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EYE-BALL’s Rookie Bookie on – Weekend Preview – 10th – 13th Aug –

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Latest ‘Rookie Bookie Updates:


GI Index Performance:

Value of INDEX:

30th Mar = (+) 0
04th Apr = (+) 216.67
11th Apr = (+) 393.67
18th Apr = (+) 293.67
25th Apr = (+) 293.67 – no activity last week …
2nd May = (+) 290.00
9th May = (+) 340
16th May = (+) 433.3
23rd May = (+) 517.2
30th May = (+) 492.2
6th Jun = (+) 467.3
13th Jun = (+) 497.3
20th Jun = (+) 463.7
27th Jun = (+) 363.7
4th Jly = (+) 363.7
11th Jly = (+) 352.47
18th Jly = (+) 335.80
25th Jly = (+) 328.30
1st Aug = (+) 370.80
8th Aug = (+) 274.97


Links to previous Posts:

2012:


To see more EYE-BALL ‘Rookie Bookie’ posts:

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Title:
– Weekend Preview – 10th – 13th Aug –
| Author: Rookie Bookie |8th Aug 2012 |
To assist with navigating this page, please use the INDEX links below to go to Admin and Code Summaries:


Last Weekend Updates:

  • Collect on Geelong 2.625, lose on Panthers (NRL), Lose on parlay (West Coast AFL), Lose on Sharks (Super Rugby), 1 unit last week, ½ unit from May, lose on Olympic gold medal bet (2 units). Net loss 2.875 units.
  • In NRL Manly show they are not finished, Sharks and Storm recover some prowess, I am not yet convinced from Storm perspective or Tigers. Broncos really need a friend. Battle for 8th spot is definitely not over. Wooden Spoon is now between Panthers and Eels.
  • Super Rugby NZ’s Waikato Chiefs were awesome. I got knocked around. The overall strength of NZ in that light has really killed the Southern 4 Nations from my perspective. Even should Wallabies win on Saturday week at Sydney’s Olympic Park, I won’t get interested. Australia would need to give them an absolute pasting to re kindle interest.
  • AFL is really getting big but only for a few teams. Their draw is simply not a level playing field, and will have to addressed for future years. So much fun available this weekend, lop sided starts and prices. Only 2 matches I can’t see any interest in.
  • My Olympic Australia’s gold medal tally has come home on the back of a wet sail, a little to few, a little to late. At best we might finish with maybe 7, and placed about 9th on International standings.

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The Rugby Championship:

  • My assessment is NZ $1.50, Australia $6.00, SA $6.00, Argentina $101.
  • Tab Sportsbet is NZ $1.45 Australia $4.75, SA $4.75, Argentina $101.

Round 1

  • Australia v New Zealand My estimate $2.50/$1.67 Actual not available
  • South Africa v Argentina. My estimate $1.10/$11.00 Actual not available

Super Rugby Final

  • Chiefs v Sharks At Hamilton 5.35pm AEST 4/8/12
  • My estimate $1.95/$2.05 Actual $1.30/$3.30.
  • Further Unit invested at $3.30 on Sharks.

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AFL – Round 20: (Underlined = Forecasted Winner)

  • West Coast v Geelong (+2.5) estimate market $2.25/$1.80 Actual $1.80/$2.00
  • Saint Kilda v Melbourne (+48.5) estimate market $1.50/$3.00 Actual $1.06/$8.50
  • Adelaide v Fremantle (+18.5) estimate market $1.67/$2.50 Actual $1.40/$2.90
  • Gold Coast v Giants (+17.5) estimate market $2.25/$1.80 Actual $1.40/$2.90
  • Swans v Collingwood (+12.5) estimate market $2.00/$2.00 Actual $1.65/$2.20
  • Carlton v Lions (+30.5) estimate market $1.50/$3.00 Actual $1.20/$4.40
  • Hawks v Port (+80.5) estimate market $1.05/$21.00 Actual $1.01/$15.00
  • Richmond v West. Bulldogs (+34.5) estimate market $1.40/$3.50 Actual $1.16/$5.00
  • Bombers (+7.5) v North estimate market $2.00/$2.00 Actual $2.20/$1.65
  • Best Bet: Geelong,
  • Value: Collingwood, Giants, Essendon Bombers
  • At the Margin: Melbourne Demons, Giants

Top Four Betting:

  • Sydney Not Quoted,
  • Hawthorn $1.02,
  • Adelaide $1.01,
  • Collingwood $1.35,
  • West Coast $4.50,
  • Geelong $8.

Final 8 Betting:

  • Sydney Not quoted,
  • Hawthorn Not quoted,
  • Adelaide Not quoted,
  • Collingwood not quoted,
  • West Coast $1.05,
  • Geelong $1.10,
  • North $1.25,
  • Fremantle $1.65,
  • Essendon $2.00.

Grand Final Betting

  • Hawthorn $2.50,
  • Swans $4.00,
  • Collingwood, $5.50,
  • Adelaide $8,
  • Geelong $9,
  • West Coast $17,
  • North $34,
  • St Kilda,$51
  • Fremantle $67,
  • Essendon $101

Betting on the Minor Premiership:

  • Sydney $1.75,
  • Adelaide $4,
  • Hawthorn $5.00,
  • Collingwood $9.00.

Wooden Spoon:

  • Giants $1.40,
  • Suns $2.80.

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AFL -The Race for the Flag:

Sydney Swans:

  • Won 15 from 18, losses to Crows R6 14.10.94 – 15.9.99, Richmond R7 8.14.62 – 13.13.91, St Kilda R9 12.11.83 – 16.15.111,
  • Sequence WWWWWLLWLWWbWWWWWWW 1st Quarter won 14, 2nd 12, 3rd 14, 4th 9.
  • Their run home, – Bulldogs (a), Hawks (h), Geelong (a).

Adelaide

  • Won 14 from 18, losses to Hawthorn R3 12.12 84 – 21.14.140, Collingwood R9 6.13.49 – 10.15.75, North R13 13.11.89 – 17.19.121, Geelong R18 11.9.75 – 15.12.102
  • Sequence WWLWWWWWLWbLWWWWWLW 1st Quarter won 11, 2nd 10, 3rd 13, 4th 11.
  • Their run home, – Brisbane (a), Melbourne (a), Gold Coast (h).

Collingwood

  • Won 14 from 18, losses to Hawthorn R1 16.19.115 – 20.17.137, Carlton R3 9.8.62 – 18.14.122, Carlton R15 8.14.62 – 12.13.85, Hawks R17 13.13.91 – 21.12.138,
  • Sequence LWLWWWWWWWWbWWLWLWW 1st Quarter won 13, 2nd 12, 3rd 10, 4th 8.
  • Their run home, – North (h), West Coast (a), Essendon (a).

Hawthorn

  • Won 13 from 18, losses to Geelong R2 13.12.90 – 14.9.92, West Coast R4 5.16.46 – 5.21.51, Sydney R5 10.9.69 – 16.10.106, Richmond R9 10.15.75 – 21.11.137, Geelong R19 17.14.116 – 18.10.118.
  • Sequence WLWLLWWWLWWWbWWWWWL 1st Quarter won 11, 2nd 17, 3rd 10, 4th 11.
  • Their run home, – Gold Coast, (h), Sydney (a), West Coast (h).

West Coast Eagles

  • Won 12 from 18, losses to Essendon R7 7.10.52 – 16.17.113, Brisbane Lions R10 15.10.100 – 16.6.102, Collingwood R13 12.10.82 – 12.13.85, Sydney R15 10.9.69 – 18.13.121, Crows R18 11.9.75 – 19.19.124, Fremantle R19 6.14.48 – 17.11.113.
  • Sequence WWWWWWLWWLbWLWWLLWL 1st Quarter won 10, 2nd 12, 3rd 10, 4th 12.
  • Their run home, – Port (a), Collingwood (h), Hawks (a).

Geelong

  •   Won 12 from 18, losses to Fremantle 15.11.101 – 16.9.105, North R3 16.18.114 – 20.11.131, Crows R7 10.12.72 – 19.18.122, Collingwood R8 11.18.84 – 14.12.96, Sydney R13 11.8.74 – 12.8.80, Collingwood R15 10.19.79 – 17.8.110,
  • Sequence LWLWWWLLWWWbLWWLWWWW 1st Quarter won 9, 2nd 10, 3rd 9, 4th 13.
  • Their run home, – St Kilda (h), Bulldogs (h), Sydney (h).

North

  • Won 11 from 18, losses to Essendon R1 15.12.102 – 14.20.104, Sydney R4 10.17.77 – 17.11.113, West Coast R6 15.5.95 – 17.18.120, Western Bulldogs R7 12.11.83 – 15.11.101, Port R8 14.9.93 – 14.11.95, Hawthorn R10 9.5.59 – 27.12.174, West Coast R15 13.6.84 – 12.14.86,
  • Sequence LWWLWLLLWLbWWWLWWWW 1st Quarter won 12, 2nd 12, 3rd 10, 4th 8.
  • Their run home, – Collingwood (a), Fremantle (h), Giants (h).

Essendon Bombers

  • Won 11 from 18, losses to Collingwood R5 11.13.79 – 11.14.80, Melbourne R10 6.16.52 – 8.10.58, Sydney R11 11.16.82 – 13.8.86, St Kilda R15 8.14.62 – 21.7.133, Geelong R18, 10.7.67 – 20.14.134,
  • Sequence WWWWLWWWWLLbWWLWWL 1st Quarter won 8, 2nd 10, 3rd 8, 4th 10.
  • Their run home, – Carlton (h), Richmond (a), Collingwood (h).

Fremantle

  • Won 11 from 18, losses to Sydney R2 12.9.81 – 14.10.94, Carlton R5 7.15.57 – 10.5.65, Hawthorn R8 9.9.63 – 17.17. 119, West Coast R9 5.6.36 – 11.18.84, Crows 12.10.82 – 17.9.111, Bombers R13 14.5.89 – 17.11.113, Magpies R14 12.6.78 – 15.17.107.
  • Sequence WLWWLWWLLLWbLLWWW 1st Quarter won 7, 2nd 8, 3rd 13, 4th 12.

Return to Index …


NRL Round 23: (Underlined = Forecasted Winner)

  • Souths v Manly (+1.5) – estimate market $1.80/$2.25 Actual $1.80/$2.05
  • Storm v Titans (+8.5) – estimate market $1.80 /$2.25 Actual $1.38/$3.10
  • Eels (+1.5) v Chooks – estimate market $1.80/$2.25 Actual $2.05/$1.80
  • Tigers v Saints (+4.5) – estimate market $1.60/$2.67 Actual $1.55/$2.50
  • Cowboys v Warriors (+9.5) estimate market $1.50/$3.00 Actual $1.35/$3.25
  • Panthers (+2.5) v Raiders estimate market $2.50/$1.67 Actual $2.10/$1.75
  • Dogs v Broncos (+10.5) estimate market $1.40/$3.50 Actual $1.30/$3.60
  • Knights v Sharks (+1.5) estimate market $2.25/$1.80 Actual $1.80/$2.05

The Weekends Forecast:

  • Best Bet: Titans
  • Value: Raiders, Sharks
  • At the Margin: Titans

Top Four Market:

  • Canterbury Not Quoted,
  • Souths Not Quoted,
  • Melbourne Not Quoted,
  • Manly $1.55,
  • Cowboys $3.50,
  • Brisbane $15,
  • Cronulla $7.50.

Top Eight Market:

  • Canterbury Not Quoted,
  • Souths Not Quoted,
  • Melbourne Not Quoted,
  • Manly Not Quoted,
  • Cowboys $1.04,
  • Brisbane $1.07,
  • Cronulla $1.12,
  • Titans $3.50,
  • Wests $1.60,
  • Newcastle $5.50.

Wooden Spoon (most regular season losses):

  • Parramatta $1.33,
  • Penrith $3.25.

Grand Final Market:

  • Canterbury $3.75,
  • South Sydney $4.50,
  • Melbourne $4.50,
  • Manly $5.50,
  • Cowboys $15.00,
  • Brisbane $17,
  • Cronulla $21,
  • Titans $34,
  • Warriors $34.

Return to Top …


The Money End of the Season

Bulldogs

  • Won 14 from 19, losses to Knights R4 6 – 20, Souths R6 10 – 20, Storm R7 6 –12, Manly R8 10 – 12, Titans R10 14 – 25,
  • Their Sequence WWWLWLLLWLWWWbWWbWWW Prediction 18 wins
  • Their run home, – Broncos (h), Tigers (h), Raiders (a), Roosters (h).

Souths

  • Won 13 from 19, losses to Roosters R1 20 – 24, Storm R2 10 – 24, Broncos R4 12 – 20, Warriors R7 22 – 44, Bulldogs R13 18 – 23, Broncos R16 12 – 26,
  • Sequence LLWLWWLWWbWWLbWLWWWW Prediction 16 wins
  • Their run home, – Manly (h), Sharks (a), Eels (h), Knights (a).

Storm

  • Won 12 from 19, losses to Cronulla R10 10 –12, Wests R14 6 – 10, Bulldogs R16 4 – 20, Raiders R18 12 – 40, Cowboys R19 16 – 20, Eels R20 10 – 16, Saints R21 18 – 26,
  • Their Sequence WWWWWWWWWLbWWLWLbLLLL Prediction 14 wins
  • Their run home, – Titans (h), Broncos (a), Sharks (h), Tigers (a).

 Broncos

  • Won 12 from 18, losses to Cowboys R2 26 – 28 Warriors R9 20 – 30, Manly R10 22 – 24, Storm R12 10 – 34, Cowboys R15 0 – 12, Sharks R17 12 – 26, Titans R20 10 – 14,
  • Their Sequence WLWWWWWWLLbLWWLWLbWL Prediction 15 wins
  • Their run home, – Bulldogs (a), Storm (h), Manly (a), Panthers (h).

 Cowboys

  • Won 11 from 19, losses to Titans Round 1 0 – 18, Sharks R4 14 – 20, Storm R6 18 –42, Souths R8 16 – 20, Wests R12 18 – 26, Titans R13 12 – 28, Warriors R17 18 – 35, Bulldogs R21 18 – 32,
  • Their Sequence LWWLWLWLWWWLLbWWLbWWL Prediction 15 wins
  • Their run home, – Warriors (h), Saints (a), Knights (h), Sharks (a).

Manly

  • Won 10 from 17, losses to Cronulla R3 14 – 17 Saints R4 6 – 17, Eels R5 20 – 29, Titans R7 14 – 26, Penrith R12 4 – 22, Storm R15 22 – 26,Knights R19 6 – 34,
  • Their Sequence WWLLLWLWWWWLWbLWbWL Prediction 11 wins
  • Their run home, – Souths (a), Knights (h), Broncos (h), Titans (a).

Sharks

  • Won 10 from 17 & a Draw, losses to Wests R1 16 – 17 Knights R2 6 – 18, Souths R9 28 – 34, Bulldogs R11, 6 – 26, Eels R13 20 – 29, Draw Easts R18, Saints R19 10 – 18,
  • Their Sequence LLWWWWWWLWLbLWbWWDL Prediction 12 wins
  • Their run home, – Knights (a), Souths (h), Storm (a), Cowboys (h).

Titans

  • Won 9 from 19, losses to Raiders R2 12 –24, Storm R3 6 – 30, Warriors R4 6 – 26, Bulldogs R5 20 – 30, Roosters R6 12 – 18, Broncos R8 8 – 26, Tigers R9 14 – 15, Sharks R14 12 – 22, Saints R16 6 – 8, Warriors R18 14 – 32,
  • Sequence WLLLLLWLLWbWWLWLbLWWW Prediction 13 wins
  • Their run home, – Storm (a), Eels (h), Panthers (a), Manly (h).

Knights

  • Won 9 from 19, losses to Saints R1 14 –15, Broncos R3 10 – 24, Storm R5 22 – 34, Saints R7 4 – 12, Roosters R9 6 – 24, Cowboys R10 12 – 32, Titans R12 14 – 24, Broncos R13 24 – 50, Raiders R14 16 – 32, R16 24 – 50, Souths R18 18 – 34
  • Sequence LWLWLWLWLLbLLLbWWLWWW Prediction fighting out 8th with Manly on a count back.
  • Their run home, – Sharks (h), Manly (a), Cowboys (a), South (h).

Tigers

  • Won 9 from 19, losses to Manly R2 18 –22 Saints R3 12 – 36 Raiders R4 16 – 30, Souths R5 16 – 17, Broncos R6 14 – 18, Roosters R15 28 – 42, Knights R16 20 – 38, Bulldogs R18 20 – 32, Cowboys R20 16 – 29, Souths R21 6 32,
  • Sequence WLLLLLWWWWbWWWLLbLWLL
  • Their run home, – Saints (h), Bulldogs (a), Roosters (a), Storm (h).

Saints

  • Won 9 from 19, losses to Bulldogs R2 4 – 30, Broncos R5 20 – 28, Sharks R6 0 – 12, Cowboys R9 6 – 30, Panthers R10 12 – 13, Souths R11 18 – 19, Manly R13 8 –.20, Bulldogs R15 20 – 28, Raiders R17 18 – 22, Souths R19 16 – 36,
  • Their Sequence WLWWLLWWLLLWLbLWLbWLW
  • Their run home, – Tigers (a), Cowboys (h), Warriors (h), Eels (a).

Therefore in week 1 Dogs play Cowboys at ANZ, Souths v Broncos at ANZ, Storm v Knights In Melbourne, Titans v Sharks at Gold Coast. Week 2 Broncos v Titans at Lang Park, and Cowboys v Knights in Townsville.

Return to Top …


Betting Summary

  • 1 unit Canterbury Bulldogs to win 2012 NRL premiership @ $5.00. Matures 30/9/12
  • 1 unit Brisbane Broncos to win 2012 NRL premiership @ $8.00. Matures 30/9/12
  • 1 unit Adelaide Crows to win the AFL Minor Premiership @ $4.50. Matures 2/9/12

This Weekend:

  • 1 unit on Gold Coast Titans to finish in NRL top 8 @ $3.50 (matures 2/9/12)
  • 1 unit on Gold Coast Titans plus start of 8.5 v Storm @ $1.90
  • ½ unit on Raiders to defeat Panthers (NRL) @ $1.75
  • ½ unit on Geelong to defeat West Coast (AFL) @ $2.00
  • ½ unit on GWS Giants to defeat Gold Coast Suns (AFL) @ $2.90
  • ½ unit on GWS Giants with start of 17.5 @ $1.90
  • 1 unit on Collingwood with start 12.5 over Sydney Swans @ $1.90

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EYE-BALL’s Rookie-Bookie …

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  1. Rookie Bookie
    August 10, 2012 at 11:03 am

    I have posted earlier this weekend is great gambling. Broncos are $7 to miss the final 8. Should Wests defeat Saints tom, and Titans lose to Storm tonight, the existing 8 will look relatively secure. Trouble is I fancy Titans tonight, and Broncos are out of form, with a tough run home, and Titans have a relatively cruisier run home. Broncos have Dogs, Storm and Manly. Titans after tonight get Eels and Panthers before meeting Manly in the ultimate round.

    Last week I read the Super Rugby final very badly and the shock was pretty difficult to recover from. Should I collect on Titans tonight @ $3.25 and hedged with start @ $1.90 there are so many games this weekend I feel very confident about. More are AFL than NRL, but at this stage one step at a time. My index bet on tonight is Titans final 8 based not tonights game. I also have Geelong going around.

    For mine it is more interest than rythmic gymnastics on the TV last night.

    Good Hunting and Happy Punting.

  2. big punter
    August 10, 2012 at 4:29 pm

    on geelong but they are very easy in market

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