EYE-BALL’s Snoop-Poop on – NRL Round 20 – Upsets galore – Final 8 positions on the line…
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To see more EYE-BALL Snoop-Poop posts:
– NRL Round 20 – Upsets galore
– Final 8 positions on the line…
| Author: EYE-BALL’s Snoop-Poop | 21st July 2012 |
|With only one match to be completed to finish the round – Cowboys v Tigers in Townsville, tomorrow night – the compression on the leader board is a promoters dream.
Tigers hold eighth position on 22 points – behind them are five teams on 20 points. Seventh place is the Seaeagles and their form is also suspect.If Cowboys win tomorrow night – they will go to 4th ahead of the Broncos who could have slid from 3rd to 6th if Cowboys win and had the Sharkies won.The upsets over the weekend were Parramatta’s win over the Storm, bottom placed beats top placed and that makes 4 losses in a row for the Storm.
The Broncos loss will be expensive – Hoffman and Teo will be fronting the judiciary and both will miss matches. Teo has gone once already this season and could get 2-3 weeks for his careless coat-hanger.
Hoffman’s hit on Bailey was just blatant, and any argument he was going for the ball is stupid. Clenched fist – stiff forearm – he did not miss.
The Broncos are in trouble and their momentum like the Storm is backwards.
Canterbury were awesome against the Seaeagles – despite to rough house tactics employed by Toovey’s troops. Glen Stewart is a coward – always attacking in defence from behind and always offering a cheap shot – Babar just keeps defying the critics and nobody can shut him down despite him being targeted.
The Rabbits are another form team but without Inglis their surge might suffer. His hit on Young from my view was OK – he did the same to the Broncos Hoffman twice a few weeks ago and did not even bring a penalty. His elbow did not lift and first contact was made below the head and Young’s head cannoned into Inglis with the force of the tackle. A great hit … the NRL have either got to ban the ‘shoulder charge’ – and make players use their arms to engage in a tackle, or define the parameters of a shoulder charge.
If a player stands his ground and braces himself with his shoulder and it makes contact with the head in any way – the judiciary see it as ‘head-high’ and a stint on the sideline beckons.
Given Young’s physical distress the rules need to protect players and a blind-side shoulder charge risk’s a players safety. For mine it has to go – as with the third man in low on the player in possession.
Back to the ladder – teams lining up for the 8th position – Warriors, Titans, Knights, Raiders, and Dragons can all turn it on on a good day. Realistically, Warriors are about the only team who could last past the first weekend of Finals footy.
The top four spot also has interest given the new finals matchups. Storm and Broncos are most at risk from losing their top 4 spot. If they do – their season will be all but over. The teams to watch for mine are the Bulldogs, the Rabbits depending on how long they give Inglis, and the Cowboys with their massive forward pack and Thurston.
Manly’s Coach Toovey ‘mad-dog’ interview last night says a lot about the mad-monk performances this year. He ain’t a coaches bootlace … and the exodus of players from Manly this season attests to that.
With six rounds to go – a finals berth is there for the taking for 13 of the 16 teams. The Roosters only have pride to play for at 14th and the Panthers and Eels will battle for the wooden spoon. The Eels victory over the top placed Storm last night and their coaches last game – give some indication how close the competition is.
The Run Home – thanks to Rookie Bookie…
The final 8 would then be:
The eighth spot would then be decided on for/against record between Broncos and Warriors with the Broncos having 57 points advantage after round 20. Every team in the top eight if the Warriors make it has a shot –
Of course this is all crystal ball stuff and the pressure of the moment will get to some teams. More importantly – how will a referee’s whistle blow for a penalty influence the outcome of the Finals ladder – I guarantee you it will be the case In a season where back to back sets has resulted in 70% of all tries scored – and this stat is only been beaten by the number of tries scored of the back of a penalty.
A big thanks to Rookie-Bookie for his in-depth week in week out analysis and odds presentation for all NRL, AFL and Union codes. Nobody would realise how much work went into his weekly efforts.
His efforts have made this season more predictable even though his selections in the latter part of the season have wavered a little. But then who else would have picked Eels to beat Storm, and Canberra to thrash the Sharkies over the weekend. He will come good for the Finals series.
We’re now down to the business end of the season – if Inglis goes then we know the judiciary is rigged …
EYE-BALL’s Snoop-Poop …