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EYE-BALL’s – “On the Hustings” – The Campaign Trail – Day 4

August 8, 2013 6 comments
The-EYE-BALL-Opinion-Header-2
Title:
– EYE-BALL’s “On the Hustings” -
– The Campaign Trail – Day 4 -
| Author: No-Way José |8th Aug 2013 |
Policy Issue Debate: [Information on Policy issues you won't hear during the current Election Campaign.]

Previous Policy Issues: [Use links provided to read story in a new window and see relative polling data ...]

  1. Day 2 Policy Issue: Corruption in Politics -
  2. Day 3 Policy Issue: Judicial Appointments -

Day 4 Policy Issue: Government Limit on Borrowings – i.e. Debt to GDP ratio …[EYE-BALL Guru][click on Debt/GDP chart image to enlarge in a new window.]

The debate on ‘better Economic Management’ during the campaign will rage on and it will be about ‘they said, he said’.

it will be about the economic record under Howard, and the economic record under Rudd/Gillard Governments. If any one did research on economic management from the Government’s perspective it is all after the fact.

The Australian Constitution has this to say on how a Government is allowed to manage its finances:  See PDF version … see Word Version

On Taxation: [Revenues]

Chapter I The Parliament – Part V Powers of the Parliament -

Section 53 – Powers of the Houses in respect of legislation:

Proposed laws appropriating revenue or moneys, or imposing taxation, shall not originate in the Senate. But a proposed law shall not be taken to appropriate revenue or moneys, or to impose taxation, by reason only of its containing provisions for the imposition or appropriation of fines or other pecuniary penalties, or for the demand or payment or appropriation of fees for licences, or fees for services under the proposed law.

The Senate may not amend proposed laws imposing taxation, or proposed laws appropriating revenue or moneys for the ordinary annual services of the Government.

The Senate may not amend any proposed law so as to increase any proposed charge or burden on the people. The Senate may at any stage return to the House of Representatives any proposed law which the Senate may not amend, equesting, by message, the omission or amendment of any items or provisions therein. And the House of Representatives may, if it thinks fit, make any of such omissions or amendments, with or without modifications.

Except as provided in this section, the Senate shall have equal power with the House of Representatives in respect of all proposed laws.

Section 55 – Tax Bill:

Laws imposing taxation shall deal only with the imposition of taxation, and any provision therein dealing with any other matter shall be of no effect.

Laws imposing taxation, except laws imposing duties of customs or of excise, shall deal with one subject of taxation only; but laws imposing duties of customs shall deal with duties of customs only, and laws imposing duties of excise shall deal with duties of excise only.

On Expenditires: [Spending]

Chapter IV – Finance and Trade -

81 – Consolidated Revenue Fund

All revenues or moneys raised or received by the Executive Government of the Commonwealth shall form one Consolidated Revenue Fund, to be appropriated for the purposes of the Commonwealth in the manner and subject to the charges and liabilities imposed by this Constitution.

82 – Expenditure charged thereon

The costs, charges, and expenses incident to the collection, management, and receipt of the Consolidated Revenue Fund shall form the first charge thereon; and the revenue of the Commonwealth shall in the first instance be applied to the payment of the expenditure of the Commonwealth.

83 – Money to be appropriated by law

No money shall be drawn from the Treasury of the Commonwealth except under appropriation made by law.

But until the expiration of one month after the first meeting of the Parliament the Governor-General in Council may draw from the Treasury and expend such moneys as may be necessary for the maintenance of any department transferred to the Commonwealth and for the holding of the first elections for the Parliament.

The Constitution places all expenditure and revenue to be provided for under legislative process – meaning that all current and new expenditure is subject to existing and new laws under the Government of the day.

In other words if the Government can pass legislation through the HOR and the Senate, then there is no restrictiveness on any Government spending initiatives, nor taxation revenue collect at its own will.

The policy debate wanted is whether these rules should still apply given they were written at a time where Politicians had to get themselves elected, were deemed to be ‘of the people’ and ‘for the people’,  and acted frugally when it came to the public purse.   Since then society had changed in many ways, the advent of television and the ease in which the politician can reach the masses, and the modern method of the ‘candy store’ giveaways during election campaigns to get elected..

Since the GFC, all we know is that the world is in a debt spiral where new debt is doubling the old debt every four – five years.   Obama inherited a 2008 Bush debt of US$7 trillion – five years later the debt is above US$16 trillion.  Rudd inherited zero debt, and now we have almost $300 billion of debt, and under Bowen’s new forecasts, likely to be $4-500 billion in the near future.

Europe is a basket case where many Nations have worse debt proportions than others and the P.I.I.G.S. have GDP/Debt rations from which they cannot recover if they remain in the EuroZone.   Debt is the evil curse the Government’s have embraced to prop up ailing economies.  In fact it has been irresponsible economic management and placed future generations in the position none of us want tem to be.

Surely the prudent thing to do would be to place restrictions on the Government of the day’s borrowing capacity – force the Government to act responsibly and cut spending via Constitutional change linked to say – the Debt to GDP ratio.

What we do know and as it stands now is this:

  • Our Government of the day has no limitation to the amount of borrowing it can enter into,
  • Our Government of the day can spend public monies without limitation relative to:
    • Debt/GDP ratios,
    • Without any limitation to percentage (%) increases during its term,
    • Without any limitation to sector funding, i.e. Education, Health, Defence, Welfare … etc
    • Without any limitation to Party policy advertising,
    • Without any limitation to MP and Senator remuneration increases,
    • Without any limitation to Foreign Aid donations,
  • Our Government of the day can also cut spending at its discretion on any matter including Defence, Health, Education, Welfare and the like.

In a world where the struggle of life is ever increasing through debt explosion, and the Bank’s providing limitless lending to people already in financial trouble, the obvious answer to the question: ‘where will it all end’ … is relatively obvious – ‘badly’.

Should not Government’s impose limitations on themselves and run budgets according to economic conditions?

The problem is that ‘economic conditions’ is a subjective argument not often agreed to by opposing political party’s.

Elections are won and lost on the basis of policies promised and the balancing of the costings for those policies left to balance once in Government.   Surely we must know that this is ridiculous and makes us all look pretty stupid in accepting the ‘candy’ handouts with our vote.

In a perfect world the onus of responsible ‘economic management’ would come from the Government – but when re-election is on the agenda, or a new Government wants to take control,  responsible ‘economic management’ becomes about ‘tagging’ the other guy whilst not getting ‘tagged’ yourself on economic management.

In that scenario who do we believe, the $70 billion hole in the Coalition policies promoted by the Government, or the confessed $50 billion hole by the Government?

In either case the taxpayers and the electorate are bound to get screwed either way as they have done across the globe for the last 40 odd years.

Should the people have a say in how much the Government can borrow during at term of office?

How would an economic stimulus package as Rudd instigated in the face of the GFC work if there were limits on borrowings in place?

Should a change of strategy against election policies render a Government out-of-order, and be forced to go back to the people to get approval and seek a mandate?

One thing is true – Governments have to be made accountable for the mistakes they make in relation to managing the finances of the Nation.

The referee who makes the decision of whether the Government has overstepped their boundaries has to be the GG under our current Constitution.   Therefore when a GG is selected, are they canvassed on the matter as to whether they would be prepared to out the Government over poor economic Management, and who would they receive advice from if such a decision had to be made?

It’s all too hard one might say.

But easily fixed if it was legislated that all Government borrowings were restricted as a ratio of GDP.    Meaning that if GDP growth stalled, then no new borrowings can be assumed.  If GDP growth fell, borrowings would need to be reduced.   If GDP growth grew, then the Government has opportunity to enact new expenditure policy.

The goal being that the Government is responsible for economic growth and it has to find ways to stimulate that growth away from new Government debt spending.

For far too long Government spending has underpinned GDP growth and as a result the World has become a toxic debt explosion waiting to happen – the GFC was a tremor compared to what is still to come.

This has been coming for many decades and it is a global problem.  Debt got us into the GFC problem, and the only solution Western Governments have been able to come up with in the last five years it to increase their debt exponentially.

All with a consequence of future taxpayers being responsible for the repayment of that debt, and the resulting reduced living standards that will ensure.

Please take a minute to register your opinion in the Poll below:   [EYE-BALL Guru] …


Harry Growl’s Water Cooler Gossip: [Harry Growl] …

  • Story doing the rounds about Mr Abbott and Mr Rudd and many other male politicians concerns the new prostate test – all are taking the test to establish whether a rigid or ‘soft-cock’ awakening is an accurate measure for prostate problems …
  • Many have used the above scenario to have morning sex – politicians tweeting about this are set to rise …
  • Peter Beattie’s Federal nomination in the seat of ‘Forde’ boosts ALP chances in winning some marginal seats in QLD.   Beattie’s appearance as ‘gaunt’ and significant weight loss raised questions to his vim and vigor to a robust election campaign … perhaps he should use the test above to rule out  possible medical reasons …
  • Abbott was in Tasmania talking about State issues, and Rudd along side Beattie was in QLD talking about State issues under Newman … a new angle on Federal campaigns …
  •  Conroy, Swan, Emerson, Gillard, and other lesser members – i.e. Garrett, Clare and Lundy, and all a part of the Gillard tiger force are still absent from the campaign.   These names are obviously toxic for ALP … why has Abbott not used this to his advantage …  the NBN, Economic Management, and Trade, all portfolios under these previous Gillard Ministers and now serving as feather dusters awaiting their parliamentary pension for the rest of their lives …
  • Rudd must have counted the number of votes lost in recent days due to his ‘hair-tick’ because in front of the camera’s with Beattie, he never once touched his hair …
  • The journo’s travelling with both Leaders, Rudd and Abbott are having little games with themselves … whispers have emerged that News Fairfax Journo’s have made a pact to not sleep with anyone on the opposing team … the pool for the first journo to break ranks is growing each day … of course the incentive to break ranks for the pool is offset by a dare that is too much to publish hereto without obtaining reputable confirmations … more on this as advice comes to hand … oh .. by the way the pool is open to print and vision journo’s, all tech staff are excluded.

[Harry Growl] …


General Links to Election data and Information:

AEC’s Enrollment Drive: Linked here.

Today is Day 1 of the 34 day campaign and the immediate focus of the ALP and the Greens is to get as many un-enrolled electors enrolled … the deadline is seven (7) days and the AEC link to find more information about whether you are enrolled can be found here.  [EYE-BALL.]

ABC’s Vote Compass:  Linked here.

A brilliant on-line survey presented by the ABC’s Anthony Green will prove to be an election barometer never seen before.  His 30 question survey has gone ballistic this morning with 170,000 people logging on to give their responses.  His questions will decide the election issues seen as most important and the major party’s will be keenly seeking Green’s data to help them plan their election strategies. [EYE-BALL]

Anthony Green’s Election Blog: Linked here.

Party Policy links:

Campaign Speeches:

Link to the ABC’s 2013 Election coverage:

Final Comments from EYE-BALL:

This new election commentary page is provided as a service to subscribers and readers during the 2013 election campaign.

All and any abusive comments will be deleted without notice.

Satire and witty comments are appreciated … and in all seriousness, this Nation is a bee’s dick away from disaster, and if anyone thinks that Rudd or Abbott have the goods to be our PM and lead this Nation away from that disaster, please express your thoughts and reasons in the comments section below.  You never know, your comment might just make a difference.

Please – if you found this story to your liking and would like to promote it to your social media contacts – i.e. Twitter, Facebook, or other icon linked account below – please use/click on your favoured Icon(s) to promote the story.  Thankyou.


Have your say where it counts: – contact your Local Federal Representative via the links below and let them know how you feel about this, or any other topic that you feel strongly about – or you can just post a comment below and let off some steam.

Links to Australian Parliamentary Website – MP’s


The EYE-BALL Opinion’s – On The Hustings …

EYE-BALL’s – “On the Hustings” – The Campaign Trail – Day 3

August 7, 2013 2 comments
The-EYE-BALL-Opinion-Header-2
Title:
– EYE-BALL’s “On the Hustings” -
– The Campaign Trail – Day 3 -
| Author: No-Way José | 7th Aug 2013 |
Policy Issue Debate: [Information on Policy issues you won't hear during the current Election Campaign.]

Previous Policy Issues:

  1. Day 2 Policy Issue: Corruption in Politics – use link to read story and see poll data …

Day 3 Policy Issue: Judicial Appointments: …[EYE-BALL]

There are many Courts under the control of the Federal Government – The highest being the ‘High Court’.

High CourtAppointments to the ‘High Court’ and other Federal Courts are made by the Federal Attorney General.  These Federal appointments are then rubber stamped by the GG.

The appointments are drawn from a short list,  after judicial reviews and assessments, and then decided upon by the Federal Government including the PM and its Cabinet process.   The Attorney General announces the appointments after the GG has signed off on them.

The current ‘High Court’ structure and appointments is contained in the table below:  [linked on-line here.]  [Click on image to see all judicial appointment data i.e. Education and Court experience, in a new window.]

One of the rules for High Court appointees require mandatory retirement at age 70 – hence the appointment tenure.

The spread of appointments of the current Justices is spread as three (3) from John Howard’s era, and four (4) from the Rudd/Gillard era.  Two new appointments are due to be made during the next Federal Government term – both were John Howard appointments.

Other Courts and tribunals controlled by Federal Government appointment include: [links to the Australian Federal Courts websites provided.]

The Administrative Appeals Tribunal (AAT) is an independent body that reviews a broad range of administrative decisions made by Australian Government ministers and officials, authorities and other tribunals.Administrative Appeals Tribunal

The Australian Competition Tribunal was established in 1965. Prior to 1995, the Tribunal was known as the Trade Practices Tribunal. The Tribunal hears applications for review of determinations of the Australian Competition and Consumer Commission.Federal Court of Australia

The Commonwealth Courts Portal is an initiative of the Family Court of Australia, Federal Court of Australia and Federal Magistrates Court of Australia. It provides web-based services for clients to access information about cases before the courts.Family Court of Australia

Inquires into the amount of royalty payable in respect of the recording of musical works; fixes royalties or equitable remuneration in respect of compulsory licences; arbitrates disputes in relation to the terms of existing and proposed licensing schemes; and deals with applications for the granting of licences.Copyright Tribunal of Australia

The Council of Australasian Tribunals facilitates liaison and discussion between the heads of tribunals. It supports the development of best practice models and model procedural rules, standards of behaviour and conduct for members and increased capacity for training and support for members.Administrative Appeals Tribunal

The Defence Force Discipline Appeal Tribunal hears and determines appeals from courts martial and Defence Force magistrates in respect of service offences by Australian Defence Force personnel.Defence Force Discipline Appeal Tribunal

The Family Court of Australia has jurisdiction over all matrimonial causes and associated responsibilities.Family Court of Australia

The Federal Circuit Court of Australia (formerly known as the Federal Magistrates Court) was established at the end of 1999. The court is an independent federal court under the Australian Constitution. The jurisdiction of the Federal Circuit Court includes family law and child support, administrative law, admiralty law, bankruptcy, copyright, human rights, industrial law, migration, privacy and trade practices. The court shares those jurisdictions with the Family Court of Australia and the Federal Court of Australia. The objective of the Federal Magistrates Court is to provide a simpler and more accessible alternative to litigation in the superior courts and to relieve the workload of those courts.Federal Circuit Court of Australia

The Federal Court of Australia began to exercise its jurisdiction on 1 February 1977. It assumed jurisdiction formerly exercised in part by the High Court of Australia and the whole of the jurisdiction of the Australian Industrial Court and of the Federal Court of Bankruptcy.Federal Court of Australia

The High Court is the highest court in the Australian judicial system. Its functions are to interpret and apply the law of Australia; to decide cases of special federal significance including challenges to the constitutional validity of laws and to hear appeals, by special leave, from Federal, State and Territory courts.High Court of Australia

The Migration Review Tribunal (the MRT) and the Refugee Review Tribunal (the RRT) provide an independent and final merits review of decisions made in relation to visas to travel to, enter or stay in Australia. The MRT reviews decisions made in respect of general visas (e.g. visitor, student, partner, family, business, skilled visas) and the RRT deals with decisions made in respect of protection (refugee) visas.Migration Review Tribunal and Refugee Review Tribunal

The Social Security Appeals Tribunal is a statutory body established to review decisions made in relation to social security, education or training payments.Social Security Appeals Tribunal

The Veterans’ Review Board is an independent tribunal to review decisions made by the Repatriation Commission on claims for acceptance of injury or disease as war-caused or defence-caused, on claims for war widows’, war widowers’ and orphans’ pensions, on assessment of pension rate for incapacity from war-caused or defence-caused injury or disease, and on claims for the grant, or assessment of, attendant allowance.Department of Veterans’ Affairs.


The list of Current Federal Judges appointed to these courts are:

Judges based in Sydney

Judges based in Melbourne

Judges based in Brisbane

Judges based in Perth

Judges based in Adelaide

Judge based in Canberra

Judges based in Hobart


List of State Courts: [Click to enlarge in a new Window.]

All State based Courts Judges are appointed by the individual States Attorney General after the same process is pursued as for Federal Court appointments.


The Debate:

The system in place for Court Appointments has been in place since Federation and before.   If not the Government to make the appointee decision then who.   The matter comes to the debate table because of the appointment of Justice Bernard Murphy during the Julia Gillard term as Prime Minister.  The AG at the time of the appointment – 13th June 2011 – was Robert McClelland.    Nicola Roxon took over the portfolio in Dec 2011.

Robert McClelland was involve din the AWU scandal as a lawyer after the AWU sacked Slater and Gordon and transferred their legal work to Maurice Blackburn.   Nicola Roxon worked for Maurice Blackburn and it is widely acknowledged that Roxon took over the Gillard AWU file when Gillard was sacked from Slater and Gordon.

McClelland introduced into the House a speech about his knowledge of the AWU scandal and Gillard’s involvement.  Read the full text of McClellan’s comments – 21st June 2012 – in Hansard here via Andrew Bolt’s blog, or via APH here.

There is a 12 month gap between McClellan’s comments and the prior appointment of Bernard Murphy.  McClelland was sacked from the Gillard Ministry for supporting Kevin Rudd in his early 2012 Leadership spill.

You do not have to be too clever to understand McClelland’s motives for the Hansard comments.  What is interesting is that if McClelland knew about Gillard’s AWU scandal involvement, who else knew as well.  And – if the numbers of ALP MP’s and Senators were aware of Gillard’s AWU scandal involvement, why was she chosen to become PM with the chequered AWU history there for the media and public to expose?

Was the Bernard Murphy a payback by Gillard to hush up his knowledge of Gillard’s involvement in the AWU scandal – the evidence revealed to date had Murphy’s account differing with another Partner’s on the record account, and the transcript of Gillard’s recorded termination interview.

As a policy issue – if the PM abuses their office to make judicial appointments who would know?   Is there an appeals process for judicial members to appeal their case for a position they feel qualified for and want?

The concept of Governments stacking the Courts is theatre stuff … honest and genuine Governments don’t play politics with Judicial appointments, just the same as judicial appointees never bare their political persuasion when passing judgement.  That is how it is supposed to work and there are many judgements made that challenge the courts neutrality.

The media and other vested interest try time and again to make the case of bias decisions from the judiciary.   There is no case law where this has been proven.

The Courts are often though of as being the third (3rd) arm of Government, behind the Legislature, and the Executive. [see link here.]   Our Court Justices are charged with enforcing the Laws of the Land and as revealed with the High Court’s dismissing the Government’s Malaysian solution to asylum seekers, they are not only required to be seen to independent but they must act independently.

Please take a minute to register your opinion in the Poll below:   [EYE-BALL] …


The Day’s Updates – Media Stories: … [EYE-BALL] …

Amedia story no one is writing about is the Treasury forecasts made in May for the 2013 Budget and the $33 billion hole across the forward estimates made only 11 weeks later.

Surely the story we all want to know is how Treasury could have got it so wrong – yet again.  Remember the 2012-13 forecast in May 2012 was for a $1.5 billion surplus.  It was revised down to $500 million surplus in the mid year estimates and then in Dec 2012 it all came unstuck.

As at the May 2013 Finance Department numbers the budget is at $17 billion deficit.   So in the space of the  time from May 2012 – to Aug 2013 – the Treasury estimates have made errors in excess of $50 billion … how can the Treasury forecast modelling be trusted.

The Opposition have every right to have no confidence in handing over their policy’s for costing by Treasury.   But the question has to be asked – why have they not used the incompetence of Treasury over the past 2 odd years as the reason.

The other news story today worthy of note was the High Court decision on the MRRT challenge from Twiggy Forrest.

Please give your feedback on whether you have confidence in the Treasury modelling and the numbers presented in Chris Bowen’s amended budget forecast:  … [EYE-BALL] …


Harry Growl’s Water Cooler Gossip: [Harry Growl] …

  • Christopher Pyne had a revisit to the barber yesterday … he believed it was a rogue hair giving him a tickle behind the ear … the barber couldn’t find it so watch out over the next few days for Pyne giving his left ear a tug …
  • The Opposition candidate for Sydney seat ‘Greenway’ had a bad day on Tuesday when a Channel 10 journo opened up when the candidate struggled to find a sensible response to policy questions.   The highlight was an exposure to the Opposition vetting process … surely public speaking and an understanding of the Party’s policy should be part of the vetting process … watch out for more journo’s getting agressive with candidates …
  • David Bradbury the Assistant Treasurer is a duck out of water after Swan’s demise – he lost it on a radio talk back show yesterday – read more here
  • Listen to Joe Hockey’s speech on the interest rate reduction:
  • Listen to Chris Bowen’s comments after the Rate cut:
  • On the ‘debate’ debate … the ALP minders are saying that Abbott does not really want to debate on Rudd’s terms … the Coalition minders are saying that they are not running away from any debate contest … Malcolm Turnbull is said to have said that he should be in the debate to help Abbott do a number on Rudd …
  • Abbott also got himself in trouble when he spoke about the NSW MP involved in a sex image … read more here … why would Abbott even go there?

[Harry Growl] …


The BULLSHIT Measure:

The graphs showing the “Bullshit” measure will be updated weekly or there abouts … please if you find a story or media report that reeks of the ‘bullshit’ context, please send a link of the story text via comments section below.


General Links to Election data and Information:

AEC’s Enrollment Drive: Linked here.

Today is Day 1 of the 34 day campaign and the immediate focus of the ALP and the Greens is to get as many un-enrolled electors enrolled … the deadline is seven (7) days and the AEC link to find more information about whether you are enrolled can be found here.  [EYE-BALL.]

ABC’s Vote Compass:  Linked here.

A brilliant on-line survey presented by the ABC’s Anthony Green will prove to be an election barometer never seen before.  His 30 question survey has gone ballistic this morning with 170,000 people logging on to give their responses.  His questions will decide the election issues seen as most important and the major party’s will be keenly seeking Green’s data to help them plan their election strategies. [EYE-BALL]

Party Policy links:

Campaign Speeches:

Link to the ABC’s 2013 Election coverage:

Final Comments from EYE-BALL:

This new election commentary page is provided as a service to subscribers and readers during the 2013 election campaign.

All and any abusive comments will be deleted without notice.

Satire and witty comments are appreciated … and in all seriousness, this Nation is a bee’s dick away from disaster, and if anyone thinks that Rudd or Abbott have the goods to be our PM and lead this Nation away from that disaster, please express your thoughts and reasons in the comments section below.  You never know, your comment might just make a difference.

Please – if you found this story to your liking and would like to promote it to your social media contacts – i.e. Twitter, Facebook, or other icon linked account below – please use/click on your favoured Icon(s) to promote the story.  Thankyou.


Have your say where it counts: – contact your Local Federal Representative via the links below and let them know how you feel about this, or any other topic that you feel strongly about – or you can just post a comment below and let off some steam.

Links to Australian Parliamentary Website – MP’s


The EYE-BALL Opinion’s – On The Hustings …

EYE-BALL’s Herman on – Federal Economic Update – A conjuror’s spin -

August 2, 2013 8 comments
The-EYE-BALL-Opinion-Header-2
Links to Previous ‘Herman’ Posts:


- 17th July – Constitutional Reform – This time it is recognising Local Council.


- 5th July – Gone – Ski Part II (Gone is Gonski)


- 27th June – Gone-Ski: Prime Minister Julia Gillard -


- 24th June – The Ashes -


- 21st June – The Senate -


- 5th June – Zombies -


- 1st June – Canberra – and black holes -


-30th May – What is an adequate Contrition? -


- 24th May – Simplex -


- 19th May – The Tears of a Prime Minister -


- 24th Mar - An Example of bureaucracy gone mad -


- 10th Mar – The Carbon Tax – Post Election …


- 7th Mar – Wayne Swan – Please Stop


28th Feb – The Australian Labor Party View


- 6th Feb – Corruption


- 25th Jan – Anti Discrimination -


- 17th Jan 2013 – Atheism -


- 12th Nov - Hegemony


- 2nd Nov – A March early Federal election -


To see more EYE-BALL ‘Herman’ posts:

click here …


Title:
– Federal Economic Update –
– A conjuror’s spin -
| Author: EYE-BALL’s Herman O’Hermitage | 2nd Aug 2013 |
Some have termed it a mini-budget. Unless it is debated on the floor of parliament it is not that. It will not be passed into law until after the election. It contains updated Treasury estimates. The deficit trajectory is now for a fiscal deficit of A$30.1bn in 2013/14.

It is yet another ALP policy statement. Everything that has occurred since Rudd ascended back to the lodge, is another roll of the dice, attempting to reverse the contrarian opinion polls since early 2010. Virtually nothing has received scrutiny through parliamentary processes only trial by media. Each roll of the dice is asking us the electorate to give them another chance. Given the tardiness or lack of merit of the opposition we continue to grasp at any other alternative.

That is particularly what the opinion polls are saying. There is no realistic choice.

When the budget was passed down in May, I was deeply shocked to find a structural deficit approaching $20bn. I expected a deficit approaching 10bn. Gillard has gone, Swan is gone and so on but Swan is standing again for Lilley, and more. Wong switched camps, and Dreyfus and Burke (it all doesn’t really matter). Hey Bob Carr appointed by Gillard switched horses mid race.

The real problem was how do you reverse the structural deficit when GDP is under immense pressure, where cutting government consumption will make things worse? The deficit and government debt prior to last May (at that stage of the economic cycle) was totally inappropriate. Stimulus was required rather than cutting federal government spending.

Anyone who said the bleeding obvious, that a recession by 2015/16 is becoming more probable is guilty of talking down confidence. But should you quietly speculate on this bleak outlook, then that is OK because that is called free markets. Not predatory behaviour.

Costello did well to put a surcharge on superannuation drawing from future spending rather than current spending in the late 1990’s but it came at a cost. The cost of reversing the policy and compensating in time for the cost, the desecration. Some might even argue the reversal was the seeds of part of today’s problems but I see that as part of the overall stresses created by the ensuing mining boom.

There was a major economic policy shift in November 2007 and from there onward. Australia started running substantial fiscal deficits. With every turn of the page, government ramped up consumption.

The package today at 1pm AEST is currently all about bank’s deposit insurance and tobacco excise. Each are worthy of careful scrutiny but they are also a major smokescreen.

Unemployment has risen. Volumes to export for the major miners are up in coal. A glimmer of hope has appeared for the live cattle trade, with prices stabilising. The AUD has fallen to just below 90, to assist terms of trade. Several sectors of the broader economic spectrum are doing well, as measured through ASX performance. But WA property prices are weak, the mining services sector is sick, the signs are mixed. The problems of major sectors like SPC Ardmona in the Shephardon and Goulbourn valleys are insignificant compared to those like the car industry.

On Wednesday morning local radio featured a story of Mark who is sleeping rough on the steps of Parramatta Town Hall. He had a job once , but when he was made redundant he sooner or later found himself on the street. When you couch surf, sooner or later you burn your friends. You outstay your welcome. Surviving on $220 a week is impossible. You can’t afford rent. You can’t save a deposit bond, or an electricity deposit. Vagabonds drift towards Parramatta because of the meal van each night at Prince Alfred Park. Sooner or later all your worldly possessions are moved around in a shopping trolley. The fridge and TV and stereo were hocked to pay bills a long time ago. There is a core group of men sleeping rough in the Parramatta precinct of 40. The aid services are stretched. No one would consider hiring you or giving you a job. You are sleeping rough, and generally considered to be of poor mental health. Definitely dishevelled unwashed and unkempt.

Mark was very well spoken, and it was radio, so I can only wonder was it all a political beat up?

But the story is indicative of what is really happening out there, of the long term unemployed, how it breeds mental health issues, of those struggling to find hope. Those who know of a better world, but are on the outside looking in. Too often cold and hungry.

So today while we speculate on the price of tobacco and the efficacy of bank deposit insurance, both designed to distract from the real issue ie the fall in government incomes (taxes) and the excesses of federal parliamentarians, do we spare a thought for Mark or Mary (the single Mum) or Ralph (the alcoholic) or Beryl (the broken grandma – who hasn’t seen her grandchildren in over a decade for whatever reason).

The more I dwell on it, the more I dwell on the speech I made at 7.45am on election day 3 years ago. In 15 minutes those doors will open and we will go into a working frenzy. We will assist the little fella to play his part in our democracy. We are the servants of democracy. Today we are expected to help those little people cast 4000 votes. Each polling assistant is expected to serve 600 local electors, and each declaration officer is expected to help cast 100 votes. Today is the one day in the 3 year electoral cycle when we get to hear from them. We have heard enough of the politicians and all their promises. Today it is the little persons turn. The ones who to get to have their say every 1100 days. We will treat them as the voice of democracy. Etcetra.

Within a fortnight of that day as the counting was pointing to a hung parliament, the media was in their speculative frenzy, could we have true bi-partisan cabinet, should we go back to the polls, the futility, the chaos and now nearly 1100 days later, just the void.

Today as the Australian Bankers Association threatens how if a deposit insurance tax is not implemented properly, it could jeopardise the core strength of the banking sector – that is a euphemism for the banks who each make roughly 6bn per annum will pass it on to the mortgage sector.

0.05% deposit insurance can be passed onto term deposit rates, but can it be passed on to savings accounts where nominal interest is 0.10% (before outrageous fees).

Without going on to tobacco excise, Canberra misses the point. When they talk of Public Service productivity savings of 2.25% (having risen from 1.25% last May – in the forward estimates) it is hollow – it is rhetoric, it is pyrrhic. As a financial planner you talk about discretionary spending.

If Canberra be serious about cutting discretionary spending they might start in their own backyard. During this parliament Canberra (the Productivity Commission) awarded themselves pay rises of 30% (according to some 40%). Only weeks ago they were discussing new electoral funding measures.

How about cutting parliamentary wages by 10% (make that 20%) and cap parliamentary expenses for the next term at 80% of parliamentary expenses for the current term (about to expire). The flow on to senior civil servants will start a meaningful dialogue. That will really affect discretionary spending.

Nextly get tough with the banks. WE ALL DRINK from the same well. Your sector’s health is not beyond that of the household sector or small business. Any bank paying any executive million $ bonuses we are watching! We have levers we will use to curtail your excesses! Why do you charge the destitute silly fees (without decency – yet encourage this deregulated nonsense)?

Then comes real change with the public service. This word we use called Productivity is becoming an oxy moron. It is mixed up and abused, with regulation, green or environmental and culminates in red tape. All projects will be affordable. Cost benefit will become a core value embodied in all mission statements. Transport will be affordable and efficient. Taxes and charges must be justified, or eliminated. All types of cash splash will not fall on the household sector or small business. There will be no new taxes in the next 3 years.

And it will go on.

And On.

Don’t forget -This will be implemented by Christmas.

Everything we are currently hearing is nothing but spin. The spin of the conjuror. It is that stage of the electoral cycle. It is time to hear from the little fella. But he has no idea what to think.

What might I say on election day this year.

Argh!

Believing in sanity, is itself insanity.

Please – if you found this story to your liking and would like to promote it to your social media contacts – i.e. Twitter, Facebook, or other icon linked account below – please click your favoured Icon(s) to promote the story.Thankyou.


Have your say where it counts: – contact your Local Federal Representative via the links below and let them know how you feel about this, or any other topic that you feel strongly about – or you can just post a comment below and let off some steam.

Links to Australian Parliamentary Website – MP’s


EYE-BALL’s ‘Herman’ …

EYE-BALL Opinion – EYE-BALL’s MediaZone Growl No: 4 – Australia’s Media Horde

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Title:
– EYE-BALL’s MediaZone Growl No: 4 -
- Australia’s Media Horde -
| Author: EYE-BALL MediaZone | 30th July 2013 |
Hello all … frustration more than anything drives this post – frustration at our Media and the complete ineptness demonstrated in the way they report political stories and the News.How many times do you now see a story and immediately recognise the bias involved, the slant, the unasked question we all want asked, the pursuit of a desired answer to a question we all know was prompted, how many times do we see journalists behaving like dogs off their leash?The reality in how politics is being fed to the public via News broadcasters is nothing more than extended personal political battle-lines, all to a cause to serve media barons and their lust for political favours.

All political News these days holds a propaganda message designed to influence rather then inform.  A lead story on one broadcast is treated as low profile on a different broadcaster because of how it portrays the story comport.

Who’s interests were best served when the Gillard ‘police investigation’ story was rejected by the media as News, who’s interests are being served when the Abbott travel rorts for his book publishing tour were discovered and treated as a non event?

The Slipper, Thompson, Williamson, Obeid, MacDonald corruption stories – all major fraud stories and stories all given different prominence and focus by different broadcasters.

Over a long time the likes of Rupert Murdoch and his fellow media barons have demonstrated their willingness to sacrifice integrity and moral standards in the pursuit of political favour for withheld news stories.  Deals are done and trade off’s made to have stories pulled or ‘toned down’ when the media is looking for favour – be it lobby donations for a more agreeable media ownership spread, more coverage, more influence, and it sickens to imagine where it will all end.

The Media are responsible for the greatest fraud of all time – the media barons alone have destroyed the integrity of News reporting – remember Conrad Black, the Maxwell empire, and the countless other media barons over the years who have come and gone.  There is still one that has survived them all – the Murdoch press.

Globally Murdoch is the most influential media empire the world has ever seen – and still he does not have enough.

Who do we have in Australia, Kerry Stokes, Fairfax – ha … small time players and not in the same market as Murdoch.   Murdoch plays the ‘kingmaker’ … and the Australian politicians and public listen.

Neutrality of opinion has disappeared in the way journalists write their stories.  Editorials express opinions and journalists take their cue from the editors.

To highlight the most recent episodes of some non Murdoch owned or influenced TV shows – the following is presented.

The three high-profile political programs I watch are “Insiders”, “The Bolt Report”, and “Q&A” – in no particular order of preference all have highs and lows in what there serve up to the public.

A common thought about all three is that they do a great disservice to the political debate as media presentations. For example -

The Bolt Report:

Take last Sunday’s program built under promo’s in that the PM will make his first appearance on the program. Bolt invited us to see the PM squirm under his questions and revealed that the PM would answer honestly – look what happened: [Warning - watch for Bolt's need to pursue the answer he wants - not the answer the interviewed wants to give ...]

You see the point – the political Q&A is not important – only the shock value to boost Bolt’s ratings. Bolt could be called a ‘narcosis psychopath’ in the way he believes his opinion is the only one that matters. He stint on “Insiders’ was proof in his believe that his opinion was more relevant and more correct whenever he shared the panel time and question. Now his show is on commercial TV and is struggling for ratings so there is commercial value in trying to play the Bob Dwyer ‘Pick-a-Box’ theme of audience drawn into the suspense and drama of trying to trip up the PM or some other guest on the show.

Bolt’s ‘prima-donna’ performances have earned him a reputation that scares politicians. Albanese is the only other ALP Minister to have appeared on his show. Rudd’s aim was to shorten Bolt’s stature, Bolt’s aim was to get one over the PM on National TV.

How does that advance the political debate? How does that hold the Government accountable – there were so many areas Bolt could have gone to expose Rudd’s weakness – i.e. the AWU scandal and how Gillard became PM in the first place – the Peter Slipper affair as he sat on the backbenches watching it unfold – same with the Craig Thompson affair – surely Rudd’s responses to these questions would have served the Australian people so much more than questions about a new initiative in asylum seeker policy that is currently being tested by the people smugglers.

Rudd has to wear his share of responsibility as well – if he wanted to put Bolt in his place and that has to be the only reason Rudd would appear on the show – his response to Bolt’s ‘goading’ could have been so much more dismissive and to the point … it was pathetic television and a waste of time.

“The Bolt Report” gets a 2/10 rating, and Andrew Bolt gets a 1/10 rating for interview style and how he presents himself as a member of Australia’s media industry.

ABC’s “Q&A”:

Monday nights program – linked via “IView” here – was a massive disappointment – normal host Paul Jones was absent and Virginia Trioli stepped in.

The first question asked by a schoolgirl was:

Sarah Burgess asked: Can you please put Australia out of its misery and let us all know when the next election will take place? I have a school formal to plan and people have gay weddings to plan….

‘… put Australia out of its misery …’ indeed – how does a schoolgirl who is more than likely not old enough to vote get to pass a judgement about ‘political misery’?

How the researches who vet the questions allowed this to pass as in the interests of the viewers watching the program points again to program agenda as opposed to true political interest.

So much of the media today are about when the election will be called – why waste all that page and TV time on a question that will never be honestly answered …

Kate Ellis was allowed to state chapter and verse about the ALP policy successes whilst answering a question about something entirely different – why did the presenter allow this?

The most interesting guest on the program was Peter Shergold, who was Secretary of the Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet from 2003-2008. He was also the nation’s most senior public servant when he resigned four months into Kevin Rudd’s first term as PM.

In two decades he served in the public service he served four Prime Ministers and eight Ministers in both Labor and Coalition governments. During this time he established the Office of Multicultural Affairs, headed the Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Commission (ATSIC), and was Public Service Commissioner. He was secretary of several government departments, including the Department of Education, Science and Training, and the Department of Employment, Workforce Relations and Small Business.

Surely his contribution to the political debate during this program could have been better used – he hesitated on his first direct question that asked him for an opinion … the question was -

VIRGINIA TRIOLI: Just returning to the question, Peter Shergold, you’ve been down this path before, of course, being head of Prime Minister and Cabinet. Can you intuit what the Prime Minister’s strategy might be at the moment if you were to speculate?

PETER SHERGOLD: I think the major strategy is to keep us all guessing. I think that’s the key. Of course if you’re a public servant this is very exciting days, indeed, waiting for the caretaker convention to come when for four to six weeks–

VIRGINIA TRIOLI: You public servants are thrilled by such …(indistinct)…

PETER SHERGOLD: –for four to six weeks the country is in good hands, the public service, and you notice nobody notices the difference.

VIRGINIA TRIOLI: So what are you arguing for here, Peter Shergold: rule by public servants?

PETER SHERGOLD: I think it is important, actually, that public servants do recognise what their role is. It is the role of government to set the national interest. It is the role of public servants to give advice on that and then to implement the policies of the government of the day, whichever it is.

That was about the most exposing question put to Shergold – why not ask about the reason for his resignation i.e. the Rudd work ethic in those first months had the public service up in arms about the demands and hours they had to work – surely Shergold’s take on that would have audience interest in forming opinions as to why Rudd was booted by his ALP MP’s.

The rest of the program descended and Magda Szubanski’s levity was about the only reason one stayed to watch the whole program. This is a program that has the ability to get real answers to people’s concerns – the problem is that it to is in a ratings war and dictated by populists formats.

Liberal MP Josh Frydenberg had his moment of fame when he talked about the Rudd tweet about cutting himself shaving – really … is this what Frydenberg wants to introduce as his contribution to the debate …

VIRGINIA TRIOLI: Josh Frydenberg, can you explain why Kevin Rudd is so liked?

JOSH FRYDENBERG: Well, firstly, there’s no difference between Kevin Rudd Mark I and Kevin Rudd Mark II. I mean for the same reasons that Julia Gillard said a government has lost its way those reasons have not changed, namely the tax burden, namely the budget deficits, namely the border protection chaos. In terms of the celebrity of Kevin Rudd, I think it’s quite dangerous because what it is is it’s obscuring the real debate on important issues. So, for example, the day that he tweeted that photo of cutting himself shaving was the day that our unemployment numbers came out and unemployment rose to 5.7%, more than 6% in Queensland, more than 8% in Tasmania but we didn’t have a debate about that. I mean youth unemployment, an area in Kate’s area, has hit the highest level in 15 years. This is the problem. This is the problem. We need to have a debate about the policy issues and not about Kevin Rudd cutting himself shaving.

This question should have opened many doors – why did the media focus on the ‘shaving cut’ as opposed to the unemployment numbers … whatever Rudd’s purpose to tweet that he cut himself – and I’m sure it was not him that actually typed the tweet but some media staffer – the opposition chose to raise the tweet in context with the unemployment numbers. Does this not demonstrate the shallowness of Frydenberg and the rest of the panel, or the audience for allowing the comments to go unchallenged?

“Q%A” get a 2.5/10 rating, and it’s a rating that has been on the slide for some time.

ABC’s – “Insiders”: [or the Barry Cassidy ego and ALP propaganda show - watch here - transcripts here - ]

Cassidy gave Opposition Immigration spokesperson Scott Morrison a good go – unusual for Cassidy. Morrison has grown in his responsibilities and is an impressive communicator. His early days in the job prove he has come far.

The issue here is that the Rudd answer to the ‘asylum seeker’ will not prove to be a failure or success until it has had time to impact. The rush by people smugglers to get the people who have paid for transit rather then refund if people change their mind highlights the desperation these people are subjected to.

This is criminal and negligent homicide by the people smugglers and it all happens far away from our shores. It will only be in 9-12 months as to whether opinion can be gauged whether the policy has worked or not.

Rudd knows that if he finds a perceived solution to the asylum seeker invasion that he has a better chance at the election. Abbott knows also that and success to the Rudd plan means his job becomes tougher in trying to win the election.

It is understandable why the media have this focus – but they also know that short term speculation can only damage the policy as the people smugglers build a case for the Abbott response to hasten the asylum seeker exodus.

“Insiders” Rating – 4/10.

Summary:

So where does one turn to get informed political opinion?

Is the Murdoch press the only source of real journalism?

None of the above programs has any real interest in exposing the AWU scandal, nor the Craig Thompson, or Peter Slipper corruption charges.  I ponder long and hard as to why that is?

The people have a right to know why Tony Abbott’s ‘book-tour’ travel expense claims differ to those of Peter Slipper.   Why is Abbott given a free ride and Slipper hung out to dry?

Also – why the Union movement was called upon to help with the payment of Thompson’s legal expenses – all to avoid his bankruptcy and the resultant calling of an election for his seat some two years ago.

These are stories that have public interest yet none of the three above programs go near any depth of question on these matters.

The subject of a post due to be published soon is the expense accounts for Tony Abbott – as a forerunner check out this excel file imaged below to see how Mr Abbott has used his parliamentary expenditure expense account since mid 2009. [Click image to enlarge in a new window.]

Ho hum .. off we go … the $370 million spent as expenses by our 230 MP’s and Senators has an annual spread of $1.6 million per member. That is some 8 times their recent remuneration payment – before the increase it is a factor 13 times.

This $1.6 million does not include parliamentary staff cost – which can be for up to a minimum of 4 additional staff ranging in remunerations from a high of $240k to minimum’s of $65k.

The $1.6 million also does not cover the cost of the non-contributary parliamentary superannuation schemes for pre 2005 members – nor the staff expenses over and above remuneration costs – i.e. redundancy, super, and health schemes.

We are truly living in the age where public servants enjoy a ‘sense of entitlement’ that borders on is decadence …

Please – if you found this story to your liking and would like to promote it to your social media contacts – i.e. Twitter, Facebook, or other icon linked account below – please use/click on your favoured Icon(s) to promote the story.  Thankyou.


Have your say where it counts: – contact your Local Federal Representative via the links below and let them know how you feel about this, or any other topic that you feel strongly about – or you can just post a comment below and let off some steam.

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The EYE-BALL Opinion’s – MEDIAZONE …

EYE-BALL Opinion – Gillard’s Demise – Almost done -

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Latest ‘EYE-BALL Opinion’ Posts:


30th July – The Reasons for our Anger – we are living our own self-destruction -


- 18th July – Get Old and Get Sacked -
– QLD Health Minister destroys careers -


- 3rd July – The Elephant in the Room – Gillard’s Police Investigation -


- 27th June – After the Fact: Will Gillard escape? Gillards Epitaph: Criminal or Feminist hero -


- 26th June – A Nation held to Ransom -
– Gillard calls another spill and so the circus continues -


- 26th Jun – Independent Rob Oakeshott Quits -
– His media release confirms what we all suspected -


To see more EYE-BALL ‘Opinion’ posts:

click here …


Title:
– Gillard’s Demise -
- Almost done -
| Author: EYE-BALL Opinion | 30th July 2013 |
The  combined efforts by many have helped see the demise of Gillard from our Parliamentary ranks.  Yet – the job is still not done -

For now those who fought for her removal can take a break and feel the satisfaction in their accomplishment.

Ms Gillard has abandoned her Victorian Home and her constituents and is moving herself back to South Australia – already packed and vacated well ahead of her parliamentary responsibilities.  It is so typical of how our democracy is no longer about the people but about the individual.

Can you see a football captain sacked quitting the team … perhaps not the ideal analogy … but the context is relevant.   Gillard was voted to represent the people who lived in her electorate – not to be the PM but to be representative of constituency.  Why has she deserted them and please don’t think that because an election is looming is a legitimate reason.

She will be provided with a parliamentary pension somewhere near $200k+, to go along with additional perks as an ex-PM to fund the rest of her life.

Her criminal past renders her as a person who should not be entitled to live off the public purse.

In the time since Gillard was replaced by Rudd – some 4 weeks ago – the political fortunes of the ALP have responded – another reason to congratulate the efforts over the last 30 odd months to have her removed.

But from this bloggers perspective it was not so much about the ALP v coalition – Gillard had a criminal past all ALP parliamentarians knew about yet they still elevated her to be our PM.   Those who fostered, schemed, lobbied, and voted for her promotion,  now have to deal with their own roles played in her elevation.   This should never have happened and those responsible all have to be made accountable.

There is too much invested in the AWU scandal and if Mr Rudd tries to make it go away, and the same for the Craig Thompson, Peter Slipper, and the Eddie Obeid corruption scandals, he will find his political revival will be short-lived.

Justice has to be served and seen to be served.  Our parliamentary system is constantly rorted by corrupt politician’s greasing their remunerations via expense account billing – all under a sense of entitlement.  It all has to be exposed.

The justice dished out to those who believe in this sense of entitlement has to be the equal of our courts, and more importantly because of the trust invested and extended to our leaders – any wrongdoing should carry harsher penalties.

If the AWU inquiry ‘goes’ away under a Rudd or Abbott Government, then a great injustice will have been served upon the Australian people.

 

Please – if you found this story to your liking and would like to promote it to your social media contacts – i.e. Twitter, Facebook, or other icon linked account below – please use/click on your favoured Icon(s) to promote the story.  Thankyou.


Have your say where it counts: – contact your Local Federal Representative via the links below and let them know how you feel about this, or any other topic that you feel strongly about – or you can just post a comment below and let off some steam.

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The EYE-BALL Opinion …

EYE-BALL’s Herman on – Gone – Ski Part II (Gone is Gonski)

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Links to Previous ‘Herman’ Posts:


- 27th June – Gone-Ski: Prime Minister Julia Gillard -


- 24th June – The Ashes -


- 21st June – The Senate -


- 5th June – Zombies -


- 1st June – Canberra – and black holes -


-30th May – What is an adequate Contrition? -


- 24th May – Simplex -


- 19th May – The Tears of a Prime Minister -


- 24th Mar - An Example of bureaucracy gone mad -


- 10th Mar – The Carbon Tax – Post Election …


- 7th Mar – Wayne Swan – Please Stop


28th Feb – The Australian Labor Party View


- 6th Feb – Corruption


- 25th Jan – Anti Discrimination -


- 17th Jan 2013 – Atheism -


- 12th Nov - Hegemony


- 2nd Nov – A March early Federal election -


To see more EYE-BALL ‘Herman’ posts:

click here …


Title:
Gone – Ski Part II (Gone is Gonski)
| Author: EYE-BALL’s Herman O’Hermitage | 5th July 2013 |
In the last week, much has unfolded. Simon Crean has announced his retirement, so has Greg Combet, Stephen Smith has taken as respectable a retirement as circumstances will allow. Federal ALP has intervened in the NSW State branch. Dead wood is being pruned. Backyard blitz takes on a new meaning.

The makeover is starting to take shape. Tony Burke attempted to resign, and his resignation was not accepted. Tanya Plibersek is still Minister for Health. Jenny Macklin is still there and ministerial positions are musical chairs (deck chairs on the Titanic). Can these weeds be realistically controlled or made useful?

What really matters is policy, and why do we forgive them now? They created this mess so why should we believe they will really fix it, can fix it.

For a start, this parliament has only run it’s course through the support of amongst others Craig Thomson. Had Thomson been forced to vacate his seat 18 months ago at a by election Dobell would have gone Coalition. Therefore Tony Abbott would be PM today. Windsor and Oakeshott both former Nationals but now independent have played their part. They are both not contesting their seats and that means a notional 76 (tiny majority) to Coalition as things stand.

Then comes the question why did Rudd not challenge sooner?

If Rudd had have stood last March, he would have had 3 months more to turn things around. As policies change, why did he leave it until there was no apparent parliamentary sittings to debate these shifts in policy. It is left to journalists to get admissions of culpability over matters like the shift in immigration?

Why is Rudd scared of the opposition on the parliamentary floor?

He keeps taunting Abbott with debate me on Prime Time TV. Abbott is saying I won’t play the game. But at some stage he needs to play the game. He needs to give the electorate time to develop belief in the team he leads.

To find any rationality in all that is now upon us we have to go back further in recent history. Exactly how Rudd was overthrown in June 2010 and what were the real motives and who were the real players?

When Rudd and Gillard first came together as a leadership team, both were considered young and neither more chance. Rudd was prepared to serve under Gillard but Rudd was the better spokesperson. The ALP was desperate to end the Howard reign. Rudd had no factional allegiances, and Gillard was all things to all people. Rudd due to his diplomatic background won over.

Roll on to November 2007, they did the unbelievable, they won. Queensland turned a narrow victory into a massive one because for the 1st time there was a Qld Prime Minister. A golden period ensued. Costello retired. Howard was defeated in his own seat. Some was attributable to Workchoices other decisions were just human frailty.

Brendan Nelson was anointed Liberal leader. He said he would have a go. There was no heir apparent beyond Costello. There was Kyoto and Sorry and Rudd was walking on water, metaphorically. Nelson called a leadership contest, he was happy to get out. The Liberal party’s electoral stocks were atrocious.

The leadership was given to Turnbull. He wasn’t ready. Then came Godwin Grech and Utegate. Turnbull had no traction. Then came Carbon Tax and Copenhagen. Abbott took over, in a contest that included Hockey. The Liberal party was happy with 2nd best.

After Copenhagen Rudd was petulant. He spat the dummy.

The fools got in the way. Rudd dropped Carbon Tax cold and switched to a mining super profits tax.  Some virtual unknown announced the coup on ABC TV by the name of Paul Howes, of the AWU. By the time that was decided Rudd was the first 1st term prime minister knifed by his own party. Gillard spoke of a good government who had lost their way.

Australia was in shock. Leaks were everywhere. All scuttlebutt. What was the truth? Arbib according to Wikileaks had been informing Washington what was really happening. Shorten and Howes were spokespersons. Richardson claimed a part, and implicated the Victorian right. All was based on gossip and leaks. The ALP went ever so close to losing the unlosable election. Gillard formed a minority government. Abbott had brought the Coalition back from the grave. Gillard show her real chameleon persona, she was simply do what it takes. In her words “the Little Doer” in public perception, power is everything. Australia gave her a very good go. Abbott acted as if he was just waiting for government to fall to the Coalition. The broken promise on Carbon Tax was just the beginning. The Coalition played it like a broken record.

The shambles that parlayed from there on in was just too hard to believe. HSU, Slipper, more broken promises, parliamentary salary increases, a budget surplus set in stone, oops an $18bn deficit, Eddie Obeid. When it was first announced on Christmas Eve that the guaranteed surplus was abandoned, because jobs matter, the death knoll had rung for the last time. Maybe not, maybe it was the NSW ICAC enquiries into Tripodi, Obeid and McDonald. Nothing will save the Gillard government. Don’t put away that gong too fast. The death knolls just get louder.

By the May Budget there was a massive disconnect. Coming from Caucus was this nonsense of a j curve. Sell our positive agenda, harp on about the Coalition negative agenda. But no one is listening.

The ALP needed desperately a circuit breaker. The only one was Rudd. Rudd the Dud according to prominent front benchers. They lined up to tell us what a dud he was in 2012. Those who spoke most freely and at length are all gone now. Those that spoke less candidly, knowing how foolish they looked, have survived, just.

Gillard had to find a way out, the ALP had to find a face saving exit. Shorten switches to the Rudd forces.

Was Rudd guaranteed an open mandate to fix the underlying issues? Please be clear on what issues.

We now wait.

Intervention in NSW ALP. ASIC claims the banks are gauging on term deposit rollover rates.

Hang on ASIC is a government agency but they have been silent for far too many years on the banks not passing on full interest rate cuts. Why is that pitched at the retiree sector rather than the mortgagee belt? Where is Glenn Stevens and the RBA or APRA. Oh investments! Australian Securities and Investments Commission!

So Rudd has got a friend, one at ASIC.

Rudd does a flying visit to Indonesia. Carbon tax moving to Emissions Trading System. Nothing is firm, not even the election date. Wow this is much more the opening lines of Macbeth than Act V Scene II.

Bubble, bubble, toil and trouble. Eye of newt & and toe of frog, Wool of bat, and tongue of dog, Adder’s fork, and blind-worm’s sting, Lizard’s leg, and howlet’s wing, For a charm of powerful trouble, Like a hell-broth boil and bubble. Double, double, toil and trouble; Fire burn and cauldron bubble. [Macbeth Act I]

What is left?

A 2nd string (journey man) Coalition leader. One that is easily labelled negative, and having little by way of policy. A closer run race where confusion reigns. He though he was MacDuff, but it was always Rudd, the understudy who was going to play the part.

Where and How will the ALP secure not only seats to counter New England and Lyne, but hold Dobell and Robertson and many many more. I can now believe that some seats like Kingsford Smith will be a stronger majority to the ALP. Garrett has gone. But winning 5 seats is different. Safe seats like Batman or Lalor, Melbourne or maybe even Denison don’t change the scenario.

They won’t. They can’t.

What will happen is that the Coalition will form government and be on the back foot from day 1. The Greens will struggle to win a senate seat but will still be the balance of power in the Upper House. Going for a double dissolution will not achieve anything. They might well lose the lot. Opposition leader Rudd could well be in a position to take back the government benches. No initiative allowing them to expunge the Carbon Tax will be possible. Only waiting until 2016 will see the Greens finished. It will be very difficult for the Coalition to make any significant difference.

The best thing about Shakespeare is that it does have an ending. How surreal!

Believing in sanity is indeed insanity.

Please – if you found this story to your liking and would like to promote it to your social media contacts – i.e. Twitter, Facebook, or other icon linked account below – please click your favoured Icon(s) to promote the story.Thankyou.


Have your say where it counts: – contact your Local Federal Representative via the links below and let them know how you feel about this, or any other topic that you feel strongly about – or you can just post a comment below and let off some steam.

Links to Australian Parliamentary Website – MP’s


EYE-BALL’s ‘Herman’ …

EYE-BALL’s Harry’s Growl on – Election 2013 – Growl No: 51 – The US Back Gillard – Poor Call or Poor Form -

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Latest ‘Harry’s Growl’ Posts:


Larry Pickering Cartoons – Updated 3rd July 2013 – click to view in a new window:






To see more of Pickering’s Political cartoons – use this link


- 28th June – Election 2013 – Growl No: 50 – Rudd’s House of Pain – He must learn that ‘less is more’


- 27th June – Election 2013 – Growl No: 49 – Shorten has to be made accountable -


- 26th June – Election 2013 – Growl No: 48 – Gillard’s “Mrs Doubtfire” moment -


- 19th June – Election 2013 – Growl No: 47 – Chris McArdle – Craig Thompsons Lawyer opens up with his views on drive time radio -


- 18th June – Election 2013 – Growl No: 46 – Gillard revisits her Slater and Gordon Exit


- 12th June – Election 2013 – Growl No: 45 – Gillard and Swine swill -


- 10th June – Election 2013 – Growl No: 44 – Foreign Minister Bob Carr – The “Gallah” that feasts and is never concerned with the damage left behind …


- 8th June – Election 2013 – Growl No: 43 – The Independents and The Greens - why do they accept an alleged Criminal as PM? -


- 6th June – True Leadership – we are yet to experience the way it was meant to be -


- To see more EYE-BALL Harry’s Growl posts: click here …


Title:
– Election 2013 – Growl No: 51 -
- The US Back Gillard -
– Poor Call or Poor Form –

| Author: EYE-BALL’s Harry’s Growl | 3rd July 2013|

Latest Pickering images – 3 New Cartoons added 3rd July 2013 – see image links to the left.


Astory released today covering the departing US Ambassador, and his heartfelt comments about Julia Gillard and her career post politics says many things.

Either – the US don’t believe the AWU scandal can touch Gillard, or they don’t mind being associated with a former Prime Minister who is a criminal and have their ‘on the record’ comments recorded.

Why would they do that – why would they pledge their continued support and loyalty unless they owed Gillard on some policy decisions she may have made in office that the US owe her for – i.e. US military base in NT with troop deployment for one.

The story was reported by “The Australian” and appears below:

Julia Gillard to remain figure on world stage, says US Ambassador Jeffrey Bleich


| Author: National Times | Date: July 3rd, 2013 | Link to On-Line Story. |

US Ambassador to Australia Jeffrey Bleich has tipped a future on the world stage for Julia Gillard, praising the former prime minister as an “extraordinarily talented and well-respected” person.

“She made a great impression on myself and on President (Barack) Obama and other leaders in the United States,” Mr Bleich said today.

“I know she will continue to play an important role in the US-Australia relationship and continue to be a respected figure on the world stage.”

Mr Bleich could soon be leaving his post as US ambassador with the same Australian prime minister in charge – Kevin Rudd – as when he started his tenure in late 2009.

But he says the US doesn’t cast judgment on the Labor leadership dramas, because both Mr Rudd and Ms Gillard had done nothing but bolster ties with his country.

“We have some pretty funny politics in the US too,” Mr Bleich told reporters at the US embassy today.

“So we don’t throw stones at how other nations choose their leaders and the process in which leadership changes hands.”

Mr Bleich celebrated what could be his last July 4 celebration in Canberra as ambassador today, with his replacement recently nominated by Mr Obama.

John Berry, an openly gay diplomat and close friend of the president, must first be confirmed by the US Senate before the appointment is sealed and he sets off for Canberra.

Mr Bleich said Mr Berry was an outstanding candidate for the diplomatic role who also knew “quite a bit” about Australia.

He said he wasn’t sure when he’d be replaced or what the future held for him.

AAP

Ambassador Bleich’s comments on face value seem like any ordinary message by an outgoing Diplomat leaving good will and good cheer for all those left behind.

But in this case – his comments give legitimacy to Gillard’s Leadership when he would be aware she is under a police investigation into a serious fraud.

It is reasonable to accept the US does business with Tyrant style leaders all around the world, past and present, what we don’t expect is for them to treat Australia with such contempt in the face of Gillard’s AWU history, and the fact that the CIA file on Gillard would be as incriminating as the AWU missing files.

The US want Foreign Leaders who support and foster US interest’s – so it is safe to assume that Gillard was a staunch ally of the US – else the CIA file on Gillard would have leaked.

If Gillard is charged, the comments made by the outgoing US Ambassador will mean nothing to most Australian’s, but for those who take these things seriously, it will mean a significant loss of face for the US to have been so supportive of a Leader with a criminal background.

The US are good at their job – we know that much through some of the Wikileaks information revealed in recent years … and more recently the Snowden revelations.

Perhaps Obama’s friendship with Gillard was more than diplomats just bumping into one another or up against one another in the night.

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Have your say where it counts: – contact your Local Federal Representative via the links below and let them know how you feel about this, or any other topic that you feel strongly about – or you can just post a comment below and let off some steam. Links to Australian Parliamentary Website – MP’s:


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