … it would be just that dumb … |
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EYE-BALL’s Harry’s Growl on – Election 2013 – Growl No: 47 – Chris McArdle – Craig Thompsons Lawyer – opens up with his views on drive time radio –
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| Latest ‘Harry’s Growl’ Posts:
Larry Pickering Cartoons – Updated 19th June 2013 – click to view in a new window:
To see more of Pickering’s Political cartoons – use this link … – 18th June – Election 2013 – Growl No: 46 – Gillard revisits her Slater and Gordon Exit – 12th June – Election 2013 – Growl No: 45 – Gillard and Swine swill – – 10th June – Election 2013 – Growl No: 44 – Foreign Minister Bob Carr – The “Gallah” that feasts and is never concerned with the damage left behind … – 8th June – Election 2013 – Growl No: 43 – The Independents and The Greens – why do they accept an alleged Criminal as PM? – – 6th June – True Leadership – we are yet to experience the way it was meant to be – – To see more EYE-BALL Harry’s Growl posts: click here … |
Title: – Election 2013 – Growl No: 47 – – Chris McArdle – Craig Thompsons Lawyer – – opens up with his views on drive time radio – | Author: EYE-BALL’s Harry’s Growl | 19th June 2013| |
It did not last long but the NSW Law Society should have a listen and make a judgement call whether he should be amongst those Lawyers registered to practice .. Listen below to hear the dribble this guy spoke on behalf of a planned fundraiser for Thompson to help pay legal fees – fees owed to McArdle … What do ya think … the clue was that this guy was serious … wanker … |
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Have your say where it counts: – contact your Local Federal Representative via the links below and let them know how you feel about this, or any other topic that you feel strongly about – or you can just post a comment below and let off some steam. Links to Australian Parliamentary Website – MP’s:
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EYE-BALL’s Guru on – The Wayne Swan 2013-14 Federal Budget – Special EYE-BALL Guru Report – The Economic Triggers Part 2.6 –
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 Latest GURU Posts:
– 31st May – The Wayne Swan 2013-14 Federal Budget – A Special EYE-BALL Guru Report – The Economic Triggers Part 2.5 – – 29th May – The Wayne Swan 2013-14 Federal Budget – A Special EYE-BALL Guru Report – The Economic Triggers Part 2.4 – – 28th May – The Wayne Swan 2013-14 Federal Budget – A Special EYE-BALL Guru Report – The Economic Triggers Part 2.3 – – 28th May – The Wayne Swan 2013-14 Federal Budget – A Special EYE-BALL Guru Report – The Economic Triggers Part 2.2 – – 27th May – The Wayne Swan 2013-14 Federal Budget – A Special EYE-BALL Guru Report – The Economic Triggers Part 2.1 – – 18th May – The Wayne Swan 2013-14 Federal Budget – A Special EYE-BALL Guru Report – Part 1 – – 14th May – When is Government a Business and – when is Government a Government – – 13th May – Wayne Swan’s “Treasury Mistakes” – The Evidence of Incompetence – a Ponzi expert in the making. – 10th May – Wayne Swan’s “Treasury Mistakes” – A Follow-Up – – 29th Apr – Wayne Swan’s “Treasury Mistakes” – Heads must roll – Swan and Bradbury must accept responsibility’ – – 23rd Apr – Wayne Swan’s – “Investment pipeline” – disappearing before his eyes – where does he go for his next ‘bunny excuse’ – – 21st Apr – Wayne Swan’s legitimacy – He Says … ‘high A$ causes $7.5b hole since Oct ’12’ – He’s a unique type of idiot – – 14th Apr – The Debt Clock ticks … Tic Toc … – Gillard just spent another $3,000 – counting the real cost of this ALP Disaster – – 5th Apr – Superannuation 2013-14 – the Government’s new Slush Fund – Proposed Changes show SWAN and SHORTEN’s stupidity – – 4th Apr – Australia’s Parliamentary Remunerations – – 3rd Apr – Government not happy about its tax collect – Claims Tax Minimisation deserves ‘Naming and Shaming’ – To see more GURU posts: – click here … |
Title: – The Wayne Swan 2013-14 Federal Budget – – A continuing Special EYE-BALL Guru Report – – The Economic Triggers Part 2.6 – | Author: EYE-BALL Guru | 19th June 2013 | |
Links to previous posts in this series about – “The Wayne Swan 2013-14 Federal Budget” – A continuing Special EYE-BALL Guru Report:
List of Chapters in this Post:
Chapter 14: Economic Trigger – Debt to GDP Ratios: The measure of any Nation’s prosperity can be read by their Debt to GDP ratios. The Australian ratio has been low by world standards for a long time. Australia’s “AAA” credit rating remains at the highest level – and there is a question in that statement – as other Nations fall down the rankings because their DEBT/GDP ratios rise all a result of the GFC Central Bank printing of money, and Australia’s ranking position improves despite the increased indebtedness, Australia’s ranking and avoidance independence from similar weakness is only a matter of time. We depend on exports, yet with the high cost to do business with Australia and largely because of our healthy economic position, it will be the same reasons why we trip and fall down the rankings. We have priced ourselves out of the market. Can you imagine any time soon where Australians will willingly take pay cuts, public servants accepting less remunerations and more productivity, where Unions turn militant against forced layoff’s and wage cuts? Look to the P.I.G.S. Nations to see what potentially lies ahead … avoiding this scenario will require some hard political decisions. Opposition Treasurer Joe Hockey gave an excellent picture in his Budget Reply address – linked here – as what may lie ahead. The vision was tempered because to tell it like it is would quash public confidence already down 7% since the Budget speech last week. The chart below gives reason for concerns about the Australian Debt/GDP growth. [Click to enlarge in a new window.]
It is easy to see the difference between ALP and Coalition economic policies. Since early 82 when Hawke assumed office – the next 30 years of Governance has seen 11 years of Conservatives, and the balance with Labor. The Chart above shows what happens under Labor Governments, and how Conservative Governments impose restraints to spending and budget deficits. Under Treasurer Swan, he has managed to do in five years what 27 years of previous Governments never did. Swan presides over the highest Debt/GDP ratios Australia have had in a generation, or for as long as records have been kept to make these comparisons. Wikipedia has this to say about Debt/GDP ratios – linked here.
Australia ranked 12th of economies in growth of Nominal GDP from 1980-90. In the period 1990-2000 they ranked 16th, and in the period 2000-10 they ranked 10th – source linked here. Australia’s debt levels are not critical when compared with many like type economies. The debate about the failed Swan ‘surplus budgets’ and the escalation in our debt levels through record deficits, is a judgement call on whether this is the time – i.e. in the aftermath GFC – to grow Debt/GDP ratios as the rest of the world also increases its Debt/GDP levels. For the Government to go on spending sprees that burn resources that may be needed to protect the economy when real hard times do visit our shores, the question becomes about the political agenda of those doing the spending, up against the real cost of protecting the economy. The OECD record of Debt/GDP growth of the OECD membership gives clear illustration of the globes worsening financial position. This is illustrated in the OECD Member Debt/GDP Chart at right. Since 2007 – the average growth in DEBT/GDP levels for OECD members has increased from 74% to 112%. In coming months and years, the lenders of monies who have facilitated this growth in debt will be demanding higher interest rates as risk of default increases. This average numbers applies to the OECD member group – Table of all OECD members and their Debt/GDP ratios provided below. [Click to enlarge in a new window.]
WIth Russian levels so low – the G8 average of 104% suggests that the other seven (7) Nations are in real trouble. This evidence proves what once was considered the world’s richest Nations are now fast approaching critical mass in economic terms. There is real change in economic power on the way. Mr Swan’s continued claims that our numbers are good in comparison with other OECD members is a false truth – our DEBT/GDP growth rate since the GFC is the highest growth % of any of the OECD Nations – i.e. 13.8% in 2008 to 28.9% in 2013. That is a 109% increase in DEBT ratio – and only beaten by Ireland [157%], Spain [110%], and equalled by Slovenia [109%]. That puts Australia in some pretty ordinary company … Mr Swan’s argument that the headline number of 29% is the envy of the rest of the world is true but has nothing to do with his economic management – John Howard can take credit for having such a low DEBT/GDP ration when the reins were handed over in 2007. Mr Swan cannot crow about any of Australia’s economic prosperity – in fact he has done his best to kill all industry and commerce with his high A$ and high Interest Rate policy. He may claim that the RBA set both these policies – well he had better think about appointing RBA Board Members who are not friends of the ALP if they ever get the chance again. Without China’s demand for our resources – no amount of spending by the Government would have saved the day. On this Economic Trigger alone – Swan and his Treasury and RBA get a rating of ‘gross’ incompetence. Defending the A$ rise after the sell off in early 2009 during the ‘resource trade’ exit would have given the Nation a 50% export revenue windfall for the next five years … that is worth A$trillions and whatever the RBA spend in defending the A$ would have be seen as chicken feed. This has been a complete misread of the economic fallout and demonstrates how ‘boofheads’ at the RBA and Treasury have no idea what they’re about in the new global marketplace. Focused on Inflation containment in a market where every other Nation wants inflation gives insight to the RBA’s ancient thinking. The ‘Australian Debt Clock’ has a history function for designing Charts – it is a great resource for image projection for the state of the Australian financial wellbeing. Chapter 15: Economic Trigger – Bond Yields and Official Cash Rates:
Then it comes to significant data – data that has an impact on real lives, cost of money – i.e. interest rates and currency hold sway over every other economic indicator. Interest Rates are always an electoral banner line. It’s where voters feel the impact of botched or healthy economic policies. The RBA are charged with monetary policy responsibility. This goes to CPI – i.e. Inflation targeting, and the only dark-age tool the RBA is prepared to use to manage the policy is Interest Rates. Budget Result, 10yr CGS, CPI, Debt on Issue, Debt/GDP ratio, and CPI v 10yr CGS spread: – [click image to enlarge in a new window.]
The RBA are charged with monetary policy responsibility. This goes to CPI – i.e. Inflation targeting, and the only dark-age tool the RBA is prepared to use to manage the policy is Interest Rates. They don’t target currency – their biggest mistake, they only monitor all the other economic indicators as an adjunct to what they do with interest rates to punch holes in the economy if the pressures from the other indicators are of concern. Even the Banks challenge the RBA’s authority when they don’t match and lag on rate reductions, yet apply rate increases in full and as soon as possible. By example – in the last two years of official cash rate reductions this practice of delaying passing on rate reductions has been a media story. Banks are openly defying the RBA – it is almost as if the Banks are a protected species – and the RBA too scared to play the heavy hand. In the early stages of the GFC the Government gave the Banks ‘protected status’ and this gave the larger Banks a competitive edge over all the smaller players. In the aftermath of the 1987 crash Banks were also given special conditions in dealing with their eroding capital base and the continued writedowns they were carrying. If a Government was looking for a sure means to raise revenues – why would they try to tax the miners when the Banks make mega profits in all types of markets. A ‘Profits’ based Tax comment: Given the maniacal focus the Government has on ‘profit-based’ taxes – all aimed at the resources sector i.e. petroleum and mining – one ponders why the Banks are not also targeted. With collective annual profits from the NAB, ANZ, WBC and CBA over the last 3-4 years averaging $20-$25 billion per year – you would think that that would qualify them for a ‘super-profits’ tax. The Banks are profitable in any market, more so when economic times are buoyant. Since the GFC and after the Commonwealth gave then preferred Banker status with guarantees, Australian Banks continue to rank among the most profitable in the world. Targeting the high-risk mining sector is a lottery exercise for budget estimates on tax collected as the last year has proven. With the capacity to write down mining leases, infrastructure, and bring forward expenses into current years through tax minimisation schemes, the mining industry are not a sure bet profits based tax system. The Banks are. The four Banks mentioned are Australian owned, Australian based, surely a super tax on Bank profits is a more apt tax grab then targeting the resource sector. One has to think what the likes of Twiggy Forrest, Gina Rinehart, Clive Palmer, and other mining magnates did to draw the attention of the ALP with the super-based tax. The miners pay ‘royalties’ to the States and the ‘super-profits’ tax competes with State revenues and the royalties charges. It’s a direct conflict and the law courts should uphold the legitimacy of the MRRT – 10yr CGS v CPI v Debt/GDP ratio: – [click image to enlarge in a new window.]
This is a great chart to show the GFC impact on Australia’s Debt/GDP ratio, relative to historical trends with CPI and the 10 year Commonwealth Bond yields. Mr Swan’s comments about our core Debt/GDP levels being the envy of the World have face value. But to say further, if Mr Swan thinks he can brag about that being his or this ALP Government’s responsibility he lies and takes credit where credit is not due. Our own GFC crisis still awaits us – in recent times the FORD plant closures, the petroleum refinery closures, the HOLDEN troubles, the mining boom ending, te tourism industry in tatters, the manufacturing and retail industries – all are showing signs of fatigue with a labour force cost pushing jobs off-shore. The fall in the A$ since the budget will help, but it’ll take 18 months or so for it to impact on the economy if continues to head lower. 10yr and 2yr CGS v RBA Cash Rate: – [click image to enlarge in a new window.]
The focus of the above Chart confirms the Interest rate targeting by the RBA has taken volatility out of the risk equation. This has been great for off-shore investors who see stability, and more importantly – still a 2-3% interest rate gap over interest rates in their own Nations. Since the GFC they have parked their funds here for safe haven and Treasurer Swan opens the doors and lets them pillage from Australian home owners still paying far too much in mortgage rates. This is illustrated further in the ‘Cash Rates’ of other Central Banks below: Global Central Bank Cash Rates: – [click image to enlarge in a new window.]
Again, this Chart does an excellent job of proving evidence in how the RBA has screwed all Australians – they would never look at it that way – but that is the reality as offshore investors take advantage of the interest rate gap that feeds to the high A$ – that also feeds to our ‘most expensive Nation to trade with status’ … Why is the differential there in the first place … in response the RBA will argue it is the premium that has always been there … but the chart reveals the gap during the lead up to the GFC in 2007 was a premium of 1%, during tha GFC crisis that gap blew out to 7% in 2008, and in more recent times has narrowed to a 2.5% gap. During the worst of the GFC – the Government spend like jack rabbits and the RBA boosted interest rates, before allowing them to fall in a gradual fashion – always keeping a 3% and more margin between the US and Australia’s official cash rates. Does the RBA think it better at economic management then the rest of the other G20 Finance Ministers … Perhaps the RBA can claim some fame for keeping inflation in check – but who cares in a market where the risk is more about deflation … talk about incompetence and focus on the wrong game … Australian Mortgage holders are still to this day paying 2-3% above those rates of our major Trading partners. In the period since the 2013-14 budget speech the A$ v US$ has shown weakness, the Treasury head has come out and forecast that their modeling was all wrong on so many levels. Even said that the new budget was already under pressure because some forecast resource prices have already come under pressure. Today we had Holden issue a statement that its workers would have to take pay cuts or lose their jobs. How do you think the Unions will respond to that. Tis is the dam wall crumbling and all under Swan’s ‘Jobs and Growth’ mantra … the idiocy of his failed understanding in how a high A$ combined with real high Interest rate policy settings have destroyed Australian industry will be revealed in coming years. The RBA won’t think like that because they are no longer Bankers – they are bureaucrats with one eye on their pensions and careers. The RBA’s charter and mandate needs an overhaul like many other choked Government Departments – i.e. Justice Department to name one. Chapter 16: Economic Trigger – Currency Value: There are many prongs to how ‘currency value’ impacts on every aspect of the economic cycle and triggers. It is the most important of all ‘triggers’. A$ v US$ since Float with Averages – [click image to enlarge in a new window]
The Chart above plots the Trade Weighted Index TWI, against the A$vUS$ since the 1983 float of the A$. There is a lot of detail and further explanations are offered below: Averages:
These numbers portray economic times and how the World has perceived the Aussie Battler and how our resources have impacted on our trade and current account numbers and all offset by the higher A$ value. To explain further: Resource contracts with our export Nations are domiciled in US$’s. So in raw terms a 100 million tonnes of ore exports in SU$ terms would return Australian exporters an A$ value dependent on the exchange rate, and the price of the ore. With the A$ at the long-term average of A$0.7557, that would equate to A$ receipts of 133.2 million. The same trade with the A$ at its post GFC average of $1.0182 returns the exported A$98.2 million. That is a 26% reduced revenue if the Iron Ore price in US$ terms stayed constant. But we know that is does not – see link here for 5yr monthly price of Iron Ore in SU$’s. From this example one can see that as ore, coal, agriculture and the many more commodities prices fluctuate, the revenue to Australian produces gyrates on two fronts – currency value and commodity value. Commodity prices are set by supply and demand and since the GFC, China holds pride of place – all roads lead to China as a trading partner – struggling economies want China’s business. That gives China a wedge and advantage on so many levels. It is not hard to imagine what China can do with this position – it is not beyond the imagination to think that China could pull orders for Iron Ore [i.e. stop buying] around contract renewals to allow the price to fall and have miners scramble to renew contracts against the new miners wanting to climb the ladder for Chinese business. This is the new ‘WAR’ – it’s a global war on trade and the human factor is ‘labour costs’. So as Australia with a fixed wage system and Unions to get involved when seen to be needed, current wage costs in Australia will see this Nation’s competitiveness erode as other Nations usurp our export markets with cheaper goods. This should be the only thing the RBA should be focused with – and if they don’t see it as important, then the Treasurer and the Government who set policy should have had this matter on their radar for many years and have implemented measures to weaken the A$ … obviously it has not happened – and why is that? Only one answer – our Leaders do not understand finance, nor what it is they do not understand about how markets work. Under Gillard the A$ v US$ has maintained its lofty levels without any language since 2008 until a few months ago about how the A$ is not the reason for revenue write-downs. See Chart below to see the A$ performance during Rudd and Swan’s, and Gillard’s and Swan’s tenures … A$ v S$ during GFC period and to current: [click image to enlarge in a new window.]
The dump in late 2008 and recovery from early 2009 proves that the decision makers had no idea what was afoot at the time. Currency Management has never been a priority of this Government or the RBA. This is absolute ‘hillbilly’ economic management. In the toxic investment environment prevailing world-wide during and immediately after the GFC – off-shore investors had to find a safe haven for their funds. Their criteria needed stability of scales, leadership, relatively stable economy, a economic status that was tapped into the world economy, and most importantly, an opportunity to secure a return on that investment via interest rates, and/or a currency that would not in all likelihood depreciate or erode capital. There was only one option – Australia. As China’s demand for resources were not affected by the GFC – the selloff in the A$ in and during the GFC worst days gave a million reasons to reverse that sell order – the currency was now below $0.50c, half its value a few months earlier. To add to the gravy ride, the RBA mover interest rates up against what every other Nation was doing. Stupid right … but invite these investors we did and they came in with their $100’s billions and the RBA gave them assurances talking up the interest rates saying that they had to keep them high for fear of inflation pressures. What a cock-suck … Blind dumb idiots in a panic did exactly what the carpet baggers of the world wanted. And here we are now … raped and sucked dry with a siphon hose stuck right up our arse allowing the wealth to be sucked out of Australia without any ‘risk’ premium involved. Currency value is the be all and end all in the new global trade wars … high currency means expensive labour costs from an off-shore perspective. It is an instant kill shot to industry and the growth in export markets. It encourages imports which in turn leads to job losses and internal economic slow down. The opposite to all things Swan is so proud to advocate. His ‘jobs and growth’ speeches are famous for the hollowness sound they echo. Added to Swans stupidity is that of the RBA’s inflation targeting policy, and the Treasury modelling he uses to frame his budgets, all still focused on things that mattered 20 years ago – this Administration’s economic management makes George Bush look pretty good. Swan will realise in his golden years what it is that he did for Australia – one wonders will that make him humble … In the next Chapter the ‘Terms of Trade’ and ‘Current Account’ Economic Triggers are examined. |
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| Please – if you found this story to your liking and would like to promote it to your social media contacts – i.e. Twitter, Facebook, or other icon linked account below – please click your favoured Icon(s) to promote the story. Thank you
Have your say where it counts: – contact your Local Federal Representative via the links below and let them know how you feel about this, or any other topic that you feel strongly about – or you can just post a comment below and let off some steam.
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EYE-BALL’s Harry’s Growl on – Election 2013 – Growl No: 46 – Gillard revisits her Slater and Gordon Exit
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| Latest ‘Harry’s Growl’ Posts:
Larry Pickering Cartoons – Updated 10th June 2013 – click to view in a new window:
To see more of Pickering’s Political cartoons – use this link … 12th June – Election 2013 – Growl No: 45 – Gillard and Swine swill – – 10th June – Election 2013 – Growl No: 44 – Foreign Minister Bob Carr – The “Gallah” that feasts and is never concerned with the damage left behind … – 8th June – Election 2013 – Growl No: 43 – The Independents and The Greens – why do they accept an alleged Criminal as PM? – – 6th June – True Leadership – we are yet to experience the way it was meant to be – – 31st May – Election 2013 – Growl No: 41 – On Reflection – Abbott should have known better – they all should have known better – – 30th May – Election 2013 – Growl No: 40 – Abbott gets a backbone & – New AG MArk Dreyfus really is a “TOSSER” … – 29th May – Election 2013 – Growl No: 39 – A Disguised New Tax – Political Party Membership by Default … – 17th May – Election 2013 – Growl No: 38 – – Swan’s Rubbery Figures – A “Waste of Space” Oddity … by Parody … – 2nd May – Election 2013 – Growl No: 37 – Police Investigation into Gillard – When will the Media do their job – – 22nd Apr – Election 2013 – Growl No: 36 – Minister Jenny Macklin – Delusional and in Complete Denial – – To see more EYE-BALL Harry’s Growl posts: click here … |
Title: – Election 2013 – Growl No: 46 – – Gillard revisits her – – Slater and Gordon Exit – | Author: EYE-BALL’s Harry’s Growl | 18th June 2013| |
Who said history was a roadmap to the future … never was it more true than in the case of Julia Gillard! As her Prime Ministership lurches from one disaster to another in their dying days, her circle of confidants diminishes, her public appearances become more bazaar, and her poll numbers shrink to Hitler type popularity in his last days, one has to ask – is all this similar to her last days at Slater and Gordon as the AWU fraud began to unravel? Back then Gillard went willingly because she faced disbarment, and a few other nasty options had she stood her ground and fought. Of course if she were innocent she would have fought and that is the crux of why she is on so many levels where she is today. Some 75% of the Nation want her gone and yet she defies all and swears she will stay to the bitter end … even if it means putting her beloved ALP in the wilderness for a decade or more … Why is she so prepared to fight this battle – yet chose to walk away from the AWU fraud? To be honest – who thinks she is our elected PM? She became the PM by stealth and on the back of her AWU friends – she had to sleep with the Independents and the Greens to form a minority Government in 2010 – so in true essence she has never had the support of the people in the true sense of an elected PM. Why would she not exit – she has qualified for her $6 odd million lifetime taxpayer funder Parliamentary pension plan, and in addition she gets her $1.5 million or so annual taxpayer funded ex PM expense plan – she is set for life financially – why would she grind up against the public opinion polls and those from within her party – i.e. the likes of Ferguson, Crean, Bowen, all Senior Ministers prepared to quit rather than serve under her? Gillard has lived with 17 odd years of resentment – resentment at the way men dealt with her over the AWU fraud – she felt she was isolated way back then and believed that it was all because she was a woman, she believes she was given no choice other than to take the course of action forced upon her. The men in her life at the time had her over a barrel and when all done – they left her a woman on a career scrap-heap and all she wanted to do was to blame those men for all her problems. This is the beginning of her deep resentment toward men – her lawyer career was shredded and gone, her dream of a political career closed and gone, her lover and co-conspirator exposed and gone … she was now a woman in despair and rather than accept her own culpability, so began her deep-set resentment toward the men who caused her the pain in her life. At no time did Gillard ever take responsibility for her predicament – her choice in men, her choice to break the law on so many levels, her choice to leave Slater and Gordon rather than stand on her much stated principal – “I did nothing wrong”, she herself elected to not let her innocence shield her from what followed. If she truly believed she ‘did nothing wrong’ – why did she allow herself to be imprisoned by the fallout … It is quite simple really – Gillard is devoid of morality when away from the pubic eye – she is not that clever as a lawyer, she was unable to cover her tracks and her involvement in the AWU fraud and ultimately incriminated herself in her Peter Gordon interview. Was it a case of blind love and undying loyalty – was it her dream of a man, children and a life of shared bliss, was it a case of her being prepared to give it all up for someone who could take care of her? All questions she alone might be able to answer – but the Julia we see today is in that same place she was 17 odd years ago. Her fate to be decided by a predominantly male jury made up of her political peers and an electorate so wanting to see her fall from grace and pay for the shame she has bought to this Nation. She presents a scenario not unlike Hitler’s last days, hold up in a bunker awaiting a fate she cannot believe she has found herself in yet again. This is a far cry from the confident woman who walked into Kevin Rudd’s office and plunged the AWU sealed knife squarely in his back in front of the whole Nation. Truth is Gillard has always been a flawed person – she has never shown honour, never shown humility, never embraced the responsibilities and standards the role of Prime Minister demands – she has no shame in demeaning the office she serves, and never shown any understanding of what a Prime Minister’s role as Leader of a Nation is all about. If this is feminism on the move and the direction the gender equality debate is headed – women need to take heed. You do yourselves a disservice if you support this woman … she is not representative of any moral standards women can bring to the equality debate. Her time in the position has shown us everything that a PM should not be – and that fountain only has one flavour – hypocrisy. She loves the attention of men and is a unstoppable flirt – one might say that as a modern woman she felt no shame in using her sex to procure everything she achieved in life … that might be a stretch – her Law degree was honest toil – her Socialistic Uni agenda was about finding who she was – her becoming ‘Partner’ at Slater and Gordon was about success – and that is where and when it all began to turn sour. From 92-95 she was living the dream – an affair with a married man with children, connections to Union power, involvement in financial transactions that afforded them to live high on the hog, Julia was on her way … she was a Partner at Slater and Gordon, one of the most powerful Union Lawyer firms in the Nation, her future was already mapped. Her lover was a AWU Union delegate and he needed someone who could set up his corrupted AWU Association so he could funnel shake down funds from a number of contractors and turn the funds into legitimate assets. This was a proven Union business model and Wilson with his promotion to Victoria from WA was now in a position to put his snout into the pig trough. Who set up those accounts for him … step up Ms Gillard … a Union lawyer with an aspiring legal mind that believed she could fool all her fellow partners at Slater and Gordon. Whether she be a fool, or a criminal mastermind – her involvement is now all being uncovered by Victorian and WA Police Investigations, with ample help from whistleblowers, and bloggers like Mike Smith who have had their own careers trampled on because they wanted to expose Gillard and her involvement as our Prime Minister. This story is Australian history in the making – when done Australia’s shame in having allowed it to go on for as long as it has will make us the laughing-stock of the world … how could we elect a criminal to be our Prime Minister? Yes this is our current Prime Minister – and to see the ALP caucus continue to allow her to serve as their leader, in the face of and despite this knowledge and information being revealed in an ongoing manner – the Government still sit on their thrones as if glued because they dare no move. If they did take action so long after the event, it would expose their plausible deniability. Gillard is in a self destruct mood – she sees the AWU scandal back in 1995 and how she was cast aside as the reason to let ‘Rome’ burn … she has no intention in trying to save Labor – she would rather see it burn than again be cast aside … And in this scenario – Gillard is more dangerous now than she has ever been – she is our own homegrown political terrorist – she has her own bomb-vest set to detonate when it can do the most damage – Gillard no more cares for Australia’s future as aligned with her own views of her personal place in history. In another context – she might be called a mental retard with a hate agenda against men … and I’m sure Tim can add so much to that debate. |
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