Archive

Posts Tagged ‘NRL’

EYE-BALL’s Herman on – Political Double Speak

The-EYE-BALL-Opinion-Header-2
Links to Previous ‘Herman’ Posts:


- 27th June – Gone-Ski: Prime Minister Julia Gillard -


- 24th June – The Ashes -


- 21st June – The Senate -


- 5th June – Zombies -


- 1st June – Canberra – and black holes -


-30th May – What is an adequate Contrition? -


- 24th May – Simplex -


- 19th May – The Tears of a Prime Minister -


- 24th Mar - An Example of bureaucracy gone mad -


- 10th Mar – The Carbon Tax – Post Election …


- 7th Mar – Wayne Swan – Please Stop


28th Feb – The Australian Labor Party View


- 6th Feb – Corruption


- 25th Jan – Anti Discrimination -


- 17th Jan 2013 – Atheism -


- 12th Nov - Hegemony


- 2nd Nov – A March early Federal election -


To see more EYE-BALL ‘Herman’ posts:

click here …


Title:
– Political Double Speak -
| Author: EYE-BALL’s Herman O’Hermitage | 28th June 2013 |
W

hile the dogs may have been called off on Wednesday and tethered or kennelled on Wednesday night, newly installed PM Rudd would do very well to remember what he has been forced to endure during his hiatus.

On Yom Kippur;

Those of the Jewish faith, rarely vote in person on polling day at a polling station. Saturday is their Sabbath. They can and do vote postal, or pre poll. Postal and pre poll numbers grow at every election. In this modern era of communication most people do not understand why voting takes place only on the Saturday, and do not understand why fines are issued when you fail to vote. Many believe getting your name marked off and going to a cardboard screen and using a blunt pencil to mark a valid voting paper is not just archaic it is beyond pre historic. There are so many diverse opinions, it is hard to condense, but those of the Jewish faith routinely vote pre poll or postal. So do many others.

The AEC makes extraordinary accommodations to attempt to uphold compulsory voting. You might find the occasional officer who takes himself just a little too seriously. For every one of those you will also find one equally lackadaisical.

The real reason you intend to re address September 14 as polling day is because you intend to get as much mileage from G20 in Moscow on September 7th as is possible, and ideally you would return from Moscow to conduct the official launch of the ALP election launch thereafter.

Nothing has changed. On September 21 football finals are at fever pitch. September 28 is worse. On October 5th you not only encounter football finals (NRL) but long weekend in NSW (Labour Day) and Sydney spring carnival horse racing. Any date after that means the scheduled sitting of Parliament in late August will proceed due to the fact that the electoral writs have not been issued.

This comes back to going to the polls in August. The electoral writs need 32 (or 33) days. You want to be in Moscow on September 7th and not let Tony Abbott have that honour. If you go in August can you guarantee that? August 3rd means you need to dissolve parliament by July 1st. By Monday you will not be ready. How many weeks do you need to get ready? Hmmm?

We are watching you clearly. We know you and the way you work.

On Electricity, Gas, GST and Carbon Tax.

David Murray said the Carbon Tax was an extremely inefficient tax. I cite him as a respected business leader. I absolutely agree.

Too many have forgotten, that GST was applied to electricity and gas in 2001 while not on water and other domestic services such as rates to address the concept of externalities (pollution). No steps were taken at that time with those revenues to force cleaner energy.

GST applies to domestic and commercial vehicles. In petrol there is double edged sword in the petrol excise.

A small part of domestic budget stress comes from electricity and gas prices. There are other factors. It also manifests in industrial competitiveness. There should be a proper rationalisation.

Tony Abbott has promised to not only remove the carbon tax, but have a white paper on tax reform, and move Deregulation out of Finance and put it into Department of Prime Minister and Cabinet. To say that the coalition does not have clearly elucidated policies is a furphy. It is more than that, it borders on contempt. We are sick and tired of being told what to think.

On the Australian Dollar;

The very core of this issue is the inflation target of the RBA. It is always in the too hard basket.

In the SPC Ardmona v tinned tomatoes dispute, we are now starting to address tariffs and restrictions again. In the J R Simplot talk of closing canneries in Tasmania the issues are similar. It keeps going, education sector decimated (foreign students), tourism at a competitive disadvantage. Shell closing first Clyde then any thoughts over Geelong. Caltex at Kurnell then at Lytton. Ford and more. Bonds closing manufacturing in Australia. Target and Rivers buying in Bangladesh without any conscience. We the consumer not caring nor knowing what we are buying. Labelling.

SPC is owned by Coca-cola. Simplot is American, must I go on.

Why is it mandatory for Australian commercial TV to have local content? That extends to BHP Billiton, or Rio.

Why are we subsidising production of petrol cars when we export so much gas.

Synopsis

Cut the double speak. As a child I always laughed in westerns when apache accused white man of speaking with a forked tongue. We are sick of being the play thing of foreign interests, and government being complicit. Ignorance or apathy or base stupidity.

Why are 2,000,000 Australian not participating in employment sufficiently? They are unemployed, not participating or want more hours.

Basic truth is a very rare commodity. We all must play our part, and our leaders must play their part.

Believing in sanity is indeed insanity.

Please – if you found this story to your liking and would like to promote it to your social media contacts – i.e. Twitter, Facebook, or other icon linked account below – please click your favoured Icon(s) to promote the story.Thankyou.


Have your say where it counts: – contact your Local Federal Representative via the links below and let them know how you feel about this, or any other topic that you feel strongly about – or you can just post a comment below and let off some steam.

Links to Australian Parliamentary Website – MP’s


EYE-BALL’s ‘Herman’ …

EYE-BALL Opinion – Free-to-Air TV and NRL Broadcasts – it’s definitely not about pleasing the fans -

The-EYE-BALL-Opinion-Header-2

Latest ‘EYE-BALL Opinion’ Posts:


- 4th May - Truth and Clarity of facts count – the real cost of Gillards asylum seeker policy -


- 27th Apr – Gillard’s long walk of shame is almost nigh – her past is about to catch up with her …


- 25th Apr – Prime Minister “JEZEBEL” - Does she deserve the Respect of the People? -


- 24th Apr – The Australian’s Hedley Thomas & Friends – Still hunting down Gillard over the AWU Scandal -


- 24th Apr – Our Higher Education System – Universities fudging research for Higher Funding -


- 20th Apr – Gillard’s Hubris – YUCK – has nothing but contempt for the Disabled and Education -


- 3rd Apr – Gillard v Nth Korea -
– Gillard off to China to fix the problem -
– talk about an overreach -


- 2nd Apr – Gillard – twisting and turning on the spit – there are no fools like old fools -


- 30th – Be careful what you wish for -
– A vote for Gillard and her supporters … … is a choice for  Unionised Socialism and Class Warfare …


- 28th Mar – Apathy – Australian’s have it in spades and deservedly so -


- 23rd Mar – Legitimacy -
– Australia demands it – Gillard does not have it -


- 19th Mar – A downside of Democracy – and the ease in which past Leaders move on -


- 16th Mar – The UNION’s – someone needs to tell them – about high labour costs -


- 15th Mar – Gillard decides to jump off the cliff – she would like us to all to accept her invitation to follow – her desperation is obvious and her judgement is becoming suicidal -


- 14th Mar – Conroy’s Proposed Media Overlord -
– If the Government lifted its game – then perhaps the media have an incentive to do the same -


- 12th Mar – The Speaker of the House Fails all Australians – Question time is a farce, avoiding accountability -


- 11th Mar – On Education – ‘The Munsters’ style – Bowen and Garrett put on a show -


- 10th Mar – The Nation is Slipping Away – can you feel it? -


- 9th Mar – The Dribble … it’s just so exhausting


- 6th Mar - Journalist’s – the perils of Slow News Days -


- 5th Mar – Gillard and Rooty Hill – why not Gillard helping the WA Election Campaign -


- To see more EYE-BALL ‘Opinion’ posts:

click here …


Title:
– Free to Air TV and NRL Broadcasts -
- it’s definitely not about pleasing the fans -
| Author: EYE-BALL Opinion | 4th May 2013 |
For some weeks now I have been trying to get some answers from Channel 9 re NRL live broadcasts, and why they don’t have the broadcast rights to show replays of the Pay-For-View games.

The question has been asked many times – why are pay-for-view games not replayed on free-to-air, when pay-for-view have the rights to replay free-to-air games?

Since pay-for-view became available in Australia in 1995, each new broadcast deal for the major sporting codes in Australia has seen free-to-air broadcasts lose ground to the benefit of pay-for-view broadcast rights.

Foxtel [pay-for-view] broadcast the NRL games using their infrastructure and other resources.  ‘Channel 9′ then purchase the rights off Foxtel for the free-to-air NRL games – yet under the current legislation free-to-air have first right of refusal on all NRL premiership matches.

The NRL’s first responsibility should be to the game and the fans, and for fans not to be able to see their team play every week, be it live or on replay, is the NRL horse-trading the game for more money rather than looking after the fans.  As a result the game does suffer.

This issue has been like a bugg-up-my-ass for years – in the modern era where televised sport becomes the lifeblood of remote and local communities, one would think both the NRL and the free-to-air broadcaster would be looking to do right by the fans as a first option.  Three premiership games out of eight every weekend does not favour the fans or the game.

At a minimum the right to replay all NRL premiership games should be available to the free-to-air broadcaster.  To this scenario – the latest new NRL broadcast contracts were negotiated in late 2012.

Foxtel and Channel 9 agreed to pay $1.025 billion over 5 years for joint broadcast rights.

One could reasonably have expect the new supposedly improved and savvy NRL CEO,  and with the  expansion of Channel 9 channels looking for late night programing that would be most profitable with advertisers,  would have been looking for ways to appease fans and give the game back to the fans.

With the disappointment of not being able the see the NRL Round 6 game between the ‘Storm’ and ‘Rabbitohs’ free-to-air either live or on replay, I contacted Channel 9 via their ‘ninemsn’ on-line contact link.

That contact is copied below:

From: EYE-BALL
Sent: Friday, 12 April 2013 10:00 PM
To: ‘customer.service@ninemsn.com.au’
Subject: NRL – Replay of pay-for-view games on free-to-air …

Dear Sir,

It has confounded me for some years why Channel 9 refuses to accept their responsibilities to NRL fans by not replaying ‘pay-for-view’ games during the week. This weeks round offers the best match up in many a year – Storm v Souths, and outside pay-for-view or club attendance, the game will go unwatched with no mid-week replay for fans who only have free-to-air options.

Foxtel replays all matches during the week, including those telecast by Channel 9.

Club fans of matches not shown on free-to-air do not get to see their teams play unless covered by weekend free-to-air coverage.

With the recent $billion + paid for the rights to televise NRL matches, can you please explain why no foresight was apparent that would provide all NRL fans with the options to see their team play every week be it live or on replay through free-to-air?

I believe you do a disservice to the NRL fan base and would like an explanation as to why this does not happen.

kind regards …

The following response came a day later:

… 13th Apr 2013.

Thanks for your e-mail to ninemsn.

Regrettably, ninemsn has no control over the general programming or content of Channel Nine broadcasts (we manage the ninemsn website but do not have any part in Channel Nine’s operations) and cannot forward your comments on to Channel Nine as they do not accept feedback by e-mail. However, Channel Nine does accept feedback lodged electronically via the FreeTV site contact form:

http://www.freetv.com.au/Content_Common/OnlineComplaintStep1.aspx

As per the information on the FreeTV site, once your feedback is submitted, Free TV will provide it to the station you have selected and the station will respond to you directly. More information regarding how you may provide feedback can also be found on the following page of the FreeTV website:

http://www.freetv.com.au/content_common/pg-viewer-feedback.seo

Alternatively, you are welcome to write to Channel Nine via the following postal address to provide your feedback:

The Compliance Manager
Channel Nine
24 Artarmon Road
Willoughby 2068 NSW

For general enquiries and comments regarding television shows or broadcasting, please call Channel Nine on any of the following numbers:

Sydney: (02) 9906 9999
Melbourne: (03) 9429 0201
Brisbane: (07) 3214 9999
Adelaide: (08) 8267 0111
Perth: (08) 9449 9999
Hobart: (03) 6228 8999
Darwin: (08) 8981 8888

Kind regards,

Wil New
Customer Service
ninemsn / msn.co.nz

customer.service@ninemsn.com.au

You note that the letter was not forwarded on to the relevant contact – but sent back with ‘freetv’ links, and only a physical address and phone number contacts for Channel 9.

I then wrote to my local NRL broadcast affiliate WIN Network and received the following response:

” … The Nine Network and subsequently the WIN Network as the regional affiliate of the Nine Network does not hold the rights to the pay per view NRL games.  They are held by Foxtel and not available to free to air broadcasters.”

This response also did not answer my question apart for the obvious that the pay-for-view games were not available to Channel 9 and its affiliate networks for broadcast. The question raised was about the ‘WHY’.

I followed up and contacted the WIN Network executive who wrote the letter late last week.  During that conversation the following was stated -

  • the WIN executive/spokesperson stated they thought that the Foxtel negotiators were just smarter than the Channel 9 negotiators.
  • They also said they would welcome the opportunity to replay all NRL games,
  • they had the new Channel networks to offer for the replay,
  • they said it would be profitable and advertisers would be lined up,
  • they said they were ‘not welcome’ at the negotiation table for the NRL broadcast deal, and
  • ‘the deal struck was a crappy deal for the fans, and for the affiliate networks’.

Some free-to-air and pay-for-view history:

For some years the free-to-air sport broadcast content in Australia for major International and Domestic sporting events has slowly been transferred to pay-for-view – all with Government Legislation to allow it to happen.

The 2013 ‘Masters Golf’ tournament was picked up by the 10 Network, but the British Open last year, and this year was and will be broadcast on pay-for-view only.

Both these International events have equal footing and prestige in Golfing circles. Why one and not the other?

Australian golfers have won the British Open numerous times ,and it was only Adam Scott’s victory this year that saw an Australian as a winner of the Masters.  The British Open has prime time advantages for Australian broadcasters and advertisers when compared with the Masters early morning starts.

The 2010 Anti-Siphoning list drawn up by the Federal Government included the following events under Golf: – link to full sport/event anti siphoning list

Golf

11.1     Each round of the Australian Masters tournament, played as part of the Professional Golfers Association Tour of Australasia.

 11.2     Each round of the Australian Open tournament, played as part of the Professional Golfers Association Tour of Australasia.

11.3     Each round of the United States Masters tournament, played as part of the Professional Golfers Association Tour.

When Pay-for-view first came to Australia, Australia Sport was a protected species as was a number of International sporting events.   The legislation for ‘anti-siphoning’ laws comes under Senator Conroy’s portfolio – and perhaps no more need be said.

There was a report submitted by the Federation of Australian Commercial Television Stations published in 2001 – linked here – that was in response to an investigation by the Australian Broadcasting Authority [ABA] into the events on the anti-siphoning list.  The ABA final 2001 report can be read here …

This ABA report gives some history of the before arrangements relating to deals between pay-for-view and free-to-air broadcasters in the period before the anti-siphoning ‘list of events’ became a part of the legislation.

However – even before this ‘list of events’ became Law in 2006, some original laws pertaining to the anti-siphoning were introduced in the Broadcasting Services Act 1992 .

The 2006 list outlined all events that were protected in favour of free-to-air broadcasters – i.e. they had first refusal.    The 2006 ‘list’ can be read in full detail here …

The Department of Broadband, Communications, and Digital economy, Senator Conroy’s portfolio, has its own history of the Anti-Siphoning laws and amendments.  Linked here …

In a media release from Senator Conroy in Nov 2010 – the following text was published …

Media Releaselinked here

Senator the Hon Stephen Conroy
Minister for Broadband, Communications and the Digital Economy
Deputy Leader of the Government in the Senate
Minister Assisting the Prime Minister on Digital Productivity

Reforms to the Anti-siphoning Scheme Announced

Minister for Broadband, Communications and the Digital Economy Senator Stephen Conroy today announced a series of reforms to the anti-siphoning scheme that will enhance television coverage of key sporting events in Australia.

“The Gillard Government wants Australian sports fans to see major sporting events for free as they have always done and these reforms will ensure that Australia’s anti-siphoning scheme remains the strongest in the world,” Senator Conroy said.

“Our most popular and iconic sports will remain available to all Australians and the changes will allow free-to-air channels to take advantage of digital multi-channels to show more sport and show it live.”

The Government’s reforms are outlined in the position paper Sport on Television: Reform of the Anti-Siphoning Scheme and mark the culmination of an extensive process of engagement and consultation.

The main changes to the scheme are:

The introduction of two tiers of events on the anti-siphoning list – Tiers A and B
Tier A will comprise nationally iconic events such as the Melbourne Cup, Bathurst 1000 and finals of major Australian tournaments like the NRL and AFL Premiership. Free-to-air broadcasters will be required to broadcast these events live and in-full, with limited exceptions.

Tier B will comprise events such as the regular games of the AFL and NRL premierships seasons, and non-finals games of the Australian Open tennis. Free-to-air broadcasters will have the flexibility to televise these events on digital multi-channels, which will increase their capacity to show more sport on free-to-air television.

Senator Conroy said sports fans were at the centre of the Government’s reforms.

“Allowing broadcasters to use digital multi-channels will see a dramatic increase in the total coverage of sport and give flexibility for broadcasters to show more events live,” Senator Conroy said.

“Broadcasters will have the capacity to televise AFL games in Sydney or NRL games in Melbourne, live on a digital multi-channel, rather than providing it on long delay on their main channel. This will save many hours of sleep for avid fans who happen to live in the wrong city.”

In addition, the reforms will introduce ‘must-offer’ obligations on the free-to-air broadcasters, requiring them to televise anti-siphoning listed events they acquire or offer those rights on to another broadcaster. This will prevent rights to important sporting events going unused.

“No longer can a free-to-air broadcaster purchase an iconic national event, and then not show it at all. In these circumstances, they must now offer it on to another free-to-air broadcaster to show it,” Senator Conroy said.

The anti-siphoning list has also been updated, with popular and emerging sports such as Twenty20 cricket matches involving Australia added to the list. Australian events that are no longer broadcast on free-to-air television – for examples NRL and AFL games only shown on pay television – and less popular overseas events – for example non-Australian group games of the Rugby Union World Cup – have been removed from the list.

The Government is also today releasing the report of the statutory review of the anti‑siphoning scheme conducted in late 2009, Sport on television: a review of the anti‑siphoning scheme in the contemporary digital environment.

The review process was central to the development of the reform and the views expressed by industry participants and members of the general public helped to shape the Government’s decision. Over 330 submissions were made to the review.

The implementation of these reforms will require amendment to the Broadcasting Services Act 1992. Amending legislation will be drafted over the coming months and introduced into the Parliament as soon as possible.

Changes to the anti-siphoning list will be implemented shortly, although changes to the listing of NRL and AFL games will only be made once a regulation is in place or an alternative mechanism to protect the quality of free to air games is agreed by stakeholders. The Government will also seek to finalise the rules around the listing of FIFA World Cup and Socceroos World Cup Qualifier games. The current list expires on December 31 2010.

“These reforms to the anti-siphoning regime ensure that it continues to be the strongest such regime in the world, protecting the interests of free to air viewers as we move into the digital multi-channel era” said the Prime Minister.

To view the Government’s position paper Sport on Television: Reform of the Anti-Siphoning Scheme, the report of the statutory review Sport on television: a review of the anti‑siphoning scheme in the contemporary digital environment and the new Tier A and Tier B anti-siphoning lists visit: www.dbcde.gov.au/anti-siphoning

Date: 25 November 2010
Contact: Suzie Brady 02 6277 7480

The question remains against all the right of refusal entitlements – why have Channel 9 not availed themselves to the NRL premiership games as the Legislation provides for – either on a replay basis, or in terms of the right to broadcast more NRL games live on free-to-air?

Have Foxtel outsmarted Channel 9 in negotiations with the NRL as the WIN Network executive suggested?

Or – is it a case that financial issues exist that make Channel 9 beholding to Foxtel to retain the very lucrative NRL broadcasts?   Does Channel 9 kowtow to Foxtel on the deal with the NRL – and if so … does this breach the intent of the anti-siphoning Legislation when other National free-to-air broadcasters want to be able to compete for the NRL rights?

Could it also be that the exclusive rights to the live ‘State of Origin’ broadcast on Channel 9 is the trade-off giving Foxtel rights to 5 of the 8 NRL games available for broadcast week to week?

Whatever – the NRL have the last say on what deal they want in place to protect and administer the game – why have they allowed the free-to-air replay of pay-for-view games to not be available to Channel 9 for replay broadcast?

It would seem the fans are not the NRL’s first consideration.

The more we let big business encroach on our sporting events for profit – the less live broadcast we will get.  Look at where the ARU game has gone.

The flip side of this equation measures up as well – without the pay-for-view broadcasters in the game, the money filtering through to the players would only be a fraction of the current levels.

So many large business’s made a living off the NRL premiership – sponsors put up hard-earned money to be a part of the game.   The big profits come from the broadcast players and with Foxtel pretty much the only player in the market in Australia – they get the code without having to bid against any genuine competition.

All the fans want is to be able to watch their team every week – live or on replay – that should not be too much to ask.

This is an ongoing story and NRL fans deserve a better deal and should have their say.  Please use the links below to write to your Local Federal Member(s) and/or Senator(s) to voice your opinions.


The EYE-BALL Opinion plea for action:

A Note:  This site is dedicated to having Gillard as Prime Minster removed by all legal means in the shortest timeframe possible.

Gillard’s Government is poison to this Nation … how do we get rid of her now?

The message has to be sent – there are some 14 million registered voters represented by 150 MP’s – 72 of which are ALP.    If each of these 72 ALP MP’s received an e-mail, a fax, a phone call, or a letter from all the people who want her gone with a simple message like the one below –  :

This is a protest message …
GET RID OF GILLARD

… do you think it might motivate caucus …

Please – send this message to as many and as often as you can – bombard the Caucus Members with a message so clear and with weight of numbers that it will force them to act.

You could also think about sending it to the Independents, Oakeshott, Windsor, Wilkie, and Brandt,  as well … Katter already votes with the Coalition, and Slipper and Thompson are a lost cause and their fate already sealed.

Links to every MP e-mail can be found using the Australian Parliamentary Website Members and Senator links below … pick your ALP MP or Senator, or send it to all – voice your opinion now.

Please – if you found this story to your liking and would like to promote it to your social media contacts – i.e. Twitter, Facebook, or other icon linked account below – please use/click on your favoured Icon(s) to promote the story.  Thankyou.


Have your say where it counts: – contact your Local Federal Representative via the links below and let them know how you feel about this, or any other topic that you feel strongly about – or you can just post a comment below and let off some steam.

Links to Australian Parliamentary Website – MP’s


The EYE-BALL Opinion …

EYE-BALL’s “SNOOP POOP” on – NRL 2013: – NRL 2013: Round 7 – Rabbitohs [20] defeat Manly [12] -

April 28, 2013 1 comment
The-EYE-BALL-Opinion-Header-2
Latest ‘Snoop-Poop’ Posts:


- 8th Mar – NRL 2013: Week 1 – Game 2 – SeaEagles [22] defeat Broncos [14] -


- 7th Mar – NRL 2013: Week 1 – Game 1 – Rabbitohs [28] defeat Roosters [10]


- 2nd Feb – Women journalist writing about Men’s Sport – they had better be good -


- July 5th: – 2012 State of Origin – Game 3 and Series Review


- June 25th: – 2012 State of Origin – Game 3 Preview


- June 13th: – NSW SOO Coach – A Dirty Stinkin’ RAT …


- June 7th: – 2012 State of Origin – Game 2 Preview


- May 24th: – 2012 State of Origin – Game 1 Review


- May 21st: – 2012 State of Origin Preview – Game 1


To see more EYE-BALL Snoop-Poop posts:

click here …


Title:
– NRL 2013: Round 7 -
– Rabbitohs [20] defeat Manly [12] -
| Author: EYE-BALL’s Snoop-Poop | 26th Apr 2013 |
This match-up had great expectations and one of the few times where the hype was matched by the performances of both teams.

It was a war of attrition – Manly’s uncompromising in your face defense, the Rabbits held their ground with equally resolute defence, but Manly are experts at the intimidation tactics and it is a detriment to their game.

Coach Geoff Toovey has his players of a mould to show no quarter, and this defense intensity lends itself opportunities for teams to find weakness’ in other areas.  For mine – it is just up to teams to exploit the compressed defence and take advantage of this singular motive Manly tend to play with – that is to try their best to physically hurt the other players.

No doubt – this game was by far the best of the season and the intensity never died.  When it seemed all was lost when Manly trailed 20-0 with 15 to go – you just knew South’s were still vulnerable – the crowd stayed and willed the home team for a fight back and it came to make for an exciting finish.

The fans watching TV wanted a Souths victory – nobody really likes Manly – even their own fans have a ‘hick’ like love hate relationship with their team – parochial to the end, but equally willing to bag their team when they disappoint.

Manly’s ‘Brookvale’ is the new coliseum and this clash of the Titans was fitting for the occasion.  Other teams should dread the ‘hurt’ they will feel whenever they visit.

Manly are viewed by many as the ‘grubs’ in the competition – nothing they do on the field is done without the intention to try to hurt the opposition player.  That is not footy in the true sense.  Their intensity in the gang tackle will seriously hurt a player at some point – it is not matched by any other team.   Footy is a physical contest – and players do get hurt – but Manly take that probability to another level.

There were four (4) incident reports against Manly players coming out of the game.  There is another that escaped the referees that will most likely be placed on report as well.

Two of the charges belong to Fa’aoso and committed on the same player [Inglis} for the same breach – a spear tackle.

Matai’s swinging arm is his trademark and the intent in this tackle may have bene to strike the ball but the player has to be responsible for when aggression goes wrong.  He has to get a long stint – that swinging arm could kill someone if he gets it wrong and he has enough form to give him a Les Boyd type suspension.

Brett Stewart took a cheap shot as he lifted an elbow on the Rabbits winger and he should also get a week or two.  It all just shows a ‘grub’ mentality and the image of Watmough puling out his old fella to have a piss in public when the camera’s were rolling in a premiership after party a few years ago give evidence to the culture within the club.

Hope all these reports get the players responsible sent down big time – every one was a cheap shot.

The most hated player in the Manly forward pack is Watmough – and again tonight was amongst the chief offenders in the niggle factor with the work he does in the wrestle and on the ball stuff.

He can be a gifted player and to see him go that way stains his natural talents. Whenever he plays SOO he has been found wanting at that next level – if he had an attitude like Burgess, Webkie, Petro, or some other player who just worked hard in defence and attack without the niggle – his chances of making a difference at the higher level would be improved. He just gives away cheap penalties and it cost his team.

I take nothing away from the intensity of tonight’s game,  they are a side that make you earn the win and their intimidation tactics wins them a lot of games.

Playing that type of game can have its drawbacks … backing up the following week and the next … and the next … players get injured or begin to carry injuries into games. Manly have a habit of losing to lower ranked teams and to look for a reason you have to consider how they play their football on a physical level.

Souths proved they are the real deal this season and the next time these two teams meet – Manly will be out for revenge and Souths will again be out to prove themselves.   We’ve been blessed with some stella performances in these first seven rounds.

The top-tier of this competition has already established itself – Storm, Rabbits, Manly, and Easts …

Before the season started I would have said the Bulldogs would have been in that four … but after six rounds they sit at the bottom of the table.

These four teams have set a high bar for all the other teams and I can’t see any other team breaking into a top four spot.


EYE-BALL’s Snoop-Poop …

EYE-BALL’s “SNOOP POOP” on – NRL 2013: Week 1 – Game 2 – SeaEagles [22] defeat Broncos [14] -

March 8, 2013 Comments off
The-EYE-BALL-Opinion-Header-2
Latest ‘Snoop-Poop’ Posts:


- 7th Mar – NRL 2013: Week 1 – Game 1 – Rabbitohs [28] defeat Roosters [10]


- 2rd Feb – Women journalist writing about Men’s Sport – they had better be good -


- 18th Jan - Beyond the Lance Armstrong Confession -


- 8th Jan 2013 – The Shane Warne on-field Episode -


- July 5th: – 2012 State of Origin – Game 3 and Series Review


- June 25th: – 2012 State of Origin – Game 3 Preview


- June 13th: – NSW SOO Coach – A Dirty Stinkin’ RAT …


- June 7th: – 2012 State of Origin – Game 2 Preview


- May 24th: – 2012 State of Origin – Game 1 Review


- May 21st: – 2012 State of Origin Preview – Game 1


To see more EYE-BALL Snoop-Poop posts:

click here …


Title:
– NRL 2013: Week 1 – Game 2 -
- SeaEagles [22] defeat Broncos [14] -
| Author: EYE-BALL’s Snoop-Poop | 8th MAr 2013 |

The Broncos had this game in the bag until the 55th minute – Manly muscled up and the Broncos turned to water – it is the underbelly of the Broncos. They don’t like the rough stuff and since Thorne left two seasons ago, and Petro’s retirement last season – they look as weak in the middle as they have ever done.

Manly played in 2nd gear for the first half – a bit rusty being first round and all – but the 14-6 half time lead to the Broncos was flattering.

Broncos mistake rate in the 2nd half under pressure skyrocketed.  Hodges had a shocker 2nd half – Prince was also lacking in defence … the forward pack were done at the 65th minute after Manly had rushed to a 22-14 lead.  They put on 16 pts in five minutes and had two ot three other try’s pulled back.   If you were a Bronco’s fan it was woeful.

Snoop Poo’s – Best on Field -

  1. Cherry-Evans – 3 pts,
  2. Matai – 2 pts,
  3. Foran – 1 pt.

Snoop Pop’s – Worst on Field -

  1. Hodges – 3 pts,
  2. Gillet – 2 pts,
  3. Prince – 1 pt.

Coach Griffin had better work out his halves combo – Prince at Five-eight does not have the defence and Foran showed him up all night.  Wallace was also out of sorts with errors in the 2nd half when the team was under pressure.  Norman the other half in the mix played full-back and was pedestrian safe.   But it was the forwards who let them down badly with their poor 2nd half performance under Manly pressure.

Manly deserved winners – Broncos will struggle to make the 8 on tonight’s performance.  Manly are top 8 contenders.

Link to NRL Match report, match stats, and video highlights  …


EYE-BALL’s Snoop-Poop …

EYE-BALL’s “SNOOP POOP” on – NRL 2013: Week 1 – Game 1 – Rabbitohs [28] defeat Roosters [10] -

March 7, 2013 Comments off
The-EYE-BALL-Opinion-Header-2
Latest ‘Snoop-Poop’ Posts:


- 2rd Feb – Women journalist writing about Men’s Sport – they had better be good -


- 18th Jan - Beyond the Lance Armstrong Confession -


- 8th Jan 2013 – The Shane Warne on-field Episode -


- July 5th: – 2012 State of Origin – Game 3 and Series Review


- June 25th: – 2012 State of Origin – Game 3 Preview


- June 13th: – NSW SOO Coach – A Dirty Stinkin’ RAT …


- June 7th: – 2012 State of Origin – Game 2 Preview


- May 24th: – 2012 State of Origin – Game 1 Review


- May 21st: – 2012 State of Origin Preview – Game 1


To see more EYE-BALL Snoop-Poop posts:

click here …


Title:
– NRL 2013: Week 1 – Game 1 -
- Rabbitohs [28] defeat Roosters [10] -
| Author: EYE-BALL’s Snoop-Poop | 7th MAr 2013 |

The evidence is more than conclusive – the Roosters are pussy’s …

There is no way Mitchell Pearce retains the State of Origin half-back position on tonight’s performance up against his main opposition.

The match was highly entertaining and the Rabbitohs are a top four team this early in the season.  Their forward pack looks more consolidated and played for 80 minutes which was a failing last season.  They were clinical and merciless – the Roosters were outclassed across the paddock and so undisciplined for a first grade side … silly stupid penalties that allowed Souths out of their 22 so many times.

Their new coach has a lot of work to do – the penalty count at one point was 10-1 in favour of Souths. The Roosters trailed 28-4 until the 75th minute before Souths let in some easy points.

SBW [Williams] had a very quite reintroduction and he will realise that his comeback in a team like the Roosters will be hard work all season.

Snoop Poo’s – Best on Field -

  1. Sutton – 3 pts,
  2. Inglis – 2 pts,
  3. Luke – 1 pt.

Snoop Pop’s – Worst on Field -

  1. Pearce – 3 pts,
  2. Waerea-Hargraves – 2 pts,
  3. Friend – 1 pt.

There were many Rabbitohs players who out performed their opposite number – the only Rooster’s players to hold their head up were Kenny-Dowal and Jennings.

A comprehensive performance by the Rabbits and if they keep up this form Crowe will be upping the price for his shares.

Link to NRL Match report, match stats, and video highlights  …


EYE-BALL’s Snoop-Poop …

EYE-BALL’s Snoop-Poop on – Rugby League under threat – Do referees have too much influence -

September 16, 2012 2 comments
The-EYE-BALL-Opinion-Header-2
Latest ‘Snoop-Poop’ Posts:


28th Aug – NRL Round 25 – Points galore & The Run Home continues -


Aug 20: – NRL Round 23 & 24 – Points galore & The Run Home continues -


Aug 13th: – Olympics Comment Part III – Sports Minister Kate Lundy and her Gender Equality -


Aug 10th: – The Fastest Man ALive – Usain Bolt – an Olympic Legend -


Aug 8th: – Olympics Comment Part II – The Gold Medal Drought -


Aug 7th: – Olympics Comment & NRL Round 22 – Points galore & The Run Home continues -


July 30th: – NRL Round 21 – Upsets galore – The Run Home …


July 28th: – NRL’s Parramatta are Delusional – Comparing Ricky Stuart with Jack Gibson!!!


July 20th: The NRL’s Bronco’s Final Hopes – – Round 20 Report – Defence OK – Attack pathetic!!!


July 5th: – 2012 State of Origin – Game 3 and Series Review


June 25th: – 2012 State of Origin – Game 3 Preview


June 13th: – NSW SOO Coach – A Dirty Stinkin’ RAT …


June 9th: – The David Gallop Story …


June 8th: – The Darcy/Monk Facebook Photos …


June 7th: – 2012 State of Origin – Game 2 Preview


May 28th: – NRL – Broncos Round 12 wrap …


May 24th: – 2012 State of Origin – Game 1 Review


May 21st: – 2012 State of Origin Preview – Game 1


To see more EYE-BALL Snoop-Poop posts:

click here …


Title:
– Rugby League under threat –
- Do referees have too much influence -
| Author: EYE-BALL’s Snoop-Poop | 16th sep 2012 |
This author made a comment some weeks ago about how a Referee’s mistake would decide the outcome of important games leading up to the finals series.

That comment proved correct when in two Friday night games in round 23, both the Broncos and Tigers were punished with game losses on the back of video ref’s calls.

Last Friday night Manly and Cowboys played a final for the right to play in the preliminary final round.  The loser was eliminated and during the game there was not one mistake, but there were two controversial calls that advantaged Manly and allowed then to break from a tight game to win comfortably.

Bad calls have always been a part of Rugby League and it is these calls that make fans so passionate.

The NRL just signed a $billion+ deal and with that type of money now invested in the game – the Game has no right to allow mediocrity from referees who have the power to dictate the outcome of games.

I again refer to another incident in the same Friday night game when a  penalty in the third minute of the game was awarded.  The lead up was a set from Canberra when perennial Manly grub Watmough prolonged in a 5th tackle on halfway.  It deserved a penalty – yet when Manly were under pressure and on their 10 meter line in the immediate kick chase after that fifth tackle – a similar tackle was penalised against the Cowboys early in the tackle count.   From that penalty and the next set of six, Manly score.

The point being that the call on both those tackles was subjective and in the hands of Referees – with two referees on the field, one man’s opinion may have been harsher than the other  – this is where the crackdown needs to happen.

Ref Hayne gave the Manly penalty – was he in charge of the ruck when Watmough made his indiscretion that went unpunished.  Had Cowboys received the penalty on half-way – who is to say that it would not have been Cowboys who scored first and the whole context of the game changes from the 4th minute.

This is the area of the game that needs to be looked at.   Penalties lead to tries and it has been shown all season that back to back sets are the highest precursor of factors that lead to tries. Players are allowed to lay around the play the ball and then get penalised for the same infringement at other periods of the game.

The Ruck:

This is the single area where most penalties are generated.  Why not look at this area and try to define what is too much when it comes to ‘slowing the play the ball’.

When a team gets a roll on and is allowed quick play the balls, retreating defences are often caught off-side and called out of the play.  So the coaches drill their players to slow down the play the ball and are happy to yield the penalty so defensive lines can reset from the ensuring penalty.  It is the lesser of two evils in a defensive line.

If the query Is in the ‘time’ between when a player is deemed to be ‘held’ and when he plays the ball – the solution for a coach is easy – he just says put more defensive players on top of the ball runner and have them peel off individually.  A Fer can’t penalised that!

If the rule was a count of say ‘3 or 4′ by the referee from the time he calls ‘held’ – and if the ball carrier was not attempting to play the ball at the end of that time count – then the penalty is automatic – that then gives no excuse for the arbitrary call from referees depending on their interpretation of the speed of the play the ball.   Coaches knowing the rule is standardised – then has to adjusts its defensive response to comply to the rule interpretation.

This ‘ruck’ area is the single most contentious area in the game – the scrums were previously, and the rule was changed to whoever feeds the scrum now gets the ball.  Scrums are no longer a part of our game in the context of what they represented before the rule changers.   That is sorry for the game and has made the game more predictable.

Hookers are not required to be skilled anymore – they are now dummy-halves and that is a completely different skill set.

Over a season – 1000’s of ref’s calls have a direct impact on the result of a game.   It is time for the League to do something about the ‘Ruck’ and take the poor and inconsistent decisions out of the game.

What is seen as a penalty in the first 10 min’s or so when Ref;s are trying to stamp their efforts on the game – is not penalised in the back-end of a game.  Markers standing square in midfield – is somewhat not an issue when teams are defending near their own line.  The ball carrier playing the ball with his foot touching the ball is seen as important in some games but overlooked in others.

The number of examples are numerous and if League wants to keep its fans – it has to get the important calls 100% right.   For a referee’s call to have the influence it now has on the result of a game, it only opens the League up to all types of claims of rigging and team favouritism.

 


EYE-BALL’s Snoop-Poop …

EYE-BALL’s Rookie Bookie on – Weekend Preview – 14th – 16th Sep -

The-EYE-BALL-Opinion-Header-2

Latest ‘Rookie Bookie Updates:


GI Index Performance:

Value of INDEX:

30th Mar = (+) 0
04th Apr = (+) 216.67
11th Apr = (+) 393.67
18th Apr = (+) 293.67
25th Apr = (+) 293.67 – no activity last week …
2nd May = (+) 290.00
9th May = (+) 340
16th May = (+) 433.3
23rd May = (+) 517.2
30th May = (+) 492.2
6th Jun = (+) 467.3
13th Jun = (+) 497.3
20th Jun = (+) 463.7
27th Jun = (+) 363.7
4th Jly = (+) 363.7
11th Jly = (+) 352.47
18th Jly = (+) 335.80
25th Jly = (+) 328.30
1st Aug = (+) 370.80
8th Aug = (+) 274.97
15th Aug = (+) 264.13
22nd Aug = (+) 286.63
27th Aug = (+) 236.63
3rd Sep = (+) 176.63
10th Sep = (+) 93.3


Links to previous Posts:

2012:


To see more EYE-BALL ‘Rookie Bookie’ posts:

click here …


Title:
– Weekend Preview – 14th – 16th Sep -
| Author: Rookie Bookie |14th Sep 2012 |
To assist with navigating this page, please use the INDEX links below to go to Admin and Code Summaries:


Last Weekend Bet Results:

  • AFL Swans @ $2.35 collect
  • South Sydney Rabbitohs at $2.25 lost,
  • The Noah’s Arks at $2.40 lost,
  • North Melbourne at $4.35 lost. And
  • Broncos to win the Grand Final
  • Negative 88.33 GI points

Return to Top …


The Rugby Championship:

0 interest is now a dead series, not much more than academic or trials.

Return to Top …


AFL – Finals Week 2: (Underlined = Forecasted Winner)

  • Collingwood v West Coast (+4.5) estimate market $2.50/$1.67 Actual $1.78/$2.05
  • Adelaidev Fremantle (+8.5) estimate market $1.80/$2.25 Actual $1.60/$2.35

The Weekends Forecast:

  • Best Bet: Weagles
  • Value: Weagles
  • At the Margin: Totally Irrelevant.

Return to Top …


Critical stats

West Coast Eagles v Collingwood Magpies -

  • previous matches Collingwood R13 12.13.85 – 12.10.82, West Coast R22 15.17.107 – 8.10. 8.
  • WCE 1st Quarter won 12, 2nd 16, 3rd 12, 4th 17. Pies 1st Quarter won 16, 2nd 12, 3rd 11, 4th 10.
  • Collingwood did not win any of the quarters against red hot Hawks, while Weagles allowed North a sniff in 3rd quarter. Prediction WWCW

Adelaide Crows v Fremantle Dockers

  • previous match Crows 17.9.111 – 12.10.82, Crows R20 14.7.91 – 17.17.119
  • Crows Quarter won 1st 15, 2nd 12, 3rd 17, 4th 13 Dockers 1st Quarter won 11, 2nd 12, 3rd 17, 4th 15.
  • Prediction FFAA. Will be a great 3rd quarter. Tending to favour Freo, Will be in the balance in dying moments.

Return to Index …


NRL Finals Week 1: (Underlined = Forecasted Winner)

  • Manly v North Qld (+1.5) – estimate market $1.80/$2.25 Actual $1.95/$1.88
  • Rabbitohs v Raiders (+6.5) – estimate market $1.80/$2.25 Actual $1.43/$2.90

The Weekends Forecast:

  • Best Bet: Manly
  • Value: Manly
  • At the Margin: Totally Irrelevant.

Return to Top …


Critical Stats – Previous Match ups.

  • Sea Eagles v Cowboys – Manly R22 8 – 6.
  • Rabbitohs v Raiders – Souths R12 36 – 18.

Return to Top …


Betting Summary:

  • 1 unit Canterbury Bulldogs to win 2012 NRL premiership @ $5.00. Matures 30/9/12
  • ½ unit on Cowboys to win NRL Premiership @ $13.00. Matures 30/9/12

This Weekend:

  • 1 unit on Fremantle in AFL @ $2.35
  • 1 unit on West Coast in AFL@ $2.05
  • 1 unit on Manly in NRL @ $1.95

Return to Top …


EYE-BALL’s Rookie-Bookie …

EYE-BALL’s Rookie Bookie on – Weekend Preview – 7th – 9th Sep -

The-EYE-BALL-Opinion-Header-2

Latest ‘Rookie Bookie Updates:


GI Index Performance:

Value of INDEX:

30th Mar = (+) 0
04th Apr = (+) 216.67
11th Apr = (+) 393.67
18th Apr = (+) 293.67
25th Apr = (+) 293.67 – no activity last week …
2nd May = (+) 290.00
9th May = (+) 340
16th May = (+) 433.3
23rd May = (+) 517.2
30th May = (+) 492.2
6th Jun = (+) 467.3
13th Jun = (+) 497.3
20th Jun = (+) 463.7
27th Jun = (+) 363.7
4th Jly = (+) 363.7
11th Jly = (+) 352.47
18th Jly = (+) 335.80
25th Jly = (+) 328.30
1st Aug = (+) 370.80
8th Aug = (+) 274.97
15th Aug = (+) 264.13
22nd Aug = (+) 286.63
27th Aug = (+) 236.63
3rd Sep = (+) 176.63


Links to previous Posts:

2012:


To see more EYE-BALL ‘Rookie Bookie’ posts:

click here …


Title:
– Weekend Preview – 7th – 9th Sep -
| Author: Rookie Bookie |3rd Sep 2012 |
To assist with navigating this page, please use the INDEX links below to go to Admin and Code Summaries:


Last Weekend Bet Results:

  • 1 unit on Cowboys in NRL v Cronulla @ $2.20 win
  • 1 unit Adelaide Crows to win the AFL Minor Premiership @ $4.50. lost
  • I unit on Blues in AFL v St Kilda @ $2 lost
  • 1 unit on West Coast in AFL v Hawthorn @ $4.15 lost

A Decision Tree (for both NRL and AFL)

Each team now must win a minimum of 3 matches to win the comp. If a team finishing in top 4 loses in week one, they go through to grand final only by winning in weeks 2 and 3. If there was an easy match, (most predictable), odds would skew.  That is how markets are framed.

Manly and Storm in NRL, while Hawthorn and Sydney?? are now predicted to fight out the Grand Final. I can’t see it. I would need at least $7 on any of those to get interested.   For positions 5 to 8 I would require about $15 to get interested. The bookies percentages influence all of this, including outstanding bets. I am now interested in match play, more than eventual winner.

Return to Top …


The Rugby Championship:

0 interest is now a dead series, not much more than academic or trials.

Return to Top …


AFL – Finals Week 1: (Underlined = Forecasted Winner)

  • Hawthorn v Collingwood estimate market $1.70/$2.42 Actual $1.38/$3.10
  • Adelaide v Swans estimate market $2.25/$1.80 Actual $1.65/$2.25
  • West Coast v North Melb estimate market $2.00/$2.00 Actual $1.25/$4.00
  • Geelong v Fremantle estimate market $1.70/$2.42 Actual $1.30/$3.55

The Weekends Forecast:

  • Best Bet: Sydney Swans
  • Value: North or Swans?
  • At the Margin: Totally Irrelevant.

Return to Top …


Critical stats

Hawthorn v Collingwood

  • previous matches Hawthorn R1 20.17.137 – 16.19.115, Hawks R17  21.12.138 – 13.13.91.
  • Hawthorn 1st Quarter won 13, 2nd 21, 3rd 12, 4th 14.
  • Collingwood1st Quarter won 16, 2nd 12, 3rd 11, 4th 10.
  • Prediction CHCH

Adelaide v Sydney

  • Previous matches Crows R6 15.9.99 – 14.10.94.
  • Adelaide 1st Quarter won 15, 2nd 12, 3rd 16, 4th 13.
  • Swans 1st Quarter won 16, 2nd 14, 3rd 16, 4th 10.
  • Prediction SSAS

West Coast Eagles v North Melbourne Kangaroos -

  • Previous matches West Coast R6 17.18.120 – 15.5.95, West Coast R15 12.14.86 – 13.6.84,
  • WCE 1st Quarter won 11, 2nd 15, 3rd 12, 4th 16.
  • North 1st Quarter won 14, 2nd 15, 3rd 13, 4th 11.
  • Prediction NNWN

 Geelong v Fremantle

  • Previous match Magpies Fremantle R1 15.11.101 – 16.9.105
  • Cats Quarter won 12, 2nd 13, 3rd 10, 4th 16
  • Dockers 1st Quarter won 10, 2nd 11, 3rd 16, 4th 15.
  • Prediction FGGF

Return to Index …


NRL Finals Week 1: (Underlined = Forecasted Winner)

  • Canterbury v Manly – estimate market $2.12/$1.90 Actual $2.20/$1.67
  • Storm v Rabbitohs – estimate market $1.80 /$2.25 Actual $1.65/$2.25
  • North Qld v Brisbane – estimate market $1.67/$2.50 Actual $1.45/$2.75
  • Raiders v Sharks – estimate market $1.80/$2.25 Actual $1.60/$2.35

The Weekends Forecast:

  • Best Bet: North Queensland (Tab too short)
  • Value: Bulldogs
  • At the Margin: Totally Irrelevant.

Return to Top …


Critical Stats – Previous Match ups.

  • Dogs v Sea Eagles – Manly R8 12 – 10, R20 Bulldogs 20 – 12.
  • Storm v Rabbits  – Storm R2 24 – 10
  • Cowboys v Broncos – Cowboys R2 28 – 26, Cowboys R15 12 – 0.
  • Raiders V Sharks – Sharks R8 44 – 22 (away), Raiders R20 36 – 4 (away).

Return to Top …


Betting Summary:

  • 1 unit Canterbury Bulldogs to win 2012 NRL premiership @ $5.00. Matures 30/9/12
  • 1 unit Brisbane Broncos to win 2012 NRL premiership @ $8.00. Matures 30/9/12
  • ½ unit on Cowboys to win NRL Premiership @ $13.00

This Weekend:

Post after Wednesday with knowledge of injuries, judiciary and live prices

Return to Top …


EYE-BALL’s Rookie-Bookie …

 

EYE-BALL’s Rookie Bookie on – Weekend Preview – 31st Aug – 2nd Sep -

August 31, 2012 Comments off
The-EYE-BALL-Opinion-Header-2

Latest ‘Rookie Bookie Updates:


GI Index Performance:

Value of INDEX:

30th Mar = (+) 0
04th Apr = (+) 216.67
11th Apr = (+) 393.67
18th Apr = (+) 293.67
25th Apr = (+) 293.67 – no activity last week …
2nd May = (+) 290.00
9th May = (+) 340
16th May = (+) 433.3
23rd May = (+) 517.2
30th May = (+) 492.2
6th Jun = (+) 467.3
13th Jun = (+) 497.3
20th Jun = (+) 463.7
27th Jun = (+) 363.7
4th Jly = (+) 363.7
11th Jly = (+) 352.47
18th Jly = (+) 335.80
25th Jly = (+) 328.30
1st Aug = (+) 370.80
8th Aug = (+) 274.97
15th Aug = (+) 264.13
22nd Aug = (+) 286.63
27th Aug = (+) 236.63


Links to previous Posts:

2012:


To see more EYE-BALL ‘Rookie Bookie’ posts:

click here …


Title:
– Weekend Preview – 31st-2nd Sep -
| Author: Rookie Bookie |31st Aug 2012 |
To assist with navigating this page, please use the INDEX links below to go to Admin and Code Summaries:


Last Weekend Bet Results:

  • ½ unit on Fremantle v North Melb in AFL @ $3.00 win 1.5
  • 1 unit on Wallabies v All Blacks in Rugby @$7.00 lost
  • 1 unit on Titans v Panthers in NRL @ $1.57 lost
  • ½ unit on Broncos v Manly in NRL @ $2.85 lost

AFL Round 20

  • Geelong v St Kilda Cats 8 Saints 4.5
  • Essendon v Carlton Essendon 3.5 Blues 7
  • Fremantle v Richmond Freo 7 Tiges 5
  • Collingwood v North Pies 5.5 Roos 8.5
  • Brisbane v Adelaide Lions 7.5 Crows 3

NRL Round 23

  • Broncos v Storm Broncos 7 Storm 7.25
  • Bulldogs v Tigers Bulldogs 7.25 Wests 7
  • Raiders v Chooks Raiders 5.5
  • Sharks v Rabbitohs Sharks 6.5 Souths 4
  • Titans v Eels Titans 6
  • Sea Eagles v Knights Manly 8 Newcastle 4
  • Saints v Cowboys NQ 6

Return to Top …


The Rugby Championship:

0 interest is now a dead series, not much more than academic or trials.

Return to Top …


AFL – Round 23: (Underlined = Forecasted Winner)

  • Hawthorn v West Coast estimate market $1.80/$2.25 Actual $1.25/$4.15
  • Geelong v Swans estimate market $1.98/$2.02 Actual $1.65/$2.25
  • Crows v Suns estimate market $1.05/$20.00 Actual $1.01/$17.00
  • GWS v North estimate market $20.00/$1.05 Actual $17.00/$1.01
  • Bombers v Pies estimate market $2.50/$1.67 Actual $4.60/$1.20
  • Freo v Melbourne Dees estimate market $1.25/$5.00 Actual $1.03/$12.00
  • Blues v Saints estimate market $1.90/$2.11 Actual $2.00/$1.80
  • Tigers v Port estimate market $1.50/$3.00 Actual $1.10/$7.00
  • Brisbane v Footscray estimate market $2.00/$2.00 Actual $1.20/$4.60

The Weekends Forecast:

  • Best Bet: Blues
  • Value: West Coast, Sydney
  • At the Margin: NA

GrandFinal Betting:

In essence Hawthorn far too short.

Top Four Betting

  • Collingwood $1.45
  • West Coast $2.65
  • Geelong $101.

Betting on the Minor Premiership

  • Adelaide $6.50
  • Sydney $7.50
  • Hawthorn $1.24
  • Collingwood $51.00

Return to Top …


AFL -The Race for the Flag:

Sydney Swans

  • Won 16 from 20, losses to Crows R6 14.10.94 – 15.9.99, Richmond R7 8.14.62 – 13.13.91, St Kilda R9 12.11.83 – 16.15.111, Collingwood 9.16.70 – 12.6.78,
  • Last 5 WWWLW 1st Quarter won 14, 2nd 14, 3rd 16, 4th 10.
  • Prediction 17 from 22 Equal 1st, 1st on %. Last Game – Geelong (a).

Hawthorn

  • Won 15 from 20, losses to Geelong R2 13.12.90 – 14.9.92, West Coast R4 5.16.46 – 5.21.51, Sydney R5 10.9.69 – 16.10.106, Richmond R9 10.15.75 – 21.11.137, Geelong R19 17.14.116 – 18.10.118.
  • Last 5 WWWLW 1st Quarter won 12, 2nd 19, 3rd 10, 4th 13.
  • Prediction 17 from 22 Equal 1st, 2nd on % Last Game – West Coast (h).

Adelaide

  • Won 15 from 20, losses to Hawthorn R3 12.12 84 – 21.14.140, Collingwood R9 6.13.49 – 10.15.75, North R13 13.11.89 – 17.19.121, Geelong R18 11.9.75 – 15.12.102, Brisbane Lions R21 12.13.85 – 13.17. 95,
  • Last 5 WLWWL 1st Quarter won 13, 2nd 10, 3rd 14, 4th 12.
  • Prediction 17 from 22Equal 1st, 3rd on %. Last Game – Gold Coast (h).

Collingwood

  • Won 15 from 20, losses to Hawthorn R1 16.19.115 – 20.17.137, Carlton R3 9.8.62 – 18.14.122, Carlton R15 8.14.62 – 12.13.85, Hawks R17 13.13.91 – 21.12.138, North R21
  • Last 5 LWWWL 1st Quarter won 14, 2nd 12, 3rd 10, 4th 9.
  • Prediction 17 from 22 Equal 1st, 4th on %. Last Game – Essendon (a).

West Coast Eagles

  • Won 14 from 20, losses to Essendon R7 7.10.52 – 16.17.113, Brisbane Lions R10 15.10.100 – 16.6.102, Collingwood R13 12.10.82 – 12.13.85, Sydney R15 10.9.69 – 18.13.121, Crows R18 11.9.75 – 19.19.124, Fremantle R19 6.14.48 – 17.11.113.
  • Last 5 LWLWW 1st Quarter won 11, 2nd 14, 3rd 11, 4th 14.
  • Prediction 15 from 22 Equal 5th, 5th on % Last Game – Hawks (a).

North

  • Won 13 from 20, losses to Essendon R1 15.12.102 – 14.20.104, Sydney R4 10.17.77 – 17.11.113, West Coast R6 15.5.95 – 17.18.120, Western Bulldogs R7 12.11.83 – 15.11.101, Port R8 14.9.93 – 14.11.95, Hawthorn R10 9.5.59 – 27.12.174, West Coast R15 13.6.84 – 12.14.86,
  • Last 5 WWWWW 1st Quarter won 14, 2nd 13, 3rd 12, 4th 10.
  • Prediction 15 from 22 Equal 5th, 6th on % Last Game – Giants (h).

Geelong

  • Won 13 from 20, losses to Fremantle 15.11.101 – 16.9.105, North R3 16.18.114 – 20.11.131, Crows R7 10.12.72 – 19.18.122, Collingwood R8 11.18.84 – 14.12.96, Sydney R13 11.8.74 – 12.8.80, Collingwood R15 10.19.79 – 17.8.110, West Coast
  • Last 5 WWWLW 1st Quarter won 11, 2nd 11, 3rd 9, 4th 14.
  • Prediction 15 from 22 Equal 5th, 7th on % Last Game – Sydney (h).

Fremantle –

  • Won 12 from 20, losses to Sydney R2 12.9.81 – 14.10.94, Carlton R5 7.15.57 – 10.5.65, Hawthorn R8 9.9.63 – 17.17. 119, West Coast R9 5.6.36 – 11.18.84, Crows 12.10.82 – 17.9.111, Bombers R13 14.5.89 – 17.11.113, Magpies R14 12.6.78 – 15.17.107 Crows R20 14.7.91 – 17.17.119,
  • Last 5 WWWLW 1st Quarter won 8, 2nd 10, 3rd 14, 4th 13.
  • Prediction 13 from 22 Equal 8th, 8th on % Last Game – Melbourne (h).

Return to Index …


NRL Round 25: (Underlined = Forecasted Winner)

  • Newcastle (+4.5) v Souths – estimate market $2.42/$1.70 Actual $2.45/$1.57
  • Broncos v Panthers  (+12.5) – estimate market $1.60 /$2.67 Actual $1.18/$5.00
  • Titans (+11.5) v Manly – estimate market $4.00/$1.33 Actual $5.00/$1.18
  • Tigers (+2.5) v Storm – estimate market $3.00/$1.50 Actual $2.25/$1.65
  • Bulldogs v Roosters (+16.5) estimate market $1.33/$4.00 Actual $1.18/$2.40
  • Sharks v Cowboys  (+1.5) estimate market $2.50/$1.67 Actual $1.60/$1.57
  • Warriors (+6.5) v Raiders estimate market $3.00/$1.50 Actual $2.50/$1.55
  • Eels (+2.5) v Saints estimate market $2.20/$1.83 Actual $2.00/$1.85

The Weekends Forecast:

  • Best Bet: Cowboys
  • Value: Nothing special
  • At the Margin: Nothing special

Grand Final Winner:

  • Manly Sea Eagles Tab Price $3.25
  • Melbourne Storm Tab Price $4.00
  • Canterbury Bulldogs Tab Price $4.50
  • South Sydney Rabbitohs Tab Price $6.00
  • North Qld Tab Price $9.00
  • Cronulla Sharks Tab Price $26
  • Brisbane Broncos Tab Price $34
  • Canberra Raiders Tab Price $34
  • Wests Tigers Tab Price $67

Top Four Market;

  • Manly Sea Eagles $1.06
  • Souths Sydney Rabbitohs $1.12
  • North Qld Cowboys $3.50

Return to Top …


The Money End of the Season

Bulldogs

  • Won 17 from 22, losses to Knights R4 6 – 20, Souths R6 10 – 20, Storm R7 6 –12, Manly R8 10 – 12, Titans R10 14 – 25,
  • Their Sequence WWWLWLLLWLWWWbWWbWWWWWW
  • Prediction 19 wins
  • Last Game Roosters (h).

Storm

  • Won 15 from 22, losses to Cronulla R10 10 –12, Wests R14 6 – 10, Bulldogs R16 4 – 20, Raiders R18 12 – 40, Cowboys R19 16 – 20, Eels R20 10 – 16, Saints R21 18 – 26,
  • Sequence WWWWWWWWWLbWWLWLbLLLLWWW
  • Prediction 16 wins
  • Last Game Tigers (a).

 Souths

  • Won 14 from 22, losses to Roosters R1 20 – 24, Storm R2 10 – 24, Broncos R4 12 – 20, Warriors R7 22 – 44, Bulldogs R13 18 – 23, Broncos R16 12 – 26, Manly R23 6 – 23, Sharks R4 7 – 20,
  • Sequence LLWLWWLWWbWWLbWLWWWWWWLL
  • Prediction 16 wins
  • Last Game Knights (a).

Manly

  • Won 14 from 22, losses to Cronulla R3 14 – 17 Saints R4 6 – 17, Eels R5 20 – 29, Titans R7 14 – 26, Penrith R12 4 – 22, Storm R15 22 – 26, Knights R19 6 – 34, R20 Bulldogs 12 – 20,
  • Sequence WWLLLWLWWWWLWbLWbWLLWWWW
  • Prediction 15 wins
  • Last Game Titans (a).

Cowboys

  • Won 13 from 22, losses to Titans Round 1 0 – 18, Sharks R4 14 – 20, Storm R6 18 –42, Souths R8 16 – 20, Wests R12 18 – 26, Titans R13 12 – 28, Warriors R17 18 – 35, Bulldogs R21 18 – 32, Manly R22 6 -8,
  • Sequence LWWLWLWLWWWLLbWWLbWWLLW
  • Prediction 14 wins
  • Last Game Sharks (a).

Sharks

  • Won 12 from 22 & a Draw, losses to Wests R1 16 – 17, Knights R2 6 – 18, Souths R9 28 – 34, Bulldogs R11, 6 – 26, Eels R13 20 – 29, Draw Easts R18, Saints R19 10 – 18, Raiders R20 4 – 36, Panthers R21 20 -21, Knights R23 4 – 26,
  • Sequence LLWWWWWWLWLbLWbWWDLLLWL
  • Prediction 13.5 wins
  • Last Game Cowboys (h).

Broncos

  • Won 11 from 22, losses to Cowboys R2 26 – 28 Warriors R9 20 – 30, Manly R10 22 – 24, Storm R12 10 – 34, Cowboys R15 0 – 12, Sharks R17 12 – 26, Titans R20 10 – 14, R22  Bulldogs R23 14 – 26, Storm R24 18 – 19,
  • Sequence WLWWWWWWLLbLWWLWLbWLWLL
  • Prediction 12 wins
  • Last Game Panthers (h).

Tigers

  • Won 11 from 22, losses to Manly R2 18 –22, Saints R3 12 – 36, Raiders R4 16 – 30, Souths R5 16 – 17, Broncos R6 14 – 18, Roosters R15 28 – 42, Knights R16 20 – 38, Bulldogs R18 20 – 32, Cowboys R20 16 – 29, Souths R21 6 32, Bulldogs R24 22 – 23,
  • Sequence WLLLLLWWWWbWWWLLbLWLLWW
  • Prediction 12 wins
  • Last Game Storm (h).

Raiders

  • Won 11 from 22, losses to Storm R1 19 – 24, Roosters R3 8 – 14, Cowboys R5 6 – 22, Broncos R7 6 – 30, Sharks R8 22 – 44, Manly R9 12 – 18, Souths R12 18 – 36, Tigers R13 0 – 40, Cowboys R16 18 – 40, Titans R19 26 – 38, R21 Knights 6 – 36,
  • Sequence LWLWLWLLLWbLLWbLWWLWLWW
  • Prediction 12 wins
  • Last Game Warriors (a).

Titans

  • Won 10 from 22, losses to Raiders R2 12 –24, Storm R3 6 – 30, Warriors R4 6 – 26, Bulldogs R5 20 – 30, Roosters R6 12 – 18, Broncos R8 8 – 26, Tigers R9 14 – 15, Sharks R14 12 – 22, Saints R16 6 – 8, Warriors R18 14 – 32, R22, Souths 18 – 22, R23 Storm 18 – 26,
  • Sequence WLLLLLWLLWbWWLWLbLWWWLL
  • Prediction 11 wins
  • Last Game Manly (h).

Knights

  • Won 10 from 22, losses to Saints R1 14 –15, Broncos R3 10 – 24, Storm R5 22 – 34, Saints R7 4 – 12, Roosters R9 6 – 24, Cowboys R10 12 – 32, Titans R12 14 – 24, Broncos R13 24 – 50, Raiders R14 16 – 32, Souths R18 18 – 34, R22 Bulldogs 10 – 26,
  • Sequence LWLWLWLWLLbLLLbWWLWWWLW
  • Prediction 10 wins
  • Last Game South (h).

After Round 24 Finals Prediction:

Therefore in week 1

  • Dogs play Manly at ANZ,
  • Storm v Rabbitohs at Melbourne,
  • Cowboys v Tigers at Dairy Farmers,
  • Sharks v Broncos at Shark Park.

After Round 23 Finals Prediction:

Therefore in week 1

  • Dogs play Manly at ANZ,
  • Souths v Storm at ANZ,
  • Cowboys v Knights at Dairy Farmers,
  • Broncos v Tigers at Suncorp.

Return to Top …


Betting Summary:

  • 1 unit Canterbury Bulldogs to win 2012 NRL premiership @ $5.00. Matures 30/9/12
  • 1 unit Brisbane Broncos to win 2012 NRL premiership @ $8.00. Matures 30/9/12
  • ½ unit on Cowboys to win NRL Premiership @ $13.00
  • 1 unit Adelaide Crows to win the AFL Minor Premiership @ $4.50. Matures 2/9/12
  • 1 unit on Titans to finish in NRL top 8 @ $3.50 (already written off 13/8/12)

This Weekend:

  • 1 unit on Cowboys in NRL v Cronulla @$2.20
  • I unit on Blues in AFL v St Kilda @ $2
  • 1 unit on West Coast in AFL v Hawthorn @ $4.15

Return to Top …


EYE-BALL’s Rookie-Bookie …

 

EYE-BALL’s Snoop-Poop on – NRL Round 25 – Points galore and The Run Home …

August 27, 2012 Comments off
The-EYE-BALL-Opinion-Header-2
Latest ‘Snoop-Poop’ Posts:


Aug 20: – NRL Round 23 & 24 – Points galore & The Run Home continues -


Aug 13th: – Olympics Comment Part III – Sports Minister Kate Lundy and her Gender Equality -


Aug 10th: – The Fastest Man ALive – Usain Bolt – an Olympic Legend -


Aug 8th: – Olympics Comment Part II – The Gold Medal Drought -


Aug 7th: – Olympics Comment & NRL Round 22 – Points galore & The Run Home continues -


July 30th: – NRL Round 21 – Upsets galore – The Run Home …


July 28th: – NRL’s Parramatta are Delusional – Comparing Ricky Stuart with Jack Gibson!!!


July 20th: The NRL’s Bronco’s Final Hopes – – Round 20 Report – Defence OK – Attack pathetic!!!


July 5th: – 2012 State of Origin – Game 3 and Series Review


June 25th: – 2012 State of Origin – Game 3 Preview


June 13th: – NSW SOO Coach – A Dirty Stinkin’ RAT …


June 9th: – The David Gallop Story …


June 8th: – The Darcy/Monk Facebook Photos …


June 7th: – 2012 State of Origin – Game 2 Preview


May 28th: – NRL – Broncos Round 12 wrap …


May 24th: – 2012 State of Origin – Game 1 Review


May 21st: – 2012 State of Origin Preview – Game 1


To see more EYE-BALL Snoop-Poop posts:

click here …


Title:
– NRL Round 25 –
- Points galore & The Run Home continues -
| Author: EYE-BALL’s Snoop-Poop | 28th Aug 2012 |
There is only one (1) round left in the regular season.

The ‘run home’ below is from Round 20 – 26.   The Predictions for each round are made with a (W) or (L) indicator and the ladder points are updated after each round with [bold] points indicating an incorrect selection.

  • The green highlight represents a correct selection,
  • the red indicates an incorrect selection.

Snoop-Poops ‘The Run Home’ – with thanks to Rookie Bookie …

  1. Canterbury 30 points (+156) – Cowboys (h), Knights (a), Broncos (h), Tigers (h), Raiders (a), Roosters (h) – Prediction WWWWL – W = 40 pts
  2. Storm 28 points (+155) – Saints (a), Panthers (h), Titans (h), Broncos (a), Sharks (h), Tigers (a) – Prediction – LWWWW – L = 36 pts
  3. Rabbitohs 28 points (+77) – Tigers (h), Titans (a), Manly (h), Sharks (a), Eels (h), Knights (a) – Prediction – LLWWWW – L = 34 pts
  4. Cowboys 26 points (+83) – Bulldogs (a), Manly (h), Warriors (h), Saints (a), Knights (h), Sharks (a) – Prediction – LLWWW – W = 34 pts
  5. Broncos 26 points – (+82) – Eels (h), Raiders (a), Bulldogs (a), Storm (h), Manly (a), Panthers (h) – Prediction – LLLLL – W = 28 pts …
  6. Sharkies 25 points (-11) – Panthers (h), Warriors (a), Knights (a), Souths (h), Storm (a), Cowboys (h) – Prediction – WLLLL – L – 27 pts
  7. Manly 24 points (+33) – Warriors (h), Cowboys (a), Souths (a), Knights (h), Broncos (h), Titans (a) – Prediction – WWLWW – W = 34 pts
  8. Tigers 22 points (+4) – Souths (a), Eels (h), Saints (h), Bulldogs (a), Roosters (a), Storm (h) – Prediction – WWWLW – W = 32 pts …
  9. Warriors 20 points (+25) – Manly (a), Sharks (h), Cowboys (a), Panthers (h), Saints (a), Raiders (h) – Prediction – LWLWL – W = 28 pts
  10. Titans 20 points (-22) – Roosters (a), Rabbits (h), Storm (a), Eels (h), Panthers (a), Manly (h) – Prediction – WLLWW – L = 28 pts
  11. Knights 20 points (-34) – Raiders (a), Bulldogs (h), Sharks (h), Manly (a), Cowboys (a), Rabbits (h) – Prediction – LLWLL – W = 24 pts
  12. Raiders 20 points -(39) – Knights (h), Broncos (h), Panthers (a), Easts (h), Bulldogs (h), Warriors (a) – Prediction – WWWWW – L – 30 pts
  13. Dragons 20 points (-58) – Storm (h), Roosters (a), Tigers (a), Cowboys (h), Warriors (h), Eels (a) – Prediction – WLLLL – W = 24 pts

The final 8 would then be: (Use Last Number after adjustments [in bold] for incorrect picks in Rounds 20-25 results.)

  1. Bulldogs – 40 – 40 – 40 – 40 – 40 – 40 – (+167)
  2. Storm – 36 – 36 – 36 – 36 – 36 – 36 – (+198)
  3. Rabbitohs – 34 – 363836 - 34 - 34 – (+109)
  4. SeaEagles – 34 – 34 – 34 – 36 – 36 – 36 – (+86)
  5. Cowboys – 34 – 34 – 34 – 34 – 34 – 34 – (+138)
  6. Sharkies – 27 – 2527 - 27 – 2927 – (+18)
  7. Raiders – 30 – 28 – 28 – 28 – 28 – 28 – (-11)
  8. Broncos – 28 – 28 – 28 – 28 – 28 – 28 – (+27)
  9. Tigers – 32 – 30 – 30 – 30 – 30 – 28 – (-25)
  10. Titans – 28 – 28 – 28 – 28 – 28 – 26 -
  11. Knights – 24 – 26 – 26 -26 – 26 – 26 -
  12. Dragons – 24 – 24 – 24 – 24 – 24 – 26 -
  13. Roosters – who cares … current pts – 21
  14. Warriors -28 – 26 – 26 – 24 – 2220 -
  15. Penrith –  who cares … current pts – 20
  16. Eels –  who cares … current pts – 16

Round 21:

  • Total Points scored = 379
  • Total Margin = 121 with an
  • average of 15 pts per game.

Round 22:

  • Total Points scored = 344
  • Total Margin = 160 with an
  • average of 20 pts per game.

Round 23:

  • Total Points scored = 321 -
  • Total Margin = 129 with an
  • average of 15 pts per game.

Round 24:

  • Total Points scored =343
  • Total Margin =  55 with an
  • average of 7 pts per game.

Round 25:

  • Total Points scored = 346 (Sunday games to go)
  • Total Margin =   148 with an
  • average of 18 pts per game.

Round 25 Comment:

Next week – the interest is in three teams vying for 7th and 8th place – and the three teams vying for 3rd and 4th place,  see above for predictions.  Rookie Bookie plans to update his weekend’s wrap on Friday.


EYE-BALL’s Snoop-Poop …

EYE-BALL’s Rookie Bookie on – Weekend Preview – 24th – 27th Aug -

The-EYE-BALL-Opinion-Header-2

Latest ‘Rookie Bookie Updates:


GI Index Performance:

Value of INDEX:

30th Mar = (+) 0
04th Apr = (+) 216.67
11th Apr = (+) 393.67
18th Apr = (+) 293.67
25th Apr = (+) 293.67 – no activity last week …
2nd May = (+) 290.00
9th May = (+) 340
16th May = (+) 433.3
23rd May = (+) 517.2
30th May = (+) 492.2
6th Jun = (+) 467.3
13th Jun = (+) 497.3
20th Jun = (+) 463.7
27th Jun = (+) 363.7
4th Jly = (+) 363.7
11th Jly = (+) 352.47
18th Jly = (+) 335.80
25th Jly = (+) 328.30
1st Aug = (+) 370.80
8th Aug = (+) 274.97
15th Aug = (+) 264.13
22nd Aug = (+) 286.63


Links to previous Posts:

2012:


To see more EYE-BALL ‘Rookie Bookie’ posts:

click here …


Title:
– Weekend Preview – 24th – 27th Aug -
| Author: Rookie Bookie |23rd Aug 2012 |
To assist with navigating this page, please use the INDEX links below to go to Admin and Code Summaries:


Last Weekend Bet Results:

  • 1 unit on Cowboys (NRL )over Saints @ $1.55 collect 1.55, plus
  • ½ unit on North Melbourne (AFL) @ $3.25 collect 1.625 total 3.175,
  • ½ unit on Newcastle to defeat Manly (again) @ $3.00, lost and
  • ½ unit on Essendon (AFL) @ $2.15, lost;

Therefore 3.175 less stake 2.5 represents 22.5 positive index points. My wager on Adelaide Crows to win minor premiership is highly likely worthless given their shock loss to Brisbane Lions.

AFL Round 20

  • Geelong v St Kilda Cats 8 Saints 4.5
  • Essendon v Carlton Essendon 3.5 Blues 7
  • Fremantle v Richmond Freo 7 Tiges 5
  • Collingwood v North Pies 5.5 Roos 8.5
  • Brisbane v Adelaide Lions 7.5 Crows 3

NRL Round 23

  • Broncos v Storm Broncos 7 Storm 7.25
  • Bulldogs v Tigers Bulldogs 7.25 Wests 7
  • Raiders v Chooks Raiders 5.5
  • Sharks v Rabbitohs Sharks 6.5 Souths 4
  • Titans v Eels Titans 6
  • Sea Eagles v Knights Manly 8 Newcastle 4
  • Saints v Cowboys NQ 6

Return to Top …


The Rugby Championship:

  • My assessment is NZ $1.12, Australia $10.00, SA $6.00, Argentina $101.
  • Tab Sportsbet is NZ $1.16 Australia $13.00, SA $5.50, Argentina $201.

Round 2

  • New Zealand v Australia (+15.5) My estimate $3.50/$1.40 Actual $1.09/$7.00
  • Argentina (+8.5) v South Africa My estimate $11.00/$1.10 Actual $4.00/$1.22

Return to Top …


AFL – Round 22: (Underlined = Forecasted Winner)

  • Richmond v Essendon estimate market $1.80/$2.25 Actual $1.65/$2.25
  • St Kilda v GWS estimate market $1.10/$11.00 Actual $1.01/$17.00
  • Port v Lions estimate market $2.50/$1.67 Actual $2.15/$1.70
  • Hawks v Swans estimate market $1.80/$2.25 Actual $1.80/$2.05
  • Weagles v Pies estimate market $2.12/$1.90 Actual $1.80/$2.05
  • Suns  v Blues estimate market $8.00/$1.14 Actual $14.00/$1.02
  • Geelong v Footscray estimate market $21/$1.05 Actual $17.00/$1.01
  • North v Freo estimate market $1.67/$2.50 Actual $1.40/$3.00
  • Demons  v Crows estimate market $100.00/$1.01 Actual $6.75/$1.11

The Weekends Forecast:

  • Best Bet: Hawthorn
  • Value: Fremantle, Collingwood
  • At the Margin: TBA

Auto Regressive Odds Appraisal: (likely grand final appearance – grand final win, a dynamic momentum approach)

  • Hawthorn Hawks 88% ($5.46) Tab Price $2.50
  • Sydney Swans 85% (odds required $5.71) Tab Price $5.00
  • Collingwood Magpies 85% ($5.65) Tab Price $5.00
  • Adelaide Crows 78% (odds required $6.15) Tab Price $8.00
  • Geelong Cats 63% ($7.67) Tab Price $8.00
  • West Coast Eagles 67% ($7.16) Tab Price $15.00
  • North Melbourne Kangaroos 45% ($10.69) Tab Price $21.00
  • Fremantle Dockers 40% ($11.89) Tab Price $101.00

Top Four Betting

  • Hawthorn $1.05,
  • Collingwood $1.20,
  • West Coast $4.25,
  • North $34,
  • Geelong $51.

Final 8 Betting

  • Fremantle $1.55
  • Carlton $2.35

Betting on the Minor Premiership

  • Adelaide $9.00
  • Sydney $1.80
  • Hawthorn $2.20
  • Collingwood $51.00

Wooden Spoon

  • Western Sydney Giants $1.02
  • Gold Coast Suns $11.00.

Return to Top …


AFL -The Race for the Flag:

Sydney Swans

  • Won 16 from 20, losses to Crows R6 14.10.94 – 15.9.99, Richmond R7 8.14.62 – 13.13.91, St Kilda R9 12.11.83 – 16.15.111, Collingwood 9.16.70 – 12.6.78,
  • Last 5 WWWLW 1st Quarter won 14, 2nd 14, 3rd 16, 4th 10.
  • Prediction 17 from 22 Equal 1st, 1st on %. Last Game – Geelong (a).

Hawthorn

  • Won 15 from 20, losses to Geelong R2 13.12.90 – 14.9.92, West Coast R4 5.16.46 – 5.21.51, Sydney R5 10.9.69 – 16.10.106, Richmond R9 10.15.75 – 21.11.137, Geelong R19 17.14.116 – 18.10.118.
  • Last 5 WWWLW 1st Quarter won 12, 2nd 19, 3rd 10, 4th 13.
  • Prediction 17 from 22 Equal 1st, 2nd on % Last Game – West Coast (h).

Adelaide

  • Won 15 from 20, losses to Hawthorn R3 12.12 84 – 21.14.140, Collingwood R9 6.13.49 – 10.15.75, North R13 13.11.89 – 17.19.121, Geelong R18 11.9.75 – 15.12.102, Brisbane Lions R21 12.13.85 – 13.17. 95,
  • Last 5 WLWWL 1st Quarter won 13, 2nd 10, 3rd 14, 4th 12.
  • Prediction 17 from 22Equal 1st, 3rd on %. Last Game – Gold Coast (h).

Collingwood

  • Won 15 from 20, losses to Hawthorn R1 16.19.115 – 20.17.137, Carlton R3 9.8.62 – 18.14.122, Carlton R15 8.14.62 – 12.13.85, Hawks R17 13.13.91 – 21.12.138, North R21
  • Last 5 LWWWL 1st Quarter won 14, 2nd 12, 3rd 10, 4th 9.
  • Prediction 17 from 22 Equal 1st, 4th on %. Last Game – Essendon (a).

West Coast Eagles

  • Won 14 from 20, losses to Essendon R7 7.10.52 – 16.17.113, Brisbane Lions R10 15.10.100 – 16.6.102, Collingwood R13 12.10.82 – 12.13.85, Sydney R15 10.9.69 – 18.13.121, Crows R18 11.9.75 – 19.19.124, Fremantle R19 6.14.48 – 17.11.113.
  • Last 5 LWLWW 1st Quarter won 11, 2nd 14, 3rd 11, 4th 14.
  • Prediction 15 from 22 Equal 5th, 5th on % Last Game – Hawks (a).

North

  • Won 13 from 20, losses to Essendon R1 15.12.102 – 14.20.104, Sydney R4 10.17.77 – 17.11.113, West Coast R6 15.5.95 – 17.18.120, Western Bulldogs R7 12.11.83 – 15.11.101, Port R8 14.9.93 – 14.11.95, Hawthorn R10 9.5.59 – 27.12.174, West Coast R15 13.6.84 – 12.14.86,
  • Last 5 WWWWW 1st Quarter won 14, 2nd 13, 3rd 12, 4th 10.
  • Prediction 15 from 22 Equal 5th, 6th on % Last Game – Giants (h).

Geelong

  • Won 13 from 20, losses to Fremantle 15.11.101 – 16.9.105, North R3 16.18.114 – 20.11.131, Crows R7 10.12.72 – 19.18.122, Collingwood R8 11.18.84 – 14.12.96, Sydney R13 11.8.74 – 12.8.80, Collingwood R15 10.19.79 – 17.8.110, West Coast
  • Last 5 WWWLW 1st Quarter won 11, 2nd 11, 3rd 9, 4th 14.
  • Prediction 15 from 22 Equal 5th, 7th on % Last Game – Sydney (h).

Fremantle –

  • Won 12 from 20, losses to Sydney R2 12.9.81 – 14.10.94, Carlton R5 7.15.57 – 10.5.65, Hawthorn R8 9.9.63 – 17.17. 119, West Coast R9 5.6.36 – 11.18.84, Crows 12.10.82 – 17.9.111, Bombers R13 14.5.89 – 17.11.113, Magpies R14 12.6.78 – 15.17.107 Crows R20 14.7.91 – 17.17.119,
  • Last 5 WWWLW 1st Quarter won 8, 2nd 10, 3rd 14, 4th 13.
  • Prediction 13 from 22 Equal 8th, 8th on % Last Game – Melbourne (h).

Return to Index …


NRL Round 25: (Underlined = Forecasted Winner)

  • Manly v Broncos (+6.5) – estimate market $1.75/$2.33 Actual $1.45/$2.85
  • Raiders (+6.5) v Dogs  – estimate market $4.00 /$1.33 Actual $2.85/$1.45
  • Panthers (+3.5) v Titans – estimate market $4.00/$1.33 Actual $2.45/$1.57
  • Dragons v Warriors (+4.5) – estimate market $1.50/$3.00 Actual $1.55/$2.50
  • Cowboys v Knights (+7.5) estimate market $1.50/$3.00 Actual $1.33/$3.40
  • Chooks (+4.5) v Tigers estimate market $2.50/$1.67 Actual $2.45/$1.57
  • Rabbitohs v Eels (+15.5) estimate market $1.67/$2.50 Actual $1.17/$5.25
  • Storm v Sharks (+7.5) estimate market $1.50/$3.00 Actual $1.38/$3.10

The Weekends Forecast:

  • Best Bet: Titans
  • Value: Broncos, Eels, Sharks
  • At the Margin: Sharks

Auto Regressive Odds Appraisal: (likely grand final appearance – grand final win, a dynamic appraisal)

  • Manly Sea Eagles 79% ($6.09) Tab Price $3.25
  • Canterbury Bulldogs 87% (odds required $5.42) Tab Price $3.75
  • Melbourne Storm 77% (odds required $6.26) Tab Price $4.25
  • South Sydney Rabbitohs 59% ($8.21) Tab Price $8.00
  • North Qld 58% ($8.24) Tab Price $13.00
  • Wests Tigers 31% ($15.68) Tab Price $26
  • Brisbane Broncos 49% ($9.89) Tab Price $26
  • Cronulla Sharks 37% ($20.2) Tab Price $21
  • Newcastle Knights 1% ($500) Tab Price $151
  • Canberra Raiders 1% ($500) Tab Price $67
  • Gold Coast Titans 1% ($500) Tab Price $101

Top Four Market;

  • Canterbury Bulldogs Not Quoted
  • Melbourne Storm Not Quoted
  • Souths Sydney Rabbitohs $1.12
  • Manly Sea Eagles $1.16
  • North Qld Cowboys $2.75
  • Cronulla Sharks $41.00

Top Eight Market;

  • Brisbane Broncos $1.20
  • Wests Tigers $1.33
  • Canberra Raiders $2.75
  • Gold Coast Titans $4.50
  • Newcastle Knights $11.00

Wooden Spoon (most regular season losses);

  • Parramatta Eels $1.28
  • Penrith Panthers $3.75

Return to Top …


The Money End of the Season

Bulldogs

  • Won 17 from 22, losses to Knights R4 6 – 20, Souths R6 10 – 20, Storm R7 6 –12, Manly R8 10 – 12, Titans R10 14 – 25,
  • Their Sequence WWWLWLLLWLWWWbWWbWWWWWW
  • Prediction 19 wins
  • Last Game Roosters (h).

Storm

  • Won 15 from 22, losses to Cronulla R10 10 –12, Wests R14 6 – 10, Bulldogs R16 4 – 20, Raiders R18 12 – 40, Cowboys R19 16 – 20, Eels R20 10 – 16, Saints R21 18 – 26,
  • Sequence WWWWWWWWWLbWWLWLbLLLLWWW
  • Prediction 16 wins
  • Last Game Tigers (a).

 Souths

  • Won 14 from 22, losses to Roosters R1 20 – 24, Storm R2 10 – 24, Broncos R4 12 – 20, Warriors R7 22 – 44, Bulldogs R13 18 – 23, Broncos R16 12 – 26, Manly R23 6 – 23, Sharks R4 7 – 20,
  • Sequence LLWLWWLWWbWWLbWLWWWWWWLL
  • Prediction 16 wins
  • Last Game Knights (a).

Manly

  • Won 14 from 22, losses to Cronulla R3 14 – 17 Saints R4 6 – 17, Eels R5 20 – 29, Titans R7 14 – 26, Penrith R12 4 – 22, Storm R15 22 – 26, Knights R19 6 – 34, R20 Bulldogs 12 – 20,
  • Sequence WWLLLWLWWWWLWbLWbWLLWWWW
  • Prediction 15 wins
  • Last Game Titans (a).

Cowboys

  • Won 13 from 22, losses to Titans Round 1 0 – 18, Sharks R4 14 – 20, Storm R6 18 –42, Souths R8 16 – 20, Wests R12 18 – 26, Titans R13 12 – 28, Warriors R17 18 – 35, Bulldogs R21 18 – 32, Manly R22 6 -8,
  • Sequence LWWLWLWLWWWLLbWWLbWWLLW
  • Prediction 14 wins
  • Last Game Sharks (a).

Sharks

  • Won 12 from 22 & a Draw, losses to Wests R1 16 – 17, Knights R2 6 – 18, Souths R9 28 – 34, Bulldogs R11, 6 – 26, Eels R13 20 – 29, Draw Easts R18, Saints R19 10 – 18, Raiders R20 4 – 36, Panthers R21 20 -21, Knights R23 4 – 26,
  • Sequence LLWWWWWWLWLbLWbWWDLLLWL
  • Prediction 13.5 wins
  • Last Game Cowboys (h).

Broncos

  • Won 11 from 22, losses to Cowboys R2 26 – 28 Warriors R9 20 – 30, Manly R10 22 – 24, Storm R12 10 – 34, Cowboys R15 0 – 12, Sharks R17 12 – 26, Titans R20 10 – 14, R22  Bulldogs R23 14 – 26, Storm R24 18 – 19,
  • Sequence WLWWWWWWLLbLWWLWLbWLWLL
  • Prediction 12 wins
  • Last Game Panthers (h).

Tigers

  • Won 11 from 22, losses to Manly R2 18 –22, Saints R3 12 – 36, Raiders R4 16 – 30, Souths R5 16 – 17, Broncos R6 14 – 18, Roosters R15 28 – 42, Knights R16 20 – 38, Bulldogs R18 20 – 32, Cowboys R20 16 – 29, Souths R21 6 32, Bulldogs R24 22 – 23,
  • Sequence WLLLLLWWWWbWWWLLbLWLLWW
  • Prediction 12 wins
  • Last Game Storm (h).

Raiders

  • Won 11 from 22, losses to Storm R1 19 – 24, Roosters R3 8 – 14, Cowboys R5 6 – 22, Broncos R7 6 – 30, Sharks R8 22 – 44, Manly R9 12 – 18, Souths R12 18 – 36, Tigers R13 0 – 40, Cowboys R16 18 – 40, Titans R19 26 – 38, R21 Knights 6 – 36,
  • Sequence LWLWLWLLLWbLLWbLWWLWLWW
  • Prediction 12 wins
  • Last Game Warriors (a).

Titans

  • Won 10 from 22, losses to Raiders R2 12 –24, Storm R3 6 – 30, Warriors R4 6 – 26, Bulldogs R5 20 – 30, Roosters R6 12 – 18, Broncos R8 8 – 26, Tigers R9 14 – 15, Sharks R14 12 – 22, Saints R16 6 – 8, Warriors R18 14 – 32, R22, Souths 18 – 22, R23 Storm 18 – 26,
  • Sequence WLLLLLWLLWbWWLWLbLWWWLL
  • Prediction 11 wins
  • Last Game Manly (h).

Knights

  • Won 10 from 22, losses to Saints R1 14 –15, Broncos R3 10 – 24, Storm R5 22 – 34, Saints R7 4 – 12, Roosters R9 6 – 24, Cowboys R10 12 – 32, Titans R12 14 – 24, Broncos R13 24 – 50, Raiders R14 16 – 32, Souths R18 18 – 34, R22 Bulldogs 10 – 26,
  • Sequence LWLWLWLWLLbLLLbWWLWWWLW
  • Prediction 10 wins
  • Last Game South (h).

After Round 24 Finals Prediction:

Therefore in week 1

  • Dogs play Manly at ANZ,
  • Storm v Rabbitohs at Melbourne,
  • Cowboys v Tigers at Dairy Farmers,
  • Sharks v Broncos at Shark Park.

After Round 23 Finals Prediction:

Therefore in week 1

  • Dogs play Manly at ANZ,
  • Souths v Storm at ANZ,
  • Cowboys v Knights at Dairy Farmers,
  • Broncos v Tigers at Suncorp.

Return to Top …


Betting Summary:

  • 1 unit Canterbury Bulldogs to win 2012 NRL premiership @ $5.00. Matures 30/9/12
  • 1 unit Brisbane Broncos to win 2012 NRL premiership @ $8.00. Matures 30/9/12
  • ½ unit on Cowboys to win NRL Premiership @ $13.00
  • 1 unit Adelaide Crows to win the AFL Minor Premiership @ $4.50. Matures 2/9/12
  • 1 unit on Titans to finish in NRL top 8 @ $3.50 (already written off 13/8/12)

This Weekend:

  • 1 unit on Wallabies v All Blacks in Rugby @$7.00
  • ½ unit on Fremantle v North Melb in AFL @ $3.00
  • 1 unit on Titans v Panthers in NRL @ $1.57
  • ½ unit on Broncos v Manly in NRL @ $2.85

Return to Top …


EYE-BALL’s Rookie-Bookie …

EYE-BALL’s Snoop-Poop on – NRL Round 23 & 24 – Points galore and The Run Home …

August 20, 2012 Comments off
The-EYE-BALL-Opinion-Header-2
Latest ‘Snoop-Poop’ Posts:


Aug 13th:

Olympics Comment Part III – Sports Minister Kate Lundy and her Gender Equality -


Aug 10th:

The Fastest Man ALive – Usain Bolt – an Olympic Legend -


Aug 8th:

Olympics Comment Part II – The Gold Medal Drought -


Aug 7th:

Olympics Comment & NRL Round 22 – Points galore & The Run Home continues -


July 30th:

- NRL Round 21 – Upsets galore – The Run Home …


July 28th:

NRL’s Parramatta are Delusional – Comparing Ricky Stuart with Jack Gibson!!!


July 20th:

The NRL’s Bronco’s Final Hopes – – Round 20 Report – Defence OK – Attack pathetic!!!


July 5th:

- 2012 State of Origin – Game 3 and Series Review


June 25th:

- 2012 State of Origin – Game 3 Preview


June 13th:

NSW SOO Coach – A Dirty Stinkin’ RAT …


June 9th:

The David Gallop Story …


June 8th:

The Darcy/Monk Facebook Photos …


June 7th:

2012 State of Origin – Game 2 Preview


May 28th:

NRL – Broncos Round 12 wrap …


May 24th:

2012 State of Origin – Game 1 Review


May 21st:

2012 State of Origin Preview – Game 1


To see more EYE-BALL Snoop-Poop posts:

click here …


Title:
– NRL Round 23 & 24-
- Points galore & The Run Home continues -
| Author: EYE-BALL’s Snoop-Poop | 21st Aug 2012 |
There is only two (2) rounds left and the top four spot is now between five teams.  Bulldogs, Storm, Souths, Manly and Cowboys.   The ‘run home’ below is from Round 20 – 26.   The Predictions for each round are made with a (W) or (L) indicator and the ladder points are updated after each round with [bold] points indicating an incorrect selection.

  • The green highlight represents a correct selection,
  • the red indicates an incorrect selection.

Snoop-Poops ‘The Run Home’ – with thanks to Rookie Bookie …

  1. Canterbury 30 points (+156) – Cowboys (h), Knights (a), Broncos (h), Tigers (h), Raiders (a), Roosters (h) – Prediction WWWW – LW = 40 pts
  2. Storm 28 points (+155) – Saints (a), Panthers (h), Titans (h), Broncos (a), Sharks (h), Tigers (a) – Prediction – LWWW – LL = 34 pts
  3. Rabbitohs 28 points (+77) – Tigers (h), Titans (a), Manly (h), Sharks (a), Eels (h), Knights (a) – Prediction – LLWW – WL = 34 pts
  4. Cowboys 26 points (+83) – Bulldogs (a), Manly (h), Warriors (h), Saints (a), Knights (h), Sharks (a) – Prediction – LLWW – WW = 34 pts
  5. Broncos 26 points – (+82) – Eels (h), Raiders (a), Bulldogs (a), Storm (h), Manly (a), Panthers (h) – Prediction – LLLL – LW = 28 pts …
  6. Sharkies 25 points (-11) – Panthers (h), Warriors (a), Knights (a), Souths (h), Storm (a), Cowboys (h) – Prediction – WLLL – LL – 27 pts
  7. Manly 24 points (+33) – Warriors (h), Cowboys (a), Souths (a), Knights (h), Broncos (h), Titans (a) – Prediction – WWLW – WW = 34pts
  8. Tigers 22 points (+4) – Souths (a), Eels (h), Saints (h), Bulldogs (a), Roosters (a), Storm (h) – Prediction – WWWL – WW = 32 pts …
  9. Warriors 20 points (+25) – Manly (a), Sharks (h), Cowboys (a), Panthers (h), Saints (a), Raiders (h) – Prediction – LWLW – WW = 28 pts
  10. Titans 20 points (-22) – Roosters (a), Rabbits (h), Storm (a), Eels (h), Panthers (a), Manly (h) – Prediction – WLLW – WL = 28 pts
  11. Knights 20 points (-34) – Raiders (a), Bulldogs (h), Sharks (h), Manly (a), Cowboys (a), Rabbits (h) – Prediction – LLWL – LW = 24 pts
  12. Raiders 20 points -(39) – Knights (h), Broncos (h), Panthers (a), Easts (h), Bulldogs (h), Warriors (a) – Prediction – WWWW – WL – 30 pts
  13. Dragons 20 points (-58) – Storm (h), Roosters (a), Tigers (a), Cowboys (h), Warriors (h), Eels (a) – Prediction – WLLL – LW = 24 pts

The final 8 would then be: (Use Last Number after adjustments [in bold] for incorrect picks in Rounds 21-24 results.)

  1. Bulldogs – 40 – 40 – 40 – 40 – 40 -
  2. Rabbitohs – 34 – 363836 - 34 -
  3. Storm – 34 – 34 – 34 – 34 – 34 -
  4. Cowboys – 34 – 34 – 34 – 34 – 34
  5. SeaEagles – 34 – 34 – 34 – 36 – 36 -
  6. Tigers – 32 – 30 – 30 – 30 – 30 -
  7. Raiders – 30 – 28 – 28 – 28 – 28 -
  8. Broncos – 28 – 28 – 28 – 28 – 28 -
  9. Titans – 28 – 28 – 28 – 28 – 28 -
  10. Warriors -28 – 26 – 26 – 24 – 22 -
  11. Sharkies – 27 – 2527 - 27 – 29 -
  12. Knights – 24 – 26 – 26 -26 – 26 -
  13. Dragons – 24 – 24 – 24 – 24 – 24
  14. Roosters – 19 – who cares … current pts – 19
  15. Penrith – 16 – who cares … current pts – 18
  16. Eels –  14 – who cares … current pts – 16

Round 21:

  • Total Points scored = 379
  • Total Margin = 121 with an
  • average of 15 pts per game.

Round 22:

  • Total Points scored = 344
  • Total Margin = 160 with an
  • average of 20 pts per game.

Round 23:

  • Total Points scored = 321 -
  • Total Margin = 129 with an
  • average of 15 pts per game.

Round 24:

  • Total Points scored =343
  • Total Margin =  55 with an
  • average of 7 pts per game.

Round 24 Comment:

If you recall – I made some predictions that Ref’s calls will be the difference between teams making the eight and missing out.

Well last Friday night – [Round 24] – both Broncos and Tigers were on the end of two very bad video Ref calls in their respective matches against the Storm and Bulldogs.  Both teams lost by a point in the final result – but not before the visitor teams benefited from pathetic decisions that allowed tries that should never have been allowed.

This is what was being referred to – a Team and Club’s season coming down to a Ref’s bad call as to whether they make the finals.   Should never happen – if referees were liable for their mistakes – perhaps an appeal process … but the Clubs have to wear it or cop a $10,000 fine if they speak out.  This in the age of professionalism.

There are two rounds to go and how many more referee decisions are fans going to have to live with?


EYE-BALL’s Snoop-Poop …

EYE-BALL’s Rookie Bookie on – Weekend Preview – 17th – 20th Aug -

August 17, 2012 Comments off

 

The-EYE-BALL-Opinion-Header-2

Latest ‘Rookie Bookie Updates:


GI Index Performance:

Value of INDEX:

30th Mar = (+) 0
04th Apr = (+) 216.67
11th Apr = (+) 393.67
18th Apr = (+) 293.67
25th Apr = (+) 293.67 – no activity last week …
2nd May = (+) 290.00
9th May = (+) 340
16th May = (+) 433.3
23rd May = (+) 517.2
30th May = (+) 492.2
6th Jun = (+) 467.3
13th Jun = (+) 497.3
20th Jun = (+) 463.7
27th Jun = (+) 363.7
4th Jly = (+) 363.7
11th Jly = (+) 352.47
18th Jly = (+) 335.80
25th Jly = (+) 328.30
1st Aug = (+) 370.80
8th Aug = (+) 274.97
15th Aug = (+)264.133


Links to previous Posts:

2012:


To see more EYE-BALL ‘Rookie Bookie’ posts:

click here …


Title:
– Weekend Preview – 17th – 20th Aug -
| Author: Rookie Bookie |17th Aug 2012 |
To assist with navigating this page, please use the INDEX links below to go to Admin and Code Summaries:


Last Weekend Bet Results:

  • 1 unit on Gold Coast Titans to finish in NRL top 8 written off,
  • 1 unit on Gold Coast Titans plus start of 8.5 v Storm @ $1.90 collect,
  • ½ unit on Raiders to defeat Panthers (NRL) @ $1.75 collect,
  • ½ unit on Geelong to defeat West Coast (AFL) @ $2.00, lost
  • ½ unit on GWS Giants to defeat Gold Coast Suns (AFL) @ $2.90, lost
  • ½ unit on GWS Giants with start of 17.5 @ $1.90, lost 1 unit on Collingwood with start 12.5 over Sydney Swans @ $1.90 collect.
  • For 5 units outlaid, collect 4.675, therefore index minus 10.83333

Post Match Review:

Each team is rated according to serious contention for final prospects. Example Broncos led 14 nil and were defeated 22 – 14 by Canterbury. In those circumstances, the Broncos were not shamed, given expectation. Their first 2 tries showed great entreprise. Doggies supporters would actually like to see their team lose one before semi finals. Canterbury despite their player issues showed good grit. Broncos defence was improved. Overall rating Dogs 8.5 out of 10, Broncos 6.5.

AFL Round 20

  • West Coast v GeelongWest Coast won 16.6.102 – 15.7.97, Geelong won 1st Quarter, West Coast won 2nd quarter, 3rd quarter and final quarter. West Coast 8 Geelong 4.5
  • Adelaide v Fremantle Adelaide 7 Fremantle 3.5
  • Swans v Collingwood Swans 8.5 Collingwood 9.5
  • Bombers v North North 7 Essendon 4.5

NRL Round 23

  • Souths v Manly Souths 4.5 Manly 8.5
  • Storm v Titans Storm 7 Titans 4.5
  • Tigers v Saints Tigers 5.5 Saints 2
  • Cowboys v Warriors Cowboys 7.5 Warriors 0
  • Panthers v Raiders Panthers 1.5 Raiders 2.5
  • Dogs v Broncos Canterbury 8.5 Brisbane 6.5
  • Knights v Sharks Newcastle 9 Cronulla 2.5

Explanation

This is further used in Dynamic Appraisal.

  • There were so many moments in individual matches over the recent weekend and overall run to semi finals. Glenn Stewart targeted John Sutton in the first 10 minutes, Sutton was not thereafter in the match, Manly won easily, made Souths look second rate. Souths momentum falters and Manly’s prowess overall improved relatively. Reflected in betting Manly now co favourites to win premiership.
  • Titans fought hard in 1st half to go to sleep early in the second half. Storm put on two classy tries, and Titans could not cope. Loss of Bailey and Harrison, is normal stuff. Deal with what comes! Tigers could spring a massive upset, but recent form is still pretty poor. Should have won by a mile if they are really serious. Cowboys just keep flying under the radar. Sure Warriors are washed up, but they can still cause an upset, who Panthers in R24, Saints in R25 or Raiders in R26, 11 wins now looks ridiculous.
  • Raiders may just continue to threaten but total waste of time.
  • Dogs very impressive, Broncos showed some grit, with a terror run still in front.

Return to Top …


The Rugby Championship:

  • My assessment is NZ $1.50, Australia $6.00, SA $6.00, Argentina $101.
  • Tab Sportsbet is NZ $1.45 Australia $4.75, SA $4.75, Argentina $101.

Round 1

  • Australia (+5.5) v New Zealand My estimate $2.50/$1.67 Actual $2.70/$1.45
  • South Africa v Argentina (14.5) My estimate $1.10/$11.00 Actual $1.10/$6.25

Return to Top …


AFL – Round 21: (Underlined = Forecasted Winner)

  • Geelong v St Kilda(+15.5) estimate market $1.60/$2.67 Actual $1.38/$3.05
  • Essendon (+5.5) v Carlton estimate market $1.50/$3.00 Actual $2.15/$1.70
  • Giants (+34.5) v Demons estimate market $2.50/$1.67 Actual $4.90/$1.18
  • Fremantle v Richmond (+15.5) estimate market $1.80/$2.25 Actual $1.43/$2.85
  • Collingwood v North (+12.5) estimate market $1.90/$2.12 Actual $1.33/$3.25
  • Brisbane (+30.5) v Adelaide estimate market $4.00/$1.33 Actual $4.00/$1.23
  • Port (+80.5) v West Coast estimate market $21/$1.05 Actual $5.00/$1.16
  • Western Bulldogs (+34.5) v Swans estimate market $7.67/$1.15 Actual $8.00/$1.08
  • Hawks v Suns (+34.5) estimate market $1.01/$100.00 Actual $1.01/$15.00

The Weekends Forecast:

  • Best Bet: Nothing possibly Adelaide, poor value, Hawthorn, Sydney and West Coast silly odds.
  • Value: Essendon, North Melbourne
  • At the Margin: Best probability of an upset North followed by Richmond.

Auto Regressive Odds Appraisal: (likely grand final appearance – grand final win, a dynamic momentum approach)

  • Sydney Swans 85% (odds required $6.10) Tab Price $5.00
  • Adelaide Crows 81% (odds required $6.92) Tab Price $7.00
  • Collingwood Magpies 87% ($5.96) Tab Price $4.00
  • Hawthorn Hawks 89% ($5.83) Tab Price $2.50
  • West Coast Eagles 67% ($7.74) Tab Price $15.00
  • Geelong Cats 62% ($8.37) Tab Price $13.00
  • North Melbourne Kangaroos 43% ($22.56) Tab Price $34.00
  • Fremantle Dockers 39% ($27.31) Tab Price $151.00
  • Essendon Bombers 24% ($43.25) Tab Price $251.00

Nota Bene:

Collingwood appeared in the Grand Final in 2006 from 5th position. No other team has made the Grand Final from 5th to 8th position. The make up of the top 4 is difficult to predict. This makes an analysis difficult. Hawthorn, Sydney and Adelaide do appear most likely. In NRL things are different slightly.

Top Four Betting

  • Sydney Not Quoted,
  • Adelaide Not Quoted,
  • Hawthorn $1.02,
  • Collingwood $1.05,
  • West Coast $8.00,
  • North $34,
  • Geelong $101.

Final 8 Betting

  • Sydney Not quoted
  • Hawthorn Not quoted
  • Adelaide Not quoted
  • Collingwood not quoted
  • West Coast $1.01
  • Geelong $1.05
  • North $1.04
  • Fremantle $1.85
  • Essendon $3.50

Betting on the Minor Premiership

  • Adelaide $1.85
  • Sydney $3.00
  • Hawthorn $6.50
  • Collingwood $9.00

Wooden Spoon

  • Western Sydney Giants $1.12
  • Gold Coast Suns $6.00.

Return to Top …


AFL -The Race for the Flag:

Sydney Swans

  • Won 15 from 19, losses to Crows R6 14.10.94 – 15.9.99, Richmond R7 8.14.62 – 13.13.91, St Kilda R9 12.11.83 – 16.15.111, Collingwood 9.16.70 – 12.6.78,
  • Sequence WWWWWLLWLWWbWWWWWWWL 1st Quarter won 14, 2nd 13, 3rd 15, 4th 9. Prediction 17 from 22 Equal 2nd, 2nd on %.
  • Their run home, – Hawks (h), Geelong (a).

Adelaide

  • Won 15 from 19, losses to Hawthorn R3 12.12 84 – 21.14.140, Collingwood R9 6.13.49 – 10.15.75, North R13 13.11.89 – 17.19.121, Geelong R18 11.9.75 – 15.12.102
  • Sequence WWLWWWWWLWbLWWWWWLWW 1st Quarter won 12, 2nd 10, 3rd 14, 4th 12. Prediction Minor Premiers.
  • Their run home, – Melbourne (a), Gold Coast (h).

Collingwood

  • Won 15 from 19, losses to Hawthorn R1 16.19.115 – 20.17.137, Carlton R3 9.8.62 – 18.14.122, Carlton R15 8.14.62 – 12.13.85, Hawks R17 13.13.91 – 21.12.138,
  • Sequence LWLWWWWWWWWbWWLWLWWW 1st Quarter won 14, 2nd 12, 3rd 10, 4th 9. Prediction 17 from 22 Equal 2nd, 4th on %.
  • Their run home, – West Coast (a), Essendon (a).

Hawthorn

  • Won 14 from 19, losses to Geelong R2 13.12.90 – 14.9.92, West Coast R4 5.16.46 – 5.21.51, Sydney R5 10.9.69 – 16.10.106, Richmond R9 10.15.75 – 21.11.137, Geelong R19 17.14.116 – 18.10.118.
  • Sequence WLWLLWWWLWWWbWWWWWL 1st Quarter won 11, 2nd 18, 3rd 10, 4th 12. Prediction 17 from 22 Equal 2nd, 3rd on %
  • Their run home, – Sydney (a), West Coast (h).

West Coast Eagles

  • Won 13 from 19, losses to Essendon R7 7.10.52 – 16.17.113, Brisbane Lions R10 15.10.100 – 16.6.102, Collingwood R13 12.10.82 – 12.13.85, Sydney R15 10.9.69 – 18.13.121, Crows R18 11.9.75 – 19.19.124, Fremantle R19 6.14.48 – 17.11.113.
  • Sequence WWWWWWLWWLbWLWWLLWLW 1st Quarter won 10, 2nd 13, 3rd 11, 4th 13. Prediction 14 from 22 Equal 5th, 5th on %
  • Their run home, – Port (a), Collingwood (h), Hawks (a).

Geelong

  • Won 12 from 19, losses to Fremantle 15.11.101 – 16.9.105, North R3 16.18.114 – 20.11.131, Crows R7 10.12.72 – 19.18.122, Collingwood R8 11.18.84 – 14.12.96, Sydney R13 11.8.74 – 12.8.80, Collingwood R15 10.19.79 – 17.8.110, West Coast
  • Sequence LWLWWWLLWWWbLWWLWWWWL 1st Quarter won 10, 2nd 10, 3rd 9, 4th 13. Prediction 14 from 22 Equal 5th, 7th on %
  • Their run home, – Bulldogs (h), Sydney (h).

North

  • Won 12 from 19, losses to Essendon R1 15.12.102 – 14.20.104, Sydney R4 10.17.77 – 17.11.113, West Coast R6 15.5.95 – 17.18.120, Western Bulldogs R7 12.11.83 – 15.11.101, Port R8 14.9.93 – 14.11.95, Hawthorn R10 9.5.59 – 27.12.174, West Coast R15 13.6.84 – 12.14.86,
  • Sequence LWWLWLLLWLbWWWLWWWW 1st Quarter won 13, 2nd 12, 3rd 11, 4th 9. Prediction 14 from 22 Equal 5th, 6th on %
  • Their run home, – Fremantle (h), Giants (h).

Essendon Bombers

  • Won 11 from 19, losses to Collingwood R5 11.13.79 – 11.14.80, Melbourne R10 6.16.52 – 8.10.58, Sydney R11 11.16.82 – 13.8.86, St Kilda R15 8.14.62 – 21.7.133, Geelong R18, 10.7.67 – 20.14.134, North R20 11.10.76 – 15.10.100
  • Sequence WWWWLWWWWLLbWWLWWLWL 1st Quarter won 8, 2nd 11, 3rd 8, 4th 10. Prediction 13 from 22, Equal 8th 9th on %.
  • Their run home, – Richmond (a), Collingwood (h).

Fremantle –

  • Won 11 from 19, losses to Sydney R2 12.9.81 – 14.10.94, Carlton R5 7.15.57 – 10.5.65, Hawthorn R8 9.9.63 – 17.17. 119, West Coast R9 5.6.36 – 11.18.84, Crows 12.10.82 – 17.9.111, Bombers R13 14.5.89 – 17.11.113, Magpies R14 12.6.78 – 15.17.107 Crows R20 14.7.91 – 17.17.119,
  • Sequence WLWWLWWLLLWbLLWWWWWL 1st Quarter won 7, 2nd 9, 3rd 13, 4th 12. Prediction 13 from 22 Equal 8th, 8th on %
  • Their run home; – North (a), Melbourne (h).

Return to Index …


NRL Round 24: (Underlined = Forecasted Winner)

  • Broncos (+4.5) v Storm – estimate market $2.42/$1.70 Actual $2.45/$1.57
  • Bulldogs v Tigers (+7.5) – estimate market $1.50 /$3.00 Actual $1.45/$2.85
  • Raiders v Chooks (+8.5) – estimate market $1.60/$2.67 Actual $1.45/$2.85
  • Sharks (+6.5) v Rabbitohs – estimate market $3.00/$1.50 Actual $2.75/$1.47
  • Titans v Eels (+6.5) estimate market $1.50/$3.00 Actual $1.47/$2.75
  • Warriors v Panthers (+8.5) estimate market $1.67/$2.50 Actual $1.25/$3.25
  • Sea Eagles v Knights (+8.5) estimate market $1.67/$2.50 Actual $1.40/$3.00
  • Saints (+4.5) v Cowboys estimate market $3.00/$1.50 Actual $2.50/$1.55

The Weekends Forecast:

  • Best Bet: Cowboys
  • Value: Knights
  • At the Margin: Knights

Auto Regressive Odds Appraisal: (likely grand final appearance – grand final win, a dynamic appraisal)

  • Canterbury Bulldogs 92% (odds required $5.10) Tab Price $3.75
  • Manly Sea Eagles 79% ($5.95) Tab Price $3.75
  • Melbourne Storm 76% (odds required $6.18) Tab Price $4.25
  • South Sydney Rabbitohs 65% ($7.23) Tab Price $6.00
  • North Qld 58% ($8.10) Tab Price $13.00
  • Wests Tigers 16% ($29) Tab Price $17
  • Brisbane Broncos 40% ($11.75) Tab Price $26
  • Cronulla Sharks 28% ($20.2) Tab Price $26
  • Newcastle Knights 31% ($19.35) Tab Price $51
  • Canberra Raiders 1% ($125) Tab Price $81
  • Gold Coast Titans <1% ($1000) Tab Price $151
  • St George Illawarra Dragons <0.1% ($1000) $251

Top Four Market;

  • Canterbury Bulldogs Not Quoted
  • Souths Sydney Rabbitohs Not Quoted
  • Melbourne Storm Not Quoted
  • Manly Sea Eagles $1.33
  • North Qld Cowboys $3.25
  • Cronulla Sharks $34.00
  • Brisbane Broncos $51.00
  • Wests Tigers $67.00

Top Eight Market;

  • Souths Sydney Rabbitohs Not Quoted
  • Melbourne Storm Not Quoted
  • Manly Sea Eagles Not Quoted
  • North Qld Cowboys Not Quoted
  • Cronulla Sharks $1.22 (to miss 8 $4.00)
  • Brisbane Broncos $1.18 (to miss 8 $4.50)
  • Wests Tigers $1.25 (to miss 8 $3.50)
  • Canberra Raiders $3.25 (to miss 8 $1.33)
  • Newcastle Knights $3.50 (to miss 8 $1.25)
  • Gold Coast Titans $8.00 (to miss 8 $1.05)
  • St George Illawarra Dragons $26.00 (to miss 8 Not Quoted)
  • New Zealand Warriors $34.00 (to miss 8 Not Quoted)

Wooden Spoon (most regular season losses);

  • Parramatta Eels Suspended
  • Penrith Panthers Suspended

Return to Top …


The Money End of the Season

Bulldogs

  • Won 16 from 21, losses to Knights R4 6 – 20, Souths R6 10 – 20, Storm R7 6 –12, Manly R8 10 – 12, Titans R10 14 – 25,
  • Their Sequence WWWLWLLLWLWWWbWWbWWWWW Prediction 18 wins
  • Their run home, – Raiders (a), Roosters (h).

Storm

  • Won 14 from 21, losses to Cronulla R10 10 –12, Wests R14 6 – 10, Bulldogs R16 4 – 20, Raiders R18 12 – 40, Cowboys R19 16 – 20, Eels R20 10 – 16, Saints R21 18 – 26,
  • Their Sequence WWWWWWWWWLbWWLWLbLLLLWW Prediction 15 wins
  • Their run home, – Sharks (h), Tigers (a).

Souths

  • Won 14 from 21, losses to Roosters R1 20 – 24, Storm R2 10 – 24, Broncos R4 12 – 20, Warriors R7 22 – 44, Bulldogs R13 18 – 23, Broncos R16 12 – 26, Manly R23 6 – 23,
  • Sequence LLWLWWLWWbWWLbWLWWWWWWL Prediction 16 wins
  • Their run home, – Eels (h), Knights (a).

Manly

  • Won 13 from 21, losses to Cronulla R3 14 – 17 Saints R4 6 – 17, Eels R5 20 – 29, Titans R7 14 – 26, Penrith R12 4 – 22, Storm R15 22 – 26, Knights R19 6 – 34, R20 Bulldogs 12 – 20,
  • Their Sequence WWLLLWLWWWWLWbLWbWLLWWW Prediction 15 wins
  • Their run home, – Broncos (h), Titans (a).

Cowboys

  • Won 12 from 21, losses to Titans Round 1 0 – 18, Sharks R4 14 – 20, Storm R6 18 –42, Souths R8 16 – 20, Wests R12 18 – 26, Titans R13 12 – 28, Warriors R17 18 – 35, Bulldogs R21 18 – 32, Manly R22 6 -8,
  • Their Sequence LWWLWLWLWWWLLbWWLbWWLLW Prediction 14 wins
  • Their run home, – Knights (h), Sharks (a).

Broncos

  • Won 11 from 21, losses to Cowboys R2 26 – 28 Warriors R9 20 – 30, Manly R10 22 – 24, Storm R12 10 – 34, Cowboys R15 0 – 12, Sharks R17 12 – 26, Titans R20 10 – 14, R22  Bulldogs R23 14 – 26,
  • Their Sequence WLWWWWWWLLbLWWLWLbWLWLL Prediction 12 wins
  • Their run home, – Manly (a), Panthers (h).

Sharks

  • Won 11 from 21 & a Draw, losses to Wests R1 16 – 17, Knights R2 6 – 18, Souths R9 28 – 34, Bulldogs R11, 6 – 26, Eels R13 20 – 29, Draw Easts R18, Saints R19 10 – 18, Raiders R20 4 – 36, Panthers R21 20 -21, Knights R23 4 – 26,
  • Their Sequence LLWWWWWWLWLbLWbWWDLLLWL Prediction 11.5 wins
  • Their run home, – Storm (a), Cowboys (h).

Tigers

  • Won 11 from 21, losses to Manly R2 18 –22, Saints R3 12 – 36, Raiders R4 16 – 30, Souths R5 16 – 17, Broncos R6 14 – 18, Roosters R15 28 – 42, Knights R16 20 – 38, Bulldogs R18 20 – 32, Cowboys R20 16 – 29, Souths R21 6 32,
  • Their Sequence WLLLLLWWWWbWWWLLbLWLLWW Prediction 12 wins
  • Their run home, – Roosters (a), Storm (h).

Knights

  • Won 10 from 21, losses to Saints R1 14 –15, Broncos R3 10 – 24, Storm R5 22 – 34, Saints R7 4 – 12, Roosters R9 6 – 24, Cowboys R10 12 – 32, Titans R12 14 – 24, Broncos R13 24 – 50, Raiders R14 16 – 32, Souths R18 18 – 34, R22 Bulldogs 10 – 26,
  • Their Sequence LWLWLWLWLLbLLLbWWLWWWLW Prediction 12 wins
  • Their run home, – Cowboys (a), South (h).

Raiders

  • Won 10 from 21, losses to Storm R1 19 – 24, Roosters R3 8 – 14, Cowboys R5 6 – 22, Broncos R7 6 – 30, Sharks R8 22 – 44, Manly R9 12 – 18, Souths R12 18 – 36, Tigers R13 0 – 40, Cowboys R16 18 – 40, Titans R19 26 – 38, R21 Knights 6 – 36,
  • Their Sequence LWLWLWLLLWbLLWbLWWLWLWW Prediction 12 wins
  • Their run home, – Bulldogs (a), Warriors (a).

Titans

  • Won 9 from 21, losses to Raiders R2 12 –24, Storm R3 6 – 30, Warriors R4 6 – 26, Bulldogs R5 20 – 30, Roosters R6 12 – 18, Broncos R8 8 – 26, Tigers R9 14 – 15, Sharks R14 12 – 22, Saints R16 6 – 8, Warriors R18 14 – 32, R22, Souths 18 – 22, R23 Storm 18 – 26,
  • Their Sequence WLLLLLWLLWbWWLWLbLWWWLL Prediction 11 wins
  • Their run home, – Panthers (a), Manly (h).

Therefore in week 1 Dogs play Manly at ANZ, Souths v Storm at ANZ, Cowboys v Knights at Dairy Farmers, Broncos v Tigers at Suncorp.

Return to Top …


Betting Summary:

  • 1 unit Canterbury Bulldogs to win 2012 NRL premiership @ $5.00. Matures 30/9/12
  • 1 unit Brisbane Broncos to win 2012 NRL premiership @ $8.00. Matures 30/9/12
  • 1 unit Adelaide Crows to win the AFL Minor Premiership @ $4.50. Matures 2/9/121 1 unit on Titans to finish in NRL top 8 @ $3.50 (already written off 13/8/12)

This Weekend:

  • 1 unit on Cowboys (NRL)over Saints @ $1.55
  • ½ unit on Cowboys to win NRL Premiership @ $13.00
  • ½ unit on Newcastle to defeat Manly (again) @ $3.00
  • ½ unit on Essendon (AFL) @ $2.15
  • ½ unit on North Melbourne (AFL) @ $3.25

Return to Top …


EYE-BALL’s Rookie-Bookie …

EYE-BALL’s Snoop-Poop on – Olympics Comment Part II – The Gold Medal Drought -

August 8, 2012 3 comments
The-EYE-BALL-Opinion-Header-2
Latest ‘Snoop-Poop’ Posts:


Aug 7th:

Olympics Comment Part 1 & NRL Round 22 – Points galore & The Run Home continues -


July 30th:

- NRL Round 21 – Upsets galore – The Run Home …


July 28th:

NRL’s Parramatta are Delusional – Comparing Ricky Stuart with Jack Gibson!!!


July 20th:

The NRL’s Bronco’s Final Hopes – – Round 20 Report – Defence OK – Attack pathetic!!!


July 5th:

- 2012 State of Origin – Game 3 and Series Review


June 25th:

- 2012 State of Origin – Game 3 Preview


June 13th:

NSW SOO Coach – A Dirty Stinkin’ RAT …


June 9th:

The David Gallop Story …


June 8th:

The Darcy/Monk Facebook Photos …


June 7th:

2012 State of Origin – Game 2 Preview


May 28th:

NRL – Broncos Round 12 wrap …


May 24th:

2012 State of Origin – Game 1 Review


May 21st:

2012 State of Origin Preview – Game 1


To see more EYE-BALL Snoop-Poop posts:

click here …


Title:
– Olympics Comment  Part II –
- The Gold Medal Drought -
| Author: EYE-BALL’s Snoop-Poop | 8th Aug 2012 |
The tide has changed and Australia’s three Gold medals in the last two days has given Channel Nine’s coverage a much needed boost.

The Swimming performance at these games prompted some research – the results appear below with comments following.

A snapshot of Australia’s medal performance at all Post War games – and the Swimming contribution as a comparison. [Please click on all images to enlarge in a new window.]

Since Sydney Australia’s Olympic ranking in Swimming has been number 2 behind the USA. The London rankings of 6th, and even if Seabohm and Magnusson had won gold the ranking would only improve to be 4th. Our overall haul of 10 medals ranked equal 3rd with China – Japan ranked 2nd with 11 medals. The USA had a total 30 medals.

The last time we won a single swimming Gold medal was Barcelona – Kerin Perkins in the 1500. Australia’s total haul that year was 7 Gold and a total of 27 medals.   We sit at 25 medals and are assured of more in coming days.  Our Gold haul will increase as well thanks to the sailing crews.   It’s possible that the sailing team will lead the medal count for Australia.

The AOC website carries a medal forecast for Australia – top 5 in Gold – top 5 in overall – and to medal in 14 of the 38 different disciplines.   We currently sit 11th in Gold,  11th in overall, and have medaled in 7 disciplines.

One ponders whether the Channel Nine broadcast is responsible for the diminishing interest in Australia’s viewing.  Original thoughts were the time difference – and then it was the disappointment of the swimming teams efforts – but reports out now suggest Channel Nine are looking good for why Australians are switching channels.  Read story here …

It’s a hard call on Channel Nine – but I agree – some of the first week commentary left egg on many faces.  With Foxtel and social media the alternatives – much of Australia are forced to watch Channel Nine if they want to watch live or delayed broadcasts.

I have to admit – I was disappointed at the swimming performance – but looking at the team it is young and in a rebuild period after greats like Thorpe, Hackett, Henry, and Tricket have passed the baton.  Rio should be better but Europe’s successes are a concern.   Our climate has always been our advantage in swimming and whether ‘climate change’ and melanoma campaigns have impacted on participation rates is research still to be undertaken.

The Olympic movement has come a long way in the modern era – the pressure athletes are under to perform has never been greater under the professional era.  We still have five days of competition – Hooker in the pole vault final tomorrow, canoeing, equestrian, basketball (mens and women),  BMX, hockey, sailing and a few other sports just starting their qualifying rounds.

Go Aussies …

Trivia:  

Below are the top medal Nations at all Olympics going back to 1948.   Use it as a source to trip up your friends.

London 1948:

Helsinki – 1952

Melbourne – 1956

Rome – 1960

Tokyo – 1964

Mexico – 1968

Munich – 1972

Montreal – 1976

Moscow – 1980

Los Angeles – 1984

Soeul – 1988

Barcelona – 1992

Atlanta – 1996

Sydney – 2000

Athens – 2004

Bejing – 2008

Link to current London – 2012 Medal count …:


EYE-BALL’s Snoop-Poop …

EYE-BALL’s Rookie Bookie on – Weekend Preview – 10th – 13th Aug -

The-EYE-BALL-Opinion-Header-2

Latest ‘Rookie Bookie Updates:


GI Index Performance:

Value of INDEX:

30th Mar = (+) 0
04th Apr = (+) 216.67
11th Apr = (+) 393.67
18th Apr = (+) 293.67
25th Apr = (+) 293.67 – no activity last week …
2nd May = (+) 290.00
9th May = (+) 340
16th May = (+) 433.3
23rd May = (+) 517.2
30th May = (+) 492.2
6th Jun = (+) 467.3
13th Jun = (+) 497.3
20th Jun = (+) 463.7
27th Jun = (+) 363.7
4th Jly = (+) 363.7
11th Jly = (+) 352.47
18th Jly = (+) 335.80
25th Jly = (+) 328.30
1st Aug = (+) 370.80
8th Aug = (+) 274.97


Links to previous Posts:

2012:


To see more EYE-BALL ‘Rookie Bookie’ posts:

click here …


Title:
– Weekend Preview – 10th – 13th Aug -
| Author: Rookie Bookie |8th Aug 2012 |
To assist with navigating this page, please use the INDEX links below to go to Admin and Code Summaries:


Last Weekend Updates:

  • Collect on Geelong 2.625, lose on Panthers (NRL), Lose on parlay (West Coast AFL), Lose on Sharks (Super Rugby), 1 unit last week, ½ unit from May, lose on Olympic gold medal bet (2 units). Net loss 2.875 units.
  • In NRL Manly show they are not finished, Sharks and Storm recover some prowess, I am not yet convinced from Storm perspective or Tigers. Broncos really need a friend. Battle for 8th spot is definitely not over. Wooden Spoon is now between Panthers and Eels.
  • Super Rugby NZ’s Waikato Chiefs were awesome. I got knocked around. The overall strength of NZ in that light has really killed the Southern 4 Nations from my perspective. Even should Wallabies win on Saturday week at Sydney’s Olympic Park, I won’t get interested. Australia would need to give them an absolute pasting to re kindle interest.
  • AFL is really getting big but only for a few teams. Their draw is simply not a level playing field, and will have to addressed for future years. So much fun available this weekend, lop sided starts and prices. Only 2 matches I can’t see any interest in.
  • My Olympic Australia’s gold medal tally has come home on the back of a wet sail, a little to few, a little to late. At best we might finish with maybe 7, and placed about 9th on International standings.

Return to Top …


The Rugby Championship:

  • My assessment is NZ $1.50, Australia $6.00, SA $6.00, Argentina $101.
  • Tab Sportsbet is NZ $1.45 Australia $4.75, SA $4.75, Argentina $101.

Round 1

  • Australia v New Zealand My estimate $2.50/$1.67 Actual not available
  • South Africa v Argentina. My estimate $1.10/$11.00 Actual not available

Super Rugby Final

  • Chiefs v Sharks At Hamilton 5.35pm AEST 4/8/12
  • My estimate $1.95/$2.05 Actual $1.30/$3.30.
  • Further Unit invested at $3.30 on Sharks.

Return to Top …


AFL – Round 20: (Underlined = Forecasted Winner)

  • West Coast v Geelong (+2.5) estimate market $2.25/$1.80 Actual $1.80/$2.00
  • Saint Kilda v Melbourne (+48.5) estimate market $1.50/$3.00 Actual $1.06/$8.50
  • Adelaide v Fremantle (+18.5) estimate market $1.67/$2.50 Actual $1.40/$2.90
  • Gold Coast v Giants (+17.5) estimate market $2.25/$1.80 Actual $1.40/$2.90
  • Swans v Collingwood (+12.5) estimate market $2.00/$2.00 Actual $1.65/$2.20
  • Carlton v Lions (+30.5) estimate market $1.50/$3.00 Actual $1.20/$4.40
  • Hawks v Port (+80.5) estimate market $1.05/$21.00 Actual $1.01/$15.00
  • Richmond v West. Bulldogs (+34.5) estimate market $1.40/$3.50 Actual $1.16/$5.00
  • Bombers (+7.5) v North estimate market $2.00/$2.00 Actual $2.20/$1.65
  • Best Bet: Geelong,
  • Value: Collingwood, Giants, Essendon Bombers
  • At the Margin: Melbourne Demons, Giants

Top Four Betting:

  • Sydney Not Quoted,
  • Hawthorn $1.02,
  • Adelaide $1.01,
  • Collingwood $1.35,
  • West Coast $4.50,
  • Geelong $8.

Final 8 Betting:

  • Sydney Not quoted,
  • Hawthorn Not quoted,
  • Adelaide Not quoted,
  • Collingwood not quoted,
  • West Coast $1.05,
  • Geelong $1.10,
  • North $1.25,
  • Fremantle $1.65,
  • Essendon $2.00.

Grand Final Betting

  • Hawthorn $2.50,
  • Swans $4.00,
  • Collingwood, $5.50,
  • Adelaide $8,
  • Geelong $9,
  • West Coast $17,
  • North $34,
  • St Kilda,$51
  • Fremantle $67,
  • Essendon $101

Betting on the Minor Premiership:

  • Sydney $1.75,
  • Adelaide $4,
  • Hawthorn $5.00,
  • Collingwood $9.00.

Wooden Spoon:

  • Giants $1.40,
  • Suns $2.80.

Return to Top …


AFL -The Race for the Flag:

Sydney Swans:

  • Won 15 from 18, losses to Crows R6 14.10.94 – 15.9.99, Richmond R7 8.14.62 – 13.13.91, St Kilda R9 12.11.83 – 16.15.111,
  • Sequence WWWWWLLWLWWbWWWWWWW 1st Quarter won 14, 2nd 12, 3rd 14, 4th 9.
  • Their run home, – Bulldogs (a), Hawks (h), Geelong (a).

Adelaide

  • Won 14 from 18, losses to Hawthorn R3 12.12 84 – 21.14.140, Collingwood R9 6.13.49 – 10.15.75, North R13 13.11.89 – 17.19.121, Geelong R18 11.9.75 – 15.12.102
  • Sequence WWLWWWWWLWbLWWWWWLW 1st Quarter won 11, 2nd 10, 3rd 13, 4th 11.
  • Their run home, – Brisbane (a), Melbourne (a), Gold Coast (h).

Collingwood

  • Won 14 from 18, losses to Hawthorn R1 16.19.115 – 20.17.137, Carlton R3 9.8.62 – 18.14.122, Carlton R15 8.14.62 – 12.13.85, Hawks R17 13.13.91 – 21.12.138,
  • Sequence LWLWWWWWWWWbWWLWLWW 1st Quarter won 13, 2nd 12, 3rd 10, 4th 8.
  • Their run home, – North (h), West Coast (a), Essendon (a).

Hawthorn

  • Won 13 from 18, losses to Geelong R2 13.12.90 – 14.9.92, West Coast R4 5.16.46 – 5.21.51, Sydney R5 10.9.69 – 16.10.106, Richmond R9 10.15.75 – 21.11.137, Geelong R19 17.14.116 – 18.10.118.
  • Sequence WLWLLWWWLWWWbWWWWWL 1st Quarter won 11, 2nd 17, 3rd 10, 4th 11.
  • Their run home, – Gold Coast, (h), Sydney (a), West Coast (h).

West Coast Eagles

  • Won 12 from 18, losses to Essendon R7 7.10.52 – 16.17.113, Brisbane Lions R10 15.10.100 – 16.6.102, Collingwood R13 12.10.82 – 12.13.85, Sydney R15 10.9.69 – 18.13.121, Crows R18 11.9.75 – 19.19.124, Fremantle R19 6.14.48 – 17.11.113.
  • Sequence WWWWWWLWWLbWLWWLLWL 1st Quarter won 10, 2nd 12, 3rd 10, 4th 12.
  • Their run home, – Port (a), Collingwood (h), Hawks (a).

Geelong

  •   Won 12 from 18, losses to Fremantle 15.11.101 – 16.9.105, North R3 16.18.114 – 20.11.131, Crows R7 10.12.72 – 19.18.122, Collingwood R8 11.18.84 – 14.12.96, Sydney R13 11.8.74 – 12.8.80, Collingwood R15 10.19.79 – 17.8.110,
  • Sequence LWLWWWLLWWWbLWWLWWWW 1st Quarter won 9, 2nd 10, 3rd 9, 4th 13.
  • Their run home, – St Kilda (h), Bulldogs (h), Sydney (h).

North

  • Won 11 from 18, losses to Essendon R1 15.12.102 – 14.20.104, Sydney R4 10.17.77 – 17.11.113, West Coast R6 15.5.95 – 17.18.120, Western Bulldogs R7 12.11.83 – 15.11.101, Port R8 14.9.93 – 14.11.95, Hawthorn R10 9.5.59 – 27.12.174, West Coast R15 13.6.84 – 12.14.86,
  • Sequence LWWLWLLLWLbWWWLWWWW 1st Quarter won 12, 2nd 12, 3rd 10, 4th 8.
  • Their run home, – Collingwood (a), Fremantle (h), Giants (h).

Essendon Bombers

  • Won 11 from 18, losses to Collingwood R5 11.13.79 – 11.14.80, Melbourne R10 6.16.52 – 8.10.58, Sydney R11 11.16.82 – 13.8.86, St Kilda R15 8.14.62 – 21.7.133, Geelong R18, 10.7.67 – 20.14.134,
  • Sequence WWWWLWWWWLLbWWLWWL 1st Quarter won 8, 2nd 10, 3rd 8, 4th 10.
  • Their run home, – Carlton (h), Richmond (a), Collingwood (h).

Fremantle

  • Won 11 from 18, losses to Sydney R2 12.9.81 – 14.10.94, Carlton R5 7.15.57 – 10.5.65, Hawthorn R8 9.9.63 – 17.17. 119, West Coast R9 5.6.36 – 11.18.84, Crows 12.10.82 – 17.9.111, Bombers R13 14.5.89 – 17.11.113, Magpies R14 12.6.78 – 15.17.107.
  • Sequence WLWWLWWLLLWbLLWWW 1st Quarter won 7, 2nd 8, 3rd 13, 4th 12.

Return to Index …


NRL Round 23: (Underlined = Forecasted Winner)

  • Souths v Manly (+1.5) – estimate market $1.80/$2.25 Actual $1.80/$2.05
  • Storm v Titans (+8.5) – estimate market $1.80 /$2.25 Actual $1.38/$3.10
  • Eels (+1.5) v Chooks – estimate market $1.80/$2.25 Actual $2.05/$1.80
  • Tigers v Saints (+4.5) – estimate market $1.60/$2.67 Actual $1.55/$2.50
  • Cowboys v Warriors (+9.5) estimate market $1.50/$3.00 Actual $1.35/$3.25
  • Panthers (+2.5) v Raiders estimate market $2.50/$1.67 Actual $2.10/$1.75
  • Dogs v Broncos (+10.5) estimate market $1.40/$3.50 Actual $1.30/$3.60
  • Knights v Sharks (+1.5) estimate market $2.25/$1.80 Actual $1.80/$2.05

The Weekends Forecast:

  • Best Bet: Titans
  • Value: Raiders, Sharks
  • At the Margin: Titans

Top Four Market:

  • Canterbury Not Quoted,
  • Souths Not Quoted,
  • Melbourne Not Quoted,
  • Manly $1.55,
  • Cowboys $3.50,
  • Brisbane $15,
  • Cronulla $7.50.

Top Eight Market:

  • Canterbury Not Quoted,
  • Souths Not Quoted,
  • Melbourne Not Quoted,
  • Manly Not Quoted,
  • Cowboys $1.04,
  • Brisbane $1.07,
  • Cronulla $1.12,
  • Titans $3.50,
  • Wests $1.60,
  • Newcastle $5.50.

Wooden Spoon (most regular season losses):

  • Parramatta $1.33,
  • Penrith $3.25.

Grand Final Market:

  • Canterbury $3.75,
  • South Sydney $4.50,
  • Melbourne $4.50,
  • Manly $5.50,
  • Cowboys $15.00,
  • Brisbane $17,
  • Cronulla $21,
  • Titans $34,
  • Warriors $34.

Return to Top …


The Money End of the Season

Bulldogs

  • Won 14 from 19, losses to Knights R4 6 – 20, Souths R6 10 – 20, Storm R7 6 –12, Manly R8 10 – 12, Titans R10 14 – 25,
  • Their Sequence WWWLWLLLWLWWWbWWbWWW Prediction 18 wins
  • Their run home, – Broncos (h), Tigers (h), Raiders (a), Roosters (h).

Souths

  • Won 13 from 19, losses to Roosters R1 20 – 24, Storm R2 10 – 24, Broncos R4 12 – 20, Warriors R7 22 – 44, Bulldogs R13 18 – 23, Broncos R16 12 – 26,
  • Sequence LLWLWWLWWbWWLbWLWWWW Prediction 16 wins
  • Their run home, – Manly (h), Sharks (a), Eels (h), Knights (a).

Storm

  • Won 12 from 19, losses to Cronulla R10 10 –12, Wests R14 6 – 10, Bulldogs R16 4 – 20, Raiders R18 12 – 40, Cowboys R19 16 – 20, Eels R20 10 – 16, Saints R21 18 – 26,
  • Their Sequence WWWWWWWWWLbWWLWLbLLLL Prediction 14 wins
  • Their run home, – Titans (h), Broncos (a), Sharks (h), Tigers (a).

 Broncos

  • Won 12 from 18, losses to Cowboys R2 26 – 28 Warriors R9 20 – 30, Manly R10 22 – 24, Storm R12 10 – 34, Cowboys R15 0 – 12, Sharks R17 12 – 26, Titans R20 10 – 14,
  • Their Sequence WLWWWWWWLLbLWWLWLbWL Prediction 15 wins
  • Their run home, – Bulldogs (a), Storm (h), Manly (a), Panthers (h).

 Cowboys

  • Won 11 from 19, losses to Titans Round 1 0 – 18, Sharks R4 14 – 20, Storm R6 18 –42, Souths R8 16 – 20, Wests R12 18 – 26, Titans R13 12 – 28, Warriors R17 18 – 35, Bulldogs R21 18 – 32,
  • Their Sequence LWWLWLWLWWWLLbWWLbWWL Prediction 15 wins
  • Their run home, – Warriors (h), Saints (a), Knights (h), Sharks (a).

Manly

  • Won 10 from 17, losses to Cronulla R3 14 – 17 Saints R4 6 – 17, Eels R5 20 – 29, Titans R7 14 – 26, Penrith R12 4 – 22, Storm R15 22 – 26,Knights R19 6 – 34,
  • Their Sequence WWLLLWLWWWWLWbLWbWL Prediction 11 wins
  • Their run home, – Souths (a), Knights (h), Broncos (h), Titans (a).

Sharks

  • Won 10 from 17 & a Draw, losses to Wests R1 16 – 17 Knights R2 6 – 18, Souths R9 28 – 34, Bulldogs R11, 6 – 26, Eels R13 20 – 29, Draw Easts R18, Saints R19 10 – 18,
  • Their Sequence LLWWWWWWLWLbLWbWWDL Prediction 12 wins
  • Their run home, – Knights (a), Souths (h), Storm (a), Cowboys (h).

Titans

  • Won 9 from 19, losses to Raiders R2 12 –24, Storm R3 6 – 30, Warriors R4 6 – 26, Bulldogs R5 20 – 30, Roosters R6 12 – 18, Broncos R8 8 – 26, Tigers R9 14 – 15, Sharks R14 12 – 22, Saints R16 6 – 8, Warriors R18 14 – 32,
  • Sequence WLLLLLWLLWbWWLWLbLWWW Prediction 13 wins
  • Their run home, – Storm (a), Eels (h), Panthers (a), Manly (h).

Knights

  • Won 9 from 19, losses to Saints R1 14 –15, Broncos R3 10 – 24, Storm R5 22 – 34, Saints R7 4 – 12, Roosters R9 6 – 24, Cowboys R10 12 – 32, Titans R12 14 – 24, Broncos R13 24 – 50, Raiders R14 16 – 32, R16 24 – 50, Souths R18 18 – 34
  • Sequence LWLWLWLWLLbLLLbWWLWWW Prediction fighting out 8th with Manly on a count back.
  • Their run home, – Sharks (h), Manly (a), Cowboys (a), South (h).

Tigers

  • Won 9 from 19, losses to Manly R2 18 –22 Saints R3 12 – 36 Raiders R4 16 – 30, Souths R5 16 – 17, Broncos R6 14 – 18, Roosters R15 28 – 42, Knights R16 20 – 38, Bulldogs R18 20 – 32, Cowboys R20 16 – 29, Souths R21 6 32,
  • Sequence WLLLLLWWWWbWWWLLbLWLL
  • Their run home, – Saints (h), Bulldogs (a), Roosters (a), Storm (h).

Saints

  • Won 9 from 19, losses to Bulldogs R2 4 – 30, Broncos R5 20 – 28, Sharks R6 0 – 12, Cowboys R9 6 – 30, Panthers R10 12 – 13, Souths R11 18 – 19, Manly R13 8 –.20, Bulldogs R15 20 – 28, Raiders R17 18 – 22, Souths R19 16 – 36,
  • Their Sequence WLWWLLWWLLLWLbLWLbWLW
  • Their run home, – Tigers (a), Cowboys (h), Warriors (h), Eels (a).

Therefore in week 1 Dogs play Cowboys at ANZ, Souths v Broncos at ANZ, Storm v Knights In Melbourne, Titans v Sharks at Gold Coast. Week 2 Broncos v Titans at Lang Park, and Cowboys v Knights in Townsville.

Return to Top …


Betting Summary

  • 1 unit Canterbury Bulldogs to win 2012 NRL premiership @ $5.00. Matures 30/9/12
  • 1 unit Brisbane Broncos to win 2012 NRL premiership @ $8.00. Matures 30/9/12
  • 1 unit Adelaide Crows to win the AFL Minor Premiership @ $4.50. Matures 2/9/12

This Weekend:

  • 1 unit on Gold Coast Titans to finish in NRL top 8 @ $3.50 (matures 2/9/12)
  • 1 unit on Gold Coast Titans plus start of 8.5 v Storm @ $1.90
  • ½ unit on Raiders to defeat Panthers (NRL) @ $1.75
  • ½ unit on Geelong to defeat West Coast (AFL) @ $2.00
  • ½ unit on GWS Giants to defeat Gold Coast Suns (AFL) @ $2.90
  • ½ unit on GWS Giants with start of 17.5 @ $1.90
  • 1 unit on Collingwood with start 12.5 over Sydney Swans @ $1.90

Return to Top …


EYE-BALL’s Rookie-Bookie …

Follow

Get every new post delivered to your Inbox.

Join 131 other followers

%d bloggers like this: