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EYE-BALL’s Rookie Bookie – Weekend Footy preview – 1st – 4th June, 2012
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Title: Weekend Footy preview – 1st – 4th June, 2012 |
Click here – to read previous “Rookie-Bookie” Posts:This page presents Rookie Bookie’s opinions covering all things ‘Aussie Football’ across the 2012 season including AFL, League, Union and other sports mediums. As at the beginning of April 2012 I have introduced a new format and a Gambling Index* – (GI) to help followers of the selections offered – further explained here: *The Gambling Index – (GI)– is a cumulative return, where 100 is your base, initial outlay – i.e. Base = 100.00 as at 30th Mar 2012 – and the weekends wagering performance either adds or subtracts from that index. A cumulative and weekly updated value of the GI is presented below.
25th Apr Update: – A couple of things – I changed the Gambling Index after Cowboy questioned me on units. I reverted from base 100 to base 0. Now it is simply +ve or -ve. Hence base is 0. Therefore – 4/4/12 is +116.67, 11/4/12 is 393.67 (currently correct) as is 18/4/12, and this week unchanged (last week no bets). This week I outlay 100 for possible ? State of Origin – (SOO) will be unique posts regarding gossip and possible selections, Snoopy writes for Queensland, League Leg End writes for NSW, Rookie Bookie is impartial. A post on Olympics was posted as Comment on previous Weeks Preview – [ – linked here – see comment #2]
Weekend 1st – 4th June. [Fri – Mon].Super Rugby – Round 15
Best Bet:Sharks & Chiefs, then Brumbies Value:Hurricanes, they posted biggest score of season against Rebels. Stormers At the Margin:Highlanders The run home to Finals
After next weekend there is a three-week break for tests against northerners. ________________________________________ AFL – Round – 10
Best Bet:West Coast Eagles Value:Nil At the Margin:Melbourne Dees ________________________________________ NRL – Round 13
Best Bet:Wests Tigers Value:Warriors Not without a chance:Knights State of Origin:My assessment NSW $1.95 Qld $2.05 actual $2.05/$1.75 – The implied price in 3rd match at Suncorp is Qld very short like $1.58. ________________________________________ Tennis French OpenOur Sam is $8 to win the Women’s title very short, unders, while Djokovic is $4 which means Nadal is unders. Federer has declared Nadal a certainty. Not @ $1.55 ________________________________________ Soccer Asian Champions League – SoccerGo Adelaide No prices available yet. ________________________________________ Betting Summary
________________________________________ The Rookie Bookie … |
EYE-BALL Guru on – Greek Investors re-engage in Equity Market …
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Title: Greek Investors re-engage in Equity Market … |
The Greek stockmarket rebounded 7.3% overnight on the back of hopes a pro-bailout party will win crucial national elections next month. In isolation this can be seen as a relief rally – but the bigger picture draws and paints a warning to the World that ‘greed’ is still in the drivers seat.
When it comes to understanding why Financial Markets never practice any speculative self-control – the Regulators and World Leaders who are left to manage the bailouts – will never be able to enact policies that target the rampant speculators behind every single boom/bust scenario the markets have been through in the last 40 odd years. The Greek story is published below: [On-Line link to story.]
If one was to look at Greece and really ask the International community if they saw value in immediate investment – the chart below does not offer much encouragement. The chart gives some appreciation of where the Greek equity market has fallen to – in early 2010 the market index was at all time highs around 460. The Index is now at 32 – with a rise overnight to 34.6 – that is the 7.29% that has news services in raptures. Some 13 million shares traded – hardly Wall St stuff. The question is why on the ‘sniff’ of an electoral solution does the Stock market rally 7+% – are people who are in the know out there buying – i.e. insider trading stuff? Greece have a long way to go to even become a credit risk that anybody would want to have anything to do with. Without the EuroZone there to give the appearence of propping them up – they are an economy without equal, and the restraint that is to be endured by Greeks in the coming decade will make life in the poorest African Nation look like a holiday. What gets me thought – that given the reality of their plight – there is still enough optimism to warrant equity speculation … nobody has learnt a goddamn thing since the GFC and this is a guarantee that the GFC is far from over for everybody. ____________________________________________ The EYE-BALL Guru … |
EYE-BALL Guru on – An example of a Government truly concerned about Currency appreciation …
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Title: An example of a Government truly concerned about Currency appreciation … |
The Swiss are regarded as some of the best the money managers of the world – and they have endured to maintain that reputation. Some 12 months ago when the Euro first came under pressure as the EuroZone crisis deepened, the Swiss came up with a plan to protect their currency from becoming a ‘safe-haven’ investment thus making its economy suffer. They ‘pegged’ their currency or put a floor to the Euro at SF1.20.
Australia has had the same problem with currency appreciation since the mid 2000’s, but this ‘dumbass’ fuckwit of a Government, and their predecessors with a equally ‘dumbass’ RBA have stubbornly taken a different approach. The Government want to change Australia’s Industry focus and modernise everything – they want to give up tourism, manufacturing, retail and any other industries who just can’t compete in a global economy where the high A$ has priced them out of the market. The RBA and Government could have done many things if they wanted – they chose to just let the capital flows come in and suck Australia dry due to its reliance on high interest rates relative to our major trading partner,s and its ‘cash and carry’ trade opportunities. The Swiss are again thinking ahead of the curve trying to protect their competitive edge and their economic future. They see the collapse of the ‘Euro’ and are preparing for its outcomes. The following ‘Wall Street Journal’ story has prepared the world in the event that the Euro does go into freefall – it’s telling the world that if you but Swiss Francs – then there will be a fair price to pay for the safe-haven experience. The story is published below: [On-Line link to story.]
This story is a sign of a thinking Government who knows what ‘capital inflows’ can do to economy. It shames the RBA and Government of Australia when all they monitor is ‘inflationary pressures’ and use interest rates to stabilise the economy. The A$’s mean average since it floated in 1983 averages A$0.75c against the US$ – the rise in recent years is directly responsible for the 10,000’s of job layoff’s and business shutdowns across the Nation. Reskilling a workforce for a mining boom of the future – that has been 10 years in the making – this is a course of action that is extreme ‘high-risk’ to say the least, it is also short-sighted in that Brazil and African resources are coming on-stream and will be ultra competitive with Australian resources. This Government has the imagination of a ‘turtle’ figuring a way to cross a road. Also – this Government will be long gone when the reality of their ‘asleep at the wheel’ responses are exposed. Millions of families and the future of this Nation is being exposed due to the incompetence of the RBA and the Government. Both sides of Politics are a party to the RBA’s charter and the RBA can only do as instructed by the bi-partisan agreement over RBA policy. EYE-BALL Guru has been at this Government and the RBA with direct contact for nearly 2 years on this single point – since this blog started in fact – and not a thing has changed. The World’s Best Treasurer – Wayne Swan is the greatest dunce in the World on economic matters and in how to manage an economy. All they see is an opportunity to whack the mining industry with a great big new tax – (MRRT) and that all the other industries need to face up to the fact that this is where Australia is putting all its eggs. At least the Swiss have a track record that others can respect – Australia should learn a lesson. ____________________________________________ The EYE-BALL Guru … |
EYE-BALL Guru on – Greeks flip over Lagarde’s – ‘pay your taxes’ gibe …
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Title: Greeks flip over Lagarde’s – ‘pay your taxes’ gibe … |
The IMF’s Christine Lagarde let go a ‘clanger’ that went viral on her Facebook page over the weekend –
The ABC story is published below: [On-Line link to story.]
[Link to Lagarde’s Facebook page.] Some history on Income Tax:100 years ago there was no ‘income-tax’ across any of the major economies of the world. The research being undertaken for the EYE-BALL Guru ‘Green Paper’ due out later this year, has delved into history going back 100 years. How things have changed in that 100 years! As a generalisation it can be said that 100 years ago – the only people who paid tax were the wealthy – yet in the time-frame elapsed – some 70% of all tax’s collected by Western Governments now come from those who never paid tax 100 years ago – i.e. the payee tax payer or the employees and workers. As for the wealthy – their tax burden has diminished by the same proportions. Put a different way – the Wealthy via self-interest Legislation have avoided their previous tax burdens, and passed the responsibility of funding Governments to the workers. So when the evidence of Greece’s tax collections is examined, including the reports of the wealthy and high paying professional workforce bribing their way to avoid their tax burden, it is understandable why the Greeks are sensitive about outsiders claiming they should be paying their taxes. My question is why has the tax burden shifted and now so relient on the payee workforce in the last 100 years? ____________________________________________ The EYE-BALL Guru … |
EYE-BALL’s Snoop-Poop on – NRL – Broncos Round 12 wrap …
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Title: NRL – Broncos Round 12 wrap … |
The continued split rounds saw some teams fail to live up to their position on the ladder – and others prove the value of backing up players after SOO over the weekend.
The Titans had Bird and Myles back-up and their value in their win was a big factor. The Cowboys backed up all their players, Thurston, Scott, and Tamou, and they seemed to fatigue in the second part of the game allowing the Tigers to run out worthy winners with NSW SOO hooker Farrah playing a big part. The Storms big three, Slater, Cronk and Smith hardly got out of second gear to down a lackluster and pitiful Broncos. Gillet and Hanney – reserve players for QLD SOO backed up for the Broncos, Hodges, Thaiday and Petro were not selected to play. Souths ran rampant with Inglis and Taylor showing what SOO backup can do – Shillington was the only Canberra SOO player backing. Parramatta put in a bigger effort, but St George were just strong enough to tease Parramatta fans to the point of suicidal frustrations. Hayne and Creagh were the backup players in that game. But Let me talk more about the continued demise of Anthony Griffin as the Coach of the Broncos. Winger Copley again showed by his performance on Friday night why he is the worst winger in the NRL – and what is most surprising is that Coach Griffin continues to play him. On two occasions when the Broncos were attacking the Storm in their 22 – Copley ran himself out of room and never bothered to come back inside or make an effort to stay in the play ss the backline move developed – the ball had not got to him so he just pulled up. On one occasion when the Storm player intercepted the ball he just turned around and watched him dash for the tryline at the other rend of the field. Gillet almost pull off the tackle of the century chasing this winger down from center field. Where was Copley – walking back to his tryline some 60m away – that was the moment Griffin should have seen the light on Copley and made a note that this guy is just not up to this leverl of football. The other occasion was when in an attacking play where the fullback ran after a pre-determined kick – Copley just stayed on his wing and watched the play – never thinking that he should perhaps cover the fullback position if the Storm gathered the ball and made a break – Copley again just stood there and watch Slater run away and score the try. He has the football instincts of a moosehead. In the run of general play – it is obvious that nobody wants to pass him the ball – past records show he drops to ball more often than not when the line is wide open. There has to be a reason why Griffin keeps him in the side – please tell us all what that is. So many Broncos players had a bad night. Gillet – what the fuck is he doing in the centers – all his potency is nullified out there – in defence he is an easy mark and in attack – the ball only comes his way when he goes looking for it at dummy-half of back among the forwards. All his early season form has gone – his timing on the big hits is no longer there – and its been six odd games since he has damaged the line in any way., His early season form and impact was off the bench – since he began starting his contribution has been nullified. Storm won at will and it was a very lopsided contest – The Sharks beat them without Gallen, the Bulldogs made it a very tight contest – so where do the Broncos fair on the ladder – their cost 2nd spot is all a fallacy on last Friday nights form. Hoffman is also off the boil – his sideways running makes him an easy target – Cory Norman after showing early season form has become pedestrian. A stat all season has been the teams failure to convert field position into points. They have dominated possession and field position and never come up with the goods. They can have 3-4 repeat sets and never score. The attacking structure in the opposition 22 is woeful – and the defence’s task is made easy because there is no creativity in the plays being put together. Wallace was the team in the first part of the season and was the automatic NSW SOO half-back. His injury showed up just how much defence ehe gets through. Norman was lost without him – and his Friday night performance reflected the weeks out of the game. The forwards have been the mainstay all season – something new for the Broncos – Maguire being the standout – Cory Parker is in coast mode and his kicking against Manly cost the game. Hannet is hot and cold and had a shocker in defence on Friday night – Thaiday is there in defence but his attack is not – ever since Gillet started to play center – the forwards have looked pedestrian in attack. The Broncos will slide down the ladder in coming weeks and unless Griffin gets rid of Copley and gets his attack more structured in the opposition 22 then the early season promise will have been for nothing. If Griffin has a master plan over his resting of SOO players – it is not a plan that has ever worked in the past. look to all the other teams and see hom many SOO players were rested. Hodges, Petro and Thaiday would not have stopped the Storm on Friday night. The players just did not turn up to play – and that is the Coach’s problem. There are a number of teams in this competition who only fill up the numbers – The Broncos are only a game or two away from becoming also rans this season. That is how important last Friday’s game loss was. ________________________________________ To see other recent EYE-BALL Snoop-Poop posts …Click on this link:
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EYE-BALL Opinion on – The UN – as useless as a Bull with no dick!!!
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Title: The UN – as useless as a Bull with no dick!!! |
This morning at a special gathering if the UN Security Council called to discuss the Syrian crisis – the best the UN could come up with was a resolution that was toothless as a ‘fire ants’ with no fire.
When will World Leaders call a spade a spade and get their collective ass’ out of their self-serving and perpetuating condoning of the slaughter of innocents. This is a ‘genocide’ – we’ve seen in in Bosnia, Rwanda, Libia, Tunisia, Balkans, and many other ‘hot-spots’ around the world in the last century, and that does not include the two World Wars, of the other major conflicts including Vietnam, Kuwait, Korea, Indo China, South America, and so on – it is abhorently irresponsible that the World Leadership does not recognises the ‘genocide’ taking place and the best it can do is slap the Syria Leadership on the wrist and tell them to withdraw the military tanks and troops. Read the ABC story on this below: [Linked On-line here.]
Australian media cycles give more airtime to the Thompson affair then to the 1,000’s being massacred in Syria – we are numbed to the fallout – out of sight out of mind. Where is the ‘human conscience – condemning it only leads to it escalating and Syria leadership thumbing their noses and saying – what aer you really going to do about it? It puts in clear perspective where Leadership priorities truly lie and they are not about trying to stop the human carnage. Shame! Shame! Shame! Where is a real Leader when one is needed? Bob Carr – this is your chance to show some Leadership and get the UN ambassador to do what ‘you’ think is the right thing. Right now – threaten to withdraw our troops from Afghanistan and send them to Syria would make you a demigod and might just allow you to stake a claim for the PM’s job. Shame the rest of the World and fight a winnable battle as opposed to the lose lose battle in Afghanistan. It’s a ‘hail-mary’ play but the shame felt by the rest of the world would be put in clear view of those World Leaders all too happy just to sit back and read about the daily loss of civilian life. _______________________________________ To have your say where it counts: – contact your Local Federal Representative and have your say – please use the links below to find your Local Member and let them know how you feel about this or any other topic that you feel strongly about – or you can just post a comment below and let off some steam.
Link to Previous EYE-BALL Posts. ________________________________________
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EYE-BALL’s Herman on: White Collar Crime – Craig Thomson and Peter Slipper … or just Federal Parliament?
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Title: White Collar Crime – Craig Thomson and Peter Slipper … or just Federal Parliament? By: Herman O’Hermitage |
his past week in politics has truly made me angry. Where the minority government continues to stutter and stumble, constantly unpopular in opinion polls, they cling to power with the support of Peter Slipper and Craig Thomson. For the PM or government manager of business to cite the number of censure motions or suspensions of standing order motions, only won through this imbroglio is simply high farce. Wake up and grow up! When hearing of Craig Thomson’s speech to parliament last Monday, I felt sympathy for him. Within hours Marco Bolano in the presence of Kathy Jackson called him delusional. Since then we have a chorus of labor sympathisers including Thomson say lay off, enough is enough. We are told he might be mentally unstable. Expense rorting is a white-collar crime. When it occurs in Federal parliament, an enclave of trust and entitlement it is 3 times worse. If the money was defecated surreptitiously in the commercial workplace gaol time would follow. We would use words of fraud. In the case of the Health Services Union East Branch we are told there is no fraud involved because there wasn’t defined entitlements or systems in place. To the contrary there is common law. Fair Work Australia intends to pursue the matter through the Civil courts (Federal Magistrate’s Court) rather than criminal court. Utter nonsense. Now Fair Work Australia is implicated as being biased by Mr Craig Thomson’s speech to parliament, a speech made under parliamentary privilege. As a member of parliament Craig Thomson is entitled to the salutation “the honourable”. I won’t use that salutation. The same holds for many other government posts where by virtue of position we are required to use; your honour, or your worship, or Emiterius. How often does the encumbent live up to that title and its full intonation? During the week one of the comments on this blog site said we live in a plutocracy. An oligarchy of the rich and powerful. I needed to go and search this concept of a plutocracy. While not knowing exactly the full context of where plutocracy started as a concept, the failure of this parliament to root out this obvious crime, gives society the message that expense rorting is condoned, possibly even widespread. Generally accepted. That is a double standard. In Sept 2007 an acquaintence was arrested at an inner western football club, in front of many patrons, associates or friends, and charged with grievous bodily harm. He was held without bail in holding cells to face court where bail was established. Within weeks he was arrested and again held in custody for allegedly breaching an AVO. By Oct 2009 we had buried that man. He never saw the inside of a prison cell again, but lived in a personal prison and was 54 when he died. All allegations stemmed from a matrimonial dispute. The woman involved is to this day contesting the deceased’s will. There was no crime ever established, indeed the police dropped the charges. There was never a causal link established between this man defending those charges of grievous bodily harm and his onset of cancer, he was merely a heavy smoker and drinker and that caused his premature death. Time non specific, at least 20 years ago, I was told how a childhood friend had hung himself in a Darlinghurst cell, after being arrested for possession of heroin. He had been through detox more than once, and this time when caught, he could not face friends or family and simply topped himself. Gaol is not a pretty place. We all now that, even though few of us can give first hand account. But it exists, and by common law, if we can prove beyond reason doubt that Michael Williamson or Craig Thomson, or Marco Bolano or Kathy Jackson have taken what they were not entitled to, then that is where they deserve to be. That is common law. That is what we term natural justice. It occurs without fear or favour. If that money was used to win a Federal Government seat of Parliament, there are further charges possible under electoral law. The following is a comment posted by Warwick on May 28, 2011 regarding post on Harbour Bridge held to ransom posted on the 15th May 2011. [See link] Regarding Jennifer Betts Stipendary Magistrate being asked to show cause why she should not be removed from office, I have circulated to each and every MLA and MLC in NSW details that the Judicial Commission would not investigate. I have asked the Attorney General if I could make a victims statement to the joint houses sitting after Ms Betts has presented to show cause. This bi polar bull really sickens me. I wrote into the The Daily Telegraph, bi polar is becoming the diagnosis of convenience. When anyone makes an absolute fool of themselves, Marcus Einfield, John Brogden or Jennifer Betts they simply plead bi polar but I am back on my medicine. How many people suffering from a any type of depressive illness has Jenny Betts sent to gaol. About 25% per cent of the prison population are there for some type of alcohol related crime. Alcohol is the most widely self prescribed medicine for depression. After that it would be non prescription chemist products like pain killers. I know Warwick, and tend to know much of his circumstance. He was denied natural justice and he has been tormented for far too long with some version of post traumatic stress syndrome. What is the difference between him and Craig Thomson? Warwick was arraigned to stand trial where he was found not guilty. Since then his life has collapsed. Craig Thomson has not been charged despite volumes of evidence that are sufficient to lay charges, and at this point in time his career is intact, he continues to sit in parliament, with all his privileges intact, and our justice system fails to resolve the issues. Our system of incarcerating people is draconian, most think of it as punishment, in reality we attempt to stop people from self harm or further harm to society. If Craig Thomson is borderline, then that is simply more reason to gaol him. Gaol will prevent him from self harm. It did not help my childhood friend. MMMMM! ________________________________ Click here to read more of Herman’s previous posts … Herman … |